ATL: BONNIE - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Re: ATL: BONNIE - Advisories

#481 Postby cycloneye » Mon May 30, 2016 9:36 am

BULLETIN
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BONNIE ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022016
1100 AM EDT MON MAY 30 2016

...BONNIE BECOMES A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE...
...POTENTIAL FOR ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL CONTINUES OVER THE
CAROLINAS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.4N 79.8W
ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM NNE OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM WSW OF MYRTLE BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 65 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1012 MB...29.89 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

For information specific to your area, including possible inland
watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 AM EDT (1500 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone
Bonnie was located near latitude 33.4 North, longitude 79.8 West.
The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the east-northeast near 2
mph (4 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue for
the next day or so, with some increase in forward speed by
Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1012 mb (29.89 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Bonnie is expected to produce additional rainfall
accumulations of 1 to 3 inches across eastern South Carolina,
eastern North Carolina, and southeast Virginia, with isolated
maximum amounts near 5 inches. Farther north, the moisture
from Bonnie will produce additional rainfall accumulations of
up to 2 inches across eastern portions of the mid-Atlantic
region into southern New England through Wednesday.

Total rainfall of more than 8 inches has already occurred over large
portions of south-central South Carolina.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on this system. Future information on Bonnie can be
found in Public Advisories issued by the Weather Prediction Center
beginning at 5 PM EDT, under AWIPS header TCPAT2, WMO header
WTNT32 KWNH, and on the web at http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain


POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BONNIE DISCUSSION NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022016
1100 AM EDT MON MAY 30 2016

Bonnie has been gradually weakening during the past 24 hours. Deep
convection associated the depression dissipated around 0300 UTC, and
the central pressure has risen several millibars since this time
yesterday. Surface observations over land also indicate winds no
higher than 15 kt near Bonnie's center of circulation, however,
winds to around 25 kt are noted over water in a band well removed to
the east. Given the absence of deep convection for about 12 hours,
Bonnie no longer meets the criteria to be classified as a tropical
cyclone and is being designated as a post-tropical/remnant low at
this time. Sporadic convection could re-develop in association with
Bonnie during the next few days, especially over land during peak
diurnal heating. However, re-development into a tropical cyclone is
not anticipated. Global models show the remnant low of Bonnie
transitioning into an extratropical cyclone along a frontal zone
just after 72 hours.

The initial motion is estimated to be 065/02, although visible
satellite imagery indicates little motion during the last few
hours. The track model guidance shows the post-tropical cyclone
generally meandering slowly east-northeastward during the next day
or so in a region of weak southwesterly steering flow. A shortwave
trough entering the Midwest in 2 to 3 days should cause the post-
tropical cyclone to move northeast and then east-northeastward into
the western Atlantic with an increase in forward speed. The new NHC
track forecast is shifted a bit to the left of the previous one and
keeps Bonnie over land during the next 3 days.

There continues to be the potential for Bonnie to generate heavy
rainfall and some flooding over portions of the Carolinas during the
next 2 to 3 days. Future information on Bonnie can be found in
Public Advisories issued by the Weather Prediction Center beginning
at 5 PM EDT, under AWIPS header TCPAT2, WMO header WTNT32 KWNH, and
on the web at http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 30/1500Z 33.4N 79.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
12H 31/0000Z 33.7N 79.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24H 31/1200Z 33.9N 78.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 01/0000Z 34.2N 78.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 01/1200Z 34.8N 77.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 02/1200Z 36.2N 76.6W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 03/1200Z 37.7N 73.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
120H 04/1200Z 38.8N 69.6W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain
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Re: ATL: BONNIE - Post-Tropical - Discussion

#482 Postby cycloneye » Mon May 30, 2016 9:37 am

BULLETIN
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BONNIE ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022016
1100 AM EDT MON MAY 30 2016

...BONNIE BECOMES A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE...
...POTENTIAL FOR ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL CONTINUES OVER THE
CAROLINAS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.4N 79.8W
ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM NNE OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM WSW OF MYRTLE BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 65 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1012 MB...29.89 INCHES
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Re: ATL: BONNIE - Post-Tropical - Discussion

#483 Postby northjaxpro » Mon May 30, 2016 10:05 am

Wxman57, I am surprised you didn't bring out Bones for his first appearance of the season on Bonnie's demise.
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Re: ATL: BONNIE - Advisories

#484 Postby cycloneye » Mon May 30, 2016 4:03 pm

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BONNIE ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD AL022016
500 PM EDT MON MAY 30 2016

...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BONNIE CONTINUES TO PRODUCE HEAVY
RAINFALL THROUGH THE EASTERN CAROLINAS AND INTO PORTIONS OF THE
MID-ATLANTIC...

SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.8N 79.7W
ABOUT 80 MILES...130 KM...E OF COLUMBIA METRO SOUTH CAROLINA.
ABOUT 65 MILES...105 KM...NNE OF CHARLESTOWN MUNI SOUTH CAROLINA.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...15 MPH...25 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 0 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB...29.86 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
FLOOD ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE OUTER BANKS OF NORTH
CAROLINA.

FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF BONNIE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 33.8 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 79.7 WEST. POST-TROPICAL
CYCLONE BONNIE IS CURRENTLY ASSOCIATED WITH MAINLY SCATTERED
CONVECTION THROUGH THE EASTERN CAROLINAS. RADAR AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS ALSO SHOW LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH THE
MOISTURE FROM BONNIE OVERSPREADING PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN
SEABOARD...MAINLY ACROSS THE EASTERN MID-ATLANTIC. WINDS OF ONLY
AROUND 10 MPH ARE PRESENT NEAR THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION ON
LAND...WHILE WINDS ARE SOMEWHAT STRONGER OFFSHORE. BONNIE IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE SLOWLY DRIFTING TOWARD THE NORTH AND
NORTHEAST OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS...AND INCREASE IN SPEED SOMEWHAT
BY WEDNESDAY...TRACKING OFFSHORE OF THE MID-ATLANTIC AND
NORTHEAST. THE MAIN THREAT WITH THIS STORM IS MODERATE TO HEAVY
RAIN...WHICH WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT MAINLY THE EASTERN CAROLINAS
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 15 MPH...25 KM/H...WITH GUSTS TO
25 MPH...40 KM/H..

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1011 MB...29.86 INCHES.


HAZARDS
-------
RAINFALL...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BONNIE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMA
OF 6 INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA...EASTERN
NORTH CAROLINA...AND FAR SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA THROUGH THURSDAY.
THESE RAINS WILL CONTINUE TO ENHANCE THE THREAT FOR FLASH
FLOODING...PARTICULARLY IN REGIONS WHICH ARE ALREADY SATURATED
FROM PREVIOUS HEAVY RAINFALL.


RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 4 PM EDT

...DELAWARE...
WILMINGTON ARPT 1.75

...GEORGIA...
BURTONS FERRY LANDING 8.85
OLIVER 2 SW 7.74
MARLOW 7.46
AUGUSTA/BUSH FIELD 2.69
SAVANNAH MUNI ARPT 1.57

...MASSACHUSETTS...
PLYMOUTH MUNI ARPT 2.31
NEW BEDFORD MUNI ARPT 1.59
BOSTON/LOGAN 1.13

...MARYLAND...
GALENA 3.51
OCEAN CITY MUNI ARPT 1.77
ANDREWS AFB/CAMP SPRINGS 1.20

...NORTH CAROLINA...
HATTERAS/BILLY MITCHELL AP 5.21
ERWIN/HARNETT COUNTY ARPT 2.41
LAURINBURG-MAXTON ARPT 2.05
RALEIGH/DURHAM INTL ARPT 1.95

...NEW JERSEY...
HAMILTON TWP 4.52
WESTAMPTON TWP 3.50
MOUNT HOLLY WFO 3.08
NEWARK INTL ARPT 1.60

...NEW YORK...
NEW YORK CITY 1.65

...PENNSYLVANIA...
JONAS 3.49
WALNUTPORT 2.70
PHILADELPHIA/NE PHIL. ARPT 2.35
PITTSBURGH/ALLEGHENY CO. ARPT 2.32

...SOUTH CAROLINA...
OLD HOUSE 1 SSE 10.36
LENA 4 ENE 9.03
ARCHDALE 2 NE 8.61
ARCHDALE 2 NNE 8.52
ALLENDALE 1 S 6.14
HENDERSONVILLE 6.11 6.11
CALAWASSIE ISLAND 6.05
CHARLESTON AIRPORT 4.84
BEAUFORT 2 N 4.60
SANGAREE 4.05

...VIRGINIA...
RICHMOND 2.34
PETERSBURG 1.21


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT 1100 PM EDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.

FORECASTER TATE

FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 30/2100Z 33.8N 79.7W
12HR VT 31/0600Z 33.8N 79.0W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
24HR VT 31/1800Z 34.0N 78.5W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
36HR VT 01/0600Z 34.5N 78.0W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
48HR VT 01/1800Z 35.4N 77.2W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
72HR VT 02/1800Z 36.6N 75.8W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
96HR VT 03/1800Z 38.0N 72.4W...EXTRATROPICAL
120HR VT 04/1800Z 39.0N 66.4W...EXTRATROPICAL
$$
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Re: ATL: BONNIE - Post Tropical - Advisories

#485 Postby cycloneye » Mon May 30, 2016 10:06 pm

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BONNIE ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD AL022016
1100 PM EDT MON MAY 30 2016

...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BONNIE CONTINUES TO PRODUCE HEAVY
RAINFALL THROUGH THE EASTERN CAROLINAS AND INTO PORTIONS OF THE
MID-ATLANTIC...

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.4N 79.2W
ABOUT 50 MILES...129 KM...WSW OF MYRTLE BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA.
ABOUT 39 MILES...105 KM...NNE OF CHARLESTOWN MUNI SOUTH CAROLINA.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...15 MPH...16 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...SE OR 135 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...3 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB...29.86 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO WATCHES...WARNINGS...OR ADVISORIES ASSOCIATED WITH
THIS SYSTEM.

FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
BONNIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.4 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 79.2
WEST. POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BONNIE IS CURRENTLY ASSOCIATED WITH
MAINLY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE EASTERN
CAROLINAS. RADAR AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS ALSO SHOW LIGHT TO
MODERATE RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH THE MOISTURE FROM BONNIE
OVERSPREADING PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN SEABOARD...MAINLY ACROSS THE
EASTERN MID-ATLANTIC AND PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEAST. POCKETS OF
THUNDERSTORMS WERE ALSO OBSERVED OFFSHORE OF SOUTHERN NORTH
CAROLINA. WINDS OF ONLY AROUND 10 MPH ARE PRESENT NEAR THE CENTER
OF CIRCULATION ON LAND...WHILE WINDS ARE SOMEWHAT STRONGER
OFFSHORE. POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BONNIE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
SLOWLY DRIFTING TOWARD THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST OVER THE NEXT 36
HOURS...AND INCREASE IN SPEED SOMEWHAT BY WEDNESDAY...TRACKING
OFFSHORE OF THE MID-ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST. THE MAIN THREAT WITH
THIS STORM IS MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN...WHICH WILL CONTINUE TO
IMPACT MAINLY THE EASTERN CAROLINAS OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 15 MPH...16 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1011 MB...29.86 INCHES.


HAZARDS
-------
RAINFALL...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BONNIE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS
OF 4 INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA...EASTERN
NORTH CAROLINA...AND FAR SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA THROUGH THURSDAY.
THESE RAINS WILL CONTINUE TO ENHANCE THE THREAT FOR FLASH
FLOODING...PARTICULARLY IN REGIONS WHICH ARE ALREADY SATURATED
FROM PREVIOUS HEAVY RAINFALL.


RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 8 PM EDT

...DELAWARE...
WILMINGTON 2 NW 2.23

...GEORGIA...
BURTONS FERRY LANDING 8.85
OLIVER 2 SW 7.74
MARLOW 7.46
NEWINGTON 1 S 4.92
BLICHTON 1 ESE 4.62
ROCKY FORD 1 SSW 4.07
AUGUSTA/BUSH FIELD 2.69
SAVANNAH MUNI ARPT 1.57

...MASSACHUSETTS...
PLYMOUTH MUNI ARPT 2.31
NEW BEDFORD MUNI ARPT 1.59
BOSTON/LOGAN 1.13

...MARYLAND...
GALENA 3.51
CARVILLE 3 W 3.35
OCEAN CITY MUNI ARPT 2.69
ANDREWS AFB/CAMP SPRINGS 1.20

...NORTH CAROLINA...
HATTERAS/BILLY MITCHELL AP 7.57
ERWIN/HARNETT COUNTY ARPT 2.41
LAURINBURG-MAXTON ARPT 2.05
RALEIGH/DURHAM INTL ARPT 1.95

...NEW JERSEY...
HAMILTON TWP 4.52
EAST WINDSOR TWP 3.91
WESTAMPTON TWP 3.50
TRENTON 5 ESE 3.16
MOUNT HOLLY WFO 3.08
SEWELL 2.93
MATAWAN 1 WSW 2.76
MOUNT LAUREL 3 ENE 2.46
GREENTREE 2 NE 2.43
WOODSTOWN 1 NW 2.39
ANDALUSIA 4 SSE 2.24
NORFOLK NAS 1.80
ATLANTIC CITY INTL AIRPORT 1.73
NEWARK INTL ARPT 1.60
GEORGETOWN/SUSSEX CO ARPT 1.36

...NEW YORK...
NEW YORK CITY 1.65

...PENNSYLVANIA...
JONAS 3.49
KRESGEVILLE 3.08
WALNUTPORT 2.70
PHILADELPHIA/NE PHIL. ARPT 2.35
PITTSBURGH/ALLEGHENY CO. ARPT 2.32
NORTHEAST PHILADELPHIA 2.30

...SOUTH CAROLINA...
OLD HOUSE 1 SSE 10.36
LENA 4 ENE 9.03
ARCHDALE 2 NE 8.61
FOLLY BEACH 2 WSW 6.28
JOHNS ISLAND 4 SE 6.24
ALLENDALE 1 S 6.14
HENDERSONVILLE 6.11 6.11
CALAWASSIE ISLAND 6.05
CHARLESTON AIRPORT 4.84
BEAUFORT 2 N 4.60
SANGAREE 4.05

...VIRGINIA...
WAKEFIELD MUNI ARPT 2.56
RICHMOND 2.34
WALLOPS ISLAND 1.32
PETERSBURG 1.21


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT 500 AM EDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.

FORECASTER FANNING

FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 31/0300Z 33.4N 79.2W
12HR VT 31/1200Z 33.4N 78.4W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
24HR VT 01/0000Z 33.7N 78.2W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
36HR VT 01/1200Z 34.3N 76.5W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
48HR VT 02/0000Z 34.1N 76.6W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
72HR VT 03/0000Z 36.6N 75.8W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
96HR VT 04/0000Z 38.0N 72.4W...EXTRATROPICAL
$$
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Re: ATL: BONNIE - Post-Tropical - Discussion

#486 Postby tropicwatch » Tue May 31, 2016 12:17 am

Bonnie's circulation is doing something unexpected, heading back out into the Atlantic already.
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Re: ATL: BONNIE - Post Tropical - Advisories

#487 Postby cycloneye » Tue May 31, 2016 5:14 am

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BONNIE ADVISORY NUMBER 15...CORRECTED
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD AL022016
500 AM EDT TUE MAY 31 2016

CORRECTED FOR CHANGING LOCATION OF THE LOW.


...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BONNIE CONTINUES TO PRODUCE LIGHT RAIN
ALONG THE EAST COAST...

SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.3N 78.9W
ABOUT 29 MILES...47 KM...S OF MYRTLE BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA.
ABOUT 65 MILES...105 KM...NNE OF CHARLESTOWN MUNI ARPT SOUTH
CAROLINA.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...15 MPH...25 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 4 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO WATCHES...WARNINGS...OR ADVISORIES ASSOCIATED WITH
THIS SYSTEM.

FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF BONNIE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 33.3 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 78.9 WEST. POST-TROPICAL
CYCLONE BONNIE IS CURRENTLY ASSOCIATED WITH SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS MOSTLY OFF THE NORTH AND SOUTH CAROLINA COAST.
RADAR AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS ALSO SHOW LIGHT TO MODERATE SHOWERS
ALONG THE COAST OF NEW ENGLAND. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS REPORTED
GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH IN THUNDERSTORMS OFFSHORE. POST-TROPICAL
CYCLONE BONNIE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE SLOWLY DRIFTING NORTHEAST
OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS...TRACKING OFFSHORE OF THE MID-ATLANTIC
LATER THIS WEEK. THE MAIN THREAT WITH THIS STORM IS MODERATE TO
HEAVY RAIN...WHICH WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT MAINLY THE EASTERN
CAROLINAS OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 15 MPH...25 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES.


HAZARDS
-------
RAINFALL...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BONNIE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS
OF 3 INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA...EASTERN
NORTH CAROLINA...AND FAR SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA THROUGH THURSDAY.
THESE RAINS WILL CONTINUE TO ENHANCE THE THREAT FOR FLASH
FLOODING...PARTICULARLY IN REGIONS WHICH ARE ALREADY SATURATED
FROM PREVIOUS HEAVY RAINFALL.


RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 2 AM EDT

...DELAWARE...
WILMINGTON 2 NW 2.23
GLASGOW 2.01
NEW CASTLE 1.94
TOWNSEND 1.86
KITTS HUMMOCK 1.82
PORT PENN 1.64
WOODSIDE 1.57
PRICES CORNER 1.57
DOVER AFB 1.50
GEORGETOWN/SUSSEX CO ARPT 1.43

...GEORGIA...
BURTONS FERRY LANDING 8.85
OLIVER 2 SW 7.74
MARLOW 7.46
NEWINGTON 1 S 4.92
BLICHTON 1 ESE 4.62
ROCKY FORD 1 SSW 4.07
AUGUSTA/BUSH FIELD 2.69
SAVANNAH MUNI ARPT 1.57

...MASSACHUSETTS...
PLYMOUTH MUNI ARPT 2.31
NEW BEDFORD MUNI ARPT 1.59
BOSTON/LOGAN 1.13

...MARYLAND...
GALENA 3.51
CARVILLE 3 W 3.35
OCEAN CITY MUNI ARPT 2.77
SALISBURY RGNL ARPT 1.38
ANDREWS AFB/CAMP SPRINGS 1.20

...NORTH CAROLINA...
HATTERAS/BILLY MITCHELL AP 7.72
ERWIN/HARNETT COUNTY ARPT 2.50
RALEIGH/DURHAM INTL ARPT 2.45
LAURINBURG-MAXTON ARPT 2.07
FORT BRAGG/FAYETTEVILLE 1.47
CHAPEL HILL/WILLIAMS ARPT 1.26
WILMINGTON/NEW HANOVER CO ARPT 1.04

...NEW JERSEY...
HAMILTON TWP 4.52
EAST WINDSOR TWP 3.91
WESTAMPTON TWP 3.50
TRENTON 5 ESE 3.16
SPRINGDALE 3 W 3.14
MOUNT HOLLY WFO 3.08
SEWELL 2.93
TURNERSVILLE 2 S 2.76
MATAWAN 1 WSW 2.76
TOTTENVILLE 8 S 2.52
ATLANTIC CITY INTL AIRPORT 1.81
NEWARK INTL ARPT 1.60

...NEW YORK...
NEW YORK CITY 1.65
NEW YORK/LA GUARDIA 1.53

...PENNSYLVANIA...
JONAS 3.49
POHOPOCO CREEK 3.09
KRESGEVILLE 3.08
PALMERTON 6 ENE 3.00
WALNUTPORT 2.70
DREXEL HILL 2.51
PHILADELPHIA/NE PHIL. ARPT 2.35
PITTSBURGH/ALLEGHENY CO. ARPT 2.32
NORTHEAST PHILADELPHIA 2.30
PHILADELPHIA INTL ARPT 1.51

...RHODE ISLAND...
PROVIDENCE/PO WARWICK 1.50
WESTERLY STATE ARPT 1.34

...SOUTH CAROLINA...
OLD HOUSE 1 SSE 10.36
LENA 4 ENE 9.03
ARCHDALE 2 NE 8.61
FOLLY BEACH 2 WSW 6.28
JOHNS ISLAND 4 SE 6.24
ALLENDALE 1 S 6.14
HENDERSONVILLE 6.11 6.11
CALAWASSIE ISLAND 6.05
CHARLESTON AIRPORT 4.84
BEAUFORT 2 N 4.60

...VIRGINIA...
WAKEFIELD MUNI ARPT 2.56
RICHMOND 2.35
WALLOPS ISLAND 2.02
NORFOLK NAS 1.87
TINKER CREEK 1.39
LANGLEY AFB/HAMPTON 1.24
PETERSBURG 1.21
BUCHANAN 1 WNW 1.02


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT 1100 AM EDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.

FORECASTER FANNING

FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 31/0900Z 33.3N 78.9W
12HR VT 31/1800Z 33.8N 77.9W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
24HR VT 01/0600Z 33.7N 78.1W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
36HR VT 01/1800Z 34.1N 77.2W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
48HR VT 02/0600Z 34.8N 76.5W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
$$
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Re: ATL: BONNIE - Post-Tropical - Discussion

#488 Postby wxman57 » Tue May 31, 2016 7:08 am

northjaxpro wrote:Wxman57, I am surprised you didn't bring out Bones for his first appearance of the season on Bonnie's demise.


I was a bit busy this weekend with my sister in town. It's not as convenient posting "Bones" without the image being stored online on my website.
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Re: ATL: BONNIE - Post-Tropical - INVEST 92L- Discussion

#489 Postby cycloneye » Tue May 31, 2016 9:10 am

ATCF added Invest 92L for Post-Tropical Bonnie.

AL, 92, 2016053012, , BEST, 0, 334N, 798W, 25, 1009, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, , 0, , 0, 0, BONNIE, ,
AL, 92, 2016053018, , BEST, 0, 334N, 796W, 25, 1009, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, , 0, , 0, 0, BONNIE, ,
AL, 92, 2016053100, , BEST, 0, 332N, 793W, 25, 1009, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, , 0, , 0, 0, BONNIE, ,
AL, 92, 2016053106, , BEST, 0, 329N, 790W, 25, 1009, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, , 0, , 0, 0, BONNIE, ,
AL, 92, 2016053112, , BEST, 0, 332N, 783W, 25, 1009, LO, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1014, 150, 70, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, BONNIE
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Re: ATL: BONNIE - Post-Tropical - INVEST 92L- Discussion

#490 Postby xironman » Tue May 31, 2016 9:19 am

Bit of spin east of Georgetown SC. I am on Ocracoke and getting tropical type showers.

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Re: ATL: BONNIE - Post-Tropical - Discussion

#491 Postby WPBWeather » Tue May 31, 2016 9:54 am

wxman57 wrote:
northjaxpro wrote:Wxman57, I am surprised you didn't bring out Bones for his first appearance of the season on Bonnie's demise.


I was a bit busy this weekend with my sister in town. It's not as convenient posting "Bones" without the image being stored online on my website.


Not quite dead yet--just renamed and staggering.
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Re: ATL: BONNIE - Post Tropical - Advisories

#492 Postby cycloneye » Tue May 31, 2016 10:11 am

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BONNIE ADVISORY NUMBER
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD AL022016
1100 AM EDT TUE MAY 31 2016

...CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BONNIE MOVING BACK INTO THE
CAROLINA COASTAL WATERS...HEAVY RAIN THREAT EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
IN EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.2N 77.8W
ABOUT 70 MILES...115 KM...S OF WILMINGTON/NEW HAN NORTH CAROLINA.
ABOUT 80 MILES...130 KM...ESE OF MYRTLE BEACH(CIV) SOUTH CAROLINA.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...15 MPH...25 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 075 DEGREES AT 4 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB...29.86 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO WATCHES...WARNINGS...OR ADVISORIES ASSOCIATED WITH
THIS SYSTEM.

FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF BONNIE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 33.2 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 77.8 WEST. THE CENTER OF
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BONNIE HAS DRIFTED BACK INTO THE COASTAL
WATERS SOUTH OF WILMINGTON...NORTH CAROLINA. SATELLITE IMAGERY
INDICATES THAT SOME CONVECTION HAS REDEVELOPED AND HAS BEEN
PERSISTING IN THE SOUTHERN QUADRANT OF THE CIRCULATION.
HOWEVER...TO THE NORTH OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER...ONLY SCATTERED
SHOWERS ARE PRESENT ACROSS THE COASTAL SECTION OF NORTH CAROLINA
WITH A SOME THUNDERSTORMS JUST OFF THE COAST. THE REMNANT
CIRCULATION OF BONNIE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING VERY SLOWLY
EAST-NORTHEASTWARD NEAR THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST FOR THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS BEFORE MOVING OFF INTO THE ATLANTIC LATER THIS
WEEK. THE MAIN THREAT WITH THIS STORM WILL CONTINUE TO BE
MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN OVER THE EASTERN PART OF NORTH CAROLINA FOR
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 15 MPH...25 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1011 MB...29.86 INCHES.


HAZARDS
-------
RAINFALL...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BONNIE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS
OF 3 INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA...EASTERN
NORTH CAROLINA...AND FAR SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA THROUGH THURSDAY.
THESE RAINS WILL CONTINUE TO ENHANCE THE THREAT FOR FLASH
FLOODING...PARTICULARLY IN REGIONS WHICH ARE ALREADY SATURATED
FROM PREVIOUS HEAVY RAINFALL.


RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 8 AM EDT

...DELAWARE...
WILMINGTON 2 NW 2.23
GLASGOW 2.01
NEW CASTLE 1.94
TOWNSEND 1.86
KITTS HUMMOCK 1.82
PORT PENN 1.64
WOODSIDE 1.57
PRICES CORNER 1.57
DOVER AFB 1.50
GEORGETOWN/SUSSEX CO ARPT 1.43

...GEORGIA...
BURTONS FERRY LANDING 8.85
OLIVER 2 SW 7.74
MARLOW 7.46
NEWINGTON 1 S 4.92
BLICHTON 1 ESE 4.62
ROCKY FORD 1 SSW 4.07
AUGUSTA/BUSH FIELD 2.69
SAVANNAH MUNI ARPT 1.57

...MASSACHUSETTS...
PLYMOUTH MUNI ARPT 2.31
NEW BEDFORD MUNI ARPT 1.59
BOSTON/LOGAN 1.13

...MARYLAND...
GALENA 3.51
CARVILLE 3 W 3.35
OCEAN CITY MUNI ARPT 2.77
SALISBURY RGNL ARPT 1.38
ANDREWS AFB/CAMP SPRINGS 1.20

...NORTH CAROLINA...
HATTERAS/BILLY MITCHELL AP 7.94
FAYETTEVILLE 1.6 WSW 3.29
ERWIN/HARNETT COUNTY ARPT 2.50
RALEIGH/DURHAM INTL ARPT 2.45
LAURINBURG-MAXTON ARPT 2.07
FORT BRAGG/FAYETTEVILLE 1.47
CHAPEL HILL/WILLIAMS ARPT 1.26
WILMINGTON/NEW HANOVER CO ARPT 1.04

...NEW JERSEY...
HAMILTON TOWNSHIP 4.52
EAST WINDSOR TWP 3.91
WESTAMPTON TWP 3.50
TRENTON 5 ESE 3.16
SPRINGDALE 3 W 3.14
MOUNT HOLLY WFO 3.08
SEWELL 2.93
TURNERSVILLE 2 S 2.76
MATAWAN 1 WSW 2.76
TOTTENVILLE 8 S 2.52
ATLANTIC CITY INTL AIRPORT 1.81
NEWARK INTL ARPT 1.60

...NEW YORK...
NEW YORK CITY 1.65
NEW YORK/LA GUARDIA 1.53

...PENNSYLVANIA...
JONAS 3.49
POHOPOCO CREEK 3.09
KRESGEVILLE 3.08
PALMERTON 6 ENE 3.00
WALNUTPORT 2.70
DREXEL HILL 2.51
PHILADELPHIA/NE PHIL. ARPT 2.35
PITTSBURGH/ALLEGHENY CO. ARPT 2.32
NORTHEAST PHILADELPHIA 2.30
PHILADELPHIA INTL ARPT 1.51

...RHODE ISLAND...
PROVIDENCE/PO WARWICK 1.50
WESTERLY STATE ARPT 1.34

...SOUTH CAROLINA...
RIDGELAND 5.8 ESE 10.43
OLD HOUSE 1 SSE 10.36
VARNVILLE 6.7 SW 9.03
LENA 4 ENE 9.03
NORTH CHARLESTON 2.6 NW 8.61
ARCHDALE 2 NE 8.61
BRUNSON 1.6 SSW 6.45
FOLLY BEACH 2.5 SW 6.44
FOLLY BEACH 2 WSW 6.28
JOHNS ISLAND 4 SE 6.24
ALLENDALE 1 S 6.14
HENDERSONVILLE 6.11 6.11
CALAWASSIE ISLAND 6.05
CHARLESTON AIRPORT 4.98
BEAUFORT 2 N 4.60

...VIRGINIA...
WAKEFIELD MUNI ARPT 2.56
RICHMOND 2.35
WALLOPS ISLAND 2.02
NORFOLK NAS 1.87
TINKER CREEK 1.39
LANGLEY AFB/HAMPTON 1.24
PETERSBURG 1.21
BUCHANAN 1 WNW 1.02


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT 500 PM EDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.

FORECASTER KONG

FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 31/1500Z 33.2N 77.8W
12HR VT 01/0000Z 33.4N 77.9W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
24HR VT 01/1200Z 33.8N 77.2W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
36HR VT 02/0000Z 34.2N 76.6W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
48HR VT 02/1200Z 34.6N 76.1W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
$$
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Re: ATL: BONNIE - Post-Tropical - Discussion

#493 Postby cycloneye » Tue May 31, 2016 10:24 am

ATCF dropped INVEST 92L.
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Re: ATL: BONNIE - Post-Tropical - Discussion

#494 Postby tolakram » Tue May 31, 2016 11:59 am

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Re: ATL: BONNIE - Recon

#495 Postby cycloneye » Tue May 31, 2016 12:32 pm

I was surprised to see the Tuesday TCPOD with missions but here they are.

Code: Select all

WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1015 AM EDT TUE 31 MAY 2016
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
         VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z JUNE 2016
         TCPOD NUMBER.....16-005

I.  ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. SUSPECT AREA.....REMNANTS OF BONNIE
       FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 71           FLIGHT TWO - TEAL 72
       A. 01/1800Z                    A. 02/1130Z
       B. AFXXX 0502A INVEST          B. AFXXX 0602A BONNIE
       C. 01/1545Z                    C. 02/0900Z
       D. 34.0N 77.0W                 D. 34.5N 76.0W
       E. 01/1730Z TO 01/2130Z        E. 02/1100Z TO 02/1500Z
       F. SFC TO 10,000 FT            F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

    2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK: CONTINUE 12-HRLY FIXES WHILE
       SYSTEM REMAINS A COASTAL THREAT.
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Re: ATL: BONNIE - Post-Tropical - Discussion

#496 Postby xironman » Tue May 31, 2016 2:42 pm

Spin close up

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Re: ATL: BONNIE - Post Tropical - Advisories

#497 Postby cycloneye » Tue May 31, 2016 4:06 pm

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BONNIE ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD AL022016
500 PM EDT TUE MAY 31 2016

...CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BONNIE MOVING SLOWING ACROSS
THE NORTH CAROLINA COASTAL WATERS...HEAVY RAIN THREAT EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE IN EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...

SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.5N 77.7W
ABOUT 50 MILES...80 KM...SSE OF WILMINGTON/NEW HAN NORTH CAROLINA.
ABOUT 70 MILES...115 KM...E OF MYRTLE BEACH(CIV) SOUTH CAROLINA.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...20 MPH...30 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 045 DEGREES AT 4 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO WATCHES...WARNINGS...OR ADVISORIES ASSOCIATED WITH
THIS SYSTEM.

FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF BONNIE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 33.5 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 77.7 WEST. THE CENTER OF
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BONNIE HAS BEEN DRIFTING NORTHEASTWARD OVER
THE COASTAL WATERS JUST OFF WILMINGTON...NORTH CAROLINA FOR THE
PAST FEW HOURS. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE CONVECTION
HAS DIMINISHED IN THE SOUTHERN QUADRANT OF THE CIRCULATION.
HOWEVER...NEW BANDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE FORMED TO
THE NORTH OF THE CENTER IN THE PAST FEW HOURS AND ARE ROTATING
ACROSS THE COASTAL SECTION OF NORTH CAROLINA WHERE WINDS GUSTING
TO 25 MPH HAVE BEEN REPORTED. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT
THE CENTRAL PRESSURE HAS FALLEN A FEW MILLIBARS TO ABOUT 1009 MB.
THE REMNANT CIRCULATION OF BONNIE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING
VERY SLOWLY EAST-NORTHEASTWARD NEAR OR ALONG THE NORTH CAROLINA
COAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS BEFORE MOVING OFF INTO THE
ATLANTIC LATER THIS WEEK. THE MAIN THREAT WITH THIS STORM WILL
CONTINUE TO BE MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN OVER THE EASTERN PART OF
NORTH CAROLINA FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 20 MPH...30 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES.


HAZARDS
-------
RAINFALL...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BONNIE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS
OF 4 INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA...EASTERN
NORTH CAROLINA...AND FAR SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA THROUGH THURSDAY.
THESE RAINS WILL CONTINUE TO ENHANCE THE THREAT FOR LOCAL FLASH
FLOODING...PARTICULARLY IN REGIONS WHICH ARE ALREADY SATURATED
FROM PREVIOUS HEAVY RAINFALL.


RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 2 PM EDT

...DELAWARE...
WILMINGTON 2 NW 2.23
GLASGOW 2.01
NEW CASTLE 1.94
TOWNSEND 1.86
KITTS HUMMOCK 1.82
PORT PENN 1.64
WOODSIDE 1.57
PRICES CORNER 1.57
DOVER AFB 1.50
GEORGETOWN/SUSSEX CO ARPT 1.43

...GEORGIA...
BURTONS FERRY LANDING 8.85
OLIVER 2 SW 7.74
MARLOW 7.46
NEWINGTON 1 S 4.92
BLICHTON 1 ESE 4.62
ROCKY FORD 1 SSW 4.07
AUGUSTA/BUSH FIELD 2.69
SAVANNAH MUNI ARPT 1.57

...MASSACHUSETTS...
PLYMOUTH MUNI ARPT 2.31
NEW BEDFORD MUNI ARPT 1.59
BOSTON/LOGAN 1.13

...MARYLAND...
GALENA 3.51
CARVILLE 3 W 3.35
OCEAN CITY MUNI ARPT 2.77
SALISBURY RGNL ARPT 1.38
ANDREWS AFB/CAMP SPRINGS 1.20

...NORTH CAROLINA...
HATTERAS/BILLY MITCHELL AP 8.02
FAYETTEVILLE 1.6 WSW 3.29
ERWIN/HARNETT COUNTY ARPT 2.50
RALEIGH/DURHAM INTL ARPT 2.45
LAURINBURG-MAXTON ARPT 2.07
FORT BRAGG/FAYETTEVILLE 1.47
CHAPEL HILL/WILLIAMS ARPT 1.34
WILMINGTON/NEW HANOVER CO ARPT 1.14

...NEW JERSEY...
HAMILTON TOWNSHIP 4.52
EAST WINDSOR TWP 3.91
WESTAMPTON TWP 3.50
TRENTON 5 ESE 3.16
SPRINGDALE 3 W 3.14
MOUNT HOLLY WFO 3.08
SEWELL 2.93
TURNERSVILLE 2 S 2.76
MATAWAN 1 WSW 2.76
TOTTENVILLE 8 S 2.52
ATLANTIC CITY INTL AIRPORT 1.81
NEWARK INTL ARPT 1.60

...NEW YORK...
NEW YORK CITY 1.65
NEW YORK/LA GUARDIA 1.53

...PENNSYLVANIA...
JONAS 3.49
POHOPOCO CREEK 3.09
KRESGEVILLE 3.08
PALMERTON 6 ENE 3.00
WALNUTPORT 2.70
DREXEL HILL 2.51
PHILADELPHIA/NE PHIL. ARPT 2.35
PITTSBURGH/ALLEGHENY CO. ARPT 2.32
NORTHEAST PHILADELPHIA 2.30
PHILADELPHIA INTL ARPT 1.51

...RHODE ISLAND...
PROVIDENCE/PO WARWICK 1.50
WESTERLY STATE ARPT 1.34

...SOUTH CAROLINA...
RIDGELAND 5.8 ESE 10.43
OLD HOUSE 1 SSE 10.36
VARNVILLE 6.7 SW 9.03
LENA 4 ENE 9.03
NORTH CHARLESTON 2.6 NW 8.61
ARCHDALE 2 NE 8.61
BRUNSON 1.6 SSW 6.45
FOLLY BEACH 2.5 SW 6.44
FOLLY BEACH 2 WSW 6.28
JOHNS ISLAND 4 SE 6.24
ALLENDALE 1 S 6.14
HENDERSONVILLE 6.11 6.11
CALAWASSIE ISLAND 6.05
CHARLESTON AIRPORT 4.98
BEAUFORT 2 N 4.60

...VIRGINIA...
WAKEFIELD MUNI ARPT 2.56
RICHMOND 2.35
WALLOPS ISLAND 2.02
NORFOLK NAS 1.87
TINKER CREEK 1.39
LANGLEY AFB/HAMPTON 1.24
PETERSBURG 1.21
BUCHANAN 1 WNW 1.02


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT 1100 PM EDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.

FORECASTER KONG

FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 31/2100Z 33.5N 77.7W
12HR VT 01/0600Z 33.8N 77.5W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
24HR VT 01/1800Z 34.7N 76.5W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
36HR VT 02/0600Z 35.4N 76.6W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
48HR VT 02/1800Z 35.5N 75.6W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
$$
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Re: ATL: BONNIE - Post Tropical - Advisories

#498 Postby HurricaneBelle » Tue May 31, 2016 10:04 pm

They really mailed this one in, pretty much word-for-word from the 5PM and they didn't even bother correcting "MOVING SLOWING" in the 5PM headline.

WTNT32 KWNH 010300
TCPAT2

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BONNIE ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD AL022016
1100 PM EDT TUE MAY 31 2016

...CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BONNIE MOVING SLOWING ACROSS
THE NORTH CAROLINA COASTAL WATERS...HEAVY RAIN THREAT EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE IN EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.4N 77.9W
ABOUT 62 MILES...99 KM...S OF WILMINGTON/NEW HAN NORTH CAROLINA.
ABOUT 60 MILES...100 KM...ESE OF MYRTLE BEACH(CIV) SOUTH CAROLINA.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...15 MPH...24 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...SE OR 135 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...10 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB...29.83 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO WATCHES...WARNINGS...OR ADVISORIES ASSOCIATED WITH
THIS SYSTEM.

FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT http://WWW.WEATHER.GOV.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF BONNIE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 33.4 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 77.9 WEST. THE CENTER OF
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BONNIE HAS BEEN DRIFTING OVER THE COASTAL
WATERS JUST OFF WILMINGTON...NORTH CAROLINA FOR THE PAST FEW
HOURS. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND RADAR INDICATES THAT BANDS OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE MOVING TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE
CENTER IN THE PAST FEW HOURS AND ARE ROTATING ACROSS THE COASTAL
REGIONS OF NORTH CAROLINA WHERE WINDS GUSTING TO 25 MPH HAVE BEEN
RECORDED. THE REMNANT CIRCULATION OF BONNIE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE
VERY SLOWLY EAST-NORTHEASTWARD NEAR OR ALONG THE NORTH CAROLINA
COAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS BEFORE MOVING OFF INTO THE
ATLANTIC LATER THIS WEEK. THE MAIN THREAT WITH THIS STORM WILL
CONTINUE TO BE MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN OVER THE EASTERN PART OF
NORTH CAROLINA FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB...29.83 INCHES.


HAZARDS
-------
RAINFALL...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BONNIE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS
OF 4 INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA...EASTERN
NORTH CAROLINA...AND FAR SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA THROUGH THURSDAY.
THESE RAINS WILL CONTINUE TO ENHANCE THE THREAT FOR LOCAL FLASH
FLOODING...PARTICULARLY IN REGIONS WHICH ARE ALREADY SATURATED
FROM PREVIOUS HEAVY RAINFALL.


RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 8 PM EDT

...DELAWARE...
WILMINGTON 2 NW 2.23
GLASGOW 2.01
NEW CASTLE 1.94
TOWNSEND 1.86
KITTS HUMMOCK 1.82
PORT PENN 1.64
WOODSIDE 1.57
PRICES CORNER 1.57
DOVER AFB 1.50
GEORGETOWN/SUSSEX CO ARPT 1.43

...GEORGIA...
BURTONS FERRY LANDING 8.85
OLIVER 2 SW 7.74
MARLOW 7.46
NEWINGTON 1 S 4.92
BLICHTON 1 ESE 4.62
ROCKY FORD 1 SSW 4.07
AUGUSTA/BUSH FIELD 2.69
SAVANNAH MUNI ARPT 1.57

...MASSACHUSETTS...
PLYMOUTH MUNI ARPT 2.31
NEW BEDFORD MUNI ARPT 1.59
BOSTON/LOGAN 1.13

...MARYLAND...
GALENA 3.51
CARVILLE 3 W 3.35
OCEAN CITY MUNI ARPT 2.77
SALISBURY RGNL ARPT 1.38
ANDREWS AFB/CAMP SPRINGS 1.20

...NORTH CAROLINA...
HATTERAS/BILLY MITCHELL AP 8.02
FAYETTEVILLE 1.6 WSW 3.29
ERWIN/HARNETT COUNTY ARPT 2.50
RALEIGH/DURHAM INTL ARPT 2.45
LAURINBURG-MAXTON ARPT 2.07
FORT BRAGG/FAYETTEVILLE 1.47
CHAPEL HILL/WILLIAMS ARPT 1.34
WILMINGTON/NEW HANOVER CO ARPT 1.14

...NEW JERSEY...
HAMILTON TOWNSHIP 4.52
EAST WINDSOR TWP 3.91
WESTAMPTON TWP 3.50
TRENTON 5 ESE 3.16
SPRINGDALE 3 W 3.14
MOUNT HOLLY WFO 3.08
SEWELL 2.93
TURNERSVILLE 2 S 2.76
MATAWAN 1 WSW 2.76
TOTTENVILLE 8 S 2.52
ATLANTIC CITY INTL AIRPORT 1.81
NEWARK INTL ARPT 1.60

...NEW YORK...
NEW YORK CITY 1.65
NEW YORK/LA GUARDIA 1.53

...PENNSYLVANIA...
JONAS 3.49
POHOPOCO CREEK 3.09
KRESGEVILLE 3.08
PALMERTON 6 ENE 3.00
WALNUTPORT 2.70
DREXEL HILL 2.51
PHILADELPHIA/NE PHIL. ARPT 2.35
PITTSBURGH/ALLEGHENY CO. ARPT 2.32
NORTHEAST PHILADELPHIA 2.30
PHILADELPHIA INTL ARPT 1.51

...RHODE ISLAND...
PROVIDENCE/PO WARWICK 1.50
WESTERLY STATE ARPT 1.34

...SOUTH CAROLINA...
RIDGELAND 5.8 ESE 10.43
OLD HOUSE 1 SSE 10.36
VARNVILLE 6.7 SW 9.03
LENA 4 ENE 9.03
NORTH CHARLESTON 2.6 NW 8.61
ARCHDALE 2 NE 8.61
BRUNSON 1.6 SSW 6.45
FOLLY BEACH 2.5 SW 6.44
FOLLY BEACH 2 WSW 6.28
JOHNS ISLAND 4 SE 6.24
ALLENDALE 1 S 6.14
HENDERSONVILLE 6.11 6.11
CALAWASSIE ISLAND 6.05
CHARLESTON AIRPORT 5.23
BEAUFORT 2 N 4.60

...VIRGINIA...
WAKEFIELD MUNI ARPT 2.56
RICHMOND 2.35
WALLOPS ISLAND 2.02
NORFOLK NAS 1.87
TINKER CREEK 1.39
LANGLEY AFB/HAMPTON 1.24
PETERSBURG 1.21
BUCHANAN 1 WNW 1.02


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT 500 AM EDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.

FORECASTER FANNING

FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 01/0300Z 33.4N 77.9W
12HR VT 01/1200Z 34.2N 76.8W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
24HR VT 02/0000Z 34.8N 76.7W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
36HR VT 02/1200Z 35.3N 76.1W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
48HR VT 03/0000Z 35.7N 75.8W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
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Hurricaneman
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Re: ATL: BONNIE - Post-Tropical - Discussion

#499 Postby Hurricaneman » Tue May 31, 2016 11:15 pm

Bonnie won't die, quite the fighter system
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Re: ATL: BONNIE - Post Tropical - Advisories

#500 Postby cycloneye » Wed Jun 01, 2016 4:54 am

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BONNIE ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD AL022016
500 AM EDT WED JUN 01 2016

...CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BONNIE MOVING SLOWING ACROSS
THE NORTH CAROLINA COASTAL WATERS...HEAVY RAIN THREAT EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE IN EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...

SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.3N 77.8W
ABOUT 84 MILES...135 KM...S OF WILMINGTON/NEW HANOVER NORTH
CAROLINA.
ABOUT 75 MILES...0 KM...SE OF MYRTLE BEACH(CIV) SOUTH CAROLINA.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...10 MPH...16 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 045 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO WATCHES...WARNINGS...OR ADVISORIES ASSOCIATED WITH
THIS SYSTEM.

FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
BONNIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.3 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 77.8
WEST. THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BONNIE CONTINUED TO
DRIFT OVER THE COASTAL WATERS JUST OFF WILMINGTON...NORTH
CAROLINA. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR
INDICATED THAT BANDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUED TO
MOVE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER OVER THE LAST FEW HOURS AND WERE
MOVING ACROSS COASTAL NORTH CAROLINA. WINDS OFFSHORE HAD GUSTS UP
TO 15 MPH IN VICINITY OF THE THUNDERSTORMS. THE REMNANT
CIRCULATION OF BONNIE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE VERY SLOWLY
NORTHEASTWARD NEAR OR ALONG THE NORTH CAROLINA COASTLINE DURING
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS BEFORE MOVING OFF INTO THE ATLANTIC LATER
THIS WEEK. THE MAIN THREAT WITH THIS STORM WILL CONTINUE TO BE
MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN OVER THE EASTERN PART OF NORTH CAROLINA FOR
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 10 MPH...16 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES.


HAZARDS
-------
RAINFALL...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BONNIE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS
OF 4 INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA THROUGH
THURSDAY. THESE RAINS WILL CONTINUE TO ENHANCE THE THREAT FOR
LOCAL FLASH FLOODING...PARTICULARLY IN REGIONS WHICH ARE ALREADY
SATURATED FROM PREVIOUS HEAVY RAINFALL.


RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 2 AM EDT

...DELAWARE...
WILMINGTON 2 NW 2.23
GLASGOW 2.01
NEW CASTLE 1.94
TOWNSEND 1.86
KITTS HUMMOCK 1.82
PORT PENN 1.64
WOODSIDE 1.57
PRICES CORNER 1.57
DOVER AFB 1.50
GEORGETOWN/SUSSEX CO ARPT 1.43

...GEORGIA...
BURTONS FERRY LANDING 8.85
OLIVER 2 SW 7.74
MARLOW 7.46
NEWINGTON 1 S 4.92
BLICHTON 1 ESE 4.62
ROCKY FORD 1 SSW 4.07
AUGUSTA/BUSH FIELD 2.69
SAVANNAH MUNI ARPT 1.57

...MASSACHUSETTS...
PLYMOUTH MUNI ARPT 2.31
NEW BEDFORD MUNI ARPT 1.59
TAUNTON MUNI ARPT 1.21
BOSTON/LOGAN 1.13

...MARYLAND...
GALENA 3.51
CARVILLE 3 W 3.35
OCEAN CITY MUNI ARPT 2.77
SALISBURY RGNL ARPT 1.38
ANDREWS AFB/CAMP SPRINGS 1.31

...NORTH CAROLINA...
HATTERAS/BILLY MITCHELL AP 8.21
FAYETTEVILLE 1.6 WSW 3.29
ERWIN/HARNETT COUNTY ARPT 2.50
RALEIGH/DURHAM INTL ARPT 2.45
LAURINBURG-MAXTON ARPT 2.07
FORT BRAGG/FAYETTEVILLE 1.47
WILMINGTON/NEW HANOVER CO ARPT 1.45
CHAPEL HILL/WILLIAMS ARPT 1.34

...NEW JERSEY...
HAMILTON TOWNSHIP 4.52
EAST WINDSOR TWP 3.91
WESTAMPTON TWP 3.50
TRENTON 5 ESE 3.16
SPRINGDALE 3 W 3.14
MOUNT HOLLY WFO 3.08
SEWELL 2.93
TURNERSVILLE 2 S 2.76
MATAWAN 1 WSW 2.76
TOTTENVILLE 8 S 2.52
ATLANTIC CITY INTL AIRPORT 1.81
NEWARK INTL ARPT 1.60

...NEW YORK...
NEW YORK CITY 1.65
NEW YORK/LA GUARDIA 1.53

...PENNSYLVANIA...
JONAS 3.49
POHOPOCO CREEK 3.09
KRESGEVILLE 3.08
PALMERTON 6 ENE 3.00
WALNUTPORT 2.70
DREXEL HILL 2.51
PHILADELPHIA/NE PHIL. ARPT 2.35
PITTSBURGH/ALLEGHENY CO. ARPT 2.32
NORTHEAST PHILADELPHIA 2.30
PHILADELPHIA INTL ARPT 1.51

...RHODE ISLAND...
PROVIDENCE/PO WARWICK 1.50
WESTERLY STATE ARPT 1.35
NEWPORT 1.33

...SOUTH CAROLINA...
RIDGELAND 5.8 ESE 10.43
OLD HOUSE 1 SSE 10.36
VARNVILLE 6.7 SW 9.03
LENA 4 ENE 9.03
NORTH CHARLESTON 2.6 NW 8.61
ARCHDALE 2 NE 8.61
BRUNSON 1.6 SSW 6.45
FOLLY BEACH 2.5 SW 6.44
JOHNS ISLAND 4 SE 6.24
ALLENDALE 1 S 6.14
HENDERSONVILLE 6.11 6.11
CALAWASSIE ISLAND 6.05
CHARLESTON AIRPORT 5.27
BEAUFORT 2 N 4.60

...VIRGINIA...
WAKEFIELD MUNI ARPT 2.56
RICHMOND 2.35
WALLOPS ISLAND 2.02
NORFOLK NAS 1.87
TINKER CREEK 1.39
LANGLEY AFB/HAMPTON 1.24
PETERSBURG 1.21
BUCHANAN 1 WNW 1.02


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT 1100 AM EDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.

FORECASTER FANNING

FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 01/0900Z 33.3N 77.8W
12HR VT 01/1800Z 34.5N 76.8W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
24HR VT 02/0600Z 35.1N 76.4W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
36HR VT 02/1800Z 35.5N 75.9W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
48HR VT 03/0600Z 36.4N 74.9W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
$$
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