WPAC: JANGMI - Post-Tropical

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euro6208
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Re: WPAC: JANGMI - Tropical Storm

#141 Postby euro6208 » Wed Dec 31, 2014 12:56 am

Image

RIP Jangmi...
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xtyphooncyclonex
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#142 Postby xtyphooncyclonex » Wed Dec 31, 2014 1:14 am

:uarrow: Not yet. Regeneration and further intensification is likely.
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#143 Postby xtyphooncyclonex » Wed Dec 31, 2014 1:16 am

More sovering news: Majority of casualties coming from Cebu and Samar. Cebu was worst hit.
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Re: Re:

#144 Postby xtyphooncyclonex » Wed Dec 31, 2014 1:21 am

euro6208 wrote:
xtyphooncyclonex wrote::roll: :roll:

Final Warning as TD? Too dependent on satellite image.



:lol:

Image

Nothing there...move on...No LLCC detected...Shredded due to high wind shear...

So?

Earth winds (shown by another member) shows winds of 37 knots, and is still conservative, because of its low bias. Winds may be +-40 knots, but satellite estimates are 20 kts. Best estimate IMO would be 30-35 knots.

I've seen some worse than this.
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Re: WPAC: JANGMI - Tropical Storm

#145 Postby euro6208 » Wed Dec 31, 2014 4:34 am

23W JANGMI 141231 0600 8.3N 120.8E WPAC 20 1007
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Re: WPAC: JANGMI - Tropical Storm

#146 Postby euro6208 » Wed Dec 31, 2014 8:51 am

Continues to get affected by monster shear of 30 knots...The whole area is not favorable for regeneration...
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Re: WPAC: JANGMI - Post-Tropical

#147 Postby euro6208 » Thu Jan 01, 2015 6:52 am

It's back...

AN AREA OF CONVECTION (THE REMNANTS OF TD 23W) PREVIOUSLY
LOCATED NEAR 8.9N 121.7E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6.8N 119.0E,
APPROXIMATELY 175 NM SOUTH OF PUERTO PRINCESA, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A FULLY EXPOSED AND WELL
DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) THAT IS DEVOID OF ANY
DEEP, ORGANIZED CONVECTION. A RECENT 010210Z ASCAT PASS REVEALED 15
TO 20 KNOT WINDS ALONG THE LLCC WITH A LARGE 20 KNOT WIND FIELD
ASSOCIATED WITH THE NORTHEAST MONSOON WELL TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE
LLCC. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS A POOR ENVIRONMENT WITH MODERATE
TO STRONG (20 TO 30 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK OUTFLOW.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS.
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
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Re: WPAC: JANGMI - Post-Tropical

#148 Postby euro6208 » Thu Jan 01, 2015 8:24 am

Already 54 dead to end and welcome 2014 and 2015...
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#149 Postby xtyphooncyclonex » Tue Jan 06, 2015 3:26 am

Jangmi is an extremely underestimated storm.

Image

When it crossed Cebu... Although another station in Cebu City recorded 86.9 km/h. We had insane winds... This was the strongest tropical storm that I've ever experienced

Image

Heavy, heavy rain!

Image
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