Invest 97B

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Alyono
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Invest 97B

#1 Postby Alyono » Mon Aug 15, 2016 4:04 pm

Another disturbance forms during the "off season"

May see some limited development before it moves inland. SSD has a T 1.0 for this
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Re: Invest 97B

#2 Postby Alyono » Mon Aug 15, 2016 7:56 pm

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Re: Invest 97B

#3 Postby Yellow Evan » Mon Aug 15, 2016 8:07 pm

Looks almost classifiable if the center is where I think it is.
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Re: Invest 97B

#4 Postby stormwise » Mon Aug 15, 2016 10:05 pm

Image
Divergence aloft for venting looks excellent if the chart is correct.

Image
Another monsoon low.
Image

Image
looks just inside the sweet spot for shear atm..


Only from wiki but along the lines of what i have always come to believe
.
The North Indian Ocean cyclone season has no official bounds, but cyclones tend to form between April and December, with the peak from May to November. These dates conventionally delimit the period of each year when most tropical cyclones form in the northern Indian Ocean.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2016_Nort ... one_season
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Re: Invest 97B

#5 Postby 1900hurricane » Tue Aug 16, 2016 10:47 am

Yep, looks to be another system like 96B that is hanging out just north of the Tropical Easterly Jet. The developing band to the west of the system is looking pretty good.

Image
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Re: Invest 97B

#6 Postby Alyono » Tue Aug 16, 2016 11:01 am

SSD has a 2.0 on this system

Yet JT and IMD pretend it does not exist...
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Re: Invest 97B

#7 Postby Alyono » Wed Aug 17, 2016 2:44 pm

IMD called it a deep depression as it was making landfall

This was another one that had it had 24 more hours, we would have had a major disaster as it really became better organized at landfall. This is twice in 2 weeks that we have narrowly escaped something catastrophic
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Re: Invest 97B

#8 Postby stormwise » Thu Aug 18, 2016 12:16 am

Image
still looking good over land.
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