SPAC: INVEST 97P

[supercane4867]

9.4S 164.4E

[supercane4867]

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 10F CENTRE {[1003]} ANALYSED NEAR 10.0S 167.5E
AT 262100 UTC. SLOW MOVING. POSITION POOR BASED ON MTSAT VIS/IR
IMAGERY WITH ANIMATION AND PERIPHERAL OBSERVATIONS. SST AROUND 30
DEGREES.

ORGANISATION REMAINS POOR. DEEP CONVECTION HAS INCREASED IN THE
NORTHERN AND EASTERN QUADRANT IN THE LAST 24 HOURS. SYSTEM LIES IN A
LOW SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. CYCLONIC CIRCULATION EXTENDS UPTO 700HPA.

GLOBAL MODELS HAVE PICKED UP THIS SYSTEM AND MOVE IT SOUTHEASTWARDS
WITH SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION.

THE POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE FOR
THIS SYSTEM WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS IS LOW.