WPAC : INVEST 91W

[mrbagyo]

INVEST 91W
.15kts-1010mb-
15.5N-115.9E.



TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1010 HPA

AT 15.6N 117.2E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST SLOWLY.
POSITION POOR.
MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXPECTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 070000UTC AT 16.3N 113.1E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.



looks like JMA will name this one

[mrbagyo]

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 15.5N 115.9E,
APPROXIMATELY 426 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG. RECENT ANIMATED
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS ENHANCED CONVECTION SHEARED
TO THE WEST OF A POORLY DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC).
A 060400Z SSMIS MICROWAVE IMAGE REVEALS WEAK FRAGMENTED BANDING THAT
IS SLIGHTLY CURVED JUST WEST OF THE LLCC. A 060139Z ASCAT PASS
INDICATES A WEAK LLCC WITH STRONGER WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH ENHANCED
CONVECTION ALONG THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS
INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS IN AN ENVIRONMENT OF LOW TO MODERATE (10 TO
20 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WITH FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS IS LOW.

[mrbagyo]

poof!
JMA no longer expecting a TS out of this depression...