ATL: KAREN - Remnants - Discussion

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poof121
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Re: ATL: KAREN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1501 Postby poof121 » Sat Oct 05, 2013 6:46 pm

Almost looks like the southern end of the front is slowing/weakening...

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/eaus/flash-wv.html
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SeGaBob

#1502 Postby SeGaBob » Sat Oct 05, 2013 6:48 pm

I'm starting to doubt the whole possible 2nd center idea mentioned earlier...






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Re:

#1503 Postby ozonepete » Sat Oct 05, 2013 6:54 pm

SeGaBob wrote:I'm starting to doubt the whole possible 2nd center idea mentioned earlier...



Don't dismiss it yet. The LLC is still there and if it indeed starts moving eastward or redeveloping eastward there is a chance it will regenerate. The only reason I still think it's possible is because the convection it's generating is still quite intense and keeps developing in the same area rather than blowing all the way east and dissipating. So there is still a lot of available energy in the general area for regeneration.
Last edited by ozonepete on Sat Oct 05, 2013 6:57 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#1504 Postby monicaei » Sat Oct 05, 2013 6:57 pm

So she's still not dead yet? So much for her decapitiation. Either way, LSU looks good so GEAUX TIGERS. Can south la expect much more rain?
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Re:

#1505 Postby ozonepete » Sat Oct 05, 2013 6:59 pm

monicaei wrote:So she's still not dead yet? So much for her decapitiation. Either way, LSU looks good so GEAUX TIGERS. Can south la expect much more rain?


Only extreme southeast LA.

(GEAUX TIGERS - I love it.) Laissez les Bontemps rouler. :)
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Re: Re:

#1506 Postby monicaei » Sat Oct 05, 2013 7:05 pm

ozonepete wrote:
monicaei wrote:So she's still not dead yet? So much for her decapitiation. Either way, LSU looks good so GEAUX TIGERS. Can south la expect much more rain?


Only extreme southeast LA.

(GEAUX TIGERS - I love it.) Laissez les Bontemps rouler. :)


:). Yup! Laissez le Bon temps roullez! Rain or shine!

BTW- amazing storm humor for those on FB, check out "Rhonda Faye reports". Live from the Matthews/Raceland Walmart. Probably the funniest thing EVER!

https://www.facebook.com/rhonda.faye.re ... arget_id=0
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Re:

#1507 Postby ravyrn » Sat Oct 05, 2013 7:13 pm

[quote="SeGaBob"]I'm starting to doubt the whole possible 2nd center idea mentioned earlier...

The last VDM from recon did indicate that the center had moved south, possibly being tugged by the convection, though certainly not a relocation.
Image
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Re: ATL: KAREN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1508 Postby ravyrn » Sat Oct 05, 2013 7:21 pm

Front is approximately 300 miles from Karen now.
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Re: ATL: KAREN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1509 Postby hurricanes1234 » Sat Oct 05, 2013 8:15 pm

Karen is pretty much over in my opinion as a solid tropical cyclone. There isn't even a proper LLC present.

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Re: ATL: KAREN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1510 Postby wxman57 » Sat Oct 05, 2013 8:33 pm

Karen is dead. It's not even close to being a TD, much less a TS. Winds around the center are 5-15 kts, and note that a number of these measurements are being made at 200-400 ft above the water where the wind is stronger. The center is left of the crosshairs.

Image

Bones walks up to the mic:
Image
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#1511 Postby pgoss11 » Sat Oct 05, 2013 8:35 pm

Thank God. That was a slow and tortuous death...
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Re: ATL: KAREN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1512 Postby LarryWx » Sat Oct 05, 2013 8:36 pm

wxman57 wrote:Karen is dead. It's not even close to being a TD, much less a TS. Winds around the center are 5-15 kts, and note that a number of these measurements are being made at 200-400 ft above the water where the wind is stronger. The center is left of the crosshairs.

Bones walks up to the mic:


57,
So, there is no second LLC taking over to keep it alive longer?
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#1513 Postby robbielyn » Sat Oct 05, 2013 8:36 pm

really need to bring out bones she is done. WV shows deep layer of dry air west and east of her. purple dot mostly blue and white some orange
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Re: ATL: KAREN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1514 Postby hurricanes1234 » Sat Oct 05, 2013 8:38 pm

LarryWx wrote:
wxman57 wrote:Karen is dead. It's not even close to being a TD, much less a TS. Winds around the center are 5-15 kts, and note that a number of these measurements are being made at 200-400 ft above the water where the wind is stronger. The center is left of the crosshairs.

Bones walks up to the mic:


57,
So, there is no second LLC taking over to keep it alive longer?


Not really. It was probably doing so earlier, but the conditions are not hospitable in any way for the redevelopment of anything.
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Re: ATL: KAREN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1515 Postby wxman57 » Sat Oct 05, 2013 8:49 pm

LarryWx wrote:
wxman57 wrote:Karen is dead. It's not even close to being a TD, much less a TS. Winds around the center are 5-15 kts, and note that a number of these measurements are being made at 200-400 ft above the water where the wind is stronger. The center is left of the crosshairs.

Bones walks up to the mic:


57,
So, there is no second LLC taking over to keep it alive longer?


There's barely a first center, much less a second.
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Re: ATL: KAREN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1516 Postby canetracker » Sat Oct 05, 2013 9:14 pm

wxman57 wrote:Karen is dead. It's not even close to being a TD, much less a TS. Winds around the center are 5-15 kts, and note that a number of these measurements are being made at 200-400 ft above the water where the wind is stronger. The center is left of the crosshairs.

http://home.comcast.net/~cgh57/karen3.jpg

Bones walks up to the mic:
http://home.comcast.net/~cgh57/itsdeadjim.jpg


Finally! I've been waiting for this post. :clap:
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Re: ATL: KAREN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1517 Postby CYCLONE MIKE » Sat Oct 05, 2013 9:14 pm

Can we get bones to call the rest of the season dead so we can move on and fast forward to next season. This is about as bad as watching LSU's defense. :cry:
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Re: ATL: KAREN - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#1518 Postby cycloneye » Sat Oct 05, 2013 9:36 pm

Downgraded to TD at 10 PM Advisory.

...KAREN WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION OVER THE NORTH-CENTRAL GULF...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING DISCONTINUED...


SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.1N 91.9W
ABOUT 120 MI...190 KM SSW OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA
ABOUT 185 MI...295 KM WSW OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES
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Re: ATL: KAREN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1519 Postby stormkite » Sat Oct 05, 2013 10:06 pm

CYCLONE MIKE wrote:Can we get bones to call the rest of the season dead so we can move on and fast forward to next season. This is about as bad as watching LSU's defense. :cry:



Off topic dont be so hasty in writting of the season. 9th - 15th

Image


MY 2 Cents X- Karen appears to me to have heavy hail in the storms.
image below IMO supports it's still border line tropical storm.
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Image


Image
Last edited by stormkite on Sat Oct 05, 2013 11:32 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: ATL: KAREN - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#1520 Postby stephen23 » Sat Oct 05, 2013 10:43 pm

I'm trying to learn. Can one of the pro mets tell me what is going on where the covection is firing? Been looking at tgis area for hours and appears to have rotation around this area. Appears to be same area that hunters had wind shift earlier.
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