ATL: INVEST 95L - Discussion

[caneman]

Looks like the low pressure finally moved in but it was still offshore in the middle of the night. Pressures are rising now. Clearwater Beach had 35 to 40 mph winds. This still should have.been named in my opinion, not sure why persistence should be a factor but thats just my 2 cents worth. Looks impressive on sat. And radar. Lots of flooding going on here. Road closures.etc...

[caneman]

Widespread flooding is ongoing with numerous roads impassable.

I have family still in the Tampa area (Palm Harbor actually, where you live). I was talking to my mom this morning and she has never seen this much rain in the Tampa area and she has lived in Pinellas County for 59 years. Unreal all the rain this system is producing.

hey gator. Ive lived here since 76 and I've never seen anything like it. Bayshore blvd. Flooded. Major roads like gandy, gulf to bay, dale Mabry have been on and off closed. This is biblical for this area.

[caneman]

Flooding photos. http://www.baynews9.com/content/news/ba ... hotos.html.

[caneman]

Tarpon springs cam all flooded http://www.baynews9.com/content/news/ba ... -cams.html.

[psyclone]

Widespread flooding is ongoing with numerous roads impassable.

I have family still in the Tampa area (Palm Harbor actually, where you live). I was talking to my mom this morning and she has never seen this much rain in the Tampa area and she has lived in Pinellas County for 59 years. Unreal all the rain this system is producing.

It's not just the volume of rain, it is the duration of the event. For north pinellas/west pasco this started all the way back on friday july 24 when about 5 inches fell. We've been getting rain everyday since with no break. The rain has hammered the gulf water temp to the lowest I've ever seen in the summer.

[CrazyC83]

Another possibility I see is that a new center may try to form in that massive convection in the NE Gulf?

[caneman]

That doesn't look likely pressures have been rising steadily this morning. We were supposed to be cleared of rain today but thanks to the all day stall and drift south yesterday we are in for more flooding rain today. I'm over it!!

[Sanibel]

More rain for the already-flooded.

[lovingseason2013]

I am not sure there is not another low pressure center forming off shore of St. Pete or so. Anyone else see it?

[OuterBanker]

0z Euro and 12z GFS both have it going off the NC coastand and ots in 48. Both it have just inland riding the coast. Won't have to put up with it much longer.

Note to Floridians. Next time you hire someone to end your drought make sure his name isn't Noah.

[psyclone]

I think things are finally in the wane. I received nearly 8" of new rain and my total since 7-24 now exceeds 2 feet. Just to my north in western pasco county totals near Holiday are nearly 3 feet!

[BobHarlem]

I am not sure there is not another low pressure center forming off shore of St. Pete or so. Anyone else see it?

I can't find anything on the surface reports that would go along with that, it looks like the elongated low's center is roughly Lake City to Starke to Jacksonville right now. Convection is starting to die down in general.

[caneman]

I think things are finally in the wane. I received nearly 8" of new rain and my total since 7-24 now exceeds 2 feet. Just to my north in western pasco county totals near Holiday are nearly 3 feet!

not yet my friend we have another heavy batch heading in. Hopefully by tonight it's over with.

[SouthFLTropics]

95L is quickly proving that a tropical system need not be classified to cause great havoc.

[Sanibel]

Visible loop makes it look like the center is headed towards the Atlantic.

[cycloneye]

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT MON AUG 3 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A weak area of low pressure located over northeastern Florida
continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers and
thunderstorms across portions of central Florida and the eastern
Gulf of Mexico. Upper-level winds are not expected to be conducive
for development as this low moves northeastward at about 10 mph near
the southeastern United States coast during the next day or so.
Regardless of development, this system is expected to continue to
produce heavy rainfall and flooding across portions of central and
northeastern Florida through tonight. For additional information on
rainfall associated with this system, refer to products from your
local National Weather Service forecast office.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

$$
Forecaster Brown

[Hammy]

Visible loop makes it look like the center is headed towards the Atlantic.

Radar seems to confirm this as well, as it looks to be in the general vicinity of Jacksonville and headed northeast, as well as the station plots on the floater.

[cycloneye]

95L INVEST 150803 1800 30.7N 81.9W ATL 20 1010

[hipshot]

0z Euro and 12z GFS both have it going off the NC coastand and ots in 48. Both it have just inland riding the coast. Won't have to put up with it much longer.

Note to Floridians. Next time you hire someone to end your drought make sure his name isn't Noah.

Us folks up in north Texas can sympathize with you. We got about 4-6 weeks of that stuff but we sure needed it.

[Hammy]

NAM is showing something developing within 36 hours and (unlike the system off NC previously) is showing it on more than just two scattered runs, it's been fairly consistent now and the earliest time frame since Claudette to show anything.