ATL: BILL - Post-Tropical
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HurricaneBelle
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Re:
CrazyC83 wrote:One possibility I am seeing looking at models is that the low re-strengthens - possibly with (sub)tropical characteristics - after emerging off the Mid-Atlantic or Northeast coast early next week? Would it still be Bill then, or would it be Claudette?
It would still be Bill as long as there was a discernible circulation that could be tracked. See Ivan (2004).
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JonathanBelles
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cycloneye
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Re: ATL: BILL - Tropical Depression - Discussion
TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD AL022015
1000 PM CDT WED JUN 17 2015
...CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL ADVANCING NORTHWARD INTO
SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...
SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.7N 97.3W
ABOUT 64 MILES...103 KM...NNW OF DALLAS TEXAS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...50 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 000 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...16 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ARE NOW IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF BOTH THE
EASTERN HALF OF TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA. FLASH FLOOD WATCHES...FLOOD
WARNINGS AND FLOOD ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT OVER MUCH OF EASTERN
TEXAS...EASTERN HALF OF OKLAHOMA...AND NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE
MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...AND INTO PARTS OF THE MIDWEST.
FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT http://WWW.WEATHER.GOV.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF BILL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 33.7 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 97.3 WEST. TROPICAL DEPRESSION
BILL CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTHWARD INTO SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA. THE
STORM CONTINUES TO MAINTAIN A WELL-DEFINED CYCLONIC CIRCULATION
WITH HEALTHY RAINBAND STRUCTURES NORTH AND WEST OF THE CENTER
WHERE WINDS GUSTING OVER 35 MPH HAVE BEEN REPORTED. HEAVIER RAIN
BANDS ARE VERY SLOWLY MOVING THROUGH DEEP SOUTH TEXAS AND
SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS WHERE SOME OF THE CURRENT FLASH WARNINGS ARE IN
EFFECT. BILL IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY TURN TOWARDS THE
NORTH-NORTHEAST EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...AND TO THE NORTHEAST ON
THURSDAY. THIS MOTION WILL BRING THE CENTER OF BILL ACROSS
SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA ON EARLY THURSDAY MORNING AND SOUTHERN
MISSOURI ON FRIDAY. BILL IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN OVER THE
NEXT FEW DAYS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...50 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES.
HAZARDS
-------
RAINFALL...BILL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
4 TO 8 INCHES ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA...NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...AND
INTO SOUTHWEST MISSOURI. ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES
POSSIBLE INTO PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS. ISOLATED MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS OKLAHOMA. THESE RAINS
MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.
RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 7 PM CDT
...ARKANSAS...
HARRISON/BOONE CO. ARPT 1.48
BENTONVILLE 1.43
...OKLAHOMA...
MUSKOGEE/DAVIS FIELD AIRPORT 2.55
PAULS VALLEY MUNI ARPT 1.69
BARTLESVILLE MUNI ARPT 1.51
MCALESTER REGIONAL ARPT 1.42
...TEXAS...
GANADO 1.5 W 11.77
EL CAMPO 0.5 ENE 8.57
SEALY 0.3 WNW 8.09
ALICE INTL ARPT 7.11
WF SAN JACINTO 7.06
MANOR 5 WSW 7.01
SAN FELIPE 1.0 WNW 6.15
CORPUS CHRISTI 6.14
HEMPSTEAD 3.4 NNW 6.12
PORT LAVACA 0.9 NW 5.56
HILL COUNTRY VILLA 1 SE 4.67
ROCKPORT 4.36
INEZ 1.8 WNW 4.36
WACO 0.8 N 3.91
AUSTIN 5 E 3.72
NEW BRAUNFELS 3 WNW 3.00
KINGSVILLE NAS 2.90
RANDOLPH AFB 2.65
HOUSTON/INTERCONTINENTAL 2.51
FORT HOOD/GRAY AAF 2.51
SAN ANTONIO INTL ARPT 2.43
FORT WORTH NAS 2.34
FORT HOOD AAF 2.32
DENTON MUNI ARPT 2.28
HOUSTON 2.09
VICTORIA RGNL ARPT 1.72
BEAUMONT/PORT ARTHUR 1.57
GALVESTON/SCHOLES 1.42
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT 400 AM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.
FORECASTER FANNING
FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 18/0300Z 33.7N 97.3W
12HR VT 18/1200Z 34.7N 96.4W...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
24HR VT 19/0000Z 36.0N 94.5W...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
36HR VT 19/1200Z 36.8N 93.2W...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
48HR VT 20/0000Z 37.2N 91.1W...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
72HR VT 21/0000Z 39.0N 84.5W...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
96HR VT 22/0000Z 40.0N 73.0W...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
$$
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD AL022015
1000 PM CDT WED JUN 17 2015
...CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL ADVANCING NORTHWARD INTO
SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...
SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.7N 97.3W
ABOUT 64 MILES...103 KM...NNW OF DALLAS TEXAS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...50 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 000 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...16 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ARE NOW IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF BOTH THE
EASTERN HALF OF TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA. FLASH FLOOD WATCHES...FLOOD
WARNINGS AND FLOOD ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT OVER MUCH OF EASTERN
TEXAS...EASTERN HALF OF OKLAHOMA...AND NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE
MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...AND INTO PARTS OF THE MIDWEST.
FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT http://WWW.WEATHER.GOV.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF BILL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 33.7 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 97.3 WEST. TROPICAL DEPRESSION
BILL CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTHWARD INTO SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA. THE
STORM CONTINUES TO MAINTAIN A WELL-DEFINED CYCLONIC CIRCULATION
WITH HEALTHY RAINBAND STRUCTURES NORTH AND WEST OF THE CENTER
WHERE WINDS GUSTING OVER 35 MPH HAVE BEEN REPORTED. HEAVIER RAIN
BANDS ARE VERY SLOWLY MOVING THROUGH DEEP SOUTH TEXAS AND
SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS WHERE SOME OF THE CURRENT FLASH WARNINGS ARE IN
EFFECT. BILL IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY TURN TOWARDS THE
NORTH-NORTHEAST EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...AND TO THE NORTHEAST ON
THURSDAY. THIS MOTION WILL BRING THE CENTER OF BILL ACROSS
SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA ON EARLY THURSDAY MORNING AND SOUTHERN
MISSOURI ON FRIDAY. BILL IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN OVER THE
NEXT FEW DAYS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...50 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES.
HAZARDS
-------
RAINFALL...BILL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
4 TO 8 INCHES ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA...NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...AND
INTO SOUTHWEST MISSOURI. ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES
POSSIBLE INTO PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS. ISOLATED MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS OKLAHOMA. THESE RAINS
MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.
RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 7 PM CDT
...ARKANSAS...
HARRISON/BOONE CO. ARPT 1.48
BENTONVILLE 1.43
...OKLAHOMA...
MUSKOGEE/DAVIS FIELD AIRPORT 2.55
PAULS VALLEY MUNI ARPT 1.69
BARTLESVILLE MUNI ARPT 1.51
MCALESTER REGIONAL ARPT 1.42
...TEXAS...
GANADO 1.5 W 11.77
EL CAMPO 0.5 ENE 8.57
SEALY 0.3 WNW 8.09
ALICE INTL ARPT 7.11
WF SAN JACINTO 7.06
MANOR 5 WSW 7.01
SAN FELIPE 1.0 WNW 6.15
CORPUS CHRISTI 6.14
HEMPSTEAD 3.4 NNW 6.12
PORT LAVACA 0.9 NW 5.56
HILL COUNTRY VILLA 1 SE 4.67
ROCKPORT 4.36
INEZ 1.8 WNW 4.36
WACO 0.8 N 3.91
AUSTIN 5 E 3.72
NEW BRAUNFELS 3 WNW 3.00
KINGSVILLE NAS 2.90
RANDOLPH AFB 2.65
HOUSTON/INTERCONTINENTAL 2.51
FORT HOOD/GRAY AAF 2.51
SAN ANTONIO INTL ARPT 2.43
FORT WORTH NAS 2.34
FORT HOOD AAF 2.32
DENTON MUNI ARPT 2.28
HOUSTON 2.09
VICTORIA RGNL ARPT 1.72
BEAUMONT/PORT ARTHUR 1.57
GALVESTON/SCHOLES 1.42
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT 400 AM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.
FORECASTER FANNING
FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 18/0300Z 33.7N 97.3W
12HR VT 18/1200Z 34.7N 96.4W...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
24HR VT 19/0000Z 36.0N 94.5W...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
36HR VT 19/1200Z 36.8N 93.2W...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
48HR VT 20/0000Z 37.2N 91.1W...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
72HR VT 21/0000Z 39.0N 84.5W...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
96HR VT 22/0000Z 40.0N 73.0W...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
$$
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southerngale
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- Location: Southeast Texas (Beaumont area)
Re: ATL: BILL - Tropical Depression - Discussion
Bill has caused a lot of flooding in Beaumont today and tonight. There were rescues in cars.
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cycloneye
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Re: ATL: BILL - Tropical Depression - Discussion
TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD AL022015
400 AM CDT THU JUN 18 2015
...CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL ADVANCING NORTHWARD THROUGH
SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...
SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...34.5N 96.4W
ABOUT 80 MILES...129 KM...SE OF OKLAHOMA CITY OKLAHOMA.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...25 MPH...40 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 025 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...16 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR
EASTERN TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA AND INTO THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
VALLEY AND PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN OHIO VALLEY.
FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT http://WWW.WEATHER.GOV.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF BILL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 34.5 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 96.4 WEST. TROPICAL DEPRESSION
BILL CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD INTO SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA.
THE STORM CONTINUES TO MAINTAIN A WELL-DEFINED CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION WITH HEALTHY RAINBAND STRUCTURES NORTH AND WEST OF THE
CENTER WHERE WINDS GUSTING UP TO 35 MPH HAVE BEEN REPORTED.
HEAVIER RAIN BANDS ARE VERY SLOWLY MOVING THROUGH SOUTHEASTERN
TEXAS WHERE SOME OF THE CURRENT FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN
EFFECT. BILL IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY TURN MORE TOWARD THE
NORTHEAST THURSDAY. THIS MOTION WILL BRING THE CENTER OF BILL
ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA ON THURSDAY AND SOUTHERN MISSOURI BY
FRIDAY. BILL IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT FEW
DAYS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 25 MPH...40 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.
HAZARDS
-------
RAINFALL...BILL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
4 TO 8 INCHES ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA...NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...AND
INTO SOUTHERN MISSOURI. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS UP TO 12 INCHES
MAY ALSO BE POSSIBLE. ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES
POSSIBLE INTO PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF
2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FARTHER NORTHEAST INTO THE OHIO RIVER
VALLEY. THESE RAINS MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.
RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 4 AM CDT
...ARKANSAS...
HARRISON/BOONE CO. ARPT 1.48
BENTONVILLE 1.43
...OKLAHOMA...
NEWPORT 13.07
BURNEYVILLE 10.09
RINGLING 8.27
SULPHUR 7.09
MUSKOGEE/DAVIS FIELD AIRPORT 2.55
PAULS VALLEY MUNI ARPT 1.69
BARTLESVILLE MUNI ARPT 1.51
MCALESTER REGIONAL ARPT 1.42
...TEXAS...
MONTAGUE 12.50
GANADO 1.5 W 11.77
ALICE INTL ARPT 9.03
EL CAMPO 0.5 ENE 8.57
SEALY 0.3 WNW 8.09
WF SAN JACINTO 7.06
MANOR 5 WSW 7.01
SAN FELIPE 1.0 WNW 6.15
CORPUS CHRISTI 6.14
HEMPSTEAD 3.4 NNW 6.12
PORT LAVACA 0.9 NW 5.56
HILL COUNTRY VILLA 1 SE 4.67
ROCKPORT 4.36
INEZ 1.8 WNW 4.36
WACO 0.8 N 3.91
AUSTIN 5 E 3.72
NEW BRAUNFELS 3 WNW 3.00
KINGSVILLE NAS 2.90
RANDOLPH AFB 2.65
HOUSTON/INTERCONTINENTAL 2.51
FORT HOOD/GRAY AAF 2.51
SAN ANTONIO INTL ARPT 2.43
FORT WORTH NAS 2.34
FORT HOOD AAF 2.32
DENTON MUNI ARPT 2.28
HOUSTON 2.09
VICTORIA RGNL ARPT 1.72
BEAUMONT/PORT ARTHUR 1.57
GALVESTON/SCHOLES 1.42
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT 1000 AM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.
FORECASTER CAMPBELL/SANTORELLI
FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 18/0900Z 34.5N 96.4W
12HR VT 18/1800Z 35.6N 95.7W...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
24HR VT 19/0600Z 36.1N 94.3W...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
36HR VT 19/1800Z 36.8N 93.2W...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
48HR VT 20/0600Z 37.5N 90.1W...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
72HR VT 21/0600Z...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
$$
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD AL022015
400 AM CDT THU JUN 18 2015
...CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL ADVANCING NORTHWARD THROUGH
SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...
SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...34.5N 96.4W
ABOUT 80 MILES...129 KM...SE OF OKLAHOMA CITY OKLAHOMA.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...25 MPH...40 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 025 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...16 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR
EASTERN TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA AND INTO THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
VALLEY AND PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN OHIO VALLEY.
FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT http://WWW.WEATHER.GOV.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF BILL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 34.5 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 96.4 WEST. TROPICAL DEPRESSION
BILL CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD INTO SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA.
THE STORM CONTINUES TO MAINTAIN A WELL-DEFINED CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION WITH HEALTHY RAINBAND STRUCTURES NORTH AND WEST OF THE
CENTER WHERE WINDS GUSTING UP TO 35 MPH HAVE BEEN REPORTED.
HEAVIER RAIN BANDS ARE VERY SLOWLY MOVING THROUGH SOUTHEASTERN
TEXAS WHERE SOME OF THE CURRENT FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN
EFFECT. BILL IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY TURN MORE TOWARD THE
NORTHEAST THURSDAY. THIS MOTION WILL BRING THE CENTER OF BILL
ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA ON THURSDAY AND SOUTHERN MISSOURI BY
FRIDAY. BILL IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT FEW
DAYS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 25 MPH...40 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.
HAZARDS
-------
RAINFALL...BILL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
4 TO 8 INCHES ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA...NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...AND
INTO SOUTHERN MISSOURI. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS UP TO 12 INCHES
MAY ALSO BE POSSIBLE. ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES
POSSIBLE INTO PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF
2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FARTHER NORTHEAST INTO THE OHIO RIVER
VALLEY. THESE RAINS MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.
RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 4 AM CDT
...ARKANSAS...
HARRISON/BOONE CO. ARPT 1.48
BENTONVILLE 1.43
...OKLAHOMA...
NEWPORT 13.07
BURNEYVILLE 10.09
RINGLING 8.27
SULPHUR 7.09
MUSKOGEE/DAVIS FIELD AIRPORT 2.55
PAULS VALLEY MUNI ARPT 1.69
BARTLESVILLE MUNI ARPT 1.51
MCALESTER REGIONAL ARPT 1.42
...TEXAS...
MONTAGUE 12.50
GANADO 1.5 W 11.77
ALICE INTL ARPT 9.03
EL CAMPO 0.5 ENE 8.57
SEALY 0.3 WNW 8.09
WF SAN JACINTO 7.06
MANOR 5 WSW 7.01
SAN FELIPE 1.0 WNW 6.15
CORPUS CHRISTI 6.14
HEMPSTEAD 3.4 NNW 6.12
PORT LAVACA 0.9 NW 5.56
HILL COUNTRY VILLA 1 SE 4.67
ROCKPORT 4.36
INEZ 1.8 WNW 4.36
WACO 0.8 N 3.91
AUSTIN 5 E 3.72
NEW BRAUNFELS 3 WNW 3.00
KINGSVILLE NAS 2.90
RANDOLPH AFB 2.65
HOUSTON/INTERCONTINENTAL 2.51
FORT HOOD/GRAY AAF 2.51
SAN ANTONIO INTL ARPT 2.43
FORT WORTH NAS 2.34
FORT HOOD AAF 2.32
DENTON MUNI ARPT 2.28
HOUSTON 2.09
VICTORIA RGNL ARPT 1.72
BEAUMONT/PORT ARTHUR 1.57
GALVESTON/SCHOLES 1.42
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT 1000 AM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.
FORECASTER CAMPBELL/SANTORELLI
FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 18/0900Z 34.5N 96.4W
12HR VT 18/1800Z 35.6N 95.7W...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
24HR VT 19/0600Z 36.1N 94.3W...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
36HR VT 19/1800Z 36.8N 93.2W...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
48HR VT 20/0600Z 37.5N 90.1W...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
72HR VT 21/0600Z...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
$$
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cycloneye
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Re: ATL: BILL - Tropical Depression - Discussion
TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD AL022015
1000 AM CDT THU JUN 18 2015
...CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL CONTINUES A NORTHWARD PATH
EAST OF OKLAHOMA CITY...
SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...34.9N 96.2W
ABOUT 84 MILES...135 KM...ESE OF OKLAHOMA CITY OKLAHOMA.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...25 MPH...40 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF EAST
TEXAS...EASTERN OKLAHOMA...AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS. FLOOD
WATCHES AND WARNINGS AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR
EASTERN HALF OF TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA AND INTO THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI
RIVER VALLEY.
FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT http://WWW.WEATHER.GOV.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF BILL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 34.9 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 96.2 WEST. TROPICAL DEPRESSION
BILL CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD INTO SOUTHEASTERN
OKLAHOMA. THE STORM CONTINUES TO MAINTAIN A WELL-DEFINED CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION...HOWEVER THE RAINBANDS ARE BEGINNING TO WEAKEN.
NEVERTHELESS...MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL WAS REPORTED NORTH AND
WEST OF THE CENTER. IN ADDITION...WIND GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH HAVE
BEEN REPORTED WEST OF THE CENTER. THERE ARE ALSO HEAVIER RAIN
BANDS MOVING VERY SLOWLY FROM SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS NORTHEASTWARD
INTO NORTHWEST LOUISIANA WHERE SOME OF THE FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS
ARE IN EFFECT. BILL HAS BEGUN TO TURN NORTHEAST AND WILL CONTINUE
TO MOVE THROUGH SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA ON THURSDAY. BY
FRIDAY...THE CENTER OF BILL WILL BE IN SOUTHERN MISSOURI.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT FEW
DAYS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 25 MPH...40 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.
HAZARDS
-------
RAINFALL...BILL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
3 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA...NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...AND
INTO SOUTHERN MISSOURI. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS UP TO 10 INCHES
MAY ALSO BE POSSIBLE. ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE INTO PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND SOUTHERN TEXAS. RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FARTHER NORTHEAST INTO THE
OHIO RIVER VALLEY. THESE RAINS MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH
FLOODS.
RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 7 AM CDT
...ARKANSAS...
LONOKE 1.2 SSW 1.74
EVERTON 2.1 N 1.67
ST. JOE 2.7 WNW 1.64
ATKINS 1.0 NE 1.51
HARRISON/BOONE CO. ARPT 1.48
BENTONVILLE 1.43
...KANSAS...
COLLYER 2.1 SE 1.45
...LOUISIANA...
BOSSIER CITY 6.7 NNW 3.84
SHREVEPORT 5.3 SSE 2.42
PLAIN DEALING 3.0 ESE 2.13
RUSTON 1.6 NW 1.85
...OKLAHOMA...
HEALDTON 3 E 12.53
NEWPORT 11.52
BURNEYVILLE 10.09
SULPHUR 2.5 WSW 8.63
RINGLING 8.27
SULPHUR 7.09
MACOMB 5.2 ESE 5.82
MARIETTA 2.8 SW 5.57
ADA 0.3 NNW 5.45
WEWOKA 7.4 NNW 5.30
NORMAN 3.4 SE 3.61
OKLAHOMA CITY 11.5 S 2.64
MUSKOGEE/DAVIS FIELD AIRPORT 2.55
PAULS VALLEY MUNI ARPT 1.69
BARTLESVILLE MUNI ARPT 1.51
...TEXAS...
MONTAGUE 12.50
GANADO 1.5 W 11.77
KIRBYVILLE 1.5 SE 9.51
ALICE INTL ARPT 9.03
EL CAMPO 0.5 ENE 8.57
SEALY 0.3 WNW 8.09
VICTORIA 9 ESE 7.73
ROCKPORT 1.3 WSW 7.51
MANOR 4.7 WSW 7.30
WF SAN JACINTO 7.06
MANOR 5 WSW 7.01
FLOUR BLUFF 7 SW 6.59
ARANSAS PASS 1 SSE 6.46
SAN FELIPE 1.0 WNW 6.15
CORPUS CHRISTI 6.14
HEMPSTEAD 3.4 NNW 6.12
AUSTIN 4.2 ESE 5.80
ROCKPORT 4.36
SAN ANTONIO INTL ARPT 2.91
HOUSTON/INTERCONTINENTAL 2.51
FORT WORTH NAS 2.34
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT 400 PM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.
FORECASTER FANNING
FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 18/1500Z 34.9N 96.2W
12HR VT 19/0000Z 35.7N 95.0W...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
24HR VT 19/1200Z 36.3N 93.7W...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
36HR VT 20/0000Z 37.0N 91.0W...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
48HR VT 20/1200Z 38.0N 88.3W...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
72HR VT 21/1200Z 39.0N 77.2W...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
$$
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD AL022015
1000 AM CDT THU JUN 18 2015
...CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL CONTINUES A NORTHWARD PATH
EAST OF OKLAHOMA CITY...
SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...34.9N 96.2W
ABOUT 84 MILES...135 KM...ESE OF OKLAHOMA CITY OKLAHOMA.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...25 MPH...40 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF EAST
TEXAS...EASTERN OKLAHOMA...AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS. FLOOD
WATCHES AND WARNINGS AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR
EASTERN HALF OF TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA AND INTO THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI
RIVER VALLEY.
FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT http://WWW.WEATHER.GOV.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF BILL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 34.9 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 96.2 WEST. TROPICAL DEPRESSION
BILL CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD INTO SOUTHEASTERN
OKLAHOMA. THE STORM CONTINUES TO MAINTAIN A WELL-DEFINED CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION...HOWEVER THE RAINBANDS ARE BEGINNING TO WEAKEN.
NEVERTHELESS...MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL WAS REPORTED NORTH AND
WEST OF THE CENTER. IN ADDITION...WIND GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH HAVE
BEEN REPORTED WEST OF THE CENTER. THERE ARE ALSO HEAVIER RAIN
BANDS MOVING VERY SLOWLY FROM SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS NORTHEASTWARD
INTO NORTHWEST LOUISIANA WHERE SOME OF THE FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS
ARE IN EFFECT. BILL HAS BEGUN TO TURN NORTHEAST AND WILL CONTINUE
TO MOVE THROUGH SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA ON THURSDAY. BY
FRIDAY...THE CENTER OF BILL WILL BE IN SOUTHERN MISSOURI.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT FEW
DAYS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 25 MPH...40 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.
HAZARDS
-------
RAINFALL...BILL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
3 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA...NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...AND
INTO SOUTHERN MISSOURI. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS UP TO 10 INCHES
MAY ALSO BE POSSIBLE. ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE INTO PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND SOUTHERN TEXAS. RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FARTHER NORTHEAST INTO THE
OHIO RIVER VALLEY. THESE RAINS MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH
FLOODS.
RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 7 AM CDT
...ARKANSAS...
LONOKE 1.2 SSW 1.74
EVERTON 2.1 N 1.67
ST. JOE 2.7 WNW 1.64
ATKINS 1.0 NE 1.51
HARRISON/BOONE CO. ARPT 1.48
BENTONVILLE 1.43
...KANSAS...
COLLYER 2.1 SE 1.45
...LOUISIANA...
BOSSIER CITY 6.7 NNW 3.84
SHREVEPORT 5.3 SSE 2.42
PLAIN DEALING 3.0 ESE 2.13
RUSTON 1.6 NW 1.85
...OKLAHOMA...
HEALDTON 3 E 12.53
NEWPORT 11.52
BURNEYVILLE 10.09
SULPHUR 2.5 WSW 8.63
RINGLING 8.27
SULPHUR 7.09
MACOMB 5.2 ESE 5.82
MARIETTA 2.8 SW 5.57
ADA 0.3 NNW 5.45
WEWOKA 7.4 NNW 5.30
NORMAN 3.4 SE 3.61
OKLAHOMA CITY 11.5 S 2.64
MUSKOGEE/DAVIS FIELD AIRPORT 2.55
PAULS VALLEY MUNI ARPT 1.69
BARTLESVILLE MUNI ARPT 1.51
...TEXAS...
MONTAGUE 12.50
GANADO 1.5 W 11.77
KIRBYVILLE 1.5 SE 9.51
ALICE INTL ARPT 9.03
EL CAMPO 0.5 ENE 8.57
SEALY 0.3 WNW 8.09
VICTORIA 9 ESE 7.73
ROCKPORT 1.3 WSW 7.51
MANOR 4.7 WSW 7.30
WF SAN JACINTO 7.06
MANOR 5 WSW 7.01
FLOUR BLUFF 7 SW 6.59
ARANSAS PASS 1 SSE 6.46
SAN FELIPE 1.0 WNW 6.15
CORPUS CHRISTI 6.14
HEMPSTEAD 3.4 NNW 6.12
AUSTIN 4.2 ESE 5.80
ROCKPORT 4.36
SAN ANTONIO INTL ARPT 2.91
HOUSTON/INTERCONTINENTAL 2.51
FORT WORTH NAS 2.34
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT 400 PM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.
FORECASTER FANNING
FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 18/1500Z 34.9N 96.2W
12HR VT 19/0000Z 35.7N 95.0W...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
24HR VT 19/1200Z 36.3N 93.7W...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
36HR VT 20/0000Z 37.0N 91.0W...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
48HR VT 20/1200Z 38.0N 88.3W...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
72HR VT 21/1200Z 39.0N 77.2W...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
$$
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HurricaneBelle
- S2K Supporter
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- Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 6:12 pm
- Location: Clearwater, FL
Re: ATL: BILL - Tropical Depression - Discussion
Shouldn't Bill still be on the map? It's still classified as a tropical depression and being tracked, it's not post-tropical or dissipated.
I understand NHC itself isn't issuing the advisories any longer, but that's a bureaucratic issue rather than a weather issue.
I understand NHC itself isn't issuing the advisories any longer, but that's a bureaucratic issue rather than a weather issue.
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139048
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: ATL: BILL - Tropical Depression - Discussion
TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD AL022015
400 PM CDT THU JUN 18 2015
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL CONTINUES TO TRACK WELL-INLAND ACROSS
EASTERN OKLAHOMA...
SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...35.6N 94.6W
ABOUT 20 MILES...30 KM...WSW OF FORT SMITH ARKANSAS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...20 MPH...30 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 075 DEGREES AT 11 MPH...18 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR A GOOD PORTION OF EASTERN
OKLAHOMA INTO NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI.
FLOOD WATCHES AND WARNINGS AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT
FOR THE EASTERN HALF OF TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA AND INTO THE MIDDLE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY.
FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT http://WWW.WEATHER.GOV.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF BILL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 35.6 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 94.6 WEST. TROPICAL DEPRESSION
BILL HAS TURNED MORE TOWARDS THE EAST-NORTHEAST ACROSS EASTERN
OKLAHOMA THIS AFTERNOON WHILE CONTINUING TO MAINTAIN A
WELL-DEFINED CYCLONIC CIRCULATION WITH ACTIVE RAINBANDS MOST
ACTIVE TO THE NORTH AND WEST OF THE CENTER. HOWEVER...THE CENTRAL
PRESSURE HAS GRADUALLY RISEN SINCE YESTERDAY AND WIND GUSTS HAVE
MODERATED TO 30 MPH OR LESS. SOME SCATTERED BANDS OF
THUNDERSTORMS EXTEND SOUTHWESTWARD INTO THE TEXAS GULF COAST.
BILL IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS
TONIGHT AS IT TRACKS GENERALLY EAST-NORTHEAST OVER NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...REACHING THE OHIO VALLEY BY SATURDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 20 MPH...30 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.
HAZARDS
-------
RAINFALL...BILL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF 2 TO
5 INCHES ACROSS NORTHERN ARKANSAS...INTO SOUTHERN MISSOURI.
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS UP TO 8 INCHES MAY ALSO BE POSSIBLE. 2 TO
4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FARTHER NORTHEAST INTO THE OHIO RIVER
VALLEY. FARTHER SOUTH...ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE INTO PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN TEXAS. THESE RAINS MAY PRODUCE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.
RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 1 PM CDT
...ARKANSAS...
HARRISON/BOONE CO. ARPT 2.74
MOUNTAIN HOME/BAXTER CO. ARPT 1.88
LONOKE 1.2 SSW 1.74
EVERTON 2.1 N 1.67
ST. JOE 2.7 WNW 1.64
ATKINS 1.0 NE 1.51
BENTONVILLE 1.43
...ILLINOIS...
SCOTT AFB/BELLEVILLE 1.80
JACKSONVILLE 1.74
CARBONDALE/MURPHYSBORO 1.66
...INDIANA...
EVANSVILLE RGNL ARPT 1.45
...KANSAS...
COFFEYVILLE MUNI ARPT 3.43
COLLYER 2.1 SE 1.45
...LOUISIANA...
SHREVEPORT RGNL ARPT 4.79
BOSSIER CITY 6.7 NNW 3.84
SHREVEPORT 5.3 SSE 2.42
PLAIN DEALING 3.0 ESE 2.13
RUSTON 1.6 NW 1.85
...OKLAHOMA...
HEALDTON 3 E 12.53
NEWPORT 11.52
BURNEYVILLE 10.09
SULPHUR 2.5 WSW 8.63
RINGLING 8.27
PAULS VALLEY MUNI ARPT 7.35
SULPHUR 7.09
MACOMB 5.2 ESE 5.82
MARIETTA 2.8 SW 5.57
ADA 0.3 NNW 5.45
WEWOKA 7.4 NNW 5.30
NORMAN 3.4 SE 3.61
OKLAHOMA CITY 11.5 S 2.64
MUSKOGEE/DAVIS FIELD AIRPORT 2.55
BARTLESVILLE MUNI ARPT 1.51
...TEXAS...
MONTAGUE 12.50
GANADO 1.5 W 11.77
KIRBYVILLE 1.5 SE 9.51
SEALY 0.3 WNW 9.17
ALICE INTL ARPT 9.03
EL CAMPO 0.5 ENE 8.57
VICTORIA 9 ESE 7.73
ROCKPORT 1.3 WSW 7.51
MANOR 4.7 WSW 7.30
WF SAN JACINTO 7.06
MANOR 5 WSW 7.01
LUFKIN/ANGELINA CO. ARPT 6.95
NAVASOTA 8 SE 6.73
FLOUR BLUFF 7 SW 6.59
ARANSAS PASS 1 SSE 6.46
SAN FELIPE 1.0 WNW 6.15
CORPUS CHRISTI 6.14
HEMPSTEAD 3.4 NNW 6.12
AUSTIN 4.2 ESE 5.80
ROCKPORT 4.36
SAN ANTONIO INTL ARPT 2.91
HOUSTON/INTERCONTINENTAL 2.51
FORT WORTH NAS 2.34
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT 1000 PM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.
FORECASTER KONG
FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 18/2100Z 35.6N 94.6W
12HR VT 19/0600Z 35.8N 94.0W...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
24HR VT 19/1800Z 36.5N 92.2W...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
36HR VT 20/0600Z 37.3N 89.3W...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
48HR VT 20/1800Z 38.5N 85.9W...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
72HR VT 21/1800Z 39.0N 74.7W...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
$$
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD AL022015
400 PM CDT THU JUN 18 2015
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL CONTINUES TO TRACK WELL-INLAND ACROSS
EASTERN OKLAHOMA...
SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...35.6N 94.6W
ABOUT 20 MILES...30 KM...WSW OF FORT SMITH ARKANSAS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...20 MPH...30 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 075 DEGREES AT 11 MPH...18 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR A GOOD PORTION OF EASTERN
OKLAHOMA INTO NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI.
FLOOD WATCHES AND WARNINGS AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT
FOR THE EASTERN HALF OF TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA AND INTO THE MIDDLE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY.
FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT http://WWW.WEATHER.GOV.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF BILL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 35.6 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 94.6 WEST. TROPICAL DEPRESSION
BILL HAS TURNED MORE TOWARDS THE EAST-NORTHEAST ACROSS EASTERN
OKLAHOMA THIS AFTERNOON WHILE CONTINUING TO MAINTAIN A
WELL-DEFINED CYCLONIC CIRCULATION WITH ACTIVE RAINBANDS MOST
ACTIVE TO THE NORTH AND WEST OF THE CENTER. HOWEVER...THE CENTRAL
PRESSURE HAS GRADUALLY RISEN SINCE YESTERDAY AND WIND GUSTS HAVE
MODERATED TO 30 MPH OR LESS. SOME SCATTERED BANDS OF
THUNDERSTORMS EXTEND SOUTHWESTWARD INTO THE TEXAS GULF COAST.
BILL IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS
TONIGHT AS IT TRACKS GENERALLY EAST-NORTHEAST OVER NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...REACHING THE OHIO VALLEY BY SATURDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 20 MPH...30 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.
HAZARDS
-------
RAINFALL...BILL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF 2 TO
5 INCHES ACROSS NORTHERN ARKANSAS...INTO SOUTHERN MISSOURI.
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS UP TO 8 INCHES MAY ALSO BE POSSIBLE. 2 TO
4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FARTHER NORTHEAST INTO THE OHIO RIVER
VALLEY. FARTHER SOUTH...ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE INTO PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN TEXAS. THESE RAINS MAY PRODUCE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.
RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 1 PM CDT
...ARKANSAS...
HARRISON/BOONE CO. ARPT 2.74
MOUNTAIN HOME/BAXTER CO. ARPT 1.88
LONOKE 1.2 SSW 1.74
EVERTON 2.1 N 1.67
ST. JOE 2.7 WNW 1.64
ATKINS 1.0 NE 1.51
BENTONVILLE 1.43
...ILLINOIS...
SCOTT AFB/BELLEVILLE 1.80
JACKSONVILLE 1.74
CARBONDALE/MURPHYSBORO 1.66
...INDIANA...
EVANSVILLE RGNL ARPT 1.45
...KANSAS...
COFFEYVILLE MUNI ARPT 3.43
COLLYER 2.1 SE 1.45
...LOUISIANA...
SHREVEPORT RGNL ARPT 4.79
BOSSIER CITY 6.7 NNW 3.84
SHREVEPORT 5.3 SSE 2.42
PLAIN DEALING 3.0 ESE 2.13
RUSTON 1.6 NW 1.85
...OKLAHOMA...
HEALDTON 3 E 12.53
NEWPORT 11.52
BURNEYVILLE 10.09
SULPHUR 2.5 WSW 8.63
RINGLING 8.27
PAULS VALLEY MUNI ARPT 7.35
SULPHUR 7.09
MACOMB 5.2 ESE 5.82
MARIETTA 2.8 SW 5.57
ADA 0.3 NNW 5.45
WEWOKA 7.4 NNW 5.30
NORMAN 3.4 SE 3.61
OKLAHOMA CITY 11.5 S 2.64
MUSKOGEE/DAVIS FIELD AIRPORT 2.55
BARTLESVILLE MUNI ARPT 1.51
...TEXAS...
MONTAGUE 12.50
GANADO 1.5 W 11.77
KIRBYVILLE 1.5 SE 9.51
SEALY 0.3 WNW 9.17
ALICE INTL ARPT 9.03
EL CAMPO 0.5 ENE 8.57
VICTORIA 9 ESE 7.73
ROCKPORT 1.3 WSW 7.51
MANOR 4.7 WSW 7.30
WF SAN JACINTO 7.06
MANOR 5 WSW 7.01
LUFKIN/ANGELINA CO. ARPT 6.95
NAVASOTA 8 SE 6.73
FLOUR BLUFF 7 SW 6.59
ARANSAS PASS 1 SSE 6.46
SAN FELIPE 1.0 WNW 6.15
CORPUS CHRISTI 6.14
HEMPSTEAD 3.4 NNW 6.12
AUSTIN 4.2 ESE 5.80
ROCKPORT 4.36
SAN ANTONIO INTL ARPT 2.91
HOUSTON/INTERCONTINENTAL 2.51
FORT WORTH NAS 2.34
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT 1000 PM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.
FORECASTER KONG
FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 18/2100Z 35.6N 94.6W
12HR VT 19/0600Z 35.8N 94.0W...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
24HR VT 19/1800Z 36.5N 92.2W...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
36HR VT 20/0600Z 37.3N 89.3W...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
48HR VT 20/1800Z 38.5N 85.9W...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
72HR VT 21/1800Z 39.0N 74.7W...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
$$
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139048
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: ATL: BILL - Tropical Depression - Discussion
TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD AL022015
1000 PM CDT THU JUN 18 2015
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL CONTINUES TO TRACK WELL INLAND INTO
NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS...
SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...35.9N 93.8W
ABOUT 20 MILES...32 KM...E OF FAYETTEVILLE ARKANSAS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...20 MPH...30 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 75 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...16 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FROM EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN
KANSAS INTO NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI.
FLOOD WATCHES AND WARNINGS AS WELL AS FLASH FLOOD WATCHES REMAIN
IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF EASTERN AND SOUTHERN TEXAS...AND FROM
WESTERN LOUISIANA NORTHWARD INTO THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
VALLEY.
FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT http://WWW.WEATHER.GOV.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF BILL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 35.9 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 93.8 WEST. SATELLITE AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS CONTINUE TO SHOW A WELL-DEFINED CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL AS IT TRACKS
WELL INLAND INTO NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS THIS EVENING. IN
ADDITION...RAINBANDS REMAIN ACTIVE AROUND THE CENTER OF BILL
ALTHOUGH THEY HAVE BECOME SLIGHTLY LESS WELL-FORMED THIS EVENING.
THE CENTRAL PRESSURE OF BILL HAS RISEN SINCE YESTERDAY AND WIND
GUSTS HAVE MODERATED TO 30 MPH OR LESS. SOME SCATTERED BANDS OF
THUNDERSTORMS EXTEND FARTHER SOUTHWESTWARD INTO THE TEXAS GULF
COAST. BILL IS EXPECTED TO TRACK EAST-NORTHEASTWARD TOWARDS THE
OHIO VALLEY OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AND GRADUALLY LOSE
TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS AS IT BEGINS TO INTERACT WITH SLIGHTLY
COOLER AND DRIER AIR FROM THE NORTH.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 20 MPH...30 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.
HAZARDS
-------
RAINFALL...BILL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF 2 TO
5 INCHES ACROSS NORTHERN ARKANSAS...INTO SOUTHERN MISSOURI.
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS UP TO 8 INCHES MAY ALSO BE POSSIBLE. 2 TO
4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FARTHER NORTHEAST INTO THE OHIO RIVER
VALLEY. FARTHER SOUTH...ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE INTO PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN TEXAS. THESE RAINS MAY PRODUCE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.
RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 7 PM CDT
...ARKANSAS...
HARRISON/BOONE CO. ARPT 2.94
BENTONVILLE 2.61
SILOAM SPRINGS/SMITH FIELD 2.50
SPRINGFIELD/CAPITAL ARPT 2.49
MOUNTAIN HOME/BAXTER CO. ARPT 1.93
LONOKE 1.2 SSW 1.74
EVERTON 2.1 N 1.67
ST. JOE 2.7 WNW 1.64
ATKINS 1.0 NE 1.51
...ILLINOIS...
SCOTT AFB/BELLEVILLE 1.80
JACKSONVILLE 1.74
CARBONDALE/MURPHYSBORO 1.66
...INDIANA...
INDIANAPOLIS INTL ARPT 1.87
EVANSVILLE RGNL ARPT 1.81
...KANSAS...
COFFEYVILLE MUNI ARPT 3.64
COLLYER 2.1 SE 1.45
...LOUISIANA...
SHREVEPORT RGNL ARPT 4.79
BOSSIER CITY 6.7 NNW 3.84
SHREVEPORT 5.3 SSE 2.42
PLAIN DEALING 3.0 ESE 2.13
RUSTON 1.6 NW 1.85
...MISSOURI...
COLUMBIA RGNL ARPT 2.94
LITTON AGRI-SCI CNTR 2.86
JOPLIN RGNL ARPT 2.60
...OKLAHOMA...
HEALDTON 3 E 12.53
NEWPORT 11.52
BURNEYVILLE 10.09
SULPHUR 2.5 WSW 8.63
RINGLING 8.27
PAULS VALLEY MUNI ARPT 7.35
SULPHUR 7.09
MACOMB 5.2 ESE 5.82
MARIETTA 2.8 SW 5.57
ADA 0.3 NNW 5.45
WEWOKA 7.4 NNW 5.30
NORMAN 3.4 SE 3.61
OKLAHOMA CITY 11.5 S 2.64
MUSKOGEE/DAVIS FIELD AIRPORT 2.55
BARTLESVILLE MUNI ARPT 1.51
...TEXAS...
MONTAGUE 12.50
GANADO 1.5 W 11.77
KIRBYVILLE 1.5 SE 9.51
SEALY 0.3 WNW 9.17
ALICE INTL ARPT 9.03
EL CAMPO 0.5 ENE 8.57
VICTORIA 9 ESE 7.73
ROCKPORT 1.3 WSW 7.51
MANOR 4.7 WSW 7.30
WF SAN JACINTO 7.06
MANOR 5 WSW 7.01
LUFKIN/ANGELINA CO. ARPT 6.98
NAVASOTA 8 SE 6.73
FLOUR BLUFF 7 SW 6.59
ARANSAS PASS 1 SSE 6.46
SAN FELIPE 1.0 WNW 6.15
CORPUS CHRISTI 6.14
HEMPSTEAD 3.4 NNW 6.12
AUSTIN 4.2 ESE 5.80
ROCKPORT 4.36
SAN ANTONIO INTL ARPT 2.91
HOUSTON/INTERCONTINENTAL 2.51
FORT WORTH NAS 2.34
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT 400 AM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.
FORECASTER KONG
FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 19/0300Z 35.9N 93.8W
12HR VT 19/1200Z 36.0N 91.8W...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
24HR VT 20/0000Z 37.3N 88.8W...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
36HR VT 20/1200Z 38.1N 86.4W...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
48HR VT 21/0000Z 39.0N 82.5W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
72HR VT 22/0000Z 39.5N 70.5W...POST-TROPICAL
$$
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD AL022015
1000 PM CDT THU JUN 18 2015
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL CONTINUES TO TRACK WELL INLAND INTO
NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS...
SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...35.9N 93.8W
ABOUT 20 MILES...32 KM...E OF FAYETTEVILLE ARKANSAS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...20 MPH...30 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 75 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...16 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FROM EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN
KANSAS INTO NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI.
FLOOD WATCHES AND WARNINGS AS WELL AS FLASH FLOOD WATCHES REMAIN
IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF EASTERN AND SOUTHERN TEXAS...AND FROM
WESTERN LOUISIANA NORTHWARD INTO THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
VALLEY.
FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT http://WWW.WEATHER.GOV.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF BILL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 35.9 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 93.8 WEST. SATELLITE AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS CONTINUE TO SHOW A WELL-DEFINED CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL AS IT TRACKS
WELL INLAND INTO NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS THIS EVENING. IN
ADDITION...RAINBANDS REMAIN ACTIVE AROUND THE CENTER OF BILL
ALTHOUGH THEY HAVE BECOME SLIGHTLY LESS WELL-FORMED THIS EVENING.
THE CENTRAL PRESSURE OF BILL HAS RISEN SINCE YESTERDAY AND WIND
GUSTS HAVE MODERATED TO 30 MPH OR LESS. SOME SCATTERED BANDS OF
THUNDERSTORMS EXTEND FARTHER SOUTHWESTWARD INTO THE TEXAS GULF
COAST. BILL IS EXPECTED TO TRACK EAST-NORTHEASTWARD TOWARDS THE
OHIO VALLEY OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AND GRADUALLY LOSE
TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS AS IT BEGINS TO INTERACT WITH SLIGHTLY
COOLER AND DRIER AIR FROM THE NORTH.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 20 MPH...30 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.
HAZARDS
-------
RAINFALL...BILL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF 2 TO
5 INCHES ACROSS NORTHERN ARKANSAS...INTO SOUTHERN MISSOURI.
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS UP TO 8 INCHES MAY ALSO BE POSSIBLE. 2 TO
4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FARTHER NORTHEAST INTO THE OHIO RIVER
VALLEY. FARTHER SOUTH...ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE INTO PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN TEXAS. THESE RAINS MAY PRODUCE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.
RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 7 PM CDT
...ARKANSAS...
HARRISON/BOONE CO. ARPT 2.94
BENTONVILLE 2.61
SILOAM SPRINGS/SMITH FIELD 2.50
SPRINGFIELD/CAPITAL ARPT 2.49
MOUNTAIN HOME/BAXTER CO. ARPT 1.93
LONOKE 1.2 SSW 1.74
EVERTON 2.1 N 1.67
ST. JOE 2.7 WNW 1.64
ATKINS 1.0 NE 1.51
...ILLINOIS...
SCOTT AFB/BELLEVILLE 1.80
JACKSONVILLE 1.74
CARBONDALE/MURPHYSBORO 1.66
...INDIANA...
INDIANAPOLIS INTL ARPT 1.87
EVANSVILLE RGNL ARPT 1.81
...KANSAS...
COFFEYVILLE MUNI ARPT 3.64
COLLYER 2.1 SE 1.45
...LOUISIANA...
SHREVEPORT RGNL ARPT 4.79
BOSSIER CITY 6.7 NNW 3.84
SHREVEPORT 5.3 SSE 2.42
PLAIN DEALING 3.0 ESE 2.13
RUSTON 1.6 NW 1.85
...MISSOURI...
COLUMBIA RGNL ARPT 2.94
LITTON AGRI-SCI CNTR 2.86
JOPLIN RGNL ARPT 2.60
...OKLAHOMA...
HEALDTON 3 E 12.53
NEWPORT 11.52
BURNEYVILLE 10.09
SULPHUR 2.5 WSW 8.63
RINGLING 8.27
PAULS VALLEY MUNI ARPT 7.35
SULPHUR 7.09
MACOMB 5.2 ESE 5.82
MARIETTA 2.8 SW 5.57
ADA 0.3 NNW 5.45
WEWOKA 7.4 NNW 5.30
NORMAN 3.4 SE 3.61
OKLAHOMA CITY 11.5 S 2.64
MUSKOGEE/DAVIS FIELD AIRPORT 2.55
BARTLESVILLE MUNI ARPT 1.51
...TEXAS...
MONTAGUE 12.50
GANADO 1.5 W 11.77
KIRBYVILLE 1.5 SE 9.51
SEALY 0.3 WNW 9.17
ALICE INTL ARPT 9.03
EL CAMPO 0.5 ENE 8.57
VICTORIA 9 ESE 7.73
ROCKPORT 1.3 WSW 7.51
MANOR 4.7 WSW 7.30
WF SAN JACINTO 7.06
MANOR 5 WSW 7.01
LUFKIN/ANGELINA CO. ARPT 6.98
NAVASOTA 8 SE 6.73
FLOUR BLUFF 7 SW 6.59
ARANSAS PASS 1 SSE 6.46
SAN FELIPE 1.0 WNW 6.15
CORPUS CHRISTI 6.14
HEMPSTEAD 3.4 NNW 6.12
AUSTIN 4.2 ESE 5.80
ROCKPORT 4.36
SAN ANTONIO INTL ARPT 2.91
HOUSTON/INTERCONTINENTAL 2.51
FORT WORTH NAS 2.34
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT 400 AM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.
FORECASTER KONG
FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 19/0300Z 35.9N 93.8W
12HR VT 19/1200Z 36.0N 91.8W...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
24HR VT 20/0000Z 37.3N 88.8W...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
36HR VT 20/1200Z 38.1N 86.4W...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
48HR VT 21/0000Z 39.0N 82.5W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
72HR VT 22/0000Z 39.5N 70.5W...POST-TROPICAL
$$
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Re: ATL: BILL - Tropical Depression - Discussion
TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD EP022015
400 AM CDT FRI JUN 19 2015
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL CONTINUES TO TRACK WELL INLAND INTO
NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS...
SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...36.1N 93.0W
ABOUT 65 MILES...32 KM...E OF FAYETTEVILLE ARKANSAS.
ABOUT 60 MILES... KM...N OF RUSSELLVILLE ARKANSAS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...20 MPH...30 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 075 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...16 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT ACROSS SECTIONS OF
SOUTH-CENTRAL MO. ADDITIONALLY...ANOTHER FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS
BEEN ISSUED JUST NORTH OF ST. LOUIS MO. MEANWHILE...FLOOD WARNINGS
EXTEND ACROSS AREAS OF EASTERN TX/OK...LA...AND INTO PARTS OF
AR/MO. FARTHER NORTH AND EAST...FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT
ACROSS SECTIONS OF IL/IN/OH. FLASH FLOOD AND FLOOD WATCHES ARE
SPREAD ACROSS MUCH OF THE ARKLATEX AND INTO THE LOWER/MIDDLE MS
VALLEYS.
FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT http://WWW.WEATHER.GOV.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF BILL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 36.1 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 93.0 WEST. SATELLITE AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS CONTINUE TO SHOW A WELL-DEFINED CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL AS IT TRACKS
WELL INLAND INTO NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS EARLY THIS MORNING. IN
ADDITION...HEAVY RAINFALL CONTINUES WITH TWO SEPARATE AXES OF
ACTIVE CONVECTION. TO THE NORTH OF BILL...MODERATE TO HEAVY
RAINFALL WAS OCCURRING ALONG AND SOUTH OF A STATIONARY FRONT
ANCHORING CENTRAL MO/IL. MEANWHILE...MORE ORGANIZED THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY BEGAN TO DEVELOP ACROSS SOUTHERN AR WITH A MARKED
INCREASE IN THE CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING. THE CENTRAL PRESSURE OF
BILL HAS RISEN SINCE YESTERDAY AND WIND GUSTS HAVE MODERATED TO 25
MPH OR LESS. BILL IS EXPECTED TO TRACK EAST-NORTHEASTWARD TOWARDS
THE OHIO VALLEY OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AND GRADUALLY LOSE
TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS AS IT BEGINS TO INTERACT WITH SLIGHTLY
COOLER AND DRIER AIR TO THE NORTH.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 20 MPH...30 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
HAZARDS
-------
RAINFALL...BILL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF 1 TO
2 INCHES ACROSS AREAS OF ARKANSAS...INTO SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL
MISSOURI. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS UP TO 4 INCHES MAY ALSO BE
POSSIBLE. 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FARTHER EAST INTO THE TN AND
LOWER OH VALLEYS WHILE 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE MORE LIKELY TOWARD THE
CENTRAL APPALACHIANS AND MID-ATLANTIC REGION. THESE RAINS WILL
CONTINUE TO ENHANCE THE THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING...PARTICULARLY
IN REGIONS WHICH ARE ALREADY SATURATED FROM PREVIOUS HEAVY
RAINFALL.
RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 4 AM CDT
...ARKANSAS...
ROGERS/CARTER FIELD 3.30
SILOAM SPRINGS/SMITH FIELD 3.24
FAYETTEVILLE/SPRINGDALE 3.12
HARRISON/BOONE CO. ARPT 2.94
BENTONVILLE 2.82
TEXARKANA RGNL ARPT 2.67
SPRINGFIELD/CAPITAL ARPT 2.49
MOUNTAIN HOME/BAXTER CO. ARPT 1.93
LONOKE 1.2 SSW 1.74
EVERTON 2.1 N 1.67
ST. JOE 2.7 WNW 1.64
ATKINS 1.0 NE 1.51
...ILLINOIS...
ELBURN 4.45
SOUTH CAROL STREAM 4.11
BATAVIA 3.87
ROCHELLE 3.43
MANHATTAN 5 SSE 3.26
OAK PARK 1 SE 3.07
DIXON 2 SW 2.64
NORTH AURORA 2 E 2.23
GENEVA 2.10
ASHKUM 6 E 2.07
CARBONDALE/MURPHYSBORO 1.66
...INDIANA...
MOROCCO 3.70
INDIANAPOLIS INTL ARPT 1.92
EVANSVILLE RGNL ARPT 1.81
CHESTERTON 1.70
...KANSAS...
COFFEYVILLE MUNI ARPT 3.64
COLLYER 2.1 SE 1.45
...LOUISIANA...
SHREVEPORT RGNL ARPT 4.79
BOSSIER CITY 6.7 NNW 3.84
SHREVEPORT 5.3 SSE 2.42
PLAIN DEALING 3.0 ESE 2.13
RUSTON 1.6 NW 1.85
...MISSOURI...
SOUTH SPRINGFIELD 3.10
COLUMBIA RGNL ARPT 2.94
LITTON AGRI-SCI CNTR 2.86
JOPLIN RGNL ARPT 2.60
WHITESIDE 2 E 2.50
FORNEY AAF/FORT LEONARDWOOD 2.47
JEFFERSON CITY ARPT 2.27
KAISER/LAKE OZARK 2.08
...OKLAHOMA...
HEALDTON 3 E 12.53
NEWPORT 11.52
BURNEYVILLE 10.09
SULPHUR 2.5 WSW 8.63
RINGLING 8.27
PAULS VALLEY MUNI APRT 7.35
SULPHUR 7.09
MACOMB 5.2 ESE 5.82
MARIETTA 2.8 SW 5.57
ADA 0.3 NNW 5.45
WEWOKA 7.4 NNW 5.30
NORMAN 3.4 SE 3.61
OKLAHOMA CITY 11.5 S 2.64
MUSKOGEE/DAVIS FIELD AIRPORT 2.55
BARTLESVILLE MUNI ARPT 1.51
...TEXAS...
MONTAGUE 12.50
GANADO 1.5 W 11.77
KIRBYVILLE 1.5 SE 9.51
SEALY 0.3 WNW 9.17
ALICE INTL ARPT 9.03
EL CAMPO 0.5 ENE 8.57
VICTORIA 9 ESE 7.73
ROCKPORT 1.3 WSW 7.51
MANOR 4.7 WSW 7.30
WF SAN JACINTO 7.06
LUFKIN/ANGELINA CO ARPT 6.98
NAVASOTA 8 SE 6.73
FLOUR BLUFF 7 SW 6.59
ARANSAS PASS 1 SSE 6.46
SAN FELIPE 1.0 WNW 6.15
CORPUS CHRISTI 6.14
HEMPSTEAD 3.4 NNW 6.12
AUSTIN 4.2 ESE 5.80
ROCKPORT 4.36
SAN ANTONIO INTL ARPT 2.91
HOUSTON/INTERCONTINENTAL 2.51
FORT WORTH NAS 2.34
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT 1000 AM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.
FORECASTER RUBIN-OSTER
FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 19/0900Z 36.1N 93.0W
12HR VT 19/1800Z 36.3N 91.3W...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
24HR VT 20/0600Z 37.0N 88.7W...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
36HR VT 20/1800Z 38.2N 84.6W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
48HR VT 21/0600Z 38.8N 78.7W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
72HR VT 22/0600Z 40.4N 68.0W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
$$
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD EP022015
400 AM CDT FRI JUN 19 2015
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL CONTINUES TO TRACK WELL INLAND INTO
NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS...
SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...36.1N 93.0W
ABOUT 65 MILES...32 KM...E OF FAYETTEVILLE ARKANSAS.
ABOUT 60 MILES... KM...N OF RUSSELLVILLE ARKANSAS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...20 MPH...30 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 075 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...16 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT ACROSS SECTIONS OF
SOUTH-CENTRAL MO. ADDITIONALLY...ANOTHER FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS
BEEN ISSUED JUST NORTH OF ST. LOUIS MO. MEANWHILE...FLOOD WARNINGS
EXTEND ACROSS AREAS OF EASTERN TX/OK...LA...AND INTO PARTS OF
AR/MO. FARTHER NORTH AND EAST...FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT
ACROSS SECTIONS OF IL/IN/OH. FLASH FLOOD AND FLOOD WATCHES ARE
SPREAD ACROSS MUCH OF THE ARKLATEX AND INTO THE LOWER/MIDDLE MS
VALLEYS.
FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT http://WWW.WEATHER.GOV.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF BILL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 36.1 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 93.0 WEST. SATELLITE AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS CONTINUE TO SHOW A WELL-DEFINED CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL AS IT TRACKS
WELL INLAND INTO NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS EARLY THIS MORNING. IN
ADDITION...HEAVY RAINFALL CONTINUES WITH TWO SEPARATE AXES OF
ACTIVE CONVECTION. TO THE NORTH OF BILL...MODERATE TO HEAVY
RAINFALL WAS OCCURRING ALONG AND SOUTH OF A STATIONARY FRONT
ANCHORING CENTRAL MO/IL. MEANWHILE...MORE ORGANIZED THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY BEGAN TO DEVELOP ACROSS SOUTHERN AR WITH A MARKED
INCREASE IN THE CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING. THE CENTRAL PRESSURE OF
BILL HAS RISEN SINCE YESTERDAY AND WIND GUSTS HAVE MODERATED TO 25
MPH OR LESS. BILL IS EXPECTED TO TRACK EAST-NORTHEASTWARD TOWARDS
THE OHIO VALLEY OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AND GRADUALLY LOSE
TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS AS IT BEGINS TO INTERACT WITH SLIGHTLY
COOLER AND DRIER AIR TO THE NORTH.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 20 MPH...30 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
HAZARDS
-------
RAINFALL...BILL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF 1 TO
2 INCHES ACROSS AREAS OF ARKANSAS...INTO SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL
MISSOURI. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS UP TO 4 INCHES MAY ALSO BE
POSSIBLE. 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FARTHER EAST INTO THE TN AND
LOWER OH VALLEYS WHILE 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE MORE LIKELY TOWARD THE
CENTRAL APPALACHIANS AND MID-ATLANTIC REGION. THESE RAINS WILL
CONTINUE TO ENHANCE THE THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING...PARTICULARLY
IN REGIONS WHICH ARE ALREADY SATURATED FROM PREVIOUS HEAVY
RAINFALL.
RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 4 AM CDT
...ARKANSAS...
ROGERS/CARTER FIELD 3.30
SILOAM SPRINGS/SMITH FIELD 3.24
FAYETTEVILLE/SPRINGDALE 3.12
HARRISON/BOONE CO. ARPT 2.94
BENTONVILLE 2.82
TEXARKANA RGNL ARPT 2.67
SPRINGFIELD/CAPITAL ARPT 2.49
MOUNTAIN HOME/BAXTER CO. ARPT 1.93
LONOKE 1.2 SSW 1.74
EVERTON 2.1 N 1.67
ST. JOE 2.7 WNW 1.64
ATKINS 1.0 NE 1.51
...ILLINOIS...
ELBURN 4.45
SOUTH CAROL STREAM 4.11
BATAVIA 3.87
ROCHELLE 3.43
MANHATTAN 5 SSE 3.26
OAK PARK 1 SE 3.07
DIXON 2 SW 2.64
NORTH AURORA 2 E 2.23
GENEVA 2.10
ASHKUM 6 E 2.07
CARBONDALE/MURPHYSBORO 1.66
...INDIANA...
MOROCCO 3.70
INDIANAPOLIS INTL ARPT 1.92
EVANSVILLE RGNL ARPT 1.81
CHESTERTON 1.70
...KANSAS...
COFFEYVILLE MUNI ARPT 3.64
COLLYER 2.1 SE 1.45
...LOUISIANA...
SHREVEPORT RGNL ARPT 4.79
BOSSIER CITY 6.7 NNW 3.84
SHREVEPORT 5.3 SSE 2.42
PLAIN DEALING 3.0 ESE 2.13
RUSTON 1.6 NW 1.85
...MISSOURI...
SOUTH SPRINGFIELD 3.10
COLUMBIA RGNL ARPT 2.94
LITTON AGRI-SCI CNTR 2.86
JOPLIN RGNL ARPT 2.60
WHITESIDE 2 E 2.50
FORNEY AAF/FORT LEONARDWOOD 2.47
JEFFERSON CITY ARPT 2.27
KAISER/LAKE OZARK 2.08
...OKLAHOMA...
HEALDTON 3 E 12.53
NEWPORT 11.52
BURNEYVILLE 10.09
SULPHUR 2.5 WSW 8.63
RINGLING 8.27
PAULS VALLEY MUNI APRT 7.35
SULPHUR 7.09
MACOMB 5.2 ESE 5.82
MARIETTA 2.8 SW 5.57
ADA 0.3 NNW 5.45
WEWOKA 7.4 NNW 5.30
NORMAN 3.4 SE 3.61
OKLAHOMA CITY 11.5 S 2.64
MUSKOGEE/DAVIS FIELD AIRPORT 2.55
BARTLESVILLE MUNI ARPT 1.51
...TEXAS...
MONTAGUE 12.50
GANADO 1.5 W 11.77
KIRBYVILLE 1.5 SE 9.51
SEALY 0.3 WNW 9.17
ALICE INTL ARPT 9.03
EL CAMPO 0.5 ENE 8.57
VICTORIA 9 ESE 7.73
ROCKPORT 1.3 WSW 7.51
MANOR 4.7 WSW 7.30
WF SAN JACINTO 7.06
LUFKIN/ANGELINA CO ARPT 6.98
NAVASOTA 8 SE 6.73
FLOUR BLUFF 7 SW 6.59
ARANSAS PASS 1 SSE 6.46
SAN FELIPE 1.0 WNW 6.15
CORPUS CHRISTI 6.14
HEMPSTEAD 3.4 NNW 6.12
AUSTIN 4.2 ESE 5.80
ROCKPORT 4.36
SAN ANTONIO INTL ARPT 2.91
HOUSTON/INTERCONTINENTAL 2.51
FORT WORTH NAS 2.34
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT 1000 AM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.
FORECASTER RUBIN-OSTER
FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 19/0900Z 36.1N 93.0W
12HR VT 19/1800Z 36.3N 91.3W...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
24HR VT 20/0600Z 37.0N 88.7W...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
36HR VT 20/1800Z 38.2N 84.6W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
48HR VT 21/0600Z 38.8N 78.7W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
72HR VT 22/0600Z 40.4N 68.0W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
$$
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cycloneye
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Re: ATL: BILL - Tropical Depression - Discussion
TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD AL022015
1000 AM CDT FRI JUN 19 2015
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL CONTINUES TO TRACK THROUGH NORTHERN
ARKANSAS...
SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...36.3N 91.4W
ABOUT 117 MILES...188 KM...NE OF LITTLE ROCK ARKANSAS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...25 MPH...40 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 75 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...32 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT ACROSS SECTIONS OF
SOUTHERN MISSOURI AND EASTERN ILLINOIS. MEANWHILE...FLOOD WARNINGS
EXTEND ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND CENTRAL TEXAS...NORTHEASTERN
OKLAHOMA...LOUISIANA...AND INTO PARTS OF ARKANSAS...MISSOURI...AND
ILLINOIS. FARTHER NORTH AND EAST...FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT
ACROSS SECTIONS OF ILLINOIS...INDIANA...AND OHIO. FLASH FLOOD AND
FLOOD WATCHES ARE SPREAD ACROSS MUCH OF THE LOWER AND MIDDLE
MISSISSIPPI VALLEYS AND OHIO VALLEY.
FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT http://WWW.WEATHER.GOV.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF BILL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 36.3 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 91.4 WEST. SATELLITE AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS CONTINUE TO SHOW A WELL-DEFINED CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL AS IT TRACKS
WELL INLAND ACROSS NORTHERN ARKANSAS THIS MORNING. IN
ADDITION...MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL CONTINUES WITH TWO SEPARATE
AXES OF ACTIVE CONVECTION. TO THE NORTH OF BILL...MODERATE TO
HEAVY RAINFALL WAS ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY ALONG THE STATIONARY
FRONT. NEAR THE CENTER OF BILL...LIGHT TO MODERATE RAINFALL WAS
BEING REPORTED. REPORTED WIND GUSTS NEAR THE CENTER OF BILL WERE
MEASURED AT 26 MPH OR LESS. BILL IS EXPECTED TO TRACK
EAST-NORTHEASTWARD TOWARDS THE OHIO VALLEY OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS AND GRADUALLY LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS AS IT BEGINS TO
INTERACT WITH SLIGHTLY COOLER AND DRIER AIR TO THE NORTH.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 25 MPH...40 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
HAZARDS
-------
RAINFALL...BILL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF 1 TO
2 INCHES ACROSS AREAS OF ARKANSAS...INTO SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL
MISSOURI. 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FARTHER EAST INTO THE
TENNESSEE AND OHIO VALLEYS WHILE 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE MORE LIKELY
TOWARD THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS AND MID-ATLANTIC REGION. THESE
RAINS WILL CONTINUE TO ENHANCE THE THREAT FOR FLASH
FLOODING...PARTICULARLY IN REGIONS WHICH ARE ALREADY SATURATED
FROM PREVIOUS HEAVY RAINFALL.
RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 7 AM CDT
...ARKANSAS...
ROGERS 2.1 SE 4.42
DELIGHT 2.2 WNW 3.74
SPRINGDALE 6.4 WSW 3.31
SILOAM SPRINGS/SMITH FIELD 3.24
FAYETTEVILLE/SPRINGDALE 3.12
HARRISON/BOONE CO. ARPT 2.94
BENTONVILLE 2.82
TEXARKANA RGNL ARPT 2.67
EUREKA SPRINGS 4.0 WNW 2.62
SPRINGFIELD/CAPITAL ARPT 2.49
MOUNTAIN HOME/BAXTER CO. ARPT 1.93
LONOKE 1.2 SSW 1.74
EVERTON 2.1 N 1.67
ST. JOE 2.7 WNW 1.64
ATKINS 1.0 NE 1.51
...ILLINOIS...
SULLIVAN 3 S 4.89
ALLENVILLE 1 S 4.50
ELBURN 4.45
SOUTH CAROL STREAM 4.11
BATAVIA 3.87
ROCHELLE 3.43
MANHATTAN 5 SSE 3.26
OAK PARK 1 SE 3.07
MATTOON 3.03
DIXON 2 SW 2.64
NEWTON 2.58
TUSCOLA 2.29
NORTH AURORA 2 E 2.23
STE. MARIE 2.11
GENEVA 2.10
...INDIANA...
MOROCCO 3.70
NEW ROSS 2 E 2.87
ANDERSON 5 NW 2.30
INDIANAPOLIS INTL ARPT 1.92
EVANSVILLE RGNL ARPT 1.81
CHESTERTON 1.70
...KANSAS...
COFFEYVILLE MUNI ARPT 3.64
COLLYER 2.1 SE 1.45
...LOUISIANA...
SHREVEPORT RGNL ARPT 4.79
BOSSIER CITY 6.7 NNW 3.84
SHREVEPORT 5.3 SSE 2.42
PLAIN DEALING 3.0 ESE 2.13
RUSTON 1.6 NW 1.85
...MISSOURI...
SPRINGFIELD 7 S 5.50
MARSHFIELD 3.6 S 5.48
NIXA 2.7 SSW 4.72
NIANGUA 4.37
SOUTH SPRINGFIELD 3.10
COLUMBIA RGNL ARPT 2.94
LITTON AGRI-SCI CNTR 2.86
JOPLIN RGNL ARPT 2.60
WHITESIDE 2 E 2.50
FORNEY AAF/FORT LEONARDWOOD 2.47
MIDDLETOWN 4 SW 2.34
JEFFERSON CITY ARPT 2.27
KAISER/LAKE OZARK 2.08
...OKLAHOMA...
HEALDTON 3 E 12.53
NEWPORT 11.52
BURNEYVILLE 10.09
SULPHUR 2.5 WSW 8.63
RINGLING 8.27
PAULS VALLEY MUNI APRT 7.35
SULPHUR 7.09
MACOMB 5.2 ESE 5.82
MARIETTA 2.8 SW 5.57
ADA 0.3 NNW 5.45
WEWOKA 7.4 NNW 5.30
NORMAN 3.4 SE 3.61
OKLAHOMA CITY 11.5 S 2.64
MUSKOGEE/DAVIS FIELD AIRPORT 2.55
BARTLESVILLE MUNI ARPT 1.51
...TEXAS...
MONTAGUE 12.50
GANADO 1.5 W 11.77
KIRBYVILLE 1.5 SE 9.51
SEALY 0.3 WNW 9.17
ALICE INTL ARPT 9.03
EL CAMPO 0.5 ENE 8.57
VICTORIA 9 ESE 7.73
ROCKPORT 1.3 WSW 7.51
MANOR 4.7 WSW 7.30
WF SAN JACINTO 7.06
LUFKIN/ANGELINA CO ARPT 6.98
NAVASOTA 8 SE 6.73
FLOUR BLUFF 7 SW 6.59
ARANSAS PASS 1 SSE 6.46
SAN FELIPE 1.0 WNW 6.15
CORPUS CHRISTI 6.14
AUSTIN 4.2 ESE 5.80
SAN ANTONIO INTL ARPT 2.91
HOUSTON/INTERCONTINENTAL 2.51
FORT WORTH NAS 2.34
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT 400 PM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.
FORECASTER FANNING
FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 19/1500Z 36.3N 91.4W
12HR VT 20/0000Z 36.9N 89.8W...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
24HR VT 20/1200Z 37.9N 87.0W...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
36HR VT 21/0000Z 39.0N 82.4W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
48HR VT 21/1200Z 39.2N 77.8W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
$$
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD AL022015
1000 AM CDT FRI JUN 19 2015
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL CONTINUES TO TRACK THROUGH NORTHERN
ARKANSAS...
SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...36.3N 91.4W
ABOUT 117 MILES...188 KM...NE OF LITTLE ROCK ARKANSAS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...25 MPH...40 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 75 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...32 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT ACROSS SECTIONS OF
SOUTHERN MISSOURI AND EASTERN ILLINOIS. MEANWHILE...FLOOD WARNINGS
EXTEND ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND CENTRAL TEXAS...NORTHEASTERN
OKLAHOMA...LOUISIANA...AND INTO PARTS OF ARKANSAS...MISSOURI...AND
ILLINOIS. FARTHER NORTH AND EAST...FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT
ACROSS SECTIONS OF ILLINOIS...INDIANA...AND OHIO. FLASH FLOOD AND
FLOOD WATCHES ARE SPREAD ACROSS MUCH OF THE LOWER AND MIDDLE
MISSISSIPPI VALLEYS AND OHIO VALLEY.
FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT http://WWW.WEATHER.GOV.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF BILL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 36.3 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 91.4 WEST. SATELLITE AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS CONTINUE TO SHOW A WELL-DEFINED CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL AS IT TRACKS
WELL INLAND ACROSS NORTHERN ARKANSAS THIS MORNING. IN
ADDITION...MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL CONTINUES WITH TWO SEPARATE
AXES OF ACTIVE CONVECTION. TO THE NORTH OF BILL...MODERATE TO
HEAVY RAINFALL WAS ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY ALONG THE STATIONARY
FRONT. NEAR THE CENTER OF BILL...LIGHT TO MODERATE RAINFALL WAS
BEING REPORTED. REPORTED WIND GUSTS NEAR THE CENTER OF BILL WERE
MEASURED AT 26 MPH OR LESS. BILL IS EXPECTED TO TRACK
EAST-NORTHEASTWARD TOWARDS THE OHIO VALLEY OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS AND GRADUALLY LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS AS IT BEGINS TO
INTERACT WITH SLIGHTLY COOLER AND DRIER AIR TO THE NORTH.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 25 MPH...40 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
HAZARDS
-------
RAINFALL...BILL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF 1 TO
2 INCHES ACROSS AREAS OF ARKANSAS...INTO SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL
MISSOURI. 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FARTHER EAST INTO THE
TENNESSEE AND OHIO VALLEYS WHILE 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE MORE LIKELY
TOWARD THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS AND MID-ATLANTIC REGION. THESE
RAINS WILL CONTINUE TO ENHANCE THE THREAT FOR FLASH
FLOODING...PARTICULARLY IN REGIONS WHICH ARE ALREADY SATURATED
FROM PREVIOUS HEAVY RAINFALL.
RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 7 AM CDT
...ARKANSAS...
ROGERS 2.1 SE 4.42
DELIGHT 2.2 WNW 3.74
SPRINGDALE 6.4 WSW 3.31
SILOAM SPRINGS/SMITH FIELD 3.24
FAYETTEVILLE/SPRINGDALE 3.12
HARRISON/BOONE CO. ARPT 2.94
BENTONVILLE 2.82
TEXARKANA RGNL ARPT 2.67
EUREKA SPRINGS 4.0 WNW 2.62
SPRINGFIELD/CAPITAL ARPT 2.49
MOUNTAIN HOME/BAXTER CO. ARPT 1.93
LONOKE 1.2 SSW 1.74
EVERTON 2.1 N 1.67
ST. JOE 2.7 WNW 1.64
ATKINS 1.0 NE 1.51
...ILLINOIS...
SULLIVAN 3 S 4.89
ALLENVILLE 1 S 4.50
ELBURN 4.45
SOUTH CAROL STREAM 4.11
BATAVIA 3.87
ROCHELLE 3.43
MANHATTAN 5 SSE 3.26
OAK PARK 1 SE 3.07
MATTOON 3.03
DIXON 2 SW 2.64
NEWTON 2.58
TUSCOLA 2.29
NORTH AURORA 2 E 2.23
STE. MARIE 2.11
GENEVA 2.10
...INDIANA...
MOROCCO 3.70
NEW ROSS 2 E 2.87
ANDERSON 5 NW 2.30
INDIANAPOLIS INTL ARPT 1.92
EVANSVILLE RGNL ARPT 1.81
CHESTERTON 1.70
...KANSAS...
COFFEYVILLE MUNI ARPT 3.64
COLLYER 2.1 SE 1.45
...LOUISIANA...
SHREVEPORT RGNL ARPT 4.79
BOSSIER CITY 6.7 NNW 3.84
SHREVEPORT 5.3 SSE 2.42
PLAIN DEALING 3.0 ESE 2.13
RUSTON 1.6 NW 1.85
...MISSOURI...
SPRINGFIELD 7 S 5.50
MARSHFIELD 3.6 S 5.48
NIXA 2.7 SSW 4.72
NIANGUA 4.37
SOUTH SPRINGFIELD 3.10
COLUMBIA RGNL ARPT 2.94
LITTON AGRI-SCI CNTR 2.86
JOPLIN RGNL ARPT 2.60
WHITESIDE 2 E 2.50
FORNEY AAF/FORT LEONARDWOOD 2.47
MIDDLETOWN 4 SW 2.34
JEFFERSON CITY ARPT 2.27
KAISER/LAKE OZARK 2.08
...OKLAHOMA...
HEALDTON 3 E 12.53
NEWPORT 11.52
BURNEYVILLE 10.09
SULPHUR 2.5 WSW 8.63
RINGLING 8.27
PAULS VALLEY MUNI APRT 7.35
SULPHUR 7.09
MACOMB 5.2 ESE 5.82
MARIETTA 2.8 SW 5.57
ADA 0.3 NNW 5.45
WEWOKA 7.4 NNW 5.30
NORMAN 3.4 SE 3.61
OKLAHOMA CITY 11.5 S 2.64
MUSKOGEE/DAVIS FIELD AIRPORT 2.55
BARTLESVILLE MUNI ARPT 1.51
...TEXAS...
MONTAGUE 12.50
GANADO 1.5 W 11.77
KIRBYVILLE 1.5 SE 9.51
SEALY 0.3 WNW 9.17
ALICE INTL ARPT 9.03
EL CAMPO 0.5 ENE 8.57
VICTORIA 9 ESE 7.73
ROCKPORT 1.3 WSW 7.51
MANOR 4.7 WSW 7.30
WF SAN JACINTO 7.06
LUFKIN/ANGELINA CO ARPT 6.98
NAVASOTA 8 SE 6.73
FLOUR BLUFF 7 SW 6.59
ARANSAS PASS 1 SSE 6.46
SAN FELIPE 1.0 WNW 6.15
CORPUS CHRISTI 6.14
AUSTIN 4.2 ESE 5.80
SAN ANTONIO INTL ARPT 2.91
HOUSTON/INTERCONTINENTAL 2.51
FORT WORTH NAS 2.34
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT 400 PM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.
FORECASTER FANNING
FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 19/1500Z 36.3N 91.4W
12HR VT 20/0000Z 36.9N 89.8W...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
24HR VT 20/1200Z 37.9N 87.0W...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
36HR VT 21/0000Z 39.0N 82.4W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
48HR VT 21/1200Z 39.2N 77.8W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
$$
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tolakram
- Admin
- Posts: 19165
- Age: 60
- Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
- Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)
Re: ATL: BILL - Tropical Depression - Discussion
In SE MS at the moment, heading to my area.
http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/get-goes?satellite=GOES-E%20CONUS&lat=38&lon=-88&info=vis&zoom=1&width=3000&height=2000&type=Animation&quality=95&palette=ir1.pal&numframes=5
http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/get-goes?satellite=GOES-E%20CONUS&lat=38&lon=-88&info=vis&zoom=1&width=3000&height=2000&type=Animation&quality=95&palette=ir1.pal&numframes=5
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M a r k
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northjaxpro
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- Location: Jacksonville, FL
The structure of Bill is still remarkably well intact. It has really maintained itself very well on its trek through Eastern TX, OK, AR and now currently over SE Missouri, moving east-northeast. A very vigorous Low Pressure system no question about it.
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NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!
________________________________________________________________________________________
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WeatherGuesser
- Category 5
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Re: ATL: BILL - Tropical Depression - Discussion
Center looks to be around Wayne County, MO - just SW of Cape Girardeau.
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cycloneye
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Re: ATL: BILL - Tropical Depression - Discussion
TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD AL022015
400 PM CDT FRI JUN 19 2015
...TENACIOUS TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL MOVING INTO SOUTHEASTERN
MISSOURI...
SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...37.1N 90.1W
ABOUT 30 MILES...50 KM...W OF CAPE GIRARDEAU MISSOURI.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...25 MPH...40 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 75 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FROM EASTERN MISSOURI
EASTWARD INTO SOUTH-CENTRAL ILLINOIS. MEANWHILE...FLASH FLOOD AND
FLOOD WATCHES EXTEND FROM NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA EASTWARD ALONG THE
OHIO VALLEY...ACROSS THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS AND INTO THE
NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC.
FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT http://WWW.WEATHER.GOV.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF BILL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 37.1 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 90.1 WEST. AFTER SPENDING
THREE DAYS OVER LAND...TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL CONTINUES TO
MAINTAIN A WELL-DEFINED CYCLONIC CIRCULATION AS IT TRACKS WELL
INLAND OVER SATURATED GROUNDS RESULTING FROM ANTECEDENT HEAVY
RAINS. SATELLITE IMAGES CONTINUE TO SHOW DECENT CONVECTION AROUND
THE CENTER OF BILL ALONG WITH A PROMINENT UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW
CHANNEL TO THE NORTH. RADAR IMAGES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SHOW
THAT RAINBANDS HAVE BECOME MORE ACTIVE SINCE THIS MORNING TO THE
SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER...WHERE PEAK GUSTS HAVE INCREASED TO OVER
40 MPH. IN ADDITION...THE CENTRAL PRESSURE HAS DECREASED SINCE
EARLY THIS MORNING. BILL IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING
EAST-NORTHEASTWARD UP THE OHIO VALLEY TONIGHT AND TOMORROW...AND
INTO THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS BEFORE LOSING TROPICAL
CHARACTERISTICS. THEREAFTER...BILL COULD BRIEFLY RESTRENGTHEN
WHEN IT MOVES DOWN THE LEE SIDE OF THE APPALACHIANS ON SUNDAY AS A
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC AND SOUTHERN
NEW ENGLAND COAST.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 25 MPH...40 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.
HAZARDS
-------
RAINFALL...BILL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL 2 TO 4 INCHES OF
RAIN UP ALONG THE OHIO VALLEY INTO WEST VIRGINIA WHILE 1 TO 3
INCHES ARE EXPECTED FARTHER EAST INTO THE NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC
REGION. THESE RAINS WILL CONTINUE TO ENHANCE THE THREAT FOR FLASH
FLOODING...PARTICULARLY IN REGIONS WHICH ARE ALREADY SATURATED
FROM PREVIOUS HEAVY RAINFALL.
RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 1 PM CDT
...ARKANSAS...
ROGERS 2.1 SE 4.42
BENTONVILLE 4.27
FAYETTEVILLE/SPRINGDALE 4.03
HARRISON/BOONE CO. ARPT 3.85
DELIGHT 2.2 WNW 3.74
SPRINGDALE 6.4 WSW 3.31
SILOAM SPRINGS/SMITH FIELD 3.24
TEXARKANA RGNL ARPT 2.67
EUREKA SPRINGS 4.0 WNW 2.62
SPRINGFIELD/CAPITAL ARPT 2.49
...ILLINOIS...
SCOTT AFB/BELLEVILLE 4.98
SULLIVAN 3 S 4.89
ALLENVILLE 1 S 4.50
ELBURN 4.45
SOUTH CAROL STREAM 4.11
BATAVIA 3.87
ROCHELLE 3.43
MANHATTAN 5 SSE 3.26
OAK PARK 1 SE 3.07
MATTOON 3.03
DIXON 2 SW 2.64
NEWTON 2.58
TUSCOLA 2.29
NORTH AURORA 2 E 2.23
STE. MARIE 2.11
GENEVA 2.10
...INDIANA...
GRISSOM AFB/PERU 6.72
FORT WAYNE/BAER FIELD 4.49
BLOOMINGTON/MONROE CO. ARPT 3.87
MOROCCO 3.70
MUNCIE/JOHNSON FIELD 3.15
NEW ROSS 2 E 2.87
ANDERSON 5 NW 2.30
INDIANAPOLIS INTL ARPT 1.92
EVANSVILLE RGNL ARPT 1.81
CHESTERTON 1.70
...KANSAS...
COFFEYVILLE MUNI ARPT 3.64
OLATHE/JOHNSON 1.79
COLLYER 2.1 SE 1.45
...LOUISIANA...
SHREVEPORT RGNL ARPT 4.79
BOSSIER CITY 6.7 NNW 3.84
SHREVEPORT 5.3 SSE 2.42
PLAIN DEALING 3.0 ESE 2.13
RUSTON 1.6 NW 1.85
...MISSOURI...
SPRINGFIELD 7 S 5.50
MARSHFIELD 3.6 S 5.48
NIXA 2.7 SSW 4.72
NIANGUA 4.37
FORNEY AAF/FORT LEONARDWOOD 4.21
SOUTH SPRINGFIELD 3.10
COLUMBIA RGNL ARPT 2.94
LITTON AGRI-SCI CNTR 2.86
JOPLIN RGNL ARPT 2.60
WHITESIDE 2 E 2.50
MIDDLETOWN 4 SW 2.34
JEFFERSON CITY ARPT 2.27
KAISER/LAKE OZARK 2.08
...OKLAHOMA...
HEALDTON 3 E 12.53
NEWPORT 11.52
BURNEYVILLE 10.09
SULPHUR 2.5 WSW 8.63
RINGLING 8.27
PAULS VALLEY MUNI APRT 7.35
SULPHUR 7.09
MACOMB 5.2 ESE 5.82
MARIETTA 2.8 SW 5.57
ADA 0.3 NNW 5.45
WEWOKA 7.4 NNW 5.30
NORMAN 3.4 SE 3.61
OKLAHOMA CITY 11.5 S 2.64
MUSKOGEE/DAVIS FIELD AIRPORT 2.55
BARTLESVILLE MUNI ARPT 1.51
...TEXAS...
MONTAGUE 12.50
GANADO 1.5 W 11.77
KIRBYVILLE 1.5 SE 9.51
SEALY 0.3 WNW 9.17
ALICE INTL ARPT 9.03
EL CAMPO 0.5 ENE 8.57
VICTORIA 9 ESE 7.73
ROCKPORT 1.3 WSW 7.51
MANOR 4.7 WSW 7.30
WF SAN JACINTO 7.06
LUFKIN/ANGELINA CO ARPT 6.98
NAVASOTA 8 SE 6.73
FLOUR BLUFF 7 SW 6.59
ARANSAS PASS 1 SSE 6.46
SAN FELIPE 1.0 WNW 6.15
CORPUS CHRISTI 6.14
AUSTIN 4.2 ESE 5.80
SAN ANTONIO INTL ARPT 2.91
HOUSTON/INTERCONTINENTAL 2.51
FORT WORTH NAS 2.34
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT 1000 PM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.
FORECASTER KONG
FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 19/2100Z 37.1N 90.1W
12HR VT 20/0600Z 37.5N 88.3W...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
24HR VT 20/1800Z 38.8N 83.9W...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
36HR VT 21/0600Z 39.2N 78.2W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
48HR VT 21/1800Z 40.9N 72.7W...EXTRATROPICAL
72HR VT 22/1800Z 43.0N 60.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
$$
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD AL022015
400 PM CDT FRI JUN 19 2015
...TENACIOUS TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL MOVING INTO SOUTHEASTERN
MISSOURI...
SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...37.1N 90.1W
ABOUT 30 MILES...50 KM...W OF CAPE GIRARDEAU MISSOURI.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...25 MPH...40 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 75 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FROM EASTERN MISSOURI
EASTWARD INTO SOUTH-CENTRAL ILLINOIS. MEANWHILE...FLASH FLOOD AND
FLOOD WATCHES EXTEND FROM NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA EASTWARD ALONG THE
OHIO VALLEY...ACROSS THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS AND INTO THE
NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC.
FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT http://WWW.WEATHER.GOV.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF BILL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 37.1 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 90.1 WEST. AFTER SPENDING
THREE DAYS OVER LAND...TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL CONTINUES TO
MAINTAIN A WELL-DEFINED CYCLONIC CIRCULATION AS IT TRACKS WELL
INLAND OVER SATURATED GROUNDS RESULTING FROM ANTECEDENT HEAVY
RAINS. SATELLITE IMAGES CONTINUE TO SHOW DECENT CONVECTION AROUND
THE CENTER OF BILL ALONG WITH A PROMINENT UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW
CHANNEL TO THE NORTH. RADAR IMAGES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SHOW
THAT RAINBANDS HAVE BECOME MORE ACTIVE SINCE THIS MORNING TO THE
SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER...WHERE PEAK GUSTS HAVE INCREASED TO OVER
40 MPH. IN ADDITION...THE CENTRAL PRESSURE HAS DECREASED SINCE
EARLY THIS MORNING. BILL IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING
EAST-NORTHEASTWARD UP THE OHIO VALLEY TONIGHT AND TOMORROW...AND
INTO THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS BEFORE LOSING TROPICAL
CHARACTERISTICS. THEREAFTER...BILL COULD BRIEFLY RESTRENGTHEN
WHEN IT MOVES DOWN THE LEE SIDE OF THE APPALACHIANS ON SUNDAY AS A
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC AND SOUTHERN
NEW ENGLAND COAST.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 25 MPH...40 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.
HAZARDS
-------
RAINFALL...BILL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL 2 TO 4 INCHES OF
RAIN UP ALONG THE OHIO VALLEY INTO WEST VIRGINIA WHILE 1 TO 3
INCHES ARE EXPECTED FARTHER EAST INTO THE NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC
REGION. THESE RAINS WILL CONTINUE TO ENHANCE THE THREAT FOR FLASH
FLOODING...PARTICULARLY IN REGIONS WHICH ARE ALREADY SATURATED
FROM PREVIOUS HEAVY RAINFALL.
RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 1 PM CDT
...ARKANSAS...
ROGERS 2.1 SE 4.42
BENTONVILLE 4.27
FAYETTEVILLE/SPRINGDALE 4.03
HARRISON/BOONE CO. ARPT 3.85
DELIGHT 2.2 WNW 3.74
SPRINGDALE 6.4 WSW 3.31
SILOAM SPRINGS/SMITH FIELD 3.24
TEXARKANA RGNL ARPT 2.67
EUREKA SPRINGS 4.0 WNW 2.62
SPRINGFIELD/CAPITAL ARPT 2.49
...ILLINOIS...
SCOTT AFB/BELLEVILLE 4.98
SULLIVAN 3 S 4.89
ALLENVILLE 1 S 4.50
ELBURN 4.45
SOUTH CAROL STREAM 4.11
BATAVIA 3.87
ROCHELLE 3.43
MANHATTAN 5 SSE 3.26
OAK PARK 1 SE 3.07
MATTOON 3.03
DIXON 2 SW 2.64
NEWTON 2.58
TUSCOLA 2.29
NORTH AURORA 2 E 2.23
STE. MARIE 2.11
GENEVA 2.10
...INDIANA...
GRISSOM AFB/PERU 6.72
FORT WAYNE/BAER FIELD 4.49
BLOOMINGTON/MONROE CO. ARPT 3.87
MOROCCO 3.70
MUNCIE/JOHNSON FIELD 3.15
NEW ROSS 2 E 2.87
ANDERSON 5 NW 2.30
INDIANAPOLIS INTL ARPT 1.92
EVANSVILLE RGNL ARPT 1.81
CHESTERTON 1.70
...KANSAS...
COFFEYVILLE MUNI ARPT 3.64
OLATHE/JOHNSON 1.79
COLLYER 2.1 SE 1.45
...LOUISIANA...
SHREVEPORT RGNL ARPT 4.79
BOSSIER CITY 6.7 NNW 3.84
SHREVEPORT 5.3 SSE 2.42
PLAIN DEALING 3.0 ESE 2.13
RUSTON 1.6 NW 1.85
...MISSOURI...
SPRINGFIELD 7 S 5.50
MARSHFIELD 3.6 S 5.48
NIXA 2.7 SSW 4.72
NIANGUA 4.37
FORNEY AAF/FORT LEONARDWOOD 4.21
SOUTH SPRINGFIELD 3.10
COLUMBIA RGNL ARPT 2.94
LITTON AGRI-SCI CNTR 2.86
JOPLIN RGNL ARPT 2.60
WHITESIDE 2 E 2.50
MIDDLETOWN 4 SW 2.34
JEFFERSON CITY ARPT 2.27
KAISER/LAKE OZARK 2.08
...OKLAHOMA...
HEALDTON 3 E 12.53
NEWPORT 11.52
BURNEYVILLE 10.09
SULPHUR 2.5 WSW 8.63
RINGLING 8.27
PAULS VALLEY MUNI APRT 7.35
SULPHUR 7.09
MACOMB 5.2 ESE 5.82
MARIETTA 2.8 SW 5.57
ADA 0.3 NNW 5.45
WEWOKA 7.4 NNW 5.30
NORMAN 3.4 SE 3.61
OKLAHOMA CITY 11.5 S 2.64
MUSKOGEE/DAVIS FIELD AIRPORT 2.55
BARTLESVILLE MUNI ARPT 1.51
...TEXAS...
MONTAGUE 12.50
GANADO 1.5 W 11.77
KIRBYVILLE 1.5 SE 9.51
SEALY 0.3 WNW 9.17
ALICE INTL ARPT 9.03
EL CAMPO 0.5 ENE 8.57
VICTORIA 9 ESE 7.73
ROCKPORT 1.3 WSW 7.51
MANOR 4.7 WSW 7.30
WF SAN JACINTO 7.06
LUFKIN/ANGELINA CO ARPT 6.98
NAVASOTA 8 SE 6.73
FLOUR BLUFF 7 SW 6.59
ARANSAS PASS 1 SSE 6.46
SAN FELIPE 1.0 WNW 6.15
CORPUS CHRISTI 6.14
AUSTIN 4.2 ESE 5.80
SAN ANTONIO INTL ARPT 2.91
HOUSTON/INTERCONTINENTAL 2.51
FORT WORTH NAS 2.34
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT 1000 PM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.
FORECASTER KONG
FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 19/2100Z 37.1N 90.1W
12HR VT 20/0600Z 37.5N 88.3W...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
24HR VT 20/1800Z 38.8N 83.9W...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
36HR VT 21/0600Z 39.2N 78.2W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
48HR VT 21/1800Z 40.9N 72.7W...EXTRATROPICAL
72HR VT 22/1800Z 43.0N 60.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
$$
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-
WeatherGuesser
- Category 5
- Posts: 2672
- Joined: Tue Jun 29, 2010 6:46 am
Of interest:
> RADAR IMAGES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SHOW
THAT RAINBANDS HAVE BECOME MORE ACTIVE SINCE THIS MORNING TO THE
SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER...WHERE PEAK GUSTS HAVE INCREASED TO OVER
40 MPH.
> IN ADDITION...THE CENTRAL PRESSURE HAS DECREASED SINCE
EARLY THIS MORNING.
> THEREAFTER...BILL COULD BRIEFLY RESTRENGTHEN
WHEN IT MOVES DOWN THE LEE SIDE OF THE APPALACHIANS ON SUNDAY
> RADAR IMAGES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SHOW
THAT RAINBANDS HAVE BECOME MORE ACTIVE SINCE THIS MORNING TO THE
SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER...WHERE PEAK GUSTS HAVE INCREASED TO OVER
40 MPH.
> IN ADDITION...THE CENTRAL PRESSURE HAS DECREASED SINCE
EARLY THIS MORNING.
> THEREAFTER...BILL COULD BRIEFLY RESTRENGTHEN
WHEN IT MOVES DOWN THE LEE SIDE OF THE APPALACHIANS ON SUNDAY
0 likes
-
WeatherGuesser
- Category 5
- Posts: 2672
- Joined: Tue Jun 29, 2010 6:46 am
Re: ATL: BILL - Tropical Depression - Discussion
THEREAFTER...BILL COULD BRIEFLY RESTRENGTHEN
WHEN IT MOVES DOWN THE LEE SIDE OF THE APPALACHIANS ON SUNDAY
I'm interested in how crossing mountains would be connected with restrengthening? I would have through crossing the Appalachians would be more likely to weaken the circulation/dry it out.
0 likes
-
cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139048
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: ATL: BILL - Tropical Depression - Discussion
Still hanging there.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD AL022015
1000 PM CDT FRI JUN 19 2015
...TENACIOUS TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL MOVING ACROSS EXTREME
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...
SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...37.3N 88.2W
ABOUT 45 MILES...70 KM...SW OF HENDERSON CITY KENTUCKY.
ABOUT 35 MILES...60 KM...ENE OF PADUCAH KENTUCKY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...20 MPH...30 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 75 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...29 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF THE
LOWER OHIO RIVER VALLEY. FLASH FLOOD AND FLOOD WATCHES EXTEND
FROM SOUTHERN MISSOURI EASTWARD ALONG THE OHIO VALLEY...ACROSS THE
CENTRAL APPALACHIANS AND INTO THE NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC.
FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT http://WWW.WEATHER.GOV.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF BILL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 37.3 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 88.2 WEST. AFTER SPENDING MORE
THAN THREE DAYS OVER LAND...TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL CONTINUES TO
MAINTAIN A WELL-DEFINED CYCLONIC CIRCULATION AS IT TRACKS WELL
INLAND OVER SATURATED GROUNDS RESULTING FROM ANTECEDENT HEAVY
RAINS. SATELLITE IMAGES CONTINUE TO SHOW DECENT CONVECTION AROUND
THE CENTER OF BILL ALONG WITH A PROMINENT UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW
PATTERN TO THE NORTH. RADAR IMAGES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SHOW
THAT RAINBANDS REMAIN ACTIVE TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER
ALTHOUGH THEY HAVE BECOME MORE SUPPRESSED TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE
PAST FEW HOURS. THE CENTRAL PRESSURE HAS CONTINUED TO DECREASE
SINCE EARLY THIS MORNING...AND PEAK WIND GUSTS OF ABOUT 30 MPH
WERE REPORTED TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER THIS EVENING. BILL
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD UP THE OHIO
VALLEY TONIGHT AND TOMORROW AND INTO THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS
BEFORE LOSING TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS. THEREAFTER...BILL COULD
BRIEFLY RESTRENGTHEN WHEN IT MOVES DOWN THE LEE SIDE OF THE
APPALACHIANS ON SUNDAY AS IT GRADUALLY BECOMES EXTRATROPICAL OVER
THE NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC AND SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND COAST.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 20 MPH...30 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.
HAZARDS
-------
RAINFALL...BILL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL 2 TO 4 INCHES OF
RAIN UP ALONG THE OHIO VALLEY INTO WEST VIRGINIA WHILE 1 TO 3
INCHES ARE EXPECTED FARTHER EAST INTO THE NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC
REGION. THESE RAINS WILL CONTINUE TO ENHANCE THE THREAT FOR FLASH
FLOODING...PARTICULARLY IN REGIONS WHICH ARE ALREADY SATURATED
FROM PREVIOUS HEAVY RAINFALL.
RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 7 PM CDT
...ARKANSAS...
ROGERS 2.1 SE 4.42
BENTONVILLE 4.27
FAYETTEVILLE/SPRINGDALE 4.03
HARRISON/BOONE CO. ARPT 3.85
DELIGHT 2.2 WNW 3.74
SPRINGDALE 6.4 WSW 3.31
SILOAM SPRINGS/SMITH FIELD 3.24
TEXARKANA RGNL ARPT 2.67
EUREKA SPRINGS 4.0 WNW 2.62
SPRINGFIELD/CAPITAL ARPT 2.49
...ILLINOIS...
SCOTT AFB/BELLEVILLE 5.01
SULLIVAN 3 S 4.89
ALLENVILLE 1 S 4.50
ELBURN 4.45
FLORA 4.41
CARBONDALE/MURPHYSBORO 4.40
LAWRENCEVILLE-VINCENNES INTL AP 4.30
MATTOON/CHARLESTON 4.23
SOUTH CAROL STREAM 4.11
BATAVIA 3.87
ROCHELLE 3.43
MANHATTAN 5 SSE 3.26
OAK PARK 1 SE 3.07
MATTOON 3.03
DIXON 2 SW 2.64
NEWTON 2.58
TUSCOLA 2.29
NORTH AURORA 2 E 2.23
STE. MARIE 2.11
GENEVA 2.10
...INDIANA...
GRISSOM AFB/PERU 6.72
FORT WAYNE/BAER FIELD 4.53
BLOOMINGTON/MONROE CO. ARPT 3.97
MOROCCO 3.70
MUNCIE/JOHNSON FIELD 3.16
NEW ROSS 2 E 2.87
ANDERSON 5 NW 2.30
INDIANAPOLIS INTL ARPT 1.92
EVANSVILLE RGNL ARPT 1.81
CHESTERTON 1.70
...KANSAS...
COFFEYVILLE MUNI ARPT 3.64
OLATHE/JOHNSON 1.79
COLLYER 2.1 SE 1.45
...KENTUCKY...
HENDERSON CITY 2.08
...LOUISIANA...
SHREVEPORT RGNL ARPT 4.79
BOSSIER CITY 6.7 NNW 3.84
SHREVEPORT 5.3 SSE 2.42
PLAIN DEALING 3.0 ESE 2.13
RUSTON 1.6 NW 1.85
...MISSOURI...
SPRINGFIELD 7 S 5.50
MARSHFIELD 3.6 S 5.48
NIXA 2.7 SSW 4.72
NIANGUA 4.37
FORNEY AAF/FORT LEONARDWOOD 4.24
FARMINGTON ARPT 3.66
ROLLA/VICHY AIRPORT 3.47
SOUTH SPRINGFIELD 3.10
COLUMBIA RGNL ARPT 2.94
LITTON AGRI-SCI CNTR 2.86
JOPLIN RGNL ARPT 2.60
WHITESIDE 2 E 2.50
MIDDLETOWN 4 SW 2.34
JEFFERSON CITY ARPT 2.27
KAISER/LAKE OZARK 2.08
...OHIO...
LIMA/ALLEN CO. APRT 5.11
AKRON-CANTON REGIONAL ARPT 3.51
WILMINGTON/CINCINNATI WFO 3.46
DAYTON/JAMES M COX AIRPORT 3.01
CINCINNATI (ASOS) 2.89
...OKLAHOMA...
HEALDTON 3 E 12.53
NEWPORT 11.52
BURNEYVILLE 10.09
SULPHUR 2.5 WSW 8.63
RINGLING 8.27
PAULS VALLEY MUNI APRT 7.35
SULPHUR 7.09
MACOMB 5.2 ESE 5.82
MARIETTA 2.8 SW 5.57
ADA 0.3 NNW 5.45
WEWOKA 7.4 NNW 5.30
NORMAN 3.4 SE 3.61
OKLAHOMA CITY 11.5 S 2.64
MUSKOGEE/DAVIS FIELD AIRPORT 2.55
BARTLESVILLE MUNI ARPT 1.51
...TEXAS...
MONTAGUE 12.50
GANADO 1.5 W 11.77
KIRBYVILLE 1.5 SE 9.51
SEALY 0.3 WNW 9.17
ALICE INTL ARPT 9.03
EL CAMPO 0.5 ENE 8.57
VICTORIA 9 ESE 7.73
ROCKPORT 1.3 WSW 7.51
MANOR 4.7 WSW 7.30
WF SAN JACINTO 7.06
LUFKIN/ANGELINA CO ARPT 6.98
NAVASOTA 8 SE 6.73
FLOUR BLUFF 7 SW 6.59
ARANSAS PASS 1 SSE 6.46
SAN FELIPE 1.0 WNW 6.15
CORPUS CHRISTI 6.14
AUSTIN 4.2 ESE 5.80
SAN ANTONIO INTL ARPT 2.91
HOUSTON/INTERCONTINENTAL 2.51
FORT WORTH NAS 2.34
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT 400 AM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.
FORECASTER KONG
FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 20/0300Z 37.3N 88.2W
12HR VT 20/1200Z 38.1N 86.7W...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
24HR VT 21/0000Z 39.2N 81.8W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
36HR VT 21/1200Z 39.3N 76.6W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
48HR VT 22/0000Z 41.2N 70.3W...EXTRATROPICAL
72HR VT 23/0000Z 45.0N 56.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
$$
TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD AL022015
1000 PM CDT FRI JUN 19 2015
...TENACIOUS TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL MOVING ACROSS EXTREME
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...
SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...37.3N 88.2W
ABOUT 45 MILES...70 KM...SW OF HENDERSON CITY KENTUCKY.
ABOUT 35 MILES...60 KM...ENE OF PADUCAH KENTUCKY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...20 MPH...30 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 75 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...29 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF THE
LOWER OHIO RIVER VALLEY. FLASH FLOOD AND FLOOD WATCHES EXTEND
FROM SOUTHERN MISSOURI EASTWARD ALONG THE OHIO VALLEY...ACROSS THE
CENTRAL APPALACHIANS AND INTO THE NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC.
FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT http://WWW.WEATHER.GOV.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF BILL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 37.3 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 88.2 WEST. AFTER SPENDING MORE
THAN THREE DAYS OVER LAND...TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL CONTINUES TO
MAINTAIN A WELL-DEFINED CYCLONIC CIRCULATION AS IT TRACKS WELL
INLAND OVER SATURATED GROUNDS RESULTING FROM ANTECEDENT HEAVY
RAINS. SATELLITE IMAGES CONTINUE TO SHOW DECENT CONVECTION AROUND
THE CENTER OF BILL ALONG WITH A PROMINENT UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW
PATTERN TO THE NORTH. RADAR IMAGES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SHOW
THAT RAINBANDS REMAIN ACTIVE TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER
ALTHOUGH THEY HAVE BECOME MORE SUPPRESSED TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE
PAST FEW HOURS. THE CENTRAL PRESSURE HAS CONTINUED TO DECREASE
SINCE EARLY THIS MORNING...AND PEAK WIND GUSTS OF ABOUT 30 MPH
WERE REPORTED TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER THIS EVENING. BILL
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD UP THE OHIO
VALLEY TONIGHT AND TOMORROW AND INTO THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS
BEFORE LOSING TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS. THEREAFTER...BILL COULD
BRIEFLY RESTRENGTHEN WHEN IT MOVES DOWN THE LEE SIDE OF THE
APPALACHIANS ON SUNDAY AS IT GRADUALLY BECOMES EXTRATROPICAL OVER
THE NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC AND SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND COAST.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 20 MPH...30 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.
HAZARDS
-------
RAINFALL...BILL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL 2 TO 4 INCHES OF
RAIN UP ALONG THE OHIO VALLEY INTO WEST VIRGINIA WHILE 1 TO 3
INCHES ARE EXPECTED FARTHER EAST INTO THE NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC
REGION. THESE RAINS WILL CONTINUE TO ENHANCE THE THREAT FOR FLASH
FLOODING...PARTICULARLY IN REGIONS WHICH ARE ALREADY SATURATED
FROM PREVIOUS HEAVY RAINFALL.
RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 7 PM CDT
...ARKANSAS...
ROGERS 2.1 SE 4.42
BENTONVILLE 4.27
FAYETTEVILLE/SPRINGDALE 4.03
HARRISON/BOONE CO. ARPT 3.85
DELIGHT 2.2 WNW 3.74
SPRINGDALE 6.4 WSW 3.31
SILOAM SPRINGS/SMITH FIELD 3.24
TEXARKANA RGNL ARPT 2.67
EUREKA SPRINGS 4.0 WNW 2.62
SPRINGFIELD/CAPITAL ARPT 2.49
...ILLINOIS...
SCOTT AFB/BELLEVILLE 5.01
SULLIVAN 3 S 4.89
ALLENVILLE 1 S 4.50
ELBURN 4.45
FLORA 4.41
CARBONDALE/MURPHYSBORO 4.40
LAWRENCEVILLE-VINCENNES INTL AP 4.30
MATTOON/CHARLESTON 4.23
SOUTH CAROL STREAM 4.11
BATAVIA 3.87
ROCHELLE 3.43
MANHATTAN 5 SSE 3.26
OAK PARK 1 SE 3.07
MATTOON 3.03
DIXON 2 SW 2.64
NEWTON 2.58
TUSCOLA 2.29
NORTH AURORA 2 E 2.23
STE. MARIE 2.11
GENEVA 2.10
...INDIANA...
GRISSOM AFB/PERU 6.72
FORT WAYNE/BAER FIELD 4.53
BLOOMINGTON/MONROE CO. ARPT 3.97
MOROCCO 3.70
MUNCIE/JOHNSON FIELD 3.16
NEW ROSS 2 E 2.87
ANDERSON 5 NW 2.30
INDIANAPOLIS INTL ARPT 1.92
EVANSVILLE RGNL ARPT 1.81
CHESTERTON 1.70
...KANSAS...
COFFEYVILLE MUNI ARPT 3.64
OLATHE/JOHNSON 1.79
COLLYER 2.1 SE 1.45
...KENTUCKY...
HENDERSON CITY 2.08
...LOUISIANA...
SHREVEPORT RGNL ARPT 4.79
BOSSIER CITY 6.7 NNW 3.84
SHREVEPORT 5.3 SSE 2.42
PLAIN DEALING 3.0 ESE 2.13
RUSTON 1.6 NW 1.85
...MISSOURI...
SPRINGFIELD 7 S 5.50
MARSHFIELD 3.6 S 5.48
NIXA 2.7 SSW 4.72
NIANGUA 4.37
FORNEY AAF/FORT LEONARDWOOD 4.24
FARMINGTON ARPT 3.66
ROLLA/VICHY AIRPORT 3.47
SOUTH SPRINGFIELD 3.10
COLUMBIA RGNL ARPT 2.94
LITTON AGRI-SCI CNTR 2.86
JOPLIN RGNL ARPT 2.60
WHITESIDE 2 E 2.50
MIDDLETOWN 4 SW 2.34
JEFFERSON CITY ARPT 2.27
KAISER/LAKE OZARK 2.08
...OHIO...
LIMA/ALLEN CO. APRT 5.11
AKRON-CANTON REGIONAL ARPT 3.51
WILMINGTON/CINCINNATI WFO 3.46
DAYTON/JAMES M COX AIRPORT 3.01
CINCINNATI (ASOS) 2.89
...OKLAHOMA...
HEALDTON 3 E 12.53
NEWPORT 11.52
BURNEYVILLE 10.09
SULPHUR 2.5 WSW 8.63
RINGLING 8.27
PAULS VALLEY MUNI APRT 7.35
SULPHUR 7.09
MACOMB 5.2 ESE 5.82
MARIETTA 2.8 SW 5.57
ADA 0.3 NNW 5.45
WEWOKA 7.4 NNW 5.30
NORMAN 3.4 SE 3.61
OKLAHOMA CITY 11.5 S 2.64
MUSKOGEE/DAVIS FIELD AIRPORT 2.55
BARTLESVILLE MUNI ARPT 1.51
...TEXAS...
MONTAGUE 12.50
GANADO 1.5 W 11.77
KIRBYVILLE 1.5 SE 9.51
SEALY 0.3 WNW 9.17
ALICE INTL ARPT 9.03
EL CAMPO 0.5 ENE 8.57
VICTORIA 9 ESE 7.73
ROCKPORT 1.3 WSW 7.51
MANOR 4.7 WSW 7.30
WF SAN JACINTO 7.06
LUFKIN/ANGELINA CO ARPT 6.98
NAVASOTA 8 SE 6.73
FLOUR BLUFF 7 SW 6.59
ARANSAS PASS 1 SSE 6.46
SAN FELIPE 1.0 WNW 6.15
CORPUS CHRISTI 6.14
AUSTIN 4.2 ESE 5.80
SAN ANTONIO INTL ARPT 2.91
HOUSTON/INTERCONTINENTAL 2.51
FORT WORTH NAS 2.34
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT 400 AM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.
FORECASTER KONG
FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 20/0300Z 37.3N 88.2W
12HR VT 20/1200Z 38.1N 86.7W...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
24HR VT 21/0000Z 39.2N 81.8W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
36HR VT 21/1200Z 39.3N 76.6W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
48HR VT 22/0000Z 41.2N 70.3W...EXTRATROPICAL
72HR VT 23/0000Z 45.0N 56.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
$$
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