SIO: RUSTY - Post-Tropical

[euro6208]

RUSTY HAS INTENSIFIED TO A CAT 3 WITH 120mph SUSTAINED WINDS

i read the entire paragraph and no mention of winds that high...it does says 195 kph though...

bom bases a storm's intensity (cat 1,2,3) on wind gust not sustained. is that true?

i just googled this and yes i am right...a category 3 cyclone on the australian scale is equivalent to a category 1 hurricane/typhoon...

these agencies using 10 min winds are very confusing...why can't every agency in the world use the U.S 1 min winds like (NHC,JTWC)???

[euro6208]

nearing landfall...

it looks to be around 85-90 knots 1 min...

[supercane4867]

Up to 95kts but the northern eyewall is a bit weak


No movement at all

[TropicalAnalystwx13]

This cyclone will not be making landfall until tomorrow at the earliest. Rusty has completely stalled out while strengthening; a well-defined eye is now visible on satellite imagery. Upwelling will not be an issue due to the fact that sea surface temperatures in the cyclone's vicinity are running above 31C. Ocean heat content is also high.

[Ptarmigan]

I would not be surprised to hear about huge rainfall totals from this storm.

[Cyclenall]

It remains stationary for so long that upwelling is about to cause problem

I have never seen a TC be stationary like that and intensify at a good rate. That is quite something.

It looked like 100 knots (1 min) before falling apart again recently. It did intensity more than I expected given its loose core and broad structure so props go to Rusty.

I would not be surprised to hear about huge rainfall totals from this storm.

The rainfall totals are going to be stupid crazy. I can only imagine what is going on down there right now.

[tropicana]

TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 39
Issued at 9:04 am WST on Thursday 28 February 2013

A Cyclone WARNING is current for Inland areas of the eastern Pilbara,
northeastern Gascoyne and adjacent parts of the Interior, including Nullagine
and Newman.

At 8:00 am WST Tropical Cyclone Rusty, Category 1 was estimated to be
65 kilometres east of Marble Bar and
260 kilometres north northeast of Newman and was moving south southeast at 10
kilometres per hour.

Tropical Cyclone Rusty continues to weaken as it moves in a south to
southeasterly direction over the east Pilbara. Rusty is expected to weaken
below cyclone strength during the day.

DAMAGING winds with gusts up to 120 kilometres per hour are possible near the
centre, though these maximum winds will ease during the day. Gales may extend
to Nullagine this morning and possibly to Newman during the afternoon before
Rusty weakens below cyclone intensity.

Heavy rainfall is likely to lead to MAJOR FLOODING in the De Grey catchment.
Significant flooding is also possible in the Upper Fortescue catchment and in
remaining east Pilbara coastal streams.
DFES State Emergency Service (SES) advises of the following community alerts:
RED ALERT: People in or near communities of Nullagine should go to shelter
immediately.
YELLOW ALERT: People in or near communities of Jigalong and Cotton Creek need
to take action and get ready to shelter from a cyclone.
BLUE ALERT: People in communities between Nullagine and Newman, need to prepare
for cyclonic weather.
ALL CLEAR: People between Pardoo and Marble Bar are advised that wind danger
has passed but you need to take care to avoid the dangers caused by damage.


Details of Tropical Cyclone Rusty at 8:00 am WST:
.Centre located near...... 21.1 degrees South 120.4 degrees East
.Location accuracy........ within 55 kilometres
.Recent movement.......... towards the south southeast at 10 kilometres per hour
.Wind gusts near centre... 120 kilometres per hour and weakening
.Severity category........ 1
.Central pressure......... 982 hectoPascals

The next advice will be issued by 12:00 pm WST Thursday 28 February.