ATL: KAREN - Remnants - Discussion

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KimmieLa
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Re: ATL: KAREN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1401 Postby KimmieLa » Sat Oct 05, 2013 9:33 am

Well, naked swirl Karen is raining pretty good on my house at this very minute. Light winds, maybe 10-15 mph. Time to go searching for my umbrella.

I can't forecast the weather, and you wouldn't want me to!
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JSDS
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Re: ATL: KAREN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1402 Postby JSDS » Sat Oct 05, 2013 9:39 am

Same here in Denham Springs. Breezy with periods of brief, heavy showers mixed with lighter rains.
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Frank P
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Re: ATL: KAREN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1403 Postby Frank P » Sat Oct 05, 2013 9:43 am

Ha, she's trying to fire up some new convection just east of the center, and appears to now be moving almost due north... my humble opinion... :)
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Re: ATL: KAREN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1404 Postby Airboy » Sat Oct 05, 2013 10:27 am

Frank P wrote:Ha, she's trying to fire up some new convection just east of the center, and appears to now be moving almost due north... my humble opinion... :)


Yeah, maybe if it can do a little comeback.
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Re: ATL: KAREN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1405 Postby Javlin » Sat Oct 05, 2013 10:45 am

Well it would SEEM that if /when she gets back on the Eside 90' she may hold onto some convection;not holding my breath.
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Re: ATL: KAREN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1406 Postby MGC » Sat Oct 05, 2013 10:55 am

Well, NHC has shifted the track a bit north.....I guess Karen has decided to ride highway 90 to Florida, gonna take the scenic route! Small chance it remain a TS until the coast......MGC
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Re: ATL: KAREN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1407 Postby Frank P » Sat Oct 05, 2013 10:58 am

Javlin wrote:Well it would SEEM that if /when she gets back on the Eside 90' she may hold onto some convection;not holding my breath.


Yep and it continues to fire off, not sure if it is going to last ... might run into LA coast before she turns which might just kill her for good... needs to start the NE turn sooner rather than later... got to give it to her.. she was/is a fighter against some killer shear and dry air.. we just might get a few squalls out this yet Jav... :)
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Frank P
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Re: ATL: KAREN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1408 Postby Frank P » Sat Oct 05, 2013 10:59 am

MGC wrote:Well, NHC has shifted the track a bit north.....I guess Karen has decided to ride highway 90 to Florida, gonna take the scenic route! Small chance it remain a TS until the coast......MGC


Ha, I live on Hwy 90... wonder if she is just wanting to be part of the cruising scene?
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Re: ATL: KAREN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1409 Postby Nimbus » Sat Oct 05, 2013 11:22 am

Only chance she has would be if she stalled her northern motion and drifted eastward remaining over the gulf. Convection finally getting back over the sheared LLC but at 1007 MB any reintensification should be slow.
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#1410 Postby Airboy » Sat Oct 05, 2013 11:26 am

With the new convection near the center is has soon reconnected a layer of convection from the center to the bigger blob of convection to the SE, if that mean something.
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Re: ATL: KAREN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1411 Postby One Eye » Sat Oct 05, 2013 11:27 am

Hmmm! Looks like a little flare up around the center. We will see if this trend continues. Water vapor imagery shows that the shear has decreased some but it has to fight a lot of dry air.
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#1412 Postby HurriGuy » Sat Oct 05, 2013 11:32 am

Does she have one more fight left in her? Deep convection made if back to the center. Can't believe it has yet to turn. Karen is begging to get from dry air.
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Re: ATL: KAREN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1413 Postby Frank P » Sat Oct 05, 2013 11:33 am

Well at least she is no longer naked... or as we say in south miss... neked.... glad to see her put on at least a bikini... cause she was one ugly neked gal yesterday... and she continues to slowly dress .... my humble opinion...
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#1414 Postby HurriGuy » Sat Oct 05, 2013 11:38 am

okay is Karen starting to look half-decent again near the LLC? Every frame is looking better and better
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Re: ATL: KAREN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1415 Postby stormlover2013 » Sat Oct 05, 2013 11:42 am

Guys give up its ball game just a rainmaker

This is not a official forecast just my opinion
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#1416 Postby HurriGuy » Sat Oct 05, 2013 11:45 am

Well....recon is on the way to see what Karen is doing or maybe nothing at all. May be last storm for awhile so I'll watch and enjoy. Haha.
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#1417 Postby gatorcane » Sat Oct 05, 2013 11:47 am

Looks like she is slowing down and may have stalled. The sharp ENE or E turn should be coming soon. Convection is starting to build on the eastern side of the center. Maybe she makes a little comeback...?
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#1418 Postby gatorcane » Sat Oct 05, 2013 11:47 am

Latest VIS loop showing the movement has stalled - convection is getting going near the center...if it can start to wrap around, we could see some strengthening.

Image
Last edited by gatorcane on Sat Oct 05, 2013 11:52 am, edited 4 times in total.
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Frank P
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#1419 Postby Frank P » Sat Oct 05, 2013 11:48 am

HurriGuy wrote:Well....recon is on the way to see what Karen is doing or maybe nothing at all. May be last storm for awhile so I'll watch and enjoy. Haha.


I can multi-task both.. and the convection continues to build.. also looks like her forward motion has slowed down... my humble opinion... I just like seeing storms make everyone look foolish, including me... :)
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Re: ATL: KAREN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1420 Postby euro6208 » Sat Oct 05, 2013 11:57 am

why are people so excited about a mere weak tropical storm?

over here, we get bored of these as we are used to strong typhoons regularly...
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