Arabian Sea: CHAPALA - Post-Tropical

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#241 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Nov 02, 2015 7:36 pm

1900hurricane wrote:Very deep convection (<-80*C) is flaring up right on the coast neat the center, likely due to land friction. There has to to be absolutely torrential rain under that convective top.

Image


That appears to be directly over Al Mukalla as well. The landfall location from what I could see was between Burum and Fuwwah, about 12 miles SW of Al Mukalla, near 14.4N 49.0E.
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Re: Arabian Sea: CHAPALA - Extremely Severe Cyclonic Storm

#242 Postby euro6208 » Mon Nov 02, 2015 8:14 pm

Down to 75 knots.

04A CHAPALA 151103 0000 13.9N 49.0E IO 75 967
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Re: Hold on Chaps

#243 Postby AJC3 » Mon Nov 02, 2015 9:17 pm

404UserNotFound wrote:
Cyclenall wrote:When was the last time a TC got in the canal like this? I always wondered what would happen if one ever got in there.

1984, in late May. Nowhere near as strong as Chapala, however:


Also, a Deep Depression (IMD - ARB 02, JTWC - TC 03A) in 2008...

https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/ ... 3A2008.jpg

Apparently, slightly weaker than the 1984 system.
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#244 Postby Alyono » Mon Nov 02, 2015 10:33 pm

seeing pics that severe flooding is ongoing
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#245 Postby AJC3 » Mon Nov 02, 2015 10:47 pm

Alyono wrote:seeing pics that severe flooding is ongoing


Indeed, sadly.

Instead of posting pics and video, I'll simply suggest for peeps to search #Chapala, #Mukalla and #Yemen on Twitter
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#246 Postby Alyono » Mon Nov 02, 2015 10:55 pm

only good news is I have not seen any pics of mudslides and the river flowing through Mukalla so far remains in its banks
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#247 Postby 1900hurricane » Mon Nov 02, 2015 11:11 pm

Looks like the convective burst near the center may have passed just to the west of Al Mukalla, but they may be seeing trailing bands now. It wouldn't surprise me at all if anything coming ashore in the dark grey and colder on BD enhanced IR had some heavy warm rains underneath.

Image
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#248 Postby AJC3 » Mon Nov 02, 2015 11:50 pm

1900hurricane wrote:Looks like the convective burst near the center may have passed just to the west of Al Mukalla, but they may be seeing trailing bands now. It wouldn't surprise me at all if anything coming ashore in the dark grey and colder on BD enhanced IR had some heavy warm rains underneath.


Unfortunately, given the local topography, the orientation of the ridge lines and wadis, much of the rainfall from that convective burst will drain back to the SE and ESE toward Al Mukalla, though some may get shunted southward just to the west of there, and into Zulumah and As Sufal instead.

Image
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Re: Arabian Sea: CHAPALA - Extremely Severe Cyclonic Storm

#249 Postby Chris_in_Tampa » Tue Nov 03, 2015 3:01 am

Hourly images. Oct. 31st 07Z through Nov. 3rd 06Z. Saved loop:
Image
http://re.ssec.wisc.edu/s/h6WfA
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#250 Postby galaxy401 » Tue Nov 03, 2015 7:41 pm

Any damage that was reported in Yemen yet?
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I don't get hurricanes here but I do get their remnants.

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#251 Postby Alyono » Wed Nov 04, 2015 9:56 am

been flood damage, but have not heard of any deaths yet
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#252 Postby TheEuropean » Wed Nov 04, 2015 10:14 am

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