ATL: INGRID - Remnants - Discussion

[WeatherGuesser]

Seems like this thread had more activity before it got named.

[Hurricane_Luis]

galaxy401, Hurricane_Luis, hurricanefloyd5, lilbump3000, Riptide, SunnyThoughts, Time_Zone, WilmingtonSandbar, ZHSstormtrack and 38 guests

Haha, Only 9 members and 38 guests are here. thought there would be more.

[Hammy]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/10L/flash-vis-long.html

convection appears to be wrapping back around on the west.

[cycloneye]

18z Best Track mantains as Hurricane at 65kts.

AL, 10, 2013091518, , BEST, 0, 226N, 961W, 65, 990, HU, 64, NEQ, 20, 0, 0, 0, 1008, 140, 20, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INGRID, M

[SeGaBob]

Seems like this thread had more activity before it got named.

I would think it's because there WAS a chance of it affecting Texas then compared to now.

What a difference 100-150 miles to the north would make right now...

[TropicalAnalystwx13]

Shear remains quite strong over Ingrid but should slacken throughout the evening as Manuel continues inland and rapidly weakens. The 12z ECMWF and 12z GFS runs are in, both with a much slower Ingrid. The two don't show the hurricane making landfall until 18z tomorrow and 03z Tuesday, respectively. Both show intensification prior to landfall.

[CrazyC83]

One problem is that it is difficult to separate impacts from Ingrid from impacts from Manuel. That could be a challenge in post-storm reports as well...

[Time_Zone]

Looks like shear is starting to become a little less hostile.

[CrazyC83]

Seems like this thread had more activity before it got named.

I would think it's because there WAS a chance of it affecting Texas then compared to now.

What a difference 100-150 miles to the north would make right now...

I don't know if there are any S2K members in the path now...

[HurricaneDREW92]

Latest Visible Loop:



Uploaded with ImageShack.us

Somethings popping...what will DMAX do?

[ScottNAtlanta]

Recon just got close to the center and got a 984mb pressure reading. So it has deepened some

[Airboy]

Recon just got close to the center and got a 984mb pressure reading. So it has deepened some

yeah, looks like the winds also is back up a bit again.

[HurricaneDREW92]

Track for Ingrid:



Uploaded with ImageShack.us

[Time_Zone]

Appears that shear is weakening bigtime.

Expect Ingrid to intensify tonight as conditions are the best that they've been so far.

[TJRE]

http://climate.cod.edu/flanis/satellite/2km/index.php?type=Yucatan-vis-24

click zoom from menu and watch the magic

[ozonepete]

Convection is forming back over the center and not getting blown off, at least for now.

[Time_Zone]

Convection is forming back over the center and not getting blown off, at least for now.

Manuel is absolutely done-for. I think Manuel is done causing problems for Ingrid.

[Hurricaneman]

Convection is forming back over the center and not getting blown off, at least for now.

Manuel is absolutely done-for. I think Manuel is done causing problems for Ingrid.

If anything Manuel will help Ingrid by adding moisture to it from this point forward

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products

[ozonepete]

Convection is forming back over the center and not getting blown off, at least for now.

Manuel is absolutely done-for. I think Manuel is done causing problems for Ingrid.

If anything Manuel will help Ingrid by adding moisture to it from this point forward

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products

Manuel's demise also helps because the upper level anti-cyclone over it will dissipate and that lessens the higher level shear over Ingrid and in turn allows the anti-cyclone over Ingrid to reestablish, especially over its southern portions where it has been heavily disrupted by Manuel's upper outflow. Since the upper anti-cyclone is the essential venting system for a hurricane's thunderstorms, that should let Ingrid produce more convection in all quadrants and keep it over the center if shear stays lower.

[TJRE]

pin hole eye ???


floater slide show



Uploaded with ImageShack.us

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/10L/10L_floater.html


Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.