WPAC: DOLPHIN - Post-Tropical

[euro6208]

000
WTPQ62 PGUM 142341
TCUPQ2

TYPHOON DOLPHIN (07W) TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GUAM WP072015
940 AM CHST FRI MAY 15 2015

...930 AM CHST...2330 UTC...WFO GUAM RADAR POSITION ESTIMATE...

AT 930 AM CHST...2330 UTC...THE EYE OF TYPHOON DOLPHIN (07W) WAS
LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 13.2 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE
146.9 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 140 MILES EAST OF THE GUAM DOPPLER
WEATHER RADAR AT ELEVATION 0.5 DEGREES AND A HEIGHT OF 17000 FEET.
THIS IS 130 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ROTA AND 150 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
TINIAN AND SAIPAN.

MOVEMENT IS ESTIMATED AT 18 MPH (16 KT) IN A WEST-NORTHWEST
DIRECTION (290 DEGREES). DUE TO SLANT RANGE EFFECT...MOVEMENT
CONFIDENCE IS LOW.

SUMMARY OF 930 AM CHST...2330 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------

LOCATION...13.2N 146.9E
ELEVATION...17000 FEET

ABOUT 140 MILES...095 DEGREES...E OF THE GUAM RADAR.
POSITION CONFIDENCE IN THE CENTER POSITION IS FAIR.

NEXT POSITION ESTIMATE WILL BE AROUND 1100 AM.

$$

SIMPSON

[euro6208]

Obs from Agana is 36 mph gusting to 50...

[euro6208]

As of 5 am local time, we are placed in COR 1. COR1 means damaging winds are expected within 12 hours and CPA is around 5 pm today...

[euro6208]

Rain has slowed to a drizzle. Latest radar showing a large and intense band just to our east and slowly moving to our direction...

Saipan, Tinian and Rota getting gust well in the 40's mph range with a 1000mb pressure in Rota...

[HurricaneTracker2031]

Dolphin is nearing Guam now and is looking a little better on satellite. Typhoon Warning in effect for Guam and they could be in for some rough conditions in the next 5 hours or so. After Guam, Dolphin will continue to strengthen as it heads out.



Synopsis for Dolphin and others: http://goo.gl/Uc0Dhn

Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

[euro6208]

Forecast for Rota: 95 to 110 mph possible...

000
WTPQ82 PGUM 150001 CCA
HLSPQ2

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TYPHOON DOLPHIN (07W) LOCAL STATEMENT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
1001 AM CHST FRI MAY 15 2015

...TYPHOON DOLPHIN TRACKING TOWARD ROTA...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
FOR PEOPLE IN GUAM...ROTA...TINIAN AND SAIPAN.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM...ROTA...TINIAN AND
SAIPAN. TYPHOON CONDITIONS...INCLUDING WINDS OF 74 MPH OR MORE...
ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM AND THE NORTHERN
MARIANAS.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 830 AM CHST...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON DOLPHIN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 13.1 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 147.2 EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 170
MILES SOUTHEAST OF SAIPAN AND TINIAN...150 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF
ROTA...AND 165 MILES EAST OF GUAM. DOLPHIN WAS MOVING TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST AT 18 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 110 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
LATEST RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS TYPHOON DOLPHIN MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST
IN THE DIRECTION OF ROTA. SEAS HAVE ALREADY REACHED 18 FEET AT THE
IPAN BUOY JUST EAST OF GUAM. WINDS AND SEAS WILL CONTINUE TO
INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY AS DOLPHIN APPROACHES. CURRENT PROJECTIONS
HAVE DOLPHIN MOVING THROUGH THE ISLAND CHAIN AROUND 700 PM THIS
EVENING.

&&

GUZ001-PMZ151-150815-
/O.CON.PGUM.TY.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
GUAM-GUAM COASTAL WATERS-
1001 AM CHST FRI MAY 15 2015

...TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

COMPLETE YOUR PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. REMAIN
INDOORS OR IN YOUR DESIGNATED SHELTER UNTIL THE TYPHOON PASSES.
DO NOT STAY IN A TIN-ROOF OR MANUFACTURED HOME. BOAT OWNERS
SHOULD SECURE THEIR CRAFT.

&&

...WINDS...
AS TYPHOON DOLPHIN APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN AROUND NOON. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO BE 60 TO 75 MPH OVER NORTHERN GUAM AND 40 TO 60 MPH
OVER SOUTHERN GUAM LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WINDS WILL
FALL BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE AFTER MIDNIGHT. REMEMBER THAT
WINDS COULD BE SIGNIFICANTLY HIGHER IF DOLPHIN VEERS SOUTHWARD AS
IT APPROACHES.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
SEAS OF 20 FEET OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT. THIS WILL
PRODUCE DANGEROUS SURF OF 16 TO 20 FEET ALONG NORTH AND WEST
FACING SHORES WITH EVEN HIGHER SURF ON EAST FACING SHORES THROUGH
THIS AFTERNOON AS THE CENTER PASSES. COASTAL INUNDATION AROUND
2 FEET IS LIKELY...ESPECIALLY NEAR HIGH TIDE LATE THIS AFTERNOON
AROUND 545 PM.

...OTHER STORM EFFECTS...
RAINFALL OF 3 TO 6 INCHES IS EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. LOCAL
FLOODING IS LIKELY.

$$

GUZ002-PMZ152-150815-
/O.COR.PGUM.TY.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ROTA-ROTA COASTAL WATERS-
1001 AM CHST FRI MAY 15 2015

...TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION. HARDEN YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS BY CLOSING SHUTTERS AND
BRACING GARAGE DOORS. DO NOT STAY IN A TIN-ROOF OR MANUFACTURED
HOME. REMAIN INDOORS OR IN YOUR DESIGNATED SHELTER UNTIL THE
TYPHOON PASSES SAFELY TO THE WEST. BOAT OWNERS SHOULD SECURE
THEIR CRAFT.

&&

...WINDS...
AS TYPHOON DOLPHIN APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN BY NOON AND TYPHOON FORCE WINDS ARE
EXPECTED BY AROUND 500 PM THIS AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM WINDS AS HIGH
AS 95 TO 110 MPH ARE POSSIBLE AS THE CENTER PASSES AROUND 800 PM.
TYPHOON FORCE WINDS SHOULD END AROUND 1000 PM...AND TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS SHOULD END ABOUT 500 AM SATURDAY MORNING. REMEMBER
THAT WINDS MAY VARY FROM THIS FORECAST IF DOLPHIN CHANGES ITS
TRACK AS IT APPROACHES.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
SEAS OF 20 FEET OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT. THIS WILL
PRODUCE DANGEROUS SURF OF 16 TO 22 FEET ALONG NORTH AND WEST
FACING SHORES WITH EVEN HIGHER SURF ON EAST FACING SHORES THROUGH
THIS AFTERNOON AS THE CENTER PASSES. COASTAL INUNDATION OF 2 TO
3 FEET IS LIKELY...ESPECIALLY NEAR HIGH TIDE LATE THIS AFTERNOON
AROUND 545 PM.

...OTHER STORM EFFECTS...
RAINFALL OF 6 TO 10 INCHES IS EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. LOCAL
FLOODING IS LIKELY.

$$

GUZ003-004-PMZ153-154-150815-
/O.COR.PGUM.TY.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
TINIAN-SAIPAN-TINIAN COASTAL WATERS-SAIPAN COASTAL WATERS-
1001 AM CHST FRI MAY 15 2015

...TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION. HARDEN YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS BY CLOSING SHUTTERS AND
BRACING GARAGE DOORS. DO NOT STAY IN A TIN-ROOF OR MANUFACTURED
HOME. REMAIN INDOORS OR IN YOUR DESIGNATED SHELTER UNTIL THE
TYPHOON PASSES SAFELY TO THE WEST. BOAT OWNERS SHOULD SECURE
THEIR CRAFT.

&&

...WINDS...
AS TYPHOON DOLPHIN APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN BY NOON AND TYPHOON FORCE WINDS ARE
EXPECTED BY AROUND 500 PM THIS AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM WINDS AS HIGH
AS 70 TO 85 MPH ARE POSSIBLE AS THE CENTER PASSES AROUND 800 PM.
TYPHOON FORCE WINDS SHOULD END AROUND 1000 PM...AND TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS SHOULD END ABOUT 500 AM SATURDAY MORNING. REMEMBER
THAT WINDS COULD BE SIGNIFICANTLY HIGHER IF DOLPHIN VEERS
NORTHWARD AS IT APPROACHES.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
SEAS OF 20 FEET OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT. THIS WILL
PRODUCE DANGEROUS SURF OF 16 TO 22 FEET ALONG NORTH AND WEST
FACING SHORES WITH EVEN HIGHER SURF ON EAST FACING SHORES THROUGH
THIS AFTERNOON AS THE CENTER PASSES. COASTAL INUNDATION OF 2 TO
3 FEET IS LIKELY...ESPECIALLY NEAR HIGH TIDE LATE THIS AFTERNOON
AROUND 545 PM.

...OTHER STORM EFFECTS...
RAINFALL OF 3 TO 7 INCHES IS EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. LOCAL
FLOODING IS LIKELY.

$$

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN TIYAN AROUND 3 PM CHST...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

$$

MIDDLEBROOKE

[xtyphooncyclonex]

Eye jogged to the WSW now, having a group convo with a Guam resident and Robert Speta. Winds now picking up over there, typhoon-force gusts and heavy rain being reported all over Guam. Now either Rota Channel or Northern Guam.... Like Pongsona all over again, perhaps?

[euro6208]

WDPN32 PGTW 150300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON 07W (DOLPHIN) WARNING NR 34//
RMKS/
1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS.
2. 6 HOUR SUMMARY AND ANALYSIS.
TYPHOON (TY) 07W (DOLPHIN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 135 NM EAST OF
ANDERSEN AFB, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI)
DEPICTS PERSISTENT DEEP CENTRAL CONVECTION WITH TIGHTLY-CURVED
BANDING WRAPPING INTO AN OBSCURED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER
(LLCC). A SERIES OF MICROWAVE IMAGERY INCLUDING A 142251Z GPM IMAGE
REVEALS SLIGHTLY-BROKEN CONVECTIVE BANDS WRAPPING INTO AN APPARENT
MICROWAVE EYE. THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON THE MSI AND THE
MICROWAVE EYE FEATURE WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY
REMAINS AT 95 KNOTS BASED ON CONSENSUS DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES
FROM PGTW, KNES AND RJTD. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES TYPHOON
DOLPHIN IS NOW LOCATED IN AN AREA OF LOW TO MODERATE (10 TO 20 KNOT)
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) BEING OFFSET BY GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW
CHANNEL. TYPHOON 07W IS CURRENTLY TRACKING TOWARD A BREAK IN THE
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED TO THE NORTH.
3. FORECAST REASONING.
A. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY FROM
THE PREVIOUS PROGNOSTIC REASONING MESSAGE.
B. TYPHOON DOLPHIN WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE MODIFIED STR. MARGINALLY-
FAVORABLE VWS WILL PERSIST; HOWEVER, WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES
(SST) AND GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW ARE EXPECTED, LEADING TO A GRADUAL
INTENSIFICATION RATE OVER THE NEXT 12 TO 18 HOURS. BY TAU 36, THE
STEERING STR IS EXPECTED TO REBUILD TO THE NORTHEAST ALLOWING
TYPHOON 07W TO BEGIN THE TURN POLEWARD. AS IT ROUNDS THE STR AXIS,
TY DOLPHIN WILL GAIN AN INCREASED POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL FROM THE
MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES ALLOWING IT TO FURTHER INTENSIFY.
C. BEYOND TAU 72, TY DOLPHIN WILL BEGIN TO ACCELERATE AND
MAINTAIN A NORTHEASTWARD TRAJECTORY AS IT TRACKS ALONG THE
NORTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE STR. CONCURRENTLY, THE COMBINED
EFFECTS OF INCREASING VWS AND COOLING SST WILL IMPACT THE SYSTEM,
LEADING TO ITS WEAKENING TREND THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST
PERIOD. DYNAMIC MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO REMAIN CONSISTENT ON A
TRACK BETWEEN GUAM AND SAIPAN. THE CURRENT JTWC TRACK FORECAST IS
POSITIONED CLOSE TO MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE.//
NNNN

[euro6208]

000
WTPQ32 PGUM 150251
TCPPQ2

BULLETIN
TYPHOON DOLPHIN (07W) ADVISORY NUMBER 34
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP072015
100 PM CHST FRI MAY 15 2015

...TYPHOON DOLPHIN TRACKING TOWARD ROTA...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM...ROTA...TINIAN AND
SAIPAN. TYPHOON CONDITIONS...INCLUDING WINDS OF 74 MPH OR MORE...
ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

SUMMARY OF 1230 PM CHST...0230 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.6N 146.2E

ABOUT 110 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SAIPAN
ABOUT 105 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF TINIAN
ABOUT 75 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ROTA
ABOUT 100 MILES EAST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST...295 DEGREES AT 16 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 1230 PM CHST...0230 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON DOLPHIN WAS
LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 13.6 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 146.2 EAST.
DOLPHIN IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 16 MPH. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED. DOLPHIN IS EXPECTED TO PASS THROUGH THE MARIANA
ISLANDS NEAR OR JUST NORTH OF ROTA EARLY THIS EVENING. LATER ON...
DOLPHIN IS EXPECTED TO RECURVE TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST SUNDAY
AND MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN AT 110 MPH. TYPHOON DOLPHIN HAS
NOT INTENSIFIED OVER THE LAST DAY OR SO...BUT IT IS EXPECTED TO
RESUME SLOW INTENSIFICATION LATER TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY.

TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES FROM THE CENTER.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES IN THE
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE...AND UP TO 110 MILES ELSEWHERE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 500 PM THIS AFTERNOON...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT SCHEDULED
ADVISORY AT 800 PM THIS EVENING.

$$

MIDDLEBROOKE

[euro6208]

Winds are tremendously stronger coming with the rain...

Within the last hour, Andersen AFB recorded sustained winds of 37 mph gusting of 59 mph and a pressure of 995 mb...

Agana sustained at 38 mph gusting to 51 mph pressure of 995 mb...

Saipan sustain at 35 mph gusting to 49 mph pressure of 999 mb...

[euro6208]

Huge band about to rake Guam

[euro6208]

Powerful band moving through

[xtyphooncyclonex]

Winds over Agana are 50 kts gust now to 64 kts

[euro6208]

its tracking more westerly at this rate guam will get the eyewall

tremendous downpour,,,

[xtyphooncyclonex]

Latest update this afternoon

N stands for nearing

[euro6208]

Andersen AFB clocked a 79 mph gust with sustained of 54 mph!

Pressure 991 mb

[xtyphooncyclonex]

Images taken from Guam, specifically Tumon

[euro6208]

000
WTPQ82 PGUM 150501
HLSPQ2

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TYPHOON DOLPHIN (07W) LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
301 PM CHST FRI MAY 15 2015

...TYPHOON DOLPHIN VEERING WEST TOWARD NORTHERN GUAM...

.NEW INFORMATION...
TYPHOON DOLPHIN HAS VEERED TO THE WEST AND APPEARS LIKELY TO PASS
OVER NORTHERN GUAM OR JUST NORTH OF GUAM.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
FOR PEOPLE IN GUAM...ROTA...TINIAN AND SAIPAN.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM...ROTA...TINIAN AND
SAIPAN. TYPHOON CONDITIONS...INCLUDING WINDS OF 74 MPH OR MORE...
ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM AND THE NORTHERN
MARIANAS.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 245 PM CHST...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON DOLPHIN WAS LOCATED BY
RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 13.5 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 145.8 EAST. THIS IS
ABOUT 110 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SAIPAN...105 MILES SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF TINIAN...60 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ROTA...AND 70 MILES
EAST OF GUAM. DOLPHIN WAS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST AT 10 MPH WITH
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 110 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
LATEST RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS TYPHOON DOLPHIN VEERING MORE TO THE
WEST ON A HEADING THAT WOULD BRING THE EYE TO NORTHERN GUAM OR
JUST NORTH OF GUAM AROUND 500 OR 600 PM. SEAS HAVE REACHED NEARLY
22 FEET AT THE IPAN BUOY JUST EAST OF GUAM. WINDS AND SEAS WILL
INCREASE THROUGH THIS EVENING AS DOLPHIN DRAWS NEAR AND PASSES
THROUGH THE MARIANAS.

GUZ001-PMZ151-151315-
/O.CON.PGUM.TY.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
GUAM-GUAM COASTAL WATERS-
301 PM CHST FRI MAY 15 2015

...TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
TYPHOON FORCE WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN WILL BE COMING OVER GUAM IN THE
NEXT 6 TO 8 HOURS. REMAIN INDOORS OR IN YOUR DESIGNATED SHELTER
UNTIL THE TYPHOON PASSES.

&&

...WINDS...
NORTH TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL INCREASE TO TYPHOON FORCE
AROUND 500 OR 600 PM. MAXIMUM WINDS OF 75 TO 90 MPH ARE POSSIBLE
OVER NORTHERN GUAM THIS EVENING...AND 65 TO 80 MPH WINDS ARE
POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHERN GUAM. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO SOUTH AFTER THE
CENTER PASSES. WINDS WILL FALL BELOW TYPHOON FORCE AROUND 1000 PM
AND BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE WELL AFTER MIDNIGHT. THESE WINDS
COULD VARY IF DOLPHIN CONTINUES TO WOBBLE IN ITS MOTION.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
SEAS OF 25 FEET OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT. THIS WILL
PRODUCE DANGEROUS SURF OF 16 TO 24 FEET ALONG NORTH AND WEST
FACING SHORES WITH EVEN HIGHER SURF ON EAST FACING SHORES THROUGH
THIS AFTERNOON AS THE CENTER PASSES. COASTAL INUNDATION OF 2 TO
3 FEET IS LIKELY...ESPECIALLY NEAR HIGH TIDE LATE THIS AFTERNOON
AROUND 545 PM.

...OTHER STORM EFFECTS...
RAINFALL OF 5 TO 7 INCHES IS EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. LOCAL
FLOODING IS LIKELY.

$$

GUZ002-PMZ152-151315-
/O.CON.PGUM.TY.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ROTA-ROTA COASTAL WATERS-
301 PM CHST FRI MAY 15 2015

...TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMAIN INDOORS OR IN YOUR DESIGNATED SHELTER UNTIL THE TYPHOON
PASSES SAFELY TO THE WEST.

&&

...WINDS...
AS TYPHOON DOLPHIN APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN BY NOON AND TYPHOON FORCE WINDS ARE
EXPECTED BY AROUND 500 PM THIS AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM WINDS AS HIGH
AS 70 TO 85 MPH ARE POSSIBLE AS THE CENTER PASSES AROUND 800 PM.
TYPHOON FORCE WINDS SHOULD END BY 1000 PM...AND TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS SHOULD END ABOUT 500 AM SATURDAY MORNING. REMEMBER
THAT WINDS MAY VARY FROM THIS FORECAST IF DOLPHIN CHANGES ITS
TRACK AS IT APPROACHES.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
SEAS OF 20 FEET OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT. THIS WILL
PRODUCE DANGEROUS SURF OF 16 TO 22 FEET ALONG NORTH AND WEST
FACING SHORES WITH EVEN HIGHER SURF ON EAST FACING SHORES THROUGH
THIS AFTERNOON AS THE CENTER PASSES. COASTAL INUNDATION OF 2 TO
3 FEET IS LIKELY...ESPECIALLY NEAR HIGH TIDE LATE THIS AFTERNOON
AROUND 545 PM.

...OTHER STORM EFFECTS...
RAINFALL OF 6 TO 10 INCHES IS EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. LOCAL
FLOODING IS LIKELY.

$$

GUZ003-004-PMZ153-154-151315-
/O.CON.PGUM.TY.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
TINIAN-SAIPAN-TINIAN COASTAL WATERS-SAIPAN COASTAL WATERS-
301 PM CHST FRI MAY 15 2015

...TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMAIN INDOORS OR IN YOUR DESIGNATED SHELTER UNTIL THE TYPHOON
PASSES SAFELY TO THE WEST.

&&

...WINDS...
AS TYPHOON DOLPHIN APPROACHES...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL
SLOWLY INCREASE AND MAY REACH TYPHOON FORCE AT 70 TO 80 MPH
AROUND 700 TO 900 PM. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS SHOULD END ABOUT
500 AM SATURDAY MORNING. REMEMBER...WINDS COULD BE SIGNIFICANTLY
HIGHER IF DOLPHIN VEERS NORTHWARD AS IT APPROACHES.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
SEAS OF 20 FEET OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT. THIS WILL
PRODUCE DANGEROUS SURF OF 16 TO 22 FEET ALONG NORTH AND WEST
FACING SHORES WITH EVEN HIGHER SURF ON EAST FACING SHORES THROUGH
THIS AFTERNOON AS THE CENTER PASSES. COASTAL INUNDATION OF 2 TO
3 FEET IS LIKELY...ESPECIALLY NEAR HIGH TIDE LATE THIS AFTERNOON
AROUND 545 PM.

...OTHER STORM EFFECTS...
RAINFALL OF 3 TO 7 INCHES IS EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. LOCAL
FLOODING IS LIKELY.

$$

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN TIYAN AROUND 9 PM CHST...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

[euro6208]

000
WTPQ62 PGUM 150605
TCUPQ2

TYPHOON DOLPHIN (07W) TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GUAM WP072015
400 PM CHST FRI MAY 15 2015

...350 PM CHST...0550 UTC...WFO GUAM RADAR POSITION ESTIMATE...

AT 350 PM CHST...0550 UTC...THE EYE OF TYPHOON DOLPHIN (07W) WAS
LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 13.5 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE
145.6 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 50 MILES EAST OF THE GUAM DOPPLER
WEATHER RADAR AT ELEVATION 0.5 DEGREES AND A HEIGHT OF 4000 FEET.
THIS IS 50 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ROTA AND 110 MILES SOUTH OF
TINIAN AND SAIPAN. WIND VELOCITY ARE NEAR 105KTS AT 3200FT ON NORTH
SIDE.

MOVEMENT IS ESTIMATED AT 12 MPH (10 KT) IN A WEST DIRECTION (280
DEGREES). DUE TO SIZE OF THE EYE AND CONTINUOUS REFORMATION
..MOVEMENT CONFIDENCE IS FAIR.

SUMMARY OF 350 PM CHST...0550 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------

LOCATION...13.5N 145.6E
ELEVATION...4000 FEET

ABOUT 50 MILES...090 DEGREES...E OF THE GUAM RADAR.
POSITION CONFIDENCE IN THE CENTER POSITION IS GOOD BASED
ON A COMPLETE 25NM DIAMETER EYE.

NEXT POSITION ESTIMATE WILL BE AROUND 500 PM.

$$

EDSON

[euro6208]

Latest obs from Agana

989.9 mb
NW 36 G 66 mph

Andersen Obs is down for 2 hours since they had a gust of 79 mph