SouthPAC Tropical Depression (04F)

[Grifforzer]

Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W
ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Dec 22/2304 UTC 2014 UTC.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04F CENTER [1001HPA]} ANALYSED NEAR 19.0S 149.9W AT 222100UTC. TD04F MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR BASED ON GOES VIS IMAGERY AND PERIPHERAL OBSERVATIONS. SST AROUND 29 DEGRESS CELCIUS.

ORGANIZATION IS POOR. THE SYSTEM LIES UNDER AN UPPER DIFFULENT REGION IN A HIGH SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. CYCLONIC CIRCULATION EXTENDS UPTO 700HPA.

GLOBAL MODELS HAVE PICKED THE SYSTEM AND MOVE IT SOUTHEASTWARD WITH LITTLE INTENSIFICATION.

POTENTIAL FOR TD04F TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS IS LOW.