WPAC: SOULIK- Post-Tropical

['CaneFreak]

The highest winds reported so far at the Taipei airport are about 68 mph with an inch or two of rain but I wonder if the instrument can keep up with these rainfall rates.

Edit: Maximum rainfall amounts reported in the Taipei City district are at about 2.25 inches or so with much higher totals in and around New Taipei City.

['CaneFreak]

Wind gust at the Taipei airport just hit 75 mph (just above hurricane force) in the last 15 minutes.

[Hybridstorm_November2001]

What a storm.

Please stay safe everyone.

[Hurricane_Luis]

The NRL and RAMMB websites have not updated so I can't post an image, but Typhoon Soulik has made landfall over Yilan County, Taiwan, with winds of 80 mph.

[jaguarjace]

RBTOP Enhanced IR Floater loop of Soulik's landfall over Taiwan.


JUL 12 0932 UTC - JUL 12 2332 UTC Floater Loops:
>WATER VAPOR Enhancement
>RGB Enhancement
>RAINBOW Enhancement

[RobWESTPACWX]

Good morning all,

James "Typhoon Hunter" Uploaded some footage earlier

[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5urA4-x6YOc[/youtube]

Plus I just made my latest update, some new information and one casualty has been reported at this time.

[youtube]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xW1bHpRx-ro[/youtube]

[gatorcane]

Wow pretty amazing footage. Stay safe all in Soulik's
path!

[CrazyC83]

Wow hoping everyone is okay who live there!!!

What was the landfall intensity (1-min)? Looking at satellite and trends, I would guess 90 kt.

[HURAKAN]

SOULIK moving away from Taiwan, heading toward eastern China. Bailan, Taiwan has received 26 inches in just 9 hours and almost 35 inches in the last 33 hours!

[tonypace]

Soulik was probably the highest sustained winds I've seen in the 10 years I've lived in Taichung. Last night started out windy without rain, the rain slowly mixing in. Taichung, which is normally protected by the high mountains, looked about the same as James's video did around 10 last night, if with less rain.

Right now we have solid uninterrupted heavy rain, but not the kind of deluge that Morakot or Mindulle brought. Outside of some unwisely developed mountain areas I don't think we'll have serious flooding.

[euro6208]

landfall intensity: 95 knots...

peak intensity: 135 knots Super Typhoon...

[euro6208]

WTPN31 PGTW 130300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 07W (SOULIK) WARNING NR 022
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
130000Z --- NEAR 24.7N 120.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 24.7N 120.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
131200Z --- 26.2N 118.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
140000Z --- 28.4N 117.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
141200Z --- 31.0N 116.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
130300Z POSITION NEAR 25.1N 120.3E.
TYPHOON 07W (SOULIK), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 45 NM WEST-
SOUTHWESTWARD OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130000Z IS 25 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 130900Z, 131500Z, 132100Z AND 140300Z.
//
NNNN


WDPN31 PGTW 130300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON 07W (SOULIK) WARNING NR 22//
RMKS//
1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS.
2. 6 HOUR SUMMARY AND ANALYSIS.
TYPHOON 07W (SOULIK), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 45 NM WEST-
SOUTHWESTWARD OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY
(MSI) REVEALS TY 07W HAS MAINTAINED ITS GOOD OVERALL STRUCTURE AND
TIGHTLY CURVED BANDING AS IT CROSSED OVER THE ISLAND OF TAIWAN AND
INTO THE TAIWAN STRAIT. AS THE SYSTEM CROSSED THE ISLAND, THE LEE-
SIDE JUMP PHENOMENON CAUSED THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER TO
SHIFT ABOUT 30 NM TO SOUTH OF THE PROJECTED TRACK. THERE IS HIGH
CONFIDENCE IN THE CURRENT POSITION BASED ON THE AFOREMENTIONED MSI
AS WELL AS HOURLY RADAR FIXES FROM RCHL AND RCWF. THE INITIAL
INTENSITY WAS LOWERED TO 75 KNOTS BASED ON DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY
(CI) ESTIMATES OF 77 KNOTS FROM PGTW, KNES, AND RJTD, AND TAKING
INTO ACCOUNT THE DEGRADATION OF THE LOW LEVEL FLOW APPARENT IN THE
RADAR IMAGERY. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD OUTFLOW, PARTICULARLY IN THE EQUATORIAL
CHANNEL. HOWEVER, VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) HAS BECOME MODERATE (20
KNOTS) AND CLOUD TOPS IN ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY HAVE BEEN
WARMING, INDICATIVE OF A WEAKENING TREND. TY 07W IS STEADILY
TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF A DEEP-
LAYERED SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) ANCHORED NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM.
3. FORECAST REASONING.
A. NO CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY SINCE THE PREVIOUS
PROGNOSTIC REASONING MESSAGE.
B. UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE DEEP STR, TY 07W IS
FORECAST TO QUICKLY TRACK NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE TAIWAN STRAIT.
THE SYSTEM WILL MAKE LANDFALL OVER EASTERN CHINA PRIOR TO TAU 12
WITH A FORECAST INTENSITY OF APPROXIMATELY 65 KNOTS. AFTER
LANDFALL, TY 07W IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN A NORTHWARD TURN AS IT ROUNDS
THE STEERING STR. THE SYSTEM WILL DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND BY TAU 36 DUE TO FRICTIONAL EFFECTS.
DYNAMIC MODEL GUIDANCE REMAINS IN VERY TIGHT AGREEMENT WITH A SPREAD
OF 50 NM BETWEEN THE FORECAST LANDFALL POSITIONS OVER EASTERN CHINA.
BASED ON THIS GOOD AGREEMENT, THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC
FORECAST TRACK, WHICH IS LAID CLOSE TO MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS.//
NNNN

[R o x]

... several trees in our yard didn't survive the night ... including our dear lemon tree

http://www.cwb.gov.tw/V7e/observe/rainfall/hb_100.htm

still incredible heavy rain going on here while I type ...

[mrbagyo]

Soulik just made landfall in the Northern Fujian province... strong northeasterly Vertical wind shear very evident in this visible satellite loop

[RobWESTPACWX]

Flying Debris and my evening outlook. Hope you find it useful all.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-Qo96lDzDMA

[Caribwxgirl]

Wow this really is a strong storm. Thanks for sharing the images. I hope everyone in its path stays safe.