mrbagyo wrote:here's some wind report
thanks!
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ozonepete wrote:Oh, no, wait. There's misunderstanding going on here.
1. Guiuan is 40 miles south of the center so I'm not sure that's "well south" since the "eye" was very large at that time, and we still have no data on how large the eye (or central calm area) was. If it was 30 or 40 miles across than Guiuan may have been in the eyewall.
2. Here's this from the New York Times this evening:
The typhoon made landfall by 9:15 p.m. near the town of Dolores on eastern Samar Island, Philippine government forecasters said. The storm had weakened somewhat as it approached land, with maximum sustained winds of 108 miles per hour near its center on Saturday afternoon, according to the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration.
108 mph is 90 knots and high category 2. Actually I haven't heard any weather agency at all say that it was more than a high cat 2. Does anyone know of such a statement so far? I just said that I was expecting higher wind reports and surprised that there aren't any so far. And that's why I said that no documentation is mere speculation. Just trying to get answers based on data. I'm sure we'll get some better data sooner or later.
xtyphooncyclonex wrote:But in reality, it made landfall as 115 mph.
Krit-tonkla wrote:ozonepete wrote:Oh, no, wait. There's misunderstanding going on here.
1. Guiuan is 40 miles south of the center so I'm not sure that's "well south" since the "eye" was very large at that time, and we still have no data on how large the eye (or central calm area) was. If it was 30 or 40 miles across than Guiuan may have been in the eyewall.
2. Here's this from the New York Times this evening:
The typhoon made landfall by 9:15 p.m. near the town of Dolores on eastern Samar Island, Philippine government forecasters said. The storm had weakened somewhat as it approached land, with maximum sustained winds of 108 miles per hour near its center on Saturday afternoon, according to the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration.
108 mph is 90 knots and high category 2. Actually I haven't heard any weather agency at all say that it was more than a high cat 2. Does anyone know of such a statement so far? I just said that I was expecting higher wind reports and surprised that there aren't any so far. And that's why I said that no documentation is mere speculation. Just trying to get answers based on data. I'm sure we'll get some better data sooner or later.
But PAGASA uses 10-min winds.
RL3AO wrote:Haven't kept up with the reports today. With how slow its moving, I can imagine we're looking at some impressive rainfall totals.
ohno wrote:Wind is picking up here in Manila. I'd say 20kts. Hagupit is definitely coming...
xtyphooncyclonex wrote:22W HAGUPIT 141207 0600 12.3N 124.1E WPAC 85 959
ohno wrote:xtyphooncyclonex wrote:22W HAGUPIT 141207 0600 12.3N 124.1E WPAC 85 959
How's Cebu? Any damages, power interruptions?
dhoeze wrote:any magical outlook that by tom this will just be a Tropical Storm?
How is the cold dry air in the area of the Typhoon?
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