WPAC: CHAMPI - Post-Tropical

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Message
Author
User avatar
Yellow Evan
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10214
Age: 19
Joined: Fri Jul 15, 2011 12:48 pm
Location: Henderson, Nevada/Norman, Oklahoma
Contact:

#61 Postby Yellow Evan » Thu Oct 15, 2015 11:19 pm

Eye is starting to clear. Liking it's RI prospects.
0 likes   

User avatar
euro6208
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 13102
Age: 30
Joined: Mon Mar 08, 2004 7:50 pm
Location: Guam U.S.A

Re: WPAC: CHAMPI - Typhoon

#62 Postby euro6208 » Thu Oct 15, 2015 11:25 pm

Image

000
WTPQ32 PGUM 160248
TCPPQ2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM CHAMPI (25W) ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP252015
200 PM CHST FRI OCT 16 2015

...CHAMPI CONTINUES TO TRACK CLOSER TO SAIPAN...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
TYPHOON WATCH FOR ALAMAGAN...PAGAN AND AGRIHAN HAS BEEN CANCELED.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THE TYPHOON WATCH FOR ALAMAGAN...PAGAN AND AGRIHAN HAS BEEN
CANCELED. TYPHOON FORCE CONDITIONS ARE NO LONGER POSSIBLE THERE.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ROTA...TINIAN...
SAIPAN...ALAMAGAN...PAGAN AND AGRIHAN. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
INCLUDING DAMAGING WINDS OF 39 MPH OR GREATER...ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH LATE THIS EVENING.

SUMMARY OF 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.9N 146.3E

ABOUT 205 MILES SOUTH OF AGRIHAN
ABOUT 155 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PAGAN
ABOUT 125 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ALAMAGAN
ABOUT 65 MILES NORTHEAST OF SAIPAN
ABOUT 80 MILES NORTHEAST OF TINIAN
ABOUT 145 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF ROTA
ABOUT 200 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST...265 DEGREES AT 18 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
THE 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...POSITION OF TROPICAL STORM CHAMPI IS
NEAR LATITUDE 15.9 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 146.3 EAST. MOVEMENT IS TOWARD
THE WEST AT 18 MPH. CHAMPI IS EXPECTED TO TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST
LATER TODAY WITH A GRADUAL REDUCTION IN FORWARD SPEED OVER THE
WEEKEND. THIS TRACK TAKES THE CENTER OF CHAMPI THROUGH THE NORTHERN
MARIANAS NEAR ANATAHAN THIS AFTERNOON.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN 70 MPH. TROPICAL STORM CHAMPI IS
EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY THE NEXT FEW DAYS...AND IS FORECAST TO BECOME
A TYPHOON THIS EVENING OR OVERNIGHT.

LATEST SATELLITE DATA INDICATE THAT TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 195 MILES SOUTH OF THE CENTER AND UP TO 155
MILES NORTH OF THE CENTER.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE THIS AFTERNOON AT 500 PM FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT SCHEDULED
ADVISORY AT 800 PM.

$$

M. AYDLETT
0 likes   
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...

NWS for the Western Pacific

http://www.prh.noaa.gov/guam/

User avatar
1900hurricane
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3238
Age: 26
Joined: Fri Feb 06, 2015 12:04 pm
Location: College Station, TX
Contact:

#63 Postby 1900hurricane » Thu Oct 15, 2015 11:29 pm

The low and mid-level centers are still displaced from each other at the moment, but they look to be in the process of unifying.

Image

Image

The two images above are from the same 0216Z GPM pass. The first is of 89 GHz, which is showing the mid-level convective structure. The second is at a different frequency, 36 GHz, which is revealing the low level convective structure. As can be seen, the low level center is still a little to the NE of the mid level one. Once it stacks, it'll be good to go.
0 likes   
Wayward meteorology student on a journey back to the promised land.

Follow me on Twitter at @1900hurricane : Read blogs at https://1900hurricane.wordpress.com/

User avatar
euro6208
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 13102
Age: 30
Joined: Mon Mar 08, 2004 7:50 pm
Location: Guam U.S.A

Re: WPAC: CHAMPI - Typhoon

#64 Postby euro6208 » Thu Oct 15, 2015 11:31 pm

Measured a gust of 56 mph about 4 hours ago at Andersen.

Further north, Saipan is taking a beating. Winds sustained at 47 mph gusting to 81 mph. Pressure 989 mb. Been gusting well over 70 mph for 3 hours now.
0 likes   
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...

NWS for the Western Pacific

http://www.prh.noaa.gov/guam/

User avatar
Yellow Evan
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10214
Age: 19
Joined: Fri Jul 15, 2011 12:48 pm
Location: Henderson, Nevada/Norman, Oklahoma
Contact:

#65 Postby Yellow Evan » Thu Oct 15, 2015 11:33 pm

Given the thick CDO but not closed eyewall, I'd have this at 80-85 knts. SAB seems stuck on a curved band eye, which I believe is a mistake.
0 likes   

User avatar
euro6208
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 13102
Age: 30
Joined: Mon Mar 08, 2004 7:50 pm
Location: Guam U.S.A

Re: WPAC: CHAMPI - Typhoon

#66 Postby euro6208 » Fri Oct 16, 2015 3:02 am

Image
Image
0 likes   
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...

NWS for the Western Pacific

http://www.prh.noaa.gov/guam/

User avatar
euro6208
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 13102
Age: 30
Joined: Mon Mar 08, 2004 7:50 pm
Location: Guam U.S.A

Re: WPAC: CHAMPI - Typhoon

#67 Postby euro6208 » Fri Oct 16, 2015 6:18 am

Image

WDPN32 PGTW 160900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM 25W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR
13//
RMKS/
1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS.
2. 6 HOUR SUMMARY AND ANALYSIS.
TROPICAL STORM (TS) 25W (CHAMPI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 127 NM
NORTH OF ANDERSEN AFB, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MSI CONTINUES TO SHOW DEEPENED CENTRAL
CONVECTION OBSCURING THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER, WITH THE BULK
CONCENTRATED ON THE WESTERN SIDE. A 160631Z SSMIS IMAGE GIVES GOOD
CONFIDENCE IN THE INITIAL POSITION AS WELL AS CONVEYS THE TIGHT
BANDING INTO THE LLCC. THE INTENSITY REMAINS AT 60 KNOTS BASED ON
DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM ALL AGENCIES AND OBSERVATIONS AS THE
SYSTEM PASSED THROUGH THE NORTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS. UPPER-LEVEL
ANALYSIS INDICATES TS 25W IS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF LOW TO MODERATE
(10 TO 20 KNOT) VWS THAT IS BEING OFFSET BY THE GOOD DIVERGENT
OUTFLOW. TS CHAMPI IS TRACKING UNDER THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF AN
EXTENSION OF A DEEP STR TO THE NORTHEAST.
3. FORECAST REASONING.
A. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY SINCE THE
PREVIOUS PROGNOSTIC REASONING MESSAGE.
B. TS CHAMPI WILL TRACK ON A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE STR EXTENSION. THE SYSTEM WILL
BECOME MORE IN-PHASE WITH THE VWS FACTORS ALLOWING FOR GRADUAL
INTENSIFICATION THROUGH TAU 48. THE STR EXTENSION WILL SLOWLY
RETREAT TO THE EAST, ALLOWING TS 25W TO BEGIN TO ROUND THE RIDGE
AXIS BY TAU 36, REACHING THE AXIS BY TAU 48. AFTERWARDS, THE SYSTEM
WILL TRACK TO THE NORTHEAST ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE
STR.
C. IN THE EXTENDED TAUS, TS CHAMPI WILL REMAIN ON A NORTHEASTWARD
TRAJECTORY. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY DECAY AS IT TRACKS INTO
COOLING SSTS AND INCREASING VWS ENVIRONMENT. NUMERICAL MODEL
GUIDANCE HAS CONTINUED TO SHOW TIGHT AGREEMENT, LENDING HIGH
CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK WHICH IS POSITIONED CLOSE TO
MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS.//
NNNN
0 likes   
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...

NWS for the Western Pacific

http://www.prh.noaa.gov/guam/

User avatar
euro6208
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 13102
Age: 30
Joined: Mon Mar 08, 2004 7:50 pm
Location: Guam U.S.A

Re: WPAC: CHAMPI - Typhoon

#68 Postby euro6208 » Fri Oct 16, 2015 7:19 am

000
WTPQ32 PGUM 160920
TCPPQ2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM CHAMPI (25W) ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP252015
800 PM CHST FRI OCT 16 2015

...CHAMPI MOVING AWAY FROM THE MARIANAS...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT FOR AGRIHAN...
PAGAN AND ALAMAGAN ISLANDS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE NO
LONGER EXPECTED.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ROTA...TINIAN AND
SAIPAN. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...INCLUDING DAMAGING WINDS OF 39
MPH OR GREATER...ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MIDNIGHT.


SUMMARY OF 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.0N 144.1E

ABOUT 120 MILES NORTHWEST OF TINIAN
ABOUT 125 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN
ABOUT 150 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF ROTA
ABOUT 165 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ALAMAGAN
ABOUT 185 MILES SOUTHWEST OF PAGAN
ABOUT 180 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF GUAM
ABOUT 220 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF AGRIHAN

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST...270 DEGREES AT 20 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...THE POSITION OF TROPICAL STORM CHAMPI
WAS ESTIMATED BY SATELLITE TO BE NEAR LATITUDE 16.0 NORTH AND
LONGITUDE 144.1 EAST. CHAMPI IS MOVING WEST AT 20 MPH AND IS
EXPECTED TO TURN WEST-NORTHWEST TONIGHT WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE
IN FORWARD SPEED OVER THE WEEKEND.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN 70 MPH. TROPICAL STORM CHAMPI IS
EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY THE NEXT FEW DAYS...AND IS FORECAST TO BECOME
A TYPHOON TONIGHT.

SATELLITE DATA INDICATE THAT TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES FROM THE CENTER.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 1100 PM FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY AT
200 AM EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.

$$

WILLIAMS
0 likes   
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...

NWS for the Western Pacific

http://www.prh.noaa.gov/guam/

User avatar
euro6208
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 13102
Age: 30
Joined: Mon Mar 08, 2004 7:50 pm
Location: Guam U.S.A

Re: WPAC: CHAMPI - Typhoon

#69 Postby euro6208 » Fri Oct 16, 2015 4:12 pm

Upgraded to typhoon...

WDPN32 PGTW 162100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON 25W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 15//
RMKS/
1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS.
2. 6 HOUR SUMMARY AND ANALYSIS.
TYPHOON (TY) 25W (CHAMPI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 172 NM WEST-
NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN, CNMI, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY
SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS MAINTAINED GOOD BANDING AND A DEGREE OF WRAP
INTO AN OBSCURED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE INITIAL
POSITION IS BASED ON THE ABOVE LOOP AND LINES UP WITH AN LLCC FEATURE
IN THE 161644Z NPP MICROWAVE PASS WITH FAIR CONFIDENCE. THE INITIAL
INTENSITY OF 65 KNOTS IS BASED ON CONGRUENT DVORAK ESTIMATES FROM
PGTW AND RJTD. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED
IN AN AREA OF LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) AND GOOD EQUATORWARD
OUTFLOW. THE CYCLONE IS TRACKING ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A
DEEP-LAYERED SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST.
3. FORECAST REASONING.
A. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY SINCE THE
PREVIOUS PROGNOSTIC REASONING MESSAGE.
B. TY CHAMPI WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE STR. AFTERWARDS, AS THE STR RECEDES,
THE SYSTEM WILL TAKE A MORE POLEWARD TRACK AND ROUND THE RIDGE AXIS.
EXPECT AN INCREASE IN INTENSITY THROUGH TAU 48 AS TY 25W GAINS
IMPROVED POLEWARD OUTFLOW, PEAKING AT 100 KNOTS. WITH THE SYSTEM
BEING NORTH OF THE RIDGE AXIS BY TAU 48, IT WILL TRACK TO THE
NORTHEAST ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE STR. EXPECT SOME
DECAY OF THE SYSTEM BEYOND THIS TIME AS WATERS COOL AND VWS INCREASES.
C. IN THE EXTENDED FORECAST, TY CHAMPI WILL REMAIN ON A
NORTHEASTWARD TRAJECTORY AND CONTINUE TO WEAKEN. NUMERICAL MODEL
GUIDANCE HAS CONTINUED TO SHOW TIGHT AGREEMENT THROUGH TAU 36,
LENDING HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK WHICH IS LAID
CLOSE TO THE MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS.//
NNNN
0 likes   
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...

NWS for the Western Pacific

http://www.prh.noaa.gov/guam/

supercane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2845
Joined: Wed Sep 16, 2009 8:27 pm

#70 Postby supercane » Fri Oct 16, 2015 8:53 pm

WTPQ51 RJTD 170000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1525 CHAMPI (1525)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 170000UTC 17.2N 142.5E FAIR
MOVE WNW 08KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 60NM
30KT 210NM SOUTHWEST 150NM NORTHEAST
FORECAST
24HF 180000UTC 19.5N 140.1E 70NM 70%
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
48HF 190000UTC 21.3N 140.7E 160NM 70%
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 945HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
72HF 200000UTC 23.2N 141.8E 220NM 70%
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
96HF 210000UTC 25.5N 143.0E 240NM 70%
MOVE NNE 06KT
120HF 220000UTC 27.2N 146.0E 300NM 70%
MOVE ENE 08KT =

WTPQ31 RJTD 170000

RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 9 FOR TY 1525 CHAMPI (1525)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
REASONING OF PROGNOSIS THIS TIME IS SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS ONE.
POSITION FORECAST IS MAINLY BASED ON NWP AND PERSISTENCY.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
NOTHING PARTICULAR TO EXPLAIN.
3.MOTION FORECAST
POSITION ACCURACY AT 170000 UTC IS FAIR.
TY WILL MOVE AT THE SAME SPEED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS THEN DECELERATE.
TY WILL RECURVE WITHIN 36 HOURS FROM 170000 UTC.
TY WILL MOVE NORTHWEST FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS THEN MOVE TO NORTHEAST.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
TY WILL KEEP PRESENT INTENSITY FOR NEXT 24 HOURS.
FI-NUMBER WILL BE 5.0 AFTER 24 HOURS.=


And forecast from JTWC:
WTPN52 PGTW 170300
WARNING ATCG MIL 25W NWP 151017011313
2015101700 25W CHAMPI 016 02 305 08 SATL 010
T000 171N 1425E 080 R064 030 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 045 SE QD 045 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 130 SE QD 135 SW QD 120 NW QD
T012 182N 1411E 090 R064 015 NE QD 015 SE QD 015 SW QD 015 NW QD R050 055 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 115 NE QD 130 SE QD 130 SW QD 120 NW QD
T024 193N 1403E 095 R064 025 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 065 NE QD 065 SE QD 065 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 125 NE QD 135 SE QD 130 SW QD 125 NW QD
T036 203N 1402E 100 R064 035 NE QD 035 SE QD 035 SW QD 035 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 065 SW QD 065 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 140 SE QD 130 SW QD 125 NW QD
T048 212N 1405E 100 R064 035 NE QD 040 SE QD 035 SW QD 035 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW QD 065 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 140 SE QD 135 SW QD 125 NW QD
T072 231N 1416E 090 R064 035 NE QD 035 SE QD 035 SW QD 035 NW QD R050 065 NE QD 065 SE QD 065 SW QD 065 NW QD R034 135 NE QD 140 SE QD 130 SW QD 130 NW QD
T096 250N 1429E 075 R034 000 NE QD 000 SE QD 005 SW QD 000 NW QD
T120 275N 1461E 050
AMP
120HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TYPHOON 25W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 016
1. TYPHOON 25W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 016
<rest omitted>

WDPN32 PGTW 170300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON 25W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 16//
RMKS/
1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS.
2. 6 HOUR SUMMARY AND ANALYSIS.
TYPHOON (TY) 25W (CHAMPI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 467 NM SOUTH OF
IWO TO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST
SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM
HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INTENSIFIED AS IT DEVELOPED A 15-NM EYE. THE
INITIAL POSITION IS BASED ON THE EYE FEATURE WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE.
THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 80 KNOTS IS BASED ON AN OVERALL ASSESSMENT
OF DVORAK ESTIMATES FROM PGTW, KNES, AND RJTD. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS
INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF LOW VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR (VWS) AND GOOD EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW. THE CYCLONE IS TRACKING
ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A DEEP-LAYERED SUBTROPICAL RIDGE
(STR) TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST.
3. FORECAST REASONING.
A. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY SINCE THE
PREVIOUS PROGNOSTIC REASONING MESSAGE.
B. TY CHAMPI WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE STR. AFTERWARDS, AS THE STR RECEDES,
THE SYSTEM WILL TAKE A MORE POLEWARD TRACK AND ROUND THE RIDGE AXIS.
EXPECT AN INCREASE IN INTENSITY THROUGH TAU 48 AS TY 25W GAINS
IMPROVED POLEWARD OUTFLOW, PEAKING AT 100 KNOTS. WITH THE SYSTEM
BEING NORTH OF THE RIDGE AXIS BY TAU 48, IT WILL TRACK TO THE
NORTHEAST ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE STR. EXPECT SOME
DECAY OF THE SYSTEM BEYOND THIS TIME AS WATERS COOL AND VWS
INCREASES.
C. IN THE EXTENDED TAUS, TY CHAMPI WILL REMAIN ON A NORTHEASTWARD
TRAJECTORY AND CONTINUE TO WEAKEN. BY TAU 120, IT WILL BEGIN
EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITION AS IT ENTERS THE COLD BAROCLINIC ZONE.
NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE REMAINS IN TIGHT AGREEMENT THROUGH, LENDING
HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK WHICH IS LAID CLOSE TO THE
MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS.//
NNNN
0 likes   

User avatar
Yellow Evan
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10214
Age: 19
Joined: Fri Jul 15, 2011 12:48 pm
Location: Henderson, Nevada/Norman, Oklahoma
Contact:

#71 Postby Yellow Evan » Sat Oct 17, 2015 2:12 am

WP, 25, 2015101706, , BEST, 0, 173N, 1418E, 90, 956, TY, 50, NEQ, 50, 45, 45, 50, 1006, 240, 15, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHAMPI, D,

Guys an intensity estimate I agree with for a change.
0 likes   

User avatar
euro6208
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 13102
Age: 30
Joined: Mon Mar 08, 2004 7:50 pm
Location: Guam U.S.A

Re: WPAC: CHAMPI - Typhoon

#72 Postby euro6208 » Sat Oct 17, 2015 5:01 am

Image

WDPN32 PGTW 170900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON 25W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 17//
RMKS//
1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS.
2. 6 HOUR SUMMARY AND ANALYSIS.
TYPHOON (TY) 25W (CHAMPI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 451 NM SOUTH OF
IWO TO, JAPAN HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS
THAT ALTHOUGH THE TYPHOON HAS LOST ITS EYE FEATURE, THE CENTRAL
DENSE OVERCAST FEATURE HAS DEEPENED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. A
170440Z AMSU-B MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWS A MOSTLY CLOSED MICROWAVE EYE
FEATURE WITH TIGHT SPIRAL BANDING WRAPPING INTO THE CENTER. THE
INITIAL POSITION IS BASED ON THE MICROWAVE EYE FEATURE AND IS
SUPPORTED BY AGENCY SATELLITE FIXES WITH GOOD CONFIDENCE. TY 25W HAS
UNDERGONE RAPID INTENSIFICATION OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS WITH THE
CURRENT INTENSITY ASSESSED AT 90 KNOTS BASED ON A DVORAK INTENSITY
ESTIMATE OF T5.0 (90 KNOTS) FROM PGTW. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS
INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH LOW
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) AND GOOD EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW WITH A
DEVELOPING POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL. TY 25W IS TRACKING ALONG THE
SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A DEEP-LAYERED SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) TO THE
NORTH-NORTHEAST.
3. FORECAST REASONING.
A. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY SINCE THE
PREVIOUS PROGNOSTIC REASONING MESSAGE.
B. TY CHAMPI WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT
12 TO 24 HOURS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE STR. BEYOND TAU 24, THE
SYSTEM WILL TURN POLEWARD AND ROUND THE STR AXIS. AFTERWARDS, TY
CHAMPI WILL TRACK TO THE NORTHEAST ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN PERIPHERY
OF THE STR. AS THE TYPHOON GAINS LATITUDE, ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS
WILL BEGIN TO DETERIORATE AS VWS INCREASES AND SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES (SSTS) DECREASE.
C. IN THE EXTENDED FORECAST, TY CHAMPI WILL ACCELERATE
NORTHEASTWARD AND CONTINUE TO WEAKEN. BY TAU 120, THE TYPHOON WILL
BEGIN TO INTERACT WITH THE BAROCLINIC ZONE AND BEGIN EXTRA-TROPICAL
TRANSITION. DYNAMIC MODEL GUIDANCE REMAINS IN TIGHT AGREEMENT
THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD, LENDING HIGH CONFIDENCE TO THE JTWC
FORECAST TRACK.//
NNNN
0 likes   
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...

NWS for the Western Pacific

http://www.prh.noaa.gov/guam/

User avatar
1900hurricane
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3238
Age: 26
Joined: Fri Feb 06, 2015 12:04 pm
Location: College Station, TX
Contact:

#73 Postby 1900hurricane » Sat Oct 17, 2015 7:06 am

Champi is getting ready to pop an eye. It's still a little weighted to the south, but I think it'll become very intense too.
0 likes   
Wayward meteorology student on a journey back to the promised land.

Follow me on Twitter at @1900hurricane : Read blogs at https://1900hurricane.wordpress.com/

supercane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2845
Joined: Wed Sep 16, 2009 8:27 pm

#74 Postby supercane » Sat Oct 17, 2015 8:47 am

Champi gradually intensifying in comparing JMA 6Z and 12Z forecasts:
WTPQ51 RJTD 170600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1525 CHAMPI (1525)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 170600UTC 17.2N 141.9E FAIR
MOVE W 08KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
50KT 60NM
30KT 180NM SOUTHWEST 150NM NORTHEAST
FORECAST
24HF 180600UTC 19.9N 140.1E 70NM 70%
MOVE NNW 08KT
PRES 945HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
48HF 190600UTC 22.0N 141.3E 160NM 70%
MOVE NNE 06KT
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
72HF 200600UTC 24.0N 142.3E 220NM 70%
MOVE NNE 06KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
96HF 210600UTC 25.8N 143.7E 240NM 70%
MOVE NNE 06KT
120HF 220600UTC 27.0N 147.1E 300NM 70%
MOVE ENE 08KT =

WTPQ51 RJTD 171200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1525 CHAMPI (1525)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 171200UTC 18.3N 141.0E FAIR
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
50KT 60NM
30KT 180NM SOUTHWEST 150NM NORTHEAST
FORECAST
24HF 181200UTC 20.5N 140.3E 70NM 70%
MOVE N 06KT
PRES 945HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
48HF 191200UTC 22.0N 141.1E 160NM 70%
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
72HF 201200UTC 24.1N 141.8E 220NM 70%
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
96HF 211200UTC 26.1N 143.7E 240NM 70%
MOVE NE 07KT
120HF 221200UTC 27.5N 148.4E 300NM 70%
MOVE ENE 11KT =
0 likes   

supercane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2845
Joined: Wed Sep 16, 2009 8:27 pm

#75 Postby supercane » Sat Oct 17, 2015 9:40 am

WTPN52 PGTW 171500
WARNING ATCG MIL 25W NWP 151017125455
2015101712 25W CHAMPI 018 02 315 17 SATL 015
T000 187N 1407E 090 R064 030 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 045 SE QD 045 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 130 SE QD 140 SW QD 105 NW QD
T012 197N 1400E 105 R064 035 NE QD 035 SE QD 030 SW QD 035 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 055 SE QD 055 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 115 NE QD 135 SE QD 140 SW QD 115 NW QD
T024 208N 1398E 115 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 065 NE QD 065 SE QD 060 SW QD 065 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 135 SE QD 135 SW QD 120 NW QD
T036 219N 1399E 120 R064 045 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 065 SW QD 065 NW QD R034 125 NE QD 135 SE QD 135 SW QD 125 NW QD
T048 231N 1404E 115 R064 045 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 065 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 140 SE QD 135 SW QD 130 NW QD
T072 254N 1420E 090 R064 035 NE QD 035 SE QD 035 SW QD 035 NW QD R050 065 NE QD 065 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 135 NE QD 140 SE QD 135 SW QD 130 NW QD
T096 280N 1459E 070
T120 297N 1505E 050
AMP
096HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
120HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TYPHOON 25W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 018
<rest omitted>

WDPN32 PGTW 171500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON 25W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 18//
RMKS//
1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS.
2. 6 HOUR SUMMARY AND ANALYSIS.
TYPHOON (TY) 25W (CHAMPI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 368 NM SOUTH OF
IWO TO, JAPAN HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST
SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A
DEVELOPING 13NM EYE FEATURE SURROUNDED BY A DEEP CONVECTIVE CORE.
THE EYE FEATURE PROVIDES HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE INITIAL POSITION. A
171153Z AMSU-B MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWS DEEP CONVECTIVE BANDING
WRAPPING AROUND THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A DISTINCT MICROWAVE EYE.
THE CURRENT INTENSITY HAS BEEN HELD AT 90 KNOTS BASED ON CONCURRING
DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF T5.0 (90 KNOTS) FROM ALL AGENCIES.
UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED IN A FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) AND GOOD EQUATORWARD
OUTFLOW WITH A DEVELOPING POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL AS SEEN IN WATER
VAPOR IMAGERY. TY 25W IS TRACKING ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A
DEEP-LAYERED SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST.
3. FORECAST REASONING.
A. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY SINCE THE
PREVIOUS PROGNOSTIC REASONING MESSAGE.
B. TY CHAMPI WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT
12 TO 24 HOURS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE STR. BEYOND TAU 24, THE
SYSTEM WILL TURN POLEWARD AND ROUND THE STR AXIS. AFTERWARDS, TY
CHAMPI WILL TRACK TO THE NORTHEAST ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN PERIPHERY
OF THE STR. AS THE TYPHOON GAINS LATITUDE, ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS
WILL BEGIN TO DETERIORATE AS VWS INCREASES AND SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES (SSTS) DECREASE.
C. IN THE EXTENDED FORECAST, TY CHAMPI WILL ACCELERATE
NORTHEASTWARD AND CONTINUE TO WEAKEN DUE TO POOR ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS. THE TYPHOON WILL START TO INTERACT WITH THE BAROCLINIC
ZONE AND BEGIN EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITION BY TAU 96. DYNAMIC MODEL
GUIDANCE REMAINS IN TIGHT AGREEMENT THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD,
LENDING HIGH CONFIDENCE TO THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK.//
NNNN
0 likes   

User avatar
euro6208
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 13102
Age: 30
Joined: Mon Mar 08, 2004 7:50 pm
Location: Guam U.S.A

Re: WPAC: CHAMPI - Typhoon

#76 Postby euro6208 » Sat Oct 17, 2015 4:15 pm

Image

WDPN32 PGTW 172100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON 25W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 19//
RMKS/
1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS.
2. 6 HOUR SUMMARY AND ANALYSIS.
TYPHOON (TY) 25W (CHAMPI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 364 NM SOUTH OF
IWO TO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST
SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE
SYSTEM HAS MAINTAINED A 5-NM EYE FEATURE SURROUNDED BY A DEEP
CONVECTIVE CORE. THE EYE FEATURE PROVIDES HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE
INITIAL POSITION. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 90 KNOTS IS BASED ON
CONGRUENT DVORAK ESTIMATES FROM ALL REPORTING AGENCIES. UPPER LEVEL
ANALYSIS INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT
WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) AND GOOD EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW WITH
A DEVELOPING POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL AS SEEN IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY.
TY 25W IS TRACKING ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A DEEP-LAYERED
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST.
3. FORECAST REASONING.
A. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY SINCE THE
PREVIOUS PROGNOSTIC REASONING MESSAGE.
B. TY CHAMPI WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT
12 HOURS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE STR. AFTERWARDS, THE SYSTEM WILL
TURN NORTH THEN NORTHEASTWARD AS IT ROUNDS THE STR AXIS. AS TY 25W
GAINS LATITUDE, ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS WILL BEGIN TO DETERIORATE AS
VWS INCREASES AND SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SSTS) DECREASE.
C. IN THE EXTENDED FORECAST, TY CHAMPI WILL ACCELERATE
NORTHEASTWARD AND CONTINUE TO WEAKEN DUE TO POOR ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS. CONCURRENTLY, THE CYCLONE WILL START TO INTERACT WITH THE
BAROCLINIC ZONE AND BEGIN EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITION. DYNAMIC MODEL
GUIDANCE REMAINS IN TIGHT AGREEMENT THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD,
LENDING HIGH CONFIDENCE TO THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK.//
NNNN
0 likes   
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...

NWS for the Western Pacific

http://www.prh.noaa.gov/guam/

User avatar
1900hurricane
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3238
Age: 26
Joined: Fri Feb 06, 2015 12:04 pm
Location: College Station, TX
Contact:

#77 Postby 1900hurricane » Sat Oct 17, 2015 8:33 pm

JTWC went with 100 kt at 00Z, making yet another major. With Champi only moving slowly north while strengthening in the near term, it could end up racking up a larger ACE total before all is said and done.

Image
0 likes   
Wayward meteorology student on a journey back to the promised land.

Follow me on Twitter at @1900hurricane : Read blogs at https://1900hurricane.wordpress.com/

User avatar
euro6208
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 13102
Age: 30
Joined: Mon Mar 08, 2004 7:50 pm
Location: Guam U.S.A

Re: WPAC: CHAMPI - Typhoon

#78 Postby euro6208 » Sun Oct 18, 2015 5:41 am

Image

105 knots...

WDPN32 PGTW 180900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON 25W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 21//
RMKS/
1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS.
2. 6 HOUR SUMMARY AND ANALYSIS.
TYPHOON (TY) 25W (CHAMPI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 326 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST OF IWO TO, JAPAN HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD
AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL
SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A CLOUD FILLED AND RAGGED 13-NM EYE THAT
SUPPORTS THE INITIAL POSITION WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE. AN 180452Z SSMI
85GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWED A DISTINCT MICROWAVE EYE FEATURE WITH
DEEP CONVECTIVE SPIRAL BANDING WRAPPING INTO THE CENTER. TY CHAMPI
HAS CONTINUED TO SLOW AS IT REACHES THE WESTERN AXIS OF THE DEEP-
LAYERED SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE (STR). THE TYPHOON HAS CONTINUED TO
INTENSIFY, EVIDENT IN THE COOLING CLOUD TOPS IN ENHANCED INFRARED
SATELLITE IMAGERY, WITH THE CURRENT INTENSITY ASSESSED AT 105 KNOTS
BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF T5.5 (102 KNOTS). UPPER LEVEL
ANALYSIS INDICATES TY 25W IS LOCATED IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH
LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) AND GOOD EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW WITH AN
INCREASED POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL AS SEEN IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY.
3. FORECAST REASONING.
A. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY SINCE THE
PREVIOUS PROGNOSTIC REASONING MESSAGE.
B. TY 25W WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK SLOWLY POLEWARD ALONG THE
WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE STEERING STR OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS
AND CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY DUE TO THE FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS. BEYOND TAU 36, TY CHAMPI WILL BEGIN TO ACCELERATE
NORTHEASTWARD WHERE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS WILL BEGIN TO
DETERIORATE AS VWS INCREASES AND SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES DECREASE.
C. IN THE EXTENDED FORECAST, TY CHAMPI WILL CONTINUE TO
ACCELERATE NORTHEASTWARD AND WEAKEN DUE TO POOR ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS. CONCURRENTLY, THE CYCLONE WILL START TO INTERACT WITH
THE BAROCLINIC ZONE AND BEGIN EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITION. DYNAMIC
MODEL GUIDANCE REMAINS IN TIGHT AGREEMENT THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST
PERIOD, LENDING HIGH CONFIDENCE TO THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK.//
NNNN
0 likes   
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...

NWS for the Western Pacific

http://www.prh.noaa.gov/guam/

User avatar
euro6208
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 13102
Age: 30
Joined: Mon Mar 08, 2004 7:50 pm
Location: Guam U.S.A

Re: WPAC: CHAMPI - Typhoon

#79 Postby euro6208 » Sun Oct 18, 2015 5:43 am

TXPQ27 KNES 180909
TCSWNP

A. 25W (CHAMPI)

B. 18/0832Z

C. 19.6N

D. 140.1E

E. ONE/MTSAT

F. T6.0/6.0/D1.0/24HRS

G. IR/EIR

H. REMARKS...OW EYE IS EMBEDDED IN B AND SURROUNDED BY CMG RESULTING
IN A DT OF 6.0 AFTER 0.5 IS ADDED AS AN EYE ADJUSTMENT. PT IS ALSO 6.0
WHILE MET IS 6.5 BASED ON RAPID DEVELOPMENT OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS. FT
IS BASED ON DT.

I. ADDL POSITIONS

NIL


...TURK

TPPN11 PGTW 180913

A. TYPHOON 25W (CHAMPI)

B. 18/0830Z

C. 19.52N

D. 140.24E

E. ONE/HIMA-8

F. T6.0/6.0/D1.0/24HRS STT: D0.5/03HRS

G. IR/EIR

H. REMARKS: 05A/PBO IRREG EYE/ANMTN. OW EYE SURROUNDED BY B
YIELDS AN E# OF 5.5. ADDED 0.5 FOR EYE ADJUSTMENT TO YIELD A DT
OF 6.0. MET AND PT AGREE WITH DT. DBO DT.

I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
18/0336Z 19.25N 139.93E ATMS
18/0430Z 19.28N 139.95E MMHS
18/0452Z 19.22N 140.05E SSMI


BERMEA
0 likes   
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...

NWS for the Western Pacific

http://www.prh.noaa.gov/guam/

User avatar
euro6208
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 13102
Age: 30
Joined: Mon Mar 08, 2004 7:50 pm
Location: Guam U.S.A

Re: WPAC: CHAMPI - Typhoon

#80 Postby euro6208 » Sun Oct 18, 2015 5:46 am

Looks like a category 4 now...

Very deep convection wrapping around the developing eye...

Image
0 likes   
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...

NWS for the Western Pacific

http://www.prh.noaa.gov/guam/


Return to “2015”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 2 guests