tolakram wrote:One of the less than 5 days warning storms I'm worried about. Seems like the models can't really handle the in close development very well.
I think the models handled it very well. It was quite clearly a depression yesterday, though no advisories were started then, probably because the NHC thought that wind shear would get the best of it. The 12Z Friday GFS had the low approaching the NC coast Tue/Wed. It's no surprise that it developed.