CPAC: INVEST 91C

[cycloneye]

96E INVEST 160815 0600 12.0N 139.2W EPAC 25

[cycloneye]

An elongated trough of low pressure continues to produce an area of
disturbed weather about 1150 miles east-southeast of the Hawaiian
Islands. This system is moving westward at about 10 mph, and is
expected to move into the Central Pacific basin later today.
Development, if any, of this system should be slow to occur during
the next several days due to its proximity to dry air.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent

[hurricanes1234]

Isn't this former 94E?

Whatever it is, it's certainly taking its time to organise...

[cycloneye]

Isn't this former 94E?

Whatever it is, it's certainly taking its time to organise...

Yes,former 94E.

[cycloneye]

Changed from 96E to 91C.

CP, 91, 2016081412, , BEST, 0, 112N, 1355W, 20, 1010, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, , 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, ,
CP, 91, 2016081418, , BEST, 0, 112N, 1365W, 20, 1010, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, , 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, ,
CP, 91, 2016081500, , BEST, 0, 112N, 1375W, 20, 1010, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, , 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, ,
CP, 91, 2016081506, , BEST, 0, 112N, 1385W, 20, 1009, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, , 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, ,
CP, 91, 2016081512, , BEST, 0, 112N, 1395W, 20, 1009, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1011, 150, 70, 0, 0, E, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S,
CP, 91, 2016081518, , BEST, 0, 114N, 1427W, 20, 1009, LO, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1010, 150, 70, 0, 0, C, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST

[cycloneye]

A weak area of low pressure, located approximately 800 miles
southeast of Hilo, Hawaii, continues to produce disorganized
showers and thunderstorms. Some gradual development is possible
during the next few days as the system moves westward over warm
waters.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent

[Kingarabian]

Has a nice mid level rotation. Convection needs to increase and consolidate. Has decent banding features.



Waters are very warm and shear for the next 36 should be favorable. Especially if it tucks in under that anti-cyclone.

Dry air is the only problem.

[Yellow Evan]

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
155 PM HST TUE AUG 16 2016

For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180:

1. An area of disorganized convection, approximately 700 miles
southeast of Hilo, Hawaii, continues to move westward. This area
over the past 24 hours has seen little development, and if any is
to occur, it will be gradual.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent

[hurricanes1234]

Looks like this one will poof

[hurricanes1234]

Wait a minute, it seems like this may not be done just yet!

[hurricanes1234]

Oops. This may be it for 91C, the invest which existed under 3 titles - 94E, 96E and 91C, if I remember correctly.

A surface trough located around 700 miles south-southwest of
Honolulu, Hawaii continues to track toward the west. Scattered
thunderstorms are developing periodically along the trough, but
are showing little signs of organization. Environmental conditions
will likely continue to inhibit tropical cyclone formation over the
next couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent