ATL: JOAQUIN - Models

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drezee
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ATL: JOAQUIN - Models

#1 Postby drezee » Mon Sep 28, 2015 1:15 pm

What is the Euro doing? Sending it SW through 72 hours and deepening...
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#2 Postby drezee » Mon Sep 28, 2015 1:16 pm

gatorcane wrote:The 12Z ECMWF at 96 hours has this thing stalling and intensifying just east of the Bahamas. :eek:

Looks to be merging with another system?

Image


Agreed, this is out of left field
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Re: ATL: ELEVEN-MODELS

#3 Postby drezee » Mon Sep 28, 2015 1:18 pm

Image
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#4 Postby gatorcane » Mon Sep 28, 2015 1:21 pm

Sharp NNE turn by the Euro at 120 hours and look at how strong it gets this:

Image
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Re: ATL: ELEVEN-MODELS

#5 Postby drezee » Mon Sep 28, 2015 1:21 pm

looks like the trough goes negative at 96 hours....120 is going to be interesting
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#6 Postby LarryWx » Mon Sep 28, 2015 1:22 pm

It isn't in left field. The 12Z Ukmet is similar to the 12Z Euro at hour 72. It looks like the NE US may get slammed by the 12Z Euro.
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Re:

#7 Postby drezee » Mon Sep 28, 2015 1:24 pm

gatorcane wrote:Sharp NNE turn by the Euro at 120 hours and look at how strong it gets this:

Image


Are you kidding me??? This is a joke right....

Negative tilt pulls a freaking shortcut...

Question for 144....does it shot it off to the NE or does it suck it in like Sandy?
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#8 Postby gatorcane » Mon Sep 28, 2015 1:26 pm

Well another healthy shift west in the next Euro run and that is into Florida. Based on the current model guidance i see, Florida does appear it would should get saved by a massive trough again.
Last edited by gatorcane on Mon Sep 28, 2015 1:26 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: ATL: ELEVEN-MODELS

#9 Postby LarryWx » Mon Sep 28, 2015 1:26 pm

Based on hour 132, it is about to slam the NE US by 144 of 12Z Euro!
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#10 Postby storm4u » Mon Sep 28, 2015 1:28 pm

12z hwrf slams nj
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#11 Postby LarryWx » Mon Sep 28, 2015 1:28 pm

976 mb hit on VA/MD at hour 138 of 12Z Euro!
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#12 Postby gatorcane » Mon Sep 28, 2015 1:28 pm

Euro hits the United States on this run...hour 144

:eek: :eek: :eek:

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Re: ATL: ELEVEN-MODELS

#13 Postby tolakram » Mon Sep 28, 2015 1:30 pm

If only the euro could be trusted this year. I guess now we watch run to run to see if it backs off this scenario. Good grief.
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#14 Postby gatorcane » Mon Sep 28, 2015 1:31 pm

:uarrow: If what the Euro is showing happens, this would make for one memorable year that is for sure.
Last edited by gatorcane on Mon Sep 28, 2015 1:31 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Re:

#15 Postby drezee » Mon Sep 28, 2015 1:31 pm

drezee wrote:
gatorcane wrote:Sharp NNE turn by the Euro at 120 hours and look at how strong it gets this:



Are you kidding me??? This is a joke right....

Negative tilt pulls a freaking shortcut...

Question for 144....does it shot it off to the NE or does it suck it in like Sandy?


Hey King Euro...for this run...I have to call you are either Yoda or started going to the same Pub as the CMC...

A freaking Cat2/3 shortcut...wow, this forum's servers would shut down!!!
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#16 Postby LarryWx » Mon Sep 28, 2015 1:32 pm

Anyone see the 12Z Ukmet past 72 hours yet?
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Re:

#17 Postby gatorcane » Mon Sep 28, 2015 1:34 pm

LarryWx wrote:Anyone see the 12Z Ukmet past 72 hours yet?


Yes and it is showing something similar to the Euro though slower and further to the north. Looks to be heading WNW or NW at 978MB: :eek:

Look at that ridge to the NE, very "Sandy-esque."

Image
Last edited by gatorcane on Mon Sep 28, 2015 1:35 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: ELEVEN-MODELS

#18 Postby YoshiMike » Mon Sep 28, 2015 1:35 pm

I hope it isnt a cat 2/3 and hit anywhere in the eastern seaboard
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#19 Postby TheStormExpert » Mon Sep 28, 2015 1:36 pm

BS Flag being raised SKY HIGH for sure! Not buying this one bit!
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Re:

#20 Postby gatorcane » Mon Sep 28, 2015 1:37 pm

TheStormExpert wrote:BS Flag being raised SKY HIGH for sure! Not buying this one bit!


The UKMET has a similar idea. The Euro is not alone on this one and it is within 5 days too.
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