ATL: INGRID - Remnants - Discussion

[Aric Dunn]

it may end up getting really close to developing in the NW carrib. showing a few indications of some low level vorticity increase.

[Hammy]

it may end up getting really close to developing in the NW carrib. showing a few indications of some low level vorticity increase.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/93L/flash-rgb-long.html

Indeed, it looks broad but may be closed looking at the low cloud elements, with clouds off of Belize moving from the N-NNW and inflow off of western Honduras from the W-WSW.

[Frank2]

Jim Cantore might actually have a tropical weather assignment this year (lol)..

[TexWx]

Jim Cantore might actually have a tropical weather assignment this year (lol)..

I don't want Cantore anywhere near my house, if you get my drift.

[Annie Oakley]

PLEASE come on over to Texas 93L................just act like Fay did in Florida and water the lawn a few days lol-all over the state!

[CrazyC83]

I dunno about weak, especially if it can develop before or near the Yucatan...it will probably have a lot more time over water than Fernand or TD8...

[Alyono]

I've noticed that the global models often underdo the intensity in storms that form in this part of the world this time of year

[MGC]

I personally told Cantore that I didn't want to see him again on the Mississippi Coast ever again.....he looked stunned!

Good shot at 93L getting going in the BOC....gotta watch this one......MGC

[ConvergenceZone]

I personally told Cantore that I didn't want to see him again on the Mississippi Coast ever again.....he looked stunned!

Good shot at 93L getting going in the BOC....gotta watch this one......MGC

I hope you explained to Jim why , otherwise yea, he would be confused.....

[Tireman4]

Jim Cantore might actually have a tropical weather assignment this year (lol)..

I don't want Cantore anywhere near my house, if you get my drift.

I second that after the Oklahoma tornadoes this year.....

[HurriGuy]

Any chance that the ridge of high pressure retreats to the east any and brings the path more northward?

[Ntxw]

I like where this potential system is trending on the models moisture wise. Aside from that, I-storm should we be worried?

[gatorcane]

Certainly we'll have to watch this invest closely for a possible CONUS threat as I mentioned in my post last night.

Also let's not forget about 98L as this may sneak up on us. GFS showing development in the Bahamas with this invest...

Threads for 98L exists currently for comment.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

[TexWx]

I like where this potential system is trending on the models moisture wise. Aside from that, I-storm should we be worried?

In DFW?

[ROCK]

with that 12Z NAVGEM run I think FL should be worried....

[South Texas Storms]

I'm thinking the NHC may bump up the development chances in the 1 pm update. We'll see.

[txwxpirate]

Dear 93L, we would welcome you with open arms to the great State of Texas! Consider yourself warmly invited to the Lone Star State. Feel free to stay long and rain yourself out on our hospitable landscape.

Signed, TEXAS

I will serve it margaritas and queso and chips. I will bake brownies, I would do anything for it to come here to Galveston Bay!

[euro6208]

I like where this potential system is trending on the models moisture wise. Aside from that, I-storm should we be worried?

In DFW?

I think for the first time since 2007, the I storm won't develop into a hurricane...

[cycloneye]

20%-70%


A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE JUST OFF THE COAST OF BELIZE AND THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA. THE TROUGH
IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH...AND
WILL BEGIN MOVING ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA TONIGHT...AND ENTER
THE BAY OF CAMPECHE EARLY THURSDAY. SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT IS NOT
EXPECTED WHILE THE TROUGH MOVES OVER LAND...AND THIS SYSTEM HAS A
LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS SHOULD BE CONDUCIVE FOR THE
FORMATION OF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF
MEXICO LATER IN THE WEEK...AND THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...70
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.

[Houstonia]

Jim Cantore might actually have a tropical weather assignment this year (lol)..

I don't want Cantore anywhere near my house, if you get my drift.

Don't say DRIFT!!!

*out-of-staters, I am apologizing in advance for myself and all my fellow Texans. The idea of a large rainfall is making all of us a bit... punchy with glee.