ATL: INVEST 99L - Discussion

LarryWx · #181 Postby **LarryWx** » Mon Sep 28, 2015 8:57 am

I'm guessing it won't be classified as a TD but we'll see.

#182 Postby **NDG** » Mon Sep 28, 2015 8:57 am

Vorticity at h85 is weak and elongated.

ronjon · #183 Postby **ronjon** » Mon Sep 28, 2015 9:09 am

Weatherwatcher98 wrote:Actually shear is decreasing in the SE Gulf http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/windmain.php?&basin=atlantic&sat=wg8&prod=sht&zoom=&time=

Good catch weatherwatcher98. Appeared that way on VIS SAT and this data confirmed that. GFS had predicted a small window of less hostile conditions in the SE GOM.

Weatherwatcher98 · #184 Postby **Weatherwatcher98** » Mon Sep 28, 2015 9:12 am

ronjon wrote:
Weatherwatcher98 wrote:Actually shear is decreasing in the SE Gulf http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/windmain.php?&basin=atlantic&sat=wg8&prod=sht&zoom=&time=

Good catch weatherwatcher98. Appeared that way on VIS SAT and this data confirmed that. GFS had predicted a small window of less hostile conditions in the SE GOM.

Thanks, Recon seems to like the Area we are discussing as a possible new center as well.

#185 Postby **tolakram** » Mon Sep 28, 2015 9:19 am

live visible loop

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/get-goes?satellite=GOES-E%20CONUS&lat=26&lon=-85&info=vis&zoom=1&width=1000&height=800&quality=90&type=Animation&palette=ir1.pal&numframes=5&mapcolor=gray

Weatherwatcher98 · #186 Postby **Weatherwatcher98** » Mon Sep 28, 2015 9:25 am

#187 Postby **jlauderdal** » Mon Sep 28, 2015 9:28 am

good luck to everyone dealing with whatever comes of invest 99l :wink:

ronjon · #188 Postby **ronjon** » Mon Sep 28, 2015 9:40 am

tolakram wrote:live visible loop

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/get-goes?satellite=GOES-E%20CONUS&lat=26&lon=-85&info=vis&zoom=1&width=1000&height=800&quality=90&type=Animation&palette=ir1.pal&numframes=5&mapcolor=gray

Getting some fanning out of high cirrus over the convection in the SE GOM - hints at a small anticyclone. The low pressure is probably too far west to take advantage of that however.

#189 Postby **wxman57** » Mon Sep 28, 2015 9:48 am

Looks like it has merged with the upper-level trof. The weak vortex has dissipated. Development chances are just about zero now. Just some rain for Florida & Georgia.

#190 Postby **NDG** » Mon Sep 28, 2015 10:26 am

The vorticity off of the TX coast under the ULL looks to be taking over as the dominant feature.

#191 Postby **NativeFloridaGirl** » Mon Sep 28, 2015 10:29 am

wxman57 wrote:Looks like it has merged with the upper-level trof. The weak vortex has dissipated. Development chances are just about zero now. Just some rain for Florida & Georgia.

Nothing for SE Alabama now then? We could really use the rain. It's done nothing but drizzle.

#192 Postby **Dean4Storms** » Mon Sep 28, 2015 10:30 am

Hmmmm.... Buoy west of Naples turns to a west wind, although weak! That position is about exactly where that Vortex went into the convection.

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42003

Weatherwatcher98 · #193 Postby **Weatherwatcher98** » Mon Sep 28, 2015 10:32 am

Dean4Storms wrote:Hmmmm.... Buoy west of Naples turns to a west wind, although weak!

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42003

Still going to watch it

Weatherwatcher98 · #194 Postby **Weatherwatcher98** » Mon Sep 28, 2015 10:42 am

Recon Scheduled for tomorrow as well. If this has no chance why??

Weatherwatcher98 · #195 Postby **Weatherwatcher98** » Mon Sep 28, 2015 10:55 am

Dean4Storms wrote:Hmmmm.... Buoy west of Naples turns to a west wind, although weak! That position is about exactly where that Vortex went into the convection.

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42003

Still thinking we could get a Hybrid type system from the look of the Satellite

stormlover2013 · #196 Postby **stormlover2013** » Mon Sep 28, 2015 10:55 am

guys because its close to home thats why, lets just be realistic here the most we can get out of this is a weak weak weak trop storm but this will just be rain, so just deal with it, I don't know why people get bad when they say something isn't going to develop, the thing looks like a sheared mess......lets just all use common sense here.....everyone should get along let hope florida doesn't get to much rain with the recent floods

caneman · #197 Postby **caneman** » Mon Sep 28, 2015 11:00 am

No wish casting here. We've had more than our fair share of rain. Just differences in opinions which,is fine.

ronjon · #198 Postby **ronjon** » Mon Sep 28, 2015 11:09 am

Noticed where the low pressure has migrated too some high cirrus is now getting blow off to the W-NW. This hints that a small anticyclone has formed over the SE GOM just to its east.

tpr1967 · #199 Postby **tpr1967** » Mon Sep 28, 2015 11:11 am

Just my opinion but no closed LLC here no E,NE,N or NW winds in Eastern Gulf looking at buoy reports. We do have the wind shift to West at buoy 42003 in last hour.
Just looks like area of elongated vorticity moving NNE.

Weatherwatcher98 · #200 Postby **Weatherwatcher98** » Mon Sep 28, 2015 11:14 am

Weatherwatcher98 wrote:
Dean4Storms wrote:Hmmmm.... Buoy west of Naples turns to a west wind, although weak! That position is about exactly where that Vortex went into the convection.

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42003
Still thinking we could get a Hybrid type system from the look of the Satellite

wrong post oops

ATL: INVEST 99L - Discussion

Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Discussion

Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Discussion

Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Discussion

Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Discussion

Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Discussion

Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Discussion

Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Discussion

Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Discussion

Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Discussion

Re:

Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Discussion

Re:

Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Discussion

Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Discussion

Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Discussion

Re: Re:

Who is online