CPAC: ANA - Post-Tropical

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Chris_in_Tampa
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#461 Postby Chris_in_Tampa » Sun Oct 19, 2014 4:12 am

WTPA45 PHFO 190905
TCDCP5
HURRICANE ANA DISCUSSION NUMBER 23
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP022014
1100 PM HST SAT OCT 18 2014

IN SPITE OF WESTERLY SHEAR VALUES NEARING 30 KT...ANA CONTINUES TO
MAINTAIN PULSING DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE CORE. NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE RADAR AND MOST RECENT DATA FROM PERSONNEL ABOARD A U.S. AIR
FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE EYE WALL IS ERODED IN
THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT. THE AIRCRAFT LAST SAMPLED ANA AROUND 0430
UTC THIS EVENING...WITH MAXIMUM SFMR SURFACE WINDS NEAR 66 KT. BASED
ON A SLIGHTLY IMPROVED OUTFLOW PATTERN IN THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE
OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS...AND DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES
RANGING FROM 4.0/65 KT TO 4.5/77 KT...THE INITIAL INTENSITY FOR THIS
PACKAGE IS MAINTAINED AT 70 KT. THE AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO SAMPLE
ANA AGAIN IN TIME FOR THE NEXT ADVISORY.
THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE OF 315/05 KT IS MAINLY DERIVED
FROM RADAR ANIMATIONS...WITH ANA HAVING MOVED SLIGHTLY TO THE RIGHT
OF THE PREVIOUS SHORT TERM FORECAST TRACK. THE UPDATED TRACK
FORECAST FOLLOWS THE TRAJECTORY AND PHILOSOPHY PRESENTED IN
EARLIER FORECASTS...BUT HAS BEEN SHIFTED TO THE RIGHT...AFTER
ACCOUNTING FOR THE OBSERVED SHORT TERM MOTION. ANA IS STILL
EXPECTED TO MAKE A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OVER THE NEXT 6 TO
12 HOURS...AS A DEEP LAYER ANTICYCLONE BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTHWEST.
THIS IS EXPECTED TO KEEP THE CENTER OF ANA SOUTH OF KAUAI COUNTY...
BUT TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTENDING OUT TO ABOUT 105 MILES ON
THE NORTH SIDE REQUIRES A CONTINUATION OF THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR KAUAI COUNTY. THE UPDATED TRACK FORECAST ALSO REQUIRES
THE ISSUANCE OF A HURRICANE WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT. THE LATEST FORECAST
LIES TO THE RIGHT OF THE RELIABLE GUIDANCE IN THE SHORT TERM...THEN
RUNS ALONG THE MIDDLE OF THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE IN THE LONGER
RANGES...WHERE MODEL SPREAD INCREASES GREATLY.

MODEST WEAKENING IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS...WITH ANA
WEAKENING TO A STRONG TROPICAL STORM AS PERSISTENT WESTERLY
WIND SHEAR CONTINUES. AS THE SHEAR RELAXES LATE IN THE PERIOD...ANA
IS FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE ONCE AGAIN OVER WATERS THAT ARE
ANOMALOUSLY WARM. THE UPDATED INTENSITY FORECAST CLOSELY FOLLOWS
THE TRENDS PRESENTED BY LGEM AND SHIPS GUIDANCE.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 19/0900Z 20.3N 159.5W 70 KT 80 MPH
12H 19/1800Z 20.7N 160.2W 70 KT 80 MPH
24H 20/0600Z 21.0N 161.9W 65 KT 75 MPH
36H 20/1800Z 21.5N 163.5W 60 KT 70 MPH
48H 21/0600Z 22.3N 165.0W 60 KT 70 MPH
72H 22/0600Z 24.0N 167.5W 60 KT 70 MPH
96H 23/0600Z 26.0N 169.0W 65 KT 75 MPH
120H 24/0600Z 29.5N 169.5W 70 KT 80 MPH

$$
FORECASTER BIRCHARD
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#462 Postby Kingarabian » Sun Oct 19, 2014 4:17 am

We'll see what Recon has to say. Possibly the most important mission yet.
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#463 Postby Chris_in_Tampa » Sun Oct 19, 2014 4:30 am

Another reason against the warning might be that people get out in the middle of the night preparing with conditions deteriorating, when it would be too late to do anything other than close hurricane shutters if you had them. (which should have already been done in daylight due to the tropical storm warning) When looking at the estimated populations:

Niihau: 130
Kauai: 65,689

I could see I guess why they would not do a hurricane warning for both at this point. If it still has not made a turn in 3 to 6 hours though, I think they should consider a hurricane watch at least.

We can see movement on radar, even though since we don't see the back side of the eye well movement can be deceiving, but recon will be nice to see the wind field, such as if it has expanded. (And since the storm is still some distance, having a sonde in the center to see if it is tilted at all is nice too. I'm not good at determining things like that without recon, like using radar.)
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Re: CPAC: ANA - Hurricane

#464 Postby Chris_in_Tampa » Sun Oct 19, 2014 4:33 am

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#465 Postby Kingarabian » Sun Oct 19, 2014 5:05 am

Chris_in_Tampa wrote:Another reason against the warning might be that people get out in the middle of the night preparing with conditions deteriorating, when it would be too late to do anything other than close hurricane shutters if you had them. (which should have already been done in daylight due to the tropical storm warning) When looking at the estimated populations:

Niihau: 130
Kauai: 65,689

I could see I guess why they would not do a hurricane warning for both at this point. If it still has not made a turn in 3 to 6 hours though, I think they should consider a hurricane watch at least.

We can see movement on radar, even though since we don't see the back side of the eye well movement can be deceiving, but recon will be nice to see the wind field, such as if it has expanded. (And since the storm is still some distance, having a sonde in the center to see if it is tilted at all is nice too. I'm not good at determining things like that without recon, like using radar.)


Agreed. Plus the CPHC is constantly understaffed... and Hawaii does not get a lot of threats to the point where we can look at past storms and know when and where to add or subtract variables in regards to the storm.

But they give Ana 6-12 hours to make that WNW turn. At its current speed, it has the chance to continue moving 40-60 miles NW.
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#466 Postby Kingarabian » Sun Oct 19, 2014 5:11 am

Chris_in_Tampa wrote:Another reason against the warning might be that people get out in the middle of the night preparing with conditions deteriorating, when it would be too late to do anything other than close hurricane shutters if you had them. (which should have already been done in daylight due to the tropical storm warning) When looking at the estimated populations:



Most of the people in Hawaii are not taking Ana seriously. Look at this thread of comments from our local newspaper, The Star Advertiser in regards to Ana:

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Re: CPAC: ANA - Hurricane

#467 Postby Chris_in_Tampa » Sun Oct 19, 2014 5:12 am

Latest available satellite and radar:

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#468 Postby Chris_in_Tampa » Sun Oct 19, 2014 5:22 am

It's great that an area doesn't get hit too often, but it does make people very unprepared. My area on the west coast of Florida is like that. The last direct hit from a major hurricane was 1921. The water comes over the seawall every few years, but there really is little impact overall from all the other storms that pass by. Hawaii doesn't even get that many storms of any type.

I can remember some of the damage from Iniki when I visited Kauai. I do hope when a storm of that caliber does come around again, people take it seriously, regardless of what they think of the CPHC.

I'm not sure about most of Hawaii's building codes. It's been fifteen years since I was last there and maybe there are stricter codes now.
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#469 Postby Kingarabian » Sun Oct 19, 2014 5:25 am

Chris_in_Tampa wrote:It's great that an area doesn't get hit too often, but it does make people very unprepared. My area on the west coast of Florida is like that. The last direct hit from a major hurricane was 1921. The water comes over the seawall every few years, but there really is little impact overall from all the other storms that pass by. Hawaii doesn't even get that many storms of any type.

I can remember some of the damage from Iniki when I visited Kauai. I do hope when a storm of that caliber does come around again, people take it seriously, regardless of what they think of the CPHC.

I'm not sure about most of Hawaii's building codes. It's been fifteen years since I was last there and maybe there are stricter codes now.


Building Codes:
From CNN
It is a very good thing that Ana missed Oahu. Most of the residential construction that was put in place prior to 1992 will not stand up to hurricane force winds, since the only thing that holds the roof rafters down is a couple of "toenailed" 10D nails. The structures built after Iniki have hurricane clips all the way from the sill plates to the roof rafters, which means that the roof will remain in place during a hurricane.


The 2 houses I rent were both built in the 60s, renovated in the 80s. Most houses here in Hawaii have the old building codes.
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#470 Postby Kingarabian » Sun Oct 19, 2014 5:49 am

06z GFS more to the right and closer to Kauai.
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#471 Postby Kingarabian » Sun Oct 19, 2014 6:25 am

1:00 AM update is back to 320 degrees.

Location: 20.5N 159.6W
ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM S OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM WSW OF HONOLULU HAWAII
Maximum sustained winds: 80 MPH...130 KM/H
Present movement: NW or 320 degrees AT 7 MPH...9 KM/H
Minimum central pressure: 989 MB...29.21 INCHES

They have the center more to the left than recon.
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Re: CPAC: ANA - Hurricane

#472 Postby Chris_in_Tampa » Sun Oct 19, 2014 6:31 am

Since the center sonde measured surface wind from 90° (from the E) at 17 knots (20 mph), the sonde missed the center a bit. It is likely just a little bit to the south of there.
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#473 Postby Kingarabian » Sun Oct 19, 2014 7:27 am

WTPA65 PHFO 191204
TCUCP5

HURRICANE ANA TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP022014
200 AM HST SUN OCT 19 2014

...2 AM HST POSITION UPDATE...
...HURRICANE ANA STILL MOVING NORTHWEST AND CONTINUING TO APPROACH
KAUAI AND NIIHAU...

SUMMARY OF 200 AM HST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
--------------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.6N 159.6W
ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM S OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM SW OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...10 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES

$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD
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#474 Postby Kingarabian » Sun Oct 19, 2014 7:46 am

TXPN26 KNES 191233
TCSCNP

A. 02C (ANA)

B. 19/1200Z

C. 20.6N

D. 159.5W

E. THREE/GOES-W

F. T4.0/4.0/S0.0/24HRS

G. IR/EIR/SWIR/SSMIS/AMSU

H. REMARKS...ANA IS MAINTAINING VROAD CENTRAL CORE OF VERY COLD CLOUD
TOP TEMPS. WHILE THERE DOES APPEAR TO BE SOME SHEAR IMPACTING THE WESTERN
PORTION OF COLD CLOUD TOPS THE CENTER IS WELL EMBEDDED WITHIN THE CENTER
OF THE COLD CLOUD MASS. EMBEDDED CENTER PATTERN GIVES DT=5.0 BASED ON
EMBEDDED IN B. THIS IS UNREALISTICALLY HIGH. MET=4.5 BASED ON 24 HOUR
SLOW DEVELOPING TREND. PT=4.0. FT IS BASED ON PT.

I. ADDL POSITIONS

19/0601Z 20.0N 159.2W SSMIS
19/0755Z 20.1N 159.2W AMSU


...RUMINSKI
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#475 Postby Kingarabian » Sun Oct 19, 2014 8:13 am

Intermediate Advisory Number 23B
Issued at 300 AM HST SUN OCT 19 2014
SUMMARY OF 300 AM HST...1300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
Location: 20.65N 159.7W
ABOUT 95 MI...155 KM S OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM WSW OF HONOLULU HAWAII
Maximum sustained winds: 80 MPH...130 KM/H
Present movement: NW or 320 degrees AT 7 MPH...9 KM/H
Minimum central pressure: 989 MB...29.21 INCHES
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#476 Postby Yellow Evan » Sun Oct 19, 2014 10:02 am

WTPA65 PHFO 191403
TCUCP5

HURRICANE ANA TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP022014
400 AM HST SUN OCT 19 2014

...4 AM HST POSITION UPDATE...

SUMMARY OF 400 AM HST...1400 UTC...INFORMATION
--------------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.6N 159.7W
ABOUT 95 MI...155 KM S OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM SW OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...10 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES

$$
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Re: CPAC: ANA - Hurricane

#477 Postby cycloneye » Sun Oct 19, 2014 10:17 am

SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION


Location: 20.6N 159.7W
About 100 miles (160 km) S of Lihue Hawaii
About 125 miles (200 km) WSW of Honolulu Hawaii
Maximum sustained winds: 80 mph (130 km/h)
Present movement: WNW or 300 degrees at 5 mph (7 km/h)
Minimum central pressure: 989 MB or 29.21 inches
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#478 Postby Yellow Evan » Sun Oct 19, 2014 10:40 am

WTPA45 PHFO 191512
TCDCP5

HURRICANE ANA DISCUSSION NUMBER 24
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP022014
500 AM HST SUN OCT 19 2014

DESPITE STRONG WESTERLY SHEAR...ANALYZED AS BEING BETWEEN 30 AND
40 KT...ANA HAS BEEN ABLE TO MAINTAIN DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE INNER
CORE THROUGH THE NIGHT. RECENT DATA FROM A U.S. AIR FORCE
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT CORROBORATE WHAT IS SEEN IN THE LATEST
SATELLITE AND RADAR DATA...THAT THE PERSISTENT SHEAR MAY BE HAVING
AN IMPACT ON THE STRUCTURE OF THE CYCLONE. HOWEVER...THE INITIAL
INTENSITY FOR THIS ADVISORY HAS BEEN HELD AT 70 KT...AS THESE TRENDS
MAY BE ONLY TEMPORARY...AND MAXIMUM FLIGHT LEVEL WINDS AT 1221 UTC
WERE 73 KT.

THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE OF 300/04 KT INDICATES THE FORWARD
MOTION HAS EASED...WITH THE MUCH ANTICIPATED TURN TOWARD THE WEST
UNDERWAY. A DEEP LAYER RIDGE BUILDING NORTH AND NORTHWEST OF THE
CYCLONE IS RESPONSIBLE FOR THIS EVOLUTION...AND THE SYSTEM IS
EXPECTED TO BEGIN MOVING TOWARD NEARLY DUE WEST THIS MORNING...
KEEPING THE CENTER FROM DIRECTLY IMPACTING KAUAI COUNTY.
HOWEVER...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTENDING OUT TO ABOUT 105
MILES ON THE NORTH SIDE REQUIRES A CONTINUATION OF THE TROPICAL
STORM WARNING FOR KAUAI COUNTY. THE UPDATED TRACK FORECAST ALSO
REQUIRES THE ISSUANCE OF A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR PORTIONS OF
THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...AND AN EXPANSION OF
THE HURRICANE WATCH AREA. THE RIDGE SHUNTING ANA WESTWARD WILL MOVE
PROGRESSIVELY EAST THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH ANA ROUNDING THE
WESTERN EDGE OF THIS RIDGE ON DAYS 3 THROUGH 5. DIFFERENCES BETWEEN
MODELS REGARDING THE TIMING OF THIS TURN IS RESULTING IN A WIDE
SPREAD IN THE GUIDANCE AT LONGER TIME RANGES. THE LATEST FORECAST
LIES TO THE RIGHT OF THE RELIABLE GUIDANCE IN THE SHORT TERM...THEN
RUNS ALONG THE MIDDLE OF THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE IN THE LONGER
RANGES...AND SPLITS THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE HWRF/GFDL WHICH ARE
ON THE RIGHT HAND SIDE OF THE ENVELOPE...AND THE ECMWF...WHICH IS ON
THE LEFT HAND SIDE OF THE GUIDANCE.

LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST THROUGH THE NEXT 3 DAYS...BUT
DECREASING SHEAR ON DAYS 4 AND 5 SHOULD ALLOW ANA TO STRENGTHEN AS
IT ENCOUNTERS THE ANOMALOUSLY WARM WATER THAT EXTENDS AS FAR NORTH
AS 30N. THE UPDATED INTENSITY FORECAST CLOSELY FOLLOWS THE TRENDS
PRESENTED BY LGEM AND SHIPS GUIDANCE...BUT IS WEAKER THAN THE IVCN
CONSENSUS WHICH CONTINUES TO BE DRIVEN UPWARD BY THE HWRF/GFDL
MODELS WHICH DEPICT A STRONGER CYCLONE.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 19/1500Z 20.6N 159.7W 70 KT 80 MPH
12H 20/0000Z 21.1N 161.0W 70 KT 80 MPH
24H 20/1200Z 21.4N 162.9W 70 KT 80 MPH
36H 21/0000Z 21.8N 164.5W 65 KT 75 MPH
48H 21/1200Z 22.9N 166.4W 65 KT 75 MPH
72H 22/1200Z 24.6N 168.1W 65 KT 75 MPH
96H 23/1200Z 26.5N 169.5W 70 KT 80 MPH
120H 24/1200Z 30.0N 169.5W 75 KT 85 MPH

$$

FORECASTER BIRCHARD
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Re: CPAC: ANA - Hurricane

#479 Postby cycloneye » Sun Oct 19, 2014 6:49 pm

HURRICANE ANA DISCUSSION NUMBER 25...CORRECTED
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP022014
1100 AM HST SUN OCT 19 2014

CORRECTED FOR TAU ERROR IN PARAGRAPH 3.

ANA HAS WEAKENED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS AS IT FEELS THE
EFFECTS OF WHAT SHOULD BE COMPLETELY DEBILITATING 30 KT WESTERLY
SHEAR. SATELLITE LOOP SHOWS VERY RESTRICTED OUTFLOW THROUGH THE
WESTERN SEMICIRCLE FOR THIS SYSTEM WHILE DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES
MAINLY NORTHEAST OF THE LLCC. A TIMELY 1846Z GPM MICROWAVE PASS
CORROBORATES RADAR DATA SHOWING ANA HAS BEGUN A LONG-ANTICIPATED
MOTION TOWARD THE WEST. INITIAL MOTION IS SET AT 270/06 KT WITH TAU
3 MOTION SLIGHTLY FASTER. THE LATEST U.S. AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE
PASS SHOWED THE CORE OF THIS SYSTEM IS NO LONGER STACKED...WITH
MAXIMUM FLIGHT LEVEL WINDS OF 70 KT. THIS REDUCES TO 63 KT AT THE
SURFACE. DVORAK-DERIVED INTENSITIES FROM THE THREE SATELLITE CENTERS
WERE 4.0/65 KT FROM SAB AND JTWC...AND 4.5/77 KT FROM PHFO. WE WILL
LEAN TOWARD RECONNAISSANCE...RECOGNIZE THE TILTED CORE AND SLIGHTLY
DEGRADED SATELLITE PRESENTATION...AND ASSIGN AN INITIAL INTENSITY OF
65 KT.

THE INITIAL MOTION OF 270/06 KT IS THE FIRST STEP IN A FORECAST
TRACK WHICH DESCRIBES A LONG 5 DAY RECURVING TRACK FOR THIS SYSTEM.
HIGH PRESSURE FAR NORTH OF ANA WILL SLIDE EASTWARD OVER THE NEXT 48
HOURS...GRADUALLY ALLOWING THIS SYSTEM TO GAIN LATITUDE BUT CONTINUE
MOVING WESTWARD FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. BY 72 HOURS...DEEP TROUGHING
WEST OF THE DATELINE IS EXPECTED TO RE-ALIGN THE RIDGE ALONG A
NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST AXIS. ANA IS EXPECTED TO RESPOND TO THIS
RE-ALIGNMENT BY MOVING ALMOST NORTHERLY...A TREND WHICH WOULD
PREVENT ANA FROM REACHING 170W AS AN EASTWARD COMPONENT IS
INTRODUCED BETWEEN 96 AND 120 HOURS. THIS FORECAST TRACK FOLLOWS
THE PREVIOUS ONE THROUGH 48 HOURS...THEN DEVIATES TO THE RIGHT AT
72 HOURS AND BEYOND AS IT FOLLOWS A SIMILARLY ADJUSTED TVCN
CONSENSUS. THIS TRACK LIES BETWEEN TVCN AND ECMWF...WHICH HAS
PERFORMED RATHER WELL WITH THIS SYSTEM.

ANA HAS WEAKENED...BUT REMAINS STUBBORN IN THE FACE OF STRONG
WESTERLY SHEAR. SHIPS AND LGEM WEAKEN ANA TO A TROPICAL STORM
BETWEEN 12 AND 48 HOURS...BUT HAVE IT REGAINING HURRICANE STRENGTH
AT 72 HOURS AND BEYOND AS IT ENCOUNTERS THE ANOMALOUSLY WARM WATER
THAT EXTENDS AS FAR NORTH AS 30N. HWRF/GFDL DEPICTS ANA EXCEEDING
100 KT BY 72 HOURS...LIKELY WAY TOO STRONG FOR THIS RECURVING
SYSTEM. ANA IS THEREFORE FORECAST TO WEAKEN SLIGHTLY THROUGH 48
HOURS...FOLLOWING SATELLITE TRENDS AND SHIPS/LGEM...THEN SLOWLY
STRENGTHEN TO 75 KT FROM 48 THROUGH 120 HOURS. IT SEEMS THAT ANA
WILL REMAIN WITHIN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BASIN FOR QUITE SOME
TIME...AT LEAST A WEEK ALONG THE FORECAST TRACK.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 19/2100Z 20.7N 160.6W 65 KT 75 MPH
12H 20/0600Z 20.9N 161.8W 60 KT 70 MPH
24H 20/1800Z 21.4N 163.5W 60 KT 70 MPH
36H 21/0600Z 22.2N 165.2W 60 KT 70 MPH
48H 21/1800Z 23.2N 166.5W 60 KT 70 MPH
72H 22/1800Z 25.8N 167.8W 65 KT 75 MPH
96H 23/1800Z 28.5N 168.3W 70 KT 80 MPH
120H 24/1800Z 31.3N 167.8W 75 KT 85 MPH

$$
FORECASTER POWELL
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Re: CPAC: ANA - Hurricane

#480 Postby cycloneye » Sun Oct 19, 2014 6:50 pm

SUMMARY OF 100 PM HST...2300 UTC...INFORMATION


Location: 20.7N 160.6W
About 120 miles (190 km) SW of Lihue Hawaii
About 180 miles (290 km) WSW of Honolulu Hawaii
Maximum sustained winds: 75 mph (120 km/h)
Present movement: W or 270 degrees at 6 mph (10 km/h)
Minimum central pressure: 992 MB or 29.30 inches
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