ATL: ERIKA Remnants - Discussion

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NDG
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Re: ATL: ERIKA Remnants - Discussion

#3341 Postby NDG » Tue Sep 01, 2015 10:40 am

I am in Largo today. It's been coming down heavy for almost an hour now.


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#3342 Postby psyclone » Tue Sep 01, 2015 10:43 am

Welcome to the former suncoast. I now call it the swamp coast. Fast moving torrential showers are dumping on us again...and they may continue for awhile and graze the nature coast as well. New month, same drill.
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Re: ATL: ERIKA Remnants - Discussion

#3343 Postby ronjon » Tue Sep 01, 2015 10:51 am

Getting a training situation of continuous cells on Radar along the Pinellas Coast now - could see some impressive rainfall totals. Largo's already near 2 inches based on radar estimated.
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#3344 Postby LarryWx » Tue Sep 01, 2015 10:56 am

It looks like the runs from a couple of days ago bringing the center of Erika's remnants up through the far eastern Gulf toward the FL Panhandle were on track.
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Re: ATL: ERIKA Remnants - Discussion

#3345 Postby caneman » Tue Sep 01, 2015 10:59 am

ronjon wrote:Pinellas Beaches getting hammered now.
that is where I live. We're getting hammered bad thunder and lightning too
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Re: ATL: ERIKA Remnants - Discussion

#3346 Postby caneman » Tue Sep 01, 2015 11:00 am

NDG wrote:I am in Largo today. It's been coming down heavy for almost an hour now.


Image
do you live here ndg? I'm right in this area as well.
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Re: ATL: ERIKA Remnants - Discussion

#3347 Postby NDG » Tue Sep 01, 2015 11:06 am

caneman wrote:
NDG wrote:I am in Largo today. It's been coming down heavy for almost an hour now.


http://i20.photobucket.com/albums/b245/ ... pyavkl.jpg
do you live here ndg? I'm right in this area as well.


I live in Orlando, here today visiting customers.

More rain:
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#3348 Postby psyclone » Tue Sep 01, 2015 11:23 am

showers are weakening on the coast now...nice rain cooled air here and drier air aloft is closing in from the south so better times are ahead.
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Re: ATL: ERIKA Remnants - Discussion

#3349 Postby crimi481 » Tue Sep 01, 2015 12:00 pm

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Re: ATL: ERIKA Remnants - Discussion

#3350 Postby cycloneye » Tue Sep 01, 2015 12:41 pm

2 PM TWO:

A weak surface trough, the remnant of Erika, is producing
a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over
the northeastern Gulf of Mexico. Surface pressures in the area
remain high and upper-level winds are not expected to be conducive
for redevelopment. This system could produce locally heavy
rainfall over portions of central and northern Florida during the
next day or so while it drifts northward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent
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Re: ATL: ERIKA Remnants - Discussion

#3351 Postby tolakram » Tue Sep 01, 2015 12:47 pm

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Re: ATL: ERIKA Remnants - Discussion

#3352 Postby sponger » Tue Sep 01, 2015 1:13 pm

Radar is looking better than ever. Not a peep from the NHC?

http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.php?rid=TLH&product=N0R&overlay=11101111&loop=yes
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#3353 Postby panamatropicwatch » Tue Sep 01, 2015 1:20 pm

Sponger look up :uarrow:
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Re: ATL: ERIKA Remnants - Discussion

#3354 Postby Airboy » Tue Sep 01, 2015 1:22 pm

I guess the attention would be a bit different if it was in the south part of the GOM slowly moving north, to little water left now.
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Re: ATL: ERIKA Remnants - Discussion

#3355 Postby Stormcenter » Tue Sep 01, 2015 1:45 pm

Not moving much if any.

Airboy wrote:I guess the attention would be a bit different if it was in the south part of the GOM slowly moving north, to little water left now.
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#3356 Postby drezee » Tue Sep 01, 2015 2:10 pm

if pressures are not falling, then outflow boundaries should commence like last evening in...3...2...1
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#3357 Postby Hammy » Tue Sep 01, 2015 2:30 pm

drezee wrote:if pressures are not falling, then outflow boundaries should commence like last evening in...3...2...1


It's certainly trying to develop, and I think it has a (brief) chance of spinning up tomorrow if it can make it through the night and not move inland before that. It convection collapses then that's pretty much the end.
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Re: ATL: ERIKA Remnants - Discussion

#3358 Postby wxman57 » Tue Sep 01, 2015 2:35 pm

Looks more impressive than when it was a TS. However, pressures in the NE Gulf continue to rise, up to 1017-1018mb now. Winds across the NE Gulf are in the 5-10 kt range. It's a high-pressure TS. ;-)

Here's a snapshot of my workstation. Any rotation may be in the mid levels.

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#3359 Postby robbielyn » Tue Sep 01, 2015 6:25 pm

making landfall as we speak.
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Re: ATL: ERIKA Remnants - Discussion

#3360 Postby cycloneye » Tue Sep 01, 2015 6:41 pm

A weak surface trough, the remnants of Erika, is producing an area
of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the northeastern Gulf
of Mexico. Surface pressures in the area are high, and upper-level
winds are currently not conducive for redevelopment. This system
could produce locally heavy rainfall over portions of central and
northern Florida during the next day or so while it drifts
northward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent
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