SPAC: INVEST 90P

[supercane4867]

14.0S 156.2E

[supercane4867]

Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W
ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Feb 04/0854 UTC 2013 UTC.

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 13F [1003HPA] ANALYSED NEAR 18.0S 178.0W AT
040600UTC. POSITION POOR BASED ON HR GMS IR IMAGERY WITH ANIMATION.
TD13F SLOW MOVING. SST AROUND 28 DEGREES CELSIUS.
ORGANISATION REMAINS POOR PAST 24 HOURS. CYCLONIC CIRCULATION EXTENDS
UPTO 700HPA. SYSTEM LIES SOUTH OF AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IN LOW TO
MODERATE SHEAR ENVIRONMENT.
GLOBAL MODELS HAVE PICKED THE SYSTEM MOVE IT EAST-SOUTHEAST WITH
SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION.
POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE
NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS IS LOW.