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BoB: Post-Tropical 30W

#1 Postby cycloneye » Sat Nov 02, 2013 2:38 pm

We are back!!
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Re: WPAC: INVEST 98W

#2 Postby stormstrike » Sat Nov 02, 2013 7:57 pm

cycloneye wrote:We are back!!


Finally! :P

But here's WP98

7.5 N, 134.4 E

Image
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Re: WPAC: INVEST 98W

#3 Postby euro6208 » Sat Nov 02, 2013 9:51 pm

THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.1N
137.0E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7.1N 137.0E, APPROXIMATELY 95 NM WEST-
NORTHWEST OF PALAU. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS
A BROAD, PARTLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH A
SLIGHTLY DEEPENED AND MORE ORGANIZED FORMATIVE BANDS MOSTLY ALONG
THE WESTERN FLANK. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS A FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT WITH LOW (05-10 KNOT) VERTICAL WINDS SHEAR (VWS) AND
GOOD WESTWARD OUTFLOW. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SSTS) IN THE AREA
ARE PERENNIALLY WARM (28 TO 30 DEGREES CELSIUS) FOR DEVELOPMENT.
DYNAMIC MODELS INDICATE THE DEVELOPMENT OF A WEAK TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS, MORE THAN LIKELY AFTER THE SYSTEM CROSSES
THE PHILIPPINES AND EXITS INTO THE SOUTH CHINS SEA. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. IN VIEW OF THE
IMPROVED ENVIRONMENT, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO
MEDIUM.


20131102 2030 7.7 -134.5 T1.0/1.0 98W 98W
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Re: WPAC: INVEST 98W

#4 Postby stormstrike » Sun Nov 03, 2013 12:08 am

isn't 1.5 a Tropical Depression?


TXPQ24 KNES 030308
TCSWNP

A. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE (98W)

B. 03/0230Z

C. 8.3N

D. 132.3E

E. FIVE/MTSAT

F. T1.5/1.5/D0.5/24HRS

G. IR/EIR/VIS/SSMIS

H. REMARKS...3/10 BANDING FOR DT=1.5. MET AND PT AGREE. FT IS BASED
ON DT.

I. ADDL POSITIONS

02/2300Z 8.1N 133.3E SSMIS


...SALEMI
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Re: WPAC: INVEST 98W

#5 Postby ManilaTC » Sun Nov 03, 2013 12:35 am

Guess what? This should be a tropical depression.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 08N 133E WEST 10 KT.

367
TPPN11 PGTW 030334

A. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 98W (W OF PALAU)
B. 03/0230Z
C. 7.7N
D. 132.6E
E. FIVE/MTSAT
F. T2.0/2.0 STT: D1.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 40A/PBO SBC/ANMTN. CNVTN WRAPS .35 ON LOG10 SPIRAL
YIELDS 2.0 DT. PT AGREES. MET 1.5. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
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#6 Postby xtyphooncyclonex » Sun Nov 03, 2013 12:52 am

TCFA ISSUED.

WTPN22 PGTW 030530
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
160 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 7.8N 133.7E TO 9.0N 128.3E
WITHIN THE NEXT 03 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY
ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.
WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 18 TO 23 KNOTS. METSAT
IMAGERY AT 030430Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED
NEAR 8.1N 133.1E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12
KNOTS.
2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.5N
134.2E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.1N 133.1E, APPROXIMATELY 95 NM WEST-
NORTHWEST OF PALAU. RECENT ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY
DEPICTS A CONSOLIDATING PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION
CENTER (LLCC) WITH A SLIGHTLY DEEPENED AND MORE ORGANIZED FORMATIVE
BANDS ALONG THE WESTERN FLANK. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS A
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH LOW (05-10 KNOT) VERTICAL WINDS SHEAR
(VWS) AND GOOD WESTWARD OUTFLOW. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SSTS) IN
THE AREA ARE PERENNIALLY WARM (28 TO 30 DEGREES CELSIUS) FOR
DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO
23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006
MB. DUE TO THE INCREASED CONSOLIDATION OF THE LLCC, THE POTENTIAL
FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS IS HIGH.
3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY
040530Z.
//
NNNN
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Re: WPAC: INVEST 98W

#7 Postby ManilaTC » Sun Nov 03, 2013 12:53 am

Image
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#8 Postby xtyphooncyclonex » Sun Nov 03, 2013 12:53 am

THAT WAS FAST!
Last edited by xtyphooncyclonex on Sun Nov 03, 2013 12:58 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#9 Postby Extratropical94 » Sun Nov 03, 2013 5:36 am

JTWC: TD 30-W forecast to become a typhoon in the SCS.

Image

030900Z POSITION NEAR 8.5N 129.8E.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W (THIRTY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 513 NM
EAST OF ZAMBOANGA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 21 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030600Z
IS 6 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 031500Z, 032100Z, 040300Z AND 040900Z.
THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN
PEARL HARBOR HI 030521Z NOV 13 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT
(WTPN22 PGTW 030530). REFER TO TYPHOON 29W (KROSA) WARNINGS (WTPN31
PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W
(THIRTYONE) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
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#10 Postby dexterlabio » Sun Nov 03, 2013 6:46 am

That is some nasty rain for those affected by the earthquake in Visayas.
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#11 Postby xtyphooncyclonex » Sun Nov 03, 2013 7:22 am

30W and 31W remind me of Son-Tinh and Bopha...
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#12 Postby dexterlabio » Sun Nov 03, 2013 8:08 am

I worry about the evacuees in Bohol Cebu province. I heard some families are still living under tents. Will be nasty if the other system (31W) does get near the area next weekend after this one, which looks to be a lot stronger storm by then...
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Re:

#13 Postby xtyphooncyclonex » Sun Nov 03, 2013 8:17 am

dexterlabio wrote:I worry about the evacuees in Bohol Cebu province. I heard some families are still living under tents. Will be nasty if the other system (31W) does get near the area next weekend after this one, which looks to be a lot stronger storm by then...

I am in Cebu [I live there] and the aftershocks, still continues. On November 1, we had an Intensity 5 aftershock. It was scary! Plus, some structures here are destroyed. Luckily, the damage is not as bad as that in Bohol.

We are going to have our exams, postponed due to the earthquake, on November 5. On November 7 & 8, at least we don't have classes then, those dates are for ''Yolanda''.

Tagbilaran and the rest of Bohol should watch out!
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Re: WPAC: 30W - Tropical Depression

#14 Postby cycloneye » Sun Nov 03, 2013 9:10 am

WTPN32 PGTW 031500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W (THIRTY) WARNING NR 002
03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
031200Z --- NEAR 8.8N 128.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 17 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 8.8N 128.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 9.3N 125.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 9.4N 123.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z --- 9.8N 120.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 10.5N 117.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z --- 11.3N 112.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
071200Z --- 11.4N 107.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 17 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z --- 11.2N 101.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
REMARKS:
031500Z POSITION NEAR 8.9N 128.2E.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W (THIRTY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 432 NM EAST-
NORTHEAST OF ZAMBOANGA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 031200Z IS 6 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 032100Z, 040300Z, 040900Z AND
041500Z. REFER TO TYPHOON 29W (KROSA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-
HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W (THIRTYONE)
WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

Image
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Re: WPAC: 30W - Tropical Depression

#15 Postby euro6208 » Sun Nov 03, 2013 10:48 am

interesting...it seems like every storm wants to hit different parts of the philippines...

WDPN32 PGTW 031500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W (THIRTY)
WARNING NR 02//
RMKS//
1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS.
2. 6 HOUR SUMMARY AND ANALYSIS.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W (THIRTY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 432 NM
EAST-NORTHEAST OF ZAMBOANGA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED
INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) DEPICTS A CONSOLIDATING LOW-LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH FLARING CENTRAL CONVECTION. A 031149Z
SSMI MICROWAVE IMAGE REVEALS THE BULK OF THE DEEP CONVECTION APPEARS
TO BE SHEARED TO THE WEST OF LLCC. THE INITIAL POSITION IS BASED ON
THE EIR ANIMATION AND AFOREMENTIONED SSMIS IMAGE WITH FAIR
CONFIDENCE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS ASSESSED AT 30 KNOTS BASED ON
DVORAK ESTIMATES FROM PGTW, RJTD, AND KNES RANGING FROM 25 TO 30
KNOTS. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT
CHARACTERIZED BY WEAK TO MODERATE (5 TO 15 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR (VWS) OFFSET BY GOOD RADIAL OUTFLOW AND A DEVELOPING POLEWARD
CHANNEL, WHICH IS EVIDENT ON ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY. TD 30W IS
CURRENTLY TRACKING ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE STEERING
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) TO THE NORTH.
3. FORECAST REASONING.
A. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY FROM
THE PREVIOUS PROGNOSTIC REASONING MESSAGE.
B. TD 30W IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN A WEST-NORTHWEST TRAJECTORY AS
IT TRACKS ALONG THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF THE STR FOR THE ENTIRETY OF ITS
LIFESPAN. GRADUAL INTENSIFICATION IS FORECASTED ALONG THE TRACK,
THOUGH ENHANCEMENT WILL BE STUNTED AS THE SYSTEM DRAGS ACROSS
NORTHERN MINDANAO BETWEEN TAU 12 AND 24. THE SYSTEM WILL BE OVER THE
SULU SEA NEAR TAU 36 AND CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY, EVENTUALLY TRACKING
ACROSS PALAWAN BY TAU 48. ONCE THE SYSTEM HAS EMERGED OVER THE WARM
WATERS OF THE SOUTH CHINA SEA, TD 30W IS FORECAST TO REACH TYPHOON
STRENGTH WITH A PEAK INTENSITY OF 70 KNOTS NEAR TAU 72.
C. BY TAU 96, TD 30W IS EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE SOUTHEAST COAST
OF VIETNAM AT AN INTENSITY NEAR 50 KTS. ONCE OVER LAND THE SYSTEM IS
FORECAST TO BEGIN DISSIPATING DUE TO THE FRICTIONAL EFFECTS OF LAND
AS IT CROSSES SOUTHERN VIETNAM AND CAMBODIA, EVENTUALLY REEMERGING
IN THE GULF OF THAILAND AS A TD. DYNAMIC MODEL OBJECTIVE AIDS AS
WELL AS INTENSITY GUIDANCE ARE EXTREMELY LIMITED THIS EARLY IN THE
FORECAST LIFECYCLE; THUS, THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK IS LAID CLOSE TO
THE MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS. THOUGH THE STEERING PATTERN APPEARS
FAIRLY STRAIGHT FORWARD THROUGHOUT THE SYSTEMS LIFESPAN, THERE IS
LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST DUE TO THE LIMITED DYNAMIC
GUIDANCE AT THIS TIME.//
NNNN
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Re: WPAC: 30W - Tropical Depression

#16 Postby euro6208 » Sun Nov 03, 2013 12:28 pm

12Z GFS has a strengthening storm right up to landfall over vietnam and weakens over southeast asia but strengthens in the bay of bengal...another india storm?
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#17 Postby ManilaTC » Sun Nov 03, 2013 6:37 pm

WEATHER BULLETIN NUMBER ONE
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING: TROPICAL DEPRESSION “WILMA”
ISSUED AT 6:45 AM, 04 NOVEMBER 2013

The low pressure area (LPA) East of Hinatuan, Surigao del Sur has developed into a Tropical Depression and was named “WILMA”.

Location of eye/center: At 5:00 AM today, the center of Tropical Depression “WILMA” was estimated based on all available data at 180 km East of Hinatuan, Surigao Del Sur (8.5°N, 128.0°E).

Strength: Maximum sustained winds of 55 kph near the center .

Movement: Forecast to move West Northwest at 19 kph.

Forecast Position: Tropical Depression “WILMA” is expected to be at 60 km East of Dumagute City by tomorrow morning and at 80 km East of Puerto Princesa City by Wednesday morning. By Thursday morning, it is expected to be at 350 km West of Puerto Princesa City.

Public Storm Warning Signal #1: (Winds of 30-60 kph is expected in at least 36 hours) Dinagat Island, Surigao Del Norte including Siargao Island, Surigao Del Sur, Agusan Del Norte, Agusan Del Sur, Misamis Oriental and Camiguin.
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Re: WPAC: 30W - Tropical Depression

#18 Postby HurricaneBill » Sun Nov 03, 2013 7:06 pm

euro6208 wrote:interesting...it seems like every storm wants to hit different parts of the philippines...



It's like somebody yells "Pig pile on the Philippines!" during the later part of the season.
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Re: WPAC: 30W - Tropical Depression

#19 Postby euro6208 » Sun Nov 03, 2013 10:38 pm

currently overland and dumping alot of rain...

WDPN32 PGTW 040300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W (THIRTY)
WARNING NR 04//
RMKS//
1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS.
2. 6 HOUR SUMMARY AND ANALYSIS.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 30W (THIRTY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 430 NM
EAST OF PUERTO PRINCESA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE
IMAGERY (MSI) SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS MADE LANDFALL IN NORTHERN MINDANAO
NEAR COMPOSTELA. THE INITIAL POSITION IS BASED ON THE MSI ANIMATION
AND ON A DOPPLER RADAR REFLECTIVITY LOOP FROM HINATUAN STATION,
MINDANAO (COURTESY OF PAGASA). THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 25 KNOTS IS
DEDUCED FROM PRIOR OVER-WATER DVORAK ESTIMATES FROM PGTW AND RJTD AND
ACCOUNTS FOR FRICTIONAL EFFECTS. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH WEAK TO MODERATE (05 TO 15 KNOT) VERTICAL
WIND SHEAR OFFSET BY GOOD RADIAL OUTFLOW WITH A DEVELOPING POLEWARD
CHANNEL, AS EVIDENT ON ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY. TD 30W IS
CURRENTLY TRACKING ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE DEEP-LAYERED
STEERING SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) TO THE NORTH.
3. FORECAST REASONING.
A. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY FROM
THE PREVIOUS PROGNOSTIC REASONING MESSAGE.
B. TD 30W IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK ALONG
THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF THE STR. THE TD WILL EXIT IN THE SULU SEA AND
DRIFT TOWARDS PUERTO PRINCESA, PALAWAN. BY TAU 72, THE CYCLONE WILL
MAKE ANOTHER LANDFALL, THIS TIME OVER SOUTH VIETNAM EAST OF HO CHI
MINH CITY. MARGINALLY FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL CONDITIONS, IN ADDITION
TO PERENNIALLY WARM WATERS ALONG THE TRACK, WILL FUEL MODEST
INTENSIFICATION, PEAKING AT 55 KNOTS PRIOR TO LANDFALL IN VIETNAM.
C. AFTER TAU 72, 30W WILL RAPIDLY DECAY AS IT DRAGS ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN TIP OF THE INDOCHINA PENINSULA, DRIFT ACROSS THE GULF OF
THAILAND, CROSS THE MALAY PENINSULA, AND EXIT INTO THE ANDAMAN SEA AS
A WEAK TD. THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK IS LAID CLOSE TO THE MULTI-MODEL
CONSENSUS. EVEN THOUGH THE STEERING PATTERN APPEARS FAIRLY
STRAIGHTFORWARD, THERE IS LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST DUE TO
THE LIMITED DYNAMIC GUIDANCE AND TRACK UNCERTAINTIES ASSOCIATED WITH
A DEVELOPING CYCLONE. //
NNNN
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Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...

NWS for the Western Pacific

http://www.prh.noaa.gov/guam/

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xtyphooncyclonex
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#20 Postby xtyphooncyclonex » Sun Nov 03, 2013 10:54 pm

Weather here is bad. Continuous rains dumping here in Cebu!
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REMINDER: My opinions that I, or any other NON Pro-Met in this forum, are unofficial. Please do not take my opinions as an official forecast and warning. I am NOT a meteorologist. Following my forecasts blindly may lead to false alarm, danger and risk if official forecasts from agencies are ignored.


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