CPAC: FLOSSIE - Post-Tropical

#401 Postby **Yellow Evan** » Tue Jul 30, 2013 12:00 am

Convection really getting go again. Flossie refuses to go away! I love tracking this storm! Let's hope damage from Flossie is minor.

#402 Postby **Yellow Evan** » Tue Jul 30, 2013 12:01 am

Kingarabian wrote:

Tropical Storm Flossie created lightning strikes off the coast of Waiehu, Maui this afternoon.

Wow, neat photo.

Stormtrackerjoe · #403 Postby **Stormtrackerjoe** » Tue Jul 30, 2013 12:10 am

Kingarabian wrote:
AFWeather wrote:41KT gust reported at Kahului in Maui a little while ago.

Chances that the CPHC upgrades this to a t storm again?

Should never have been downgraded in my opinion. There is a huge tstorm cluster I would expect to rotate into Oahu in a few hours.

#404 Postby **Kingarabian** » Tue Jul 30, 2013 12:12 am

Lightning to ground strikes in Maui.

Things are going to be pretty rough here in Oahu tonight!

#405 Postby **AFWeather** » Tue Jul 30, 2013 12:29 am

I do not expect an upgrade. To be honest, the storm should have been downgraded this morning. There has not been sustained TS winds reported anywhere other than the usual windy spots (windy on a daily basis due to terrain).

#406 Postby **Yellow Evan** » Tue Jul 30, 2013 12:41 am

AFWeather wrote:I do not expect an upgrade. To be honest, the storm should have been downgraded this morning. There has not been sustained TS winds reported anywhere other than the usual windy spots (windy on a daily basis due to terrain).

I just find the timing on the downgrade a little odd. I think it was a TD at 0z.

Cyclenall · #407 Postby **Cyclenall** » Tue Jul 30, 2013 12:48 am

How common are bolts of lightning like that for Hawaii?

#408 Postby **Kingarabian** » Tue Jul 30, 2013 1:12 am

Cyclenall wrote:How common are bolts of lightning like that for Hawaii?

First time I see them in my 19 years of existence.

#409 Postby **Yellow Evan** » Tue Jul 30, 2013 1:17 am

Do you all think Flossie will stay a TC till it exits the island group?

Cyclenall · #410 Postby **Cyclenall** » Tue Jul 30, 2013 2:08 am

Kingarabian wrote:
Cyclenall wrote:How common are bolts of lightning like that for Hawaii?

First time I see them in my 19 years of existence.

Wow, for real? That's crazy. Like someone who has never seen snow seeing it for the first time :cheesy:

. What about cloud-to-cloud lightning or sheet lightning? Thunder?

#411 Postby **Kingarabian** » Tue Jul 30, 2013 2:32 am

Cyclenall wrote:
Kingarabian wrote:
Cyclenall wrote:How common are bolts of lightning like that for Hawaii?

First time I see them in my 19 years of existence.

Wow, for real? That's crazy. Like someone who has never seen snow seeing it for the first time . What about cloud-to-cloud lightning or sheet lightning? Thunder?

I've yet to see snow, how's that sound? But less get back on topic lol.

#412 Postby **Kingarabian** » Tue Jul 30, 2013 4:27 am

Is it okay for Hurricane centers to post advisories 30 minutes late?

#413 Postby **Kingarabian** » Tue Jul 30, 2013 4:30 am

Lightning strikes man in Haiku as Flossie quickly moves away.

http://www.staradvertiser.com/news/brea ... =217309841

#414 Postby **HURAKAN** » Tue Jul 30, 2013 4:30 am

Kingarabian wrote:Is it okay for Hurricane centers to post advisories 30 minutes late?

not at the NHC

#415 Postby **Kingarabian** » Tue Jul 30, 2013 4:56 am

Finally:

WTPA41 PHFO 300901
TCDCP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FLOSSIE DISCUSSION NUMBER 22
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP062013
1100 PM HST MON JUL 29 2013

THE LOW LEVEL CENTER OF FLOSSIE WAS OBSCURED BY HIGH CLOUDS
SPREADING FROM THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE ISLANDS OF MAUI COUNTY
LEADING TO SOME UNCERTAINTY IN LOCATING THE CENTER. THE CONVECTION
OVER THE ISLANDS HAS NOW DISSIPATED AND THE CLOSEST ACTIVE
CONVECTION IS NOW OVER 90 NM AWAY...TO THE SOUTH OF OAHU.
SUBJECTIVE DVORAK FIXES GAVE CURRENT INTENSITIES OF 2.0 TO 2.5. WE
HAVE KEPT THE INITIAL INTENSITY AT 30 KT.

FLOSSIE IS MOVING INTO A SOMEWHAT LESS HOSTILE ENVIRONMENT...BUT
WITH NO ACTIVE CONVECTION REMAINING NEAR THE SYSTEM CENTER FLOSSIE
MAY BE TOO FAR GONE TO RECOVER. FLOSSIE IS FORECAST TO REMAIN A
DEPRESSION THROUGH 24 HOURS...BECOME A REMNANT LOW IN 36 HOURS...
AND DISSIPATE BY 72 HOURS.

THE TRACK GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SHOW TO WEST NORTHWEST TRACK OVER
THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK HAS BEEN CHANGED
LITTLE FROM THE PREVIOUS TRACK.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 30/0900Z 22.2N 158.3W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 30/1800Z 23.0N 160.7W 30 KT 35 MPH
24H 31/0600Z 24.0N 164.0W 25 KT 30 MPH
36H 31/1800Z 24.6N 167.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 01/0600Z 25.2N 170.2W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 02/0600Z DISSIPATED

$$
FORECASTER DONALDSON

#416 Postby **RobWESTPACWX** » Tue Jul 30, 2013 4:57 am

Catching some waves ahead of Flossie.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rY2M56tAhA0&feature=player_embedded

Frank2 · #417 Postby **Frank2** » Tue Jul 30, 2013 8:10 am

Jim Cantore (TWC) was on Hilo Beach last evening and made the most of the situation (lol) - as he said, rainfall in certain parts of Hawaii doesn't happen very often so to have a system like this isn't a bad thing...

Last evening I was hoping to talk to some of our regular IRLP ham radio friends who live on Hawaii but they weren't on the air...

#418 Postby **Yellow Evan** » Tue Jul 30, 2013 9:28 am

Kingarabian wrote:Is it okay for Hurricane centers to post advisories 30 minutes late?

No.

#419 Postby **Yellow Evan** » Tue Jul 30, 2013 9:59 am

POST-Tropical CYCLONE FLOSSIE Advisory Number 23 POST-Tropical CYCLONE FLOSSIE Advisory Number 23 POST-Tropical CYCLONE FLOSSIE Advisory Number 23
Issued at 500 AM HST TUE JUL 30 2013
SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
Location: 22.3N 159.8W
ABOUT 350 MI...565 KM WNW OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM WNW OF HONOLULU HAWAII
Maximum sustained winds: 30 MPH...45 KM/H
Present movement: WNW or 285 degrees AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
Minimum central pressure: 1011 MB...29.85 INCHES

#420 Postby **Yellow Evan** » Tue Jul 30, 2013 10:49 am

Disco hasn't been released yet, not sure if there was a landfall or not.

CPAC: FLOSSIE - Post-Tropical

Re:

Re: CPAC: FLOSSIE - Tropical Depression

Re: CPAC: FLOSSIE - Tropical Depression

Re: CPAC: FLOSSIE - Tropical Depression

Re:

Re: Re:

Re: Re:

Re:

Re: CPAC: FLOSSIE - Tropical Depression

Re: CPAC: FLOSSIE - Tropical Depression

Re:

Who is online