SIO: KATE - Ex-Tropical

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Message
Author
User avatar
xtyphooncyclonex
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3279
Age: 16
Joined: Sat Dec 08, 2012 9:07 am
Location: Cebu City
Contact:

Re: Re:

#21 Postby xtyphooncyclonex » Sun Dec 28, 2014 9:24 pm

spiral wrote:
Yellow Evan wrote:Excuse me, but this is not 105 knots.


That 105 knots you refer to set by the Australian Bureau of Meteorology was over a 10 min mean wind speed If you convert it to 1 min USA it was = 120 knots (Cat 3 USA)-:wink:

Actually, Yellow Evan is right.

BTW, the 10-min peak of Kate was 90 kts, never went to 105 kts.
0 likes   
REMINDER: My opinions that I, or any other NON Pro-Met in this forum, are unofficial. Please do not take my opinions as an official forecast and warning. I am NOT a meteorologist. Following my forecasts blindly may lead to false alarm, danger and risk if official forecasts from agencies are ignored.

User avatar
jaguarjace
Category 4
Category 4
Posts: 943
Age: 23
Joined: Sat Jun 11, 2011 7:38 am
Location: Perth, Australia

Re: SIO: KATE - Severe Tropical Cyclone

#22 Postby jaguarjace » Mon Dec 29, 2014 2:25 pm

AUSTRALIAN GOVERNMENT BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH

TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TRACK MAP
Severe Tropical Cyclone Kate

Issued at 2:56 am WST Tuesday 30 December 2014.

Image

Image
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer: Any statements I make are only my opinion. For official information, please refer to products from the NHC and NWS.
Current Storm Floaters are available here | Past Storm Floaters are available here

CrazyC83
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 26852
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

#23 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Dec 29, 2014 3:49 pm

Looks like about 85 kt right now.
0 likes   

User avatar
jaguarjace
Category 4
Category 4
Posts: 943
Age: 23
Joined: Sat Jun 11, 2011 7:38 am
Location: Perth, Australia

Re: SIO: KATE - Severe Tropical Cyclone

#24 Postby jaguarjace » Mon Dec 29, 2014 9:24 pm

Category 4 again. Final forecast track from BOM.

AUSTRALIAN GOVERNMENT BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH

TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TRACK MAP
Severe Tropical Cyclone Kate

Issued at 8:54 am WST Tuesday 30 December 2014.

Image

Image
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer: Any statements I make are only my opinion. For official information, please refer to products from the NHC and NWS.
Current Storm Floaters are available here | Past Storm Floaters are available here

User avatar
euro6208
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 13376
Age: 30
Joined: Mon Mar 08, 2004 7:50 pm
Location: Guam U.S.A

Re: SIO: KATE - Severe Tropical Cyclone

#25 Postby euro6208 » Thu Jan 01, 2015 7:04 am

AN AREA OF CONVECTION (THE REMNANTS OF TC 04S) PREVIOUSLY
LOCATED NEAR 20.5S 86.0E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 22.4S 83.8E,
APPROXIMATELY 1100 NM SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A WELL DEFINED AND FULLY
EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH ONLY WEAK LINEAR
CONVECTION DISPLACED FROM THE LLCC. A 010313Z ASCAT PASS SHOWED 25
TO 30 KNOT WINDS ABOUT THE LLCC WITH THE BULK OF THE WINDS DISPLACED
TO THE SOUTH. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALED AN UNFAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT WITH STRONG (40 TO 50 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WHICH
IS COMPLETELY OFFSETTING POLEWARD OUTFLOW. ALSO, SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES IN THE REGION ARE UNFAVORABLE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS IS LOW.
0 likes   
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...

NWS for the Western Pacific

http://www.prh.noaa.gov/guam/


Return to “2014”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 2 guests