somethingfunny wrote:I don't think Vance is gonna make it to hurricane.
I don't see why not. Shear is going to reduce to very low values very soon. Dry air will subside thereafter. SST's are quite warm.
We've gone through this with every EPAC storms the past month or so (Odile, Rachel, Simon, and Ana all struggled early on, and all were of at least 75 knts).