ATL: ANDREA - Post-Tropical

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Re: ATL: ANDREA - Tropical Storm

#1421 Postby tolakram » Thu Jun 06, 2013 1:33 pm

latest saved radar

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#1422 Postby Dave » Thu Jun 06, 2013 1:35 pm

000
URNT15 KNHC 061832
AF302 0301A ANDREA HDOB 12 20130606
182230 2835N 08253W 8362 01582 0045 +145 +132 192050 051 044 000 00
182300 2834N 08254W 8364 01579 0044 +148 +126 195049 050 044 000 00
182330 2832N 08254W 8364 01579 0045 +150 +124 195049 049 044 000 03
182400 2831N 08254W 8362 01582 0045 +150 +124 195048 049 044 000 00
182430 2830N 08254W 8364 01583 0047 +150 +123 196048 048 043 000 00
182500 2829N 08255W 8361 01585 0048 +149 +128 197048 048 043 001 00
182530 2827N 08255W 8361 01589 0051 +147 +126 198048 048 042 000 00
182600 2826N 08255W 8364 01585 0051 +147 +129 198048 048 043 000 03
182630 2825N 08255W 8363 01587 0051 +145 +129 198048 049 042 000 00
182700 2824N 08256W 8363 01587 0051 +145 +131 197047 047 042 000 00
182730 2822N 08256W 8361 01588 0052 +145 +133 197047 047 042 001 00
182800 2821N 08256W 8364 01588 0054 +144 +135 196046 047 043 000 00
182830 2820N 08256W 8361 01590 0056 +144 +136 199046 046 043 000 03
182900 2819N 08256W 8361 01589 0054 +145 +132 201046 047 043 000 03
182930 2817N 08257W 8363 01589 0052 +145 +131 203047 047 042 000 00
183000 2816N 08257W 8362 01588 0053 +146 +128 203047 047 043 000 00
183030 2815N 08257W 8361 01591 0054 +147 +130 203047 047 043 000 00
183100 2814N 08257W 8361 01591 0055 +150 +131 206047 047 043 000 03
183130 2812N 08258W 8362 01591 0055 +150 +129 207046 047 042 000 00
183200 2811N 08258W 8364 01590 0055 +150 +122 209046 047 042 001 03
$$
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#1423 Postby Dave » Thu Jun 06, 2013 1:36 pm

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#1424 Postby Dave » Thu Jun 06, 2013 1:37 pm

Someone please pick up the hdobs if you would...Thanks!
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#1425 Postby AdamFirst » Thu Jun 06, 2013 1:39 pm

Just lost power here for a moment for the first time today
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Re:

#1426 Postby Bocadude85 » Thu Jun 06, 2013 1:41 pm

AdamFirst wrote:Just lost power here for a moment for the first time today



Us too. Not sure why though. The sun is out lol
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#1427 Postby northjaxpro » Thu Jun 06, 2013 1:43 pm

There has been a pretty good convective burst on the northern side of the COC in the past hour.
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Re: ATL: ANDREA - Tropical Storm

#1428 Postby sfwx » Thu Jun 06, 2013 1:51 pm

I teach in a portable classroom and I house the weather radio for the school. I couldn't figure why it wasn't going off until I saw the message below online. Not a good day for the outage! ( Our entire district delayed dismissal for about an hour. )

UBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
935 AM EDT THU JUN 6 2013

...FORT PIERCE TRANSMITTER EXPERIENCING INTERMITTENT OUTAGES...

THE FORT PIERCE TRANSMITTER...OPERATING ON A FREQUENCY OF 162.425
MEGAHERTZ...IS EXPERIENCING BROADCAST ISSUES. THIS TRANSMITTER
SERVES INDIAN RIVER...SAINT LUCIE...OKEECHOBEE...AND
MARTIN COUNTIES. TECHNICIANS ARE ON SCENE AND WILL FIX THE ISSUES AS
SOON AS POSSIBLE BUT UNTIL THEN SERVICE ON THE TRANSMITTER WILL BE
INTERMITTENT.
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Re:

#1429 Postby robbielyn » Thu Jun 06, 2013 1:56 pm

Kingarabian wrote:The media: "OMG Florida... Tropical storm... OMG, oh no..."

Floridians: "OMG, YES! RAIN! Lot's of rain! Oh baby, yes! RAIN! Bring it on!"

all about the ratings
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#1430 Postby lester » Thu Jun 06, 2013 1:57 pm

000
URNT15 KNHC 061851
AF302 0301A ANDREA HDOB 14 20130606
184230 2743N 08254W 8359 01612 0076 +148 +126 221045 045 039 000 00
184300 2742N 08253W 8360 01612 0078 +145 +133 220044 045 040 000 00
184330 2741N 08253W 8359 01613 0078 +145 +134 222044 044 039 000 00
184400 2739N 08252W 8359 01613 0077 +147 +134 222045 045 039 004 00
184430 2738N 08251W 8360 01613 0079 +148 +133 224045 045 040 000 00
184500 2736N 08251W 8356 01618 0079 +147 +137 224046 047 040 000 00
184530 2735N 08250W 8358 01616 0082 +144 +134 228047 049 041 000 00
184600 2734N 08250W 8360 01616 //// +132 //// 219045 048 040 001 01
184630 2732N 08249W 8358 01617 0086 +135 +133 214047 048 037 002 01
184700 2731N 08249W 8359 01617 0085 +140 +131 217047 048 038 000 00
184730 2730N 08248W 8358 01618 0085 +143 +133 219046 047 038 000 00
184800 2728N 08248W 8359 01618 0084 +144 +134 220045 046 038 000 00
184830 2727N 08247W 8356 01621 0082 +147 +128 219045 045 039 001 00
184900 2726N 08247W 8358 01619 0081 +153 +125 219044 045 040 000 00
184930 2724N 08246W 8360 01617 0081 +154 +119 219044 045 039 001 00
185000 2723N 08245W 8356 01624 0084 +153 +118 221044 044 039 001 00
185030 2722N 08245W 8360 01621 0084 +153 +117 222044 044 039 002 00
185100 2720N 08244W 8360 01622 0085 +152 +117 223044 044 038 002 00
185130 2719N 08243W 8360 01622 0086 +152 +120 222042 043 040 002 00
185200 2718N 08243W 8359 01623 0084 +155 +123 222042 042 039 001 00
$$
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Re: Re:

#1431 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Jun 06, 2013 1:58 pm

Bocadude85 wrote:
AdamFirst wrote:Just lost power here for a moment for the first time today



Us too. Not sure why though. The sun is out lol


It could be some distant storm cell that hit the line or transformer.
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#1432 Postby lester » Thu Jun 06, 2013 2:04 pm

000
URNT15 KNHC 061900
AF302 0301A ANDREA HDOB 15 20130606
185230 2716N 08242W 8358 01627 0086 +155 +125 222042 042 039 001 00
185300 2715N 08241W 8359 01624 0086 +154 +125 223041 042 039 000 00
185330 2713N 08241W 8360 01624 0088 +155 +123 223042 042 038 000 00
185400 2712N 08240W 8360 01627 0085 +162 +116 221042 043 039 002 00
185430 2711N 08239W 8358 01627 0085 +157 +115 220042 043 038 001 00
185500 2709N 08239W 8363 01623 0084 +161 +120 219042 043 037 001 03
185530 2708N 08238W 8359 01625 0079 +165 +119 220042 043 037 000 00
185600 2707N 08237W 8358 01628 0080 +165 +117 219041 042 037 001 00
185630 2705N 08237W 8360 01625 0081 +165 +116 220041 041 036 001 00
185700 2704N 08236W 8359 01627 0083 +165 +114 220041 041 037 001 00
185730 2703N 08235W 8365 01623 0086 +162 +120 221041 041 038 001 00
185800 2701N 08234W 8355 01634 0089 +161 +119 218041 042 036 001 00
185830 2700N 08234W 8408 01582 0090 +163 +135 218042 043 036 000 00
185900 2659N 08233W 8387 01602 0087 +165 +131 223043 044 035 001 00
185930 2657N 08232W 8395 01594 0089 +161 +147 222044 044 035 000 00
190000 2656N 08232W 8393 01599 0091 +160 +147 221045 046 034 000 03
190030 2655N 08231W 8395 01594 0090 +158 +149 218044 046 035 000 00
190100 2653N 08230W 8388 01601 0092 +156 +149 218044 044 034 000 00
190130 2652N 08230W 8395 01596 0092 +158 +147 220043 044 033 003 00
190200 2651N 08229W 8393 01597 0094 +153 +151 221043 043 034 002 01
$$
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Re: ATL: ANDREA - Tropical Storm

#1433 Postby brunota2003 » Thu Jun 06, 2013 2:11 pm

brunota2003 wrote:
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Well, looking at the above microwave image, along with MIMIC images from CIMMS, it looks like I get to make an RI forecast.

Pros for RI:
- It is a fairly small system
- It is forecast to come ashore fairly weak, and it is near land late at night

Cons:
- It is near land
- It is early in the season
- I don't want it to
- Lack of time until landfall
- Shear
- No one else wants it to

At 11 pm EDT, the wind speed was 35 knots (40 knots now as of 2 am). I will use 11 pm as my 24 hour marker. Thanks to land interaction and less than 24 hours to landfall (along with shear), I do not believe it will reach the 30 knots needed to classify it as rapid intensification. However, I will forecast strengthening, of about 20 knots. This will put the system at 55 to 60 knots before landfall.

Did I mention it is early in the season?

EDIT:
Just for the record, the indicator looks like it popped up around 9 or 10 pm. Generally RI doesn't start until a few hours later...which would be between 12 am and 2 am, with such a small system.

Well, I posted this at 2 am...not bad for a heads up, eh?
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Re: ATL: ANDREA - Tropical Storm

#1434 Postby ROCK » Thu Jun 06, 2013 2:13 pm

:uarrow: not bad at all...
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#1435 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Jun 06, 2013 2:19 pm

URNT15 KNHC 061910
AF302 0301A ANDREA HDOB 16 20130606
190230 2649N 08228W 8395 01596 0094 +152 +152 223044 044 035 003 01
190300 2648N 08228W 8392 01599 0092 +156 +151 226044 044 035 003 00
190330 2647N 08227W 8399 01590 0093 +154 +148 226041 044 034 004 00
190400 2645N 08226W 8392 01599 0097 +150 +149 226040 040 033 006 00
190430 2644N 08226W 8396 01595 0095 +153 +146 227041 042 033 006 00
190500 2642N 08225W 8395 01595 0089 +160 +144 228042 043 032 004 00
190530 2641N 08224W 8393 01596 0090 +162 +135 229040 041 033 003 00
190600 2640N 08224W 8395 01595 0085 +175 +099 233036 040 032 002 00
190630 2638N 08223W 8396 01594 0081 +182 +085 236034 035 033 001 00
190700 2637N 08222W 8396 01595 0081 +183 +081 240034 034 033 001 00
190730 2636N 08221W 8392 01600 0084 +180 +081 243034 035 032 003 00
190800 2634N 08220W 8396 01596 0085 +181 +079 244035 035 032 002 00
190830 2633N 08218W 8392 01600 0084 +182 +077 246035 036 032 002 00
190900 2632N 08217W 8393 01600 0083 +185 +072 248033 036 031 001 00
190930 2630N 08216W 8397 01595 0081 +188 +071 251033 034 031 001 00
191000 2629N 08215W 8392 01602 0082 +189 +069 256034 035 028 003 00
191030 2627N 08214W 8395 01600 0083 +189 +068 258036 036 030 002 00
191100 2626N 08213W 8393 01602 0084 +190 +067 260035 036 030 001 00
191130 2625N 08212W 8392 01606 0087 +186 +067 261036 036 031 000 00
191200 2623N 08211W 8395 01602 0089 +185 +070 261036 036 032 001 00
$$
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#1436 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Jun 06, 2013 2:22 pm

If Andrea stays mostly over water, it could hold its strength or re-intensify?
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Re: ATL: ANDREA - Tropical Storm

#1437 Postby Fego » Thu Jun 06, 2013 2:28 pm

Being fair, the CMC performed very well with Andrea, following ECMWF. Imho.
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#1438 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Jun 06, 2013 2:29 pm

000
URNT15 KNHC 061920
AF302 0301A ANDREA HDOB 17 20130606
191230 2622N 08209W 8395 01602 0088 +185 +068 261035 036 033 001 00
191300 2620N 08208W 8391 01606 0087 +184 +073 264036 037 031 002 00
191330 2619N 08207W 8399 01600 0093 +180 +073 262038 038 033 001 00
191400 2617N 08206W 8392 01607 0095 +180 +074 263036 038 033 001 00
191430 2616N 08205W 8393 01607 0095 +178 +075 266037 037 032 002 00
191500 2615N 08204W 8397 01602 0097 +175 +076 266036 037 032 002 00
191530 2613N 08203W 8395 01607 0099 +175 +076 266035 035 032 001 00
191600 2612N 08201W 8394 01609 0101 +175 +080 264034 034 031 004 00
191630 2610N 08200W 8392 01611 0102 +171 +083 265034 035 031 003 00
191700 2609N 08159W 8395 01607 0103 +168 +084 265036 036 031 004 00
191730 2607N 08158W 8395 01607 0104 +170 +082 268038 040 030 005 00
191800 2606N 08157W 8400 01605 0104 +168 +089 270038 039 031 002 00
191830 2604N 08156W 8392 01614 0107 +165 +097 270037 039 029 003 00
191900 2603N 08155W 8393 01613 0108 +163 +100 270038 039 028 002 00
191930 2602N 08153W 8391 01614 0109 +165 +087 270042 043 027 000 00
192000 2600N 08152W 8396 01612 0113 +165 +084 269043 043 026 002 00
192030 2559N 08151W 8399 01613 0116 +163 +087 267042 043 028 002 00
192100 2557N 08150W 8391 01619 0117 +162 +087 266042 043 026 003 00
192130 2556N 08149W 8392 01620 0118 +163 +090 264042 043 027 003 00
192200 2554N 08148W 8397 01615 0118 +162 +095 264040 041 025 002 03
$$
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#1439 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Jun 06, 2013 2:37 pm

000
URNT15 KNHC 061930
AF302 0301A ANDREA HDOB 18 20130606
192230 2553N 08148W 8392 01622 0120 +161 +094 264040 040 /// /// 03
192300 2553N 08149W 8390 01626 0122 +163 +093 264038 039 027 001 00
192330 2554N 08150W 8396 01618 0120 +161 +093 268036 038 029 001 00
192400 2554N 08152W 8395 01613 0112 +164 +085 271036 036 030 002 00
192430 2555N 08153W 8394 01609 0107 +168 +078 272035 036 029 002 00
192500 2557N 08154W 8393 01609 0107 +165 +079 276035 035 029 003 00
192530 2558N 08155W 8392 01609 0105 +165 +081 278033 034 029 002 00
192600 2559N 08156W 8395 01606 0104 +165 +083 277034 035 030 000 00
192630 2600N 08156W 8392 01608 0103 +165 +084 277034 035 029 004 00
192700 2601N 08157W 8395 01605 0101 +167 +083 277034 035 030 004 00
192730 2602N 08158W 8392 01607 0099 +170 +084 277034 035 032 005 00
192800 2604N 08159W 8396 01602 0097 +170 +087 273033 035 033 005 00
192830 2605N 08200W 8395 01602 0096 +172 +080 274034 035 033 005 00
192900 2606N 08201W 8393 01605 0095 +173 +078 273036 037 033 006 00
192930 2607N 08202W 8394 01603 0093 +176 +077 273038 039 033 005 00
193000 2608N 08203W 8398 01600 0091 +181 +074 271038 039 032 007 00
193030 2609N 08204W 8393 01603 0090 +182 +074 273035 037 032 006 00
193100 2611N 08205W 8395 01602 0089 +183 +072 274035 035 033 006 00
193130 2612N 08206W 8395 01601 0088 +184 +071 273035 035 033 006 00
193200 2613N 08207W 8396 01598 0085 +185 +069 272035 037 033 006 00
$$
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Re: ATL: ANDREA - Tropical Storm

#1440 Postby tolakram » Thu Jun 06, 2013 2:41 pm

Latest saved radar loop.

Image
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