BoB: HUDHUD - Post-Tropical

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cycloneye
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Re: BoB: HUDHUD - Very Severe Cyclonic Storm 03B

#81 Postby cycloneye » Sat Oct 11, 2014 9:25 am

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Re: BoB: HUDHUD - Very Severe Cyclonic Storm 03B

#82 Postby Sanibel » Sat Oct 11, 2014 9:26 am

A dangerous system if it doesn't weaken.
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Re: BoB: HUDHUD - Very Severe Cyclonic Storm 03B

#83 Postby RaijinWeather » Sat Oct 11, 2014 11:45 am

Massive convection has started to take place in SW quadrant of Cyclone Hudhud

http://www.imd.gov.in/section/dwr/img/ppz_vsk.gif
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Re: BoB: HUDHUD - Very Severe Cyclonic Storm 03B

#84 Postby RaijinWeather » Sat Oct 11, 2014 11:46 am

A possible ERC( Eyewall ReplacementCyclone) could make some damage to the intensity as it close to landfall
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Re: BoB: HUDHUD - Very Severe Cyclonic Storm 03B

#85 Postby RaijinWeather » Sat Oct 11, 2014 11:48 am

Heavy Rains started lashing Andhra Pradesh from evening due to Cyclone Hudhud . Some of the rainfall figures are given below. We can be sure that 200 mm + rains will be recorded at many places.

in mm (Till 8.00 pm on 11.10.2014)

Upper Bathupuram - 82
Arakabadra - 79
Lower Bathupuram - 82
Kavity - 59
Vajrapukothuru - 55
Palasa - 43
Kurlam - 40
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Re: BoB: HUDHUD - Very Severe Cyclonic Storm 03B

#86 Postby RaijinWeather » Sat Oct 11, 2014 11:59 am

OMG...I was expecting that there is possible ERC sseeing the distorted eye an an hour back in the radar...But latest radar updates shows perfect eye.

If ERC does not happen. It is going to be a devastating Cyclone
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Re: BoB: HUDHUD - Very Severe Cyclonic Storm 03B

#87 Postby RaijinWeather » Sat Oct 11, 2014 12:02 pm

Vizag has recorded 37 kph wind speeds with rainfall of 5 mm till 8:30 pm..
Only light rains at vizag so far, Srikakulam district getting good rains though
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#88 Postby Alyono » Sat Oct 11, 2014 12:15 pm

again, those in India need to be very careful of any intensity information from the IMD. This is NOT a 165 kmh cyclone. It is closer to 200-210 kmh with gusts to 250 kmh. It may intensify a bit more prior to landfall

That said, IMD is providing better estimates than they have in previous TCs
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#89 Postby Dave C » Sat Oct 11, 2014 2:11 pm

Looking at the latest radar from about half an hr ago all bands still feeding into eyewall and very symmetric even on skewed sat image. :double: :double:
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Re: BoB: HUDHUD - Very Severe Cyclonic Storm 03B

#90 Postby Grifforzer » Sat Oct 11, 2014 2:47 pm

can barely see an eye on the RSMC New Delphi imagery again.. they keep the Dvorak at 5.0 for the 1800 PM UTC detailed satellite bulletin.

JTWC ADT has the note of pin-hole eye scenery.
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#91 Postby galaxy401 » Sat Oct 11, 2014 4:39 pm

How close is this to landfall?
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#92 Postby bahamaswx » Sat Oct 11, 2014 7:11 pm

Really no one talking about this?
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Re:

#93 Postby ugaap » Sat Oct 11, 2014 7:43 pm

galaxy401 wrote:How close is this to landfall?


At 0000 UTC today 12th October 2014 125 Kms. from landfall.

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#94 Postby CrazyC83 » Sat Oct 11, 2014 9:29 pm

Based on a visual interpretation and trends, I would say 105 kt is the current intensity.
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Re: BoB: HUDHUD - Very Severe Cyclonic Storm 03B

#95 Postby cycloneye » Sat Oct 11, 2014 9:33 pm

110kts from JTWC.

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#96 Postby galaxy401 » Sat Oct 11, 2014 10:40 pm

Probably made landfall now. A little fortunate that this storm didn't go RI but can still cause potential major damage.
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#97 Postby Alyono » Sat Oct 11, 2014 10:57 pm

still a few hours from landfall. The MTSAT projection is off as it is near the edge of the satellite
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#98 Postby CrazyC83 » Sat Oct 11, 2014 11:29 pm

Radar suggests the eyewall is onshore but the eye still offshore. Landfall likely around 0700Z.
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Re: BoB: HUDHUD - Very Severe Cyclonic Storm 03B

#99 Postby jaguarjace » Sun Oct 12, 2014 1:30 am

MTSAT and METEOSAT Comparison. Product made by me.

Image

Eye is not over land.
Last edited by jaguarjace on Sun Oct 12, 2014 1:33 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: BoB: HUDHUD - Very Severe Cyclonic Storm 03B

#100 Postby HurricaneBill » Sun Oct 12, 2014 2:15 am

As of about an hour ago, the Cyclone Warning Center in Visakhapatnam was reporting winds of 69mph (around 60KT) and a pressure of 28.20in (around 955mb). I don't know if the wind is sustained or a gust.

http://www.wunderground.com/weather-forecast/zmw:00000.1.43150
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