ATL: 90L - ERIKA Remnants - Models

[kunosoura]

lol, do I sense sarcasm?

Sorry for the ignorant rant... but I see it as i see's it...

(and no one wants an ignorant schmuck like moi, to prove an edumacated "expert" wrong

btw, it was just an unedumacated postulation of what I thought I seen... lol

lol, minor sarcasm possibly.

But I do hear what you're saying.

Cheers brother. Here's to a typically hot, humid, and STILL weekend!

[tolakram]

Stop please!

Ok, I see some peace, so there.

[tolakram]

Is is finally done?
Or should FL should watch this?

Depends on what you want to watch. If hurricane forecasting was an exact science we wouldn't have to discuss it.

GFS 0Z run starts at aprox 11:30PM. Until a new center reforms I don't think the models will tell us much, but I really don't know.

[Weatherlover12]

Is is finally done?
Or should FL should watch this?

Depends on what you want to watch. If hurricane forecasting was an exact science we wouldn't have to discuss it.

GFS 0Z run starts at aprox 11:30PM. Until a new center reforms I don't think the models will tell us much, but I really don't know.

A center? I thought they found one?

[marciacubed]

11:00 track with a west shift

[tolakram]

It will be very interesting to see where the model initializes.

[SouthFLTropics]

You can tell that most of us are frustrated with the models. The model thread was outpacing the discussion thread by almost 12 pages and now it lags behind by 14.

[tgenius]

It amazes me somewhat that one way or another in less than 2 days time whatever erika will amount to will have reached Miami's latitude. I just wonder if the Rain will stay on the East side (if she survives) which would mean even that western track would push alot of that rain towards SFL.

[tgenius]

It will be very interesting to see where the model initializes.

Mark you getting ready for the GFS? I'm exhausted but should be pretty quick from start to see what is going on in the beginning.

[tolakram]

Going to try and stay awake.

0Z GFS init

[tolakram]

[tolakram]

Looks to be over or just above Cuba

[tolakram]

[tolakram]

[tolakram]

No development yet.

[tolakram]

[tolakram]

[tolakram]

[tolakram]

Similar to last run. Done posting.

[Ntxw]

Yeah I don't think anything is going to change dramatically with tonight's 0z runs of the guidance. Something profound would have to happen with the structure and she would have to organize quickly. Otherwise nothing has changed dramatically for the guidance especially now that we are in their better forecasting range within 3 days. Not perfect, but drastic shifts don't happen too often that close.