ATL: JULIA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Message
Author
User avatar
cycloneye
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 112102
Age: 61
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

ATL: JULIA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

#1 Postby cycloneye » Thu Sep 08, 2016 8:47 am

AL, 93, 2016090712, , BEST, 0, 150N, 515W, 25, 1010, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1014, 150, 50, 0, 0, , 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, ,
AL, 93, 2016090718, , BEST, 0, 157N, 532W, 25, 1010, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1014, 150, 50, 0, 0, , 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, ,
AL, 93, 2016090800, , BEST, 0, 163N, 549W, 25, 1010, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1014, 150, 50, 0, 0, , 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, ,
AL, 93, 2016090806, , BEST, 0, 167N, 560W, 25, 1010, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1014, 150, 50, 0, 0, , 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, ,
AL, 93, 2016090812, , BEST, 0, 170N, 570W, 25, 1009, DB, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1010, 150, 0, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST


Thread at Talking Tropics from that was the topic for this area of Interest.

viewtopic.php?f=31&t=118284
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
Gustywind
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 12138
Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE

Re: ATL; INVEST 93L - Discussion

#2 Postby Gustywind » Thu Sep 08, 2016 8:48 am

:eek: waouw what a surprise :eek: just 400km east of Antigua.
0 likes   

User avatar
StormTracker
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2842
Age: 52
Joined: Thu Jun 29, 2006 6:06 am
Location: Quail Heights(Redlands), FL.

Re: ATL; INVEST 93L - Discussion

#3 Postby StormTracker » Thu Sep 08, 2016 8:53 am

Okayyyyyy...did anybody see this coming?
0 likes   
Something's wrong when you regret, things that haven't happened yet!

User avatar
StormTracker
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2842
Age: 52
Joined: Thu Jun 29, 2006 6:06 am
Location: Quail Heights(Redlands), FL.

Re: ATL; INVEST 93L - Discussion

#4 Postby StormTracker » Thu Sep 08, 2016 8:56 am

Image
And this one is at 10%-20%. By the way, it's the one to the west...
0 likes   
Something's wrong when you regret, things that haven't happened yet!

OntarioEggplant
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 312
Joined: Sun Aug 07, 2016 11:16 am

Re: ATL; INVEST 93L - Discussion

#5 Postby OntarioEggplant » Thu Sep 08, 2016 8:58 am

Um this looks like at least a TD on visible.
0 likes   

User avatar
Gustywind
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 12138
Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE

Re: ATL; INVEST 93L - Discussion

#6 Postby Gustywind » Thu Sep 08, 2016 9:01 am

StormTracker wrote:Okayyyyyy...did anybody see this coming?

We were speaking about this one on this previous thread if you've missed some episodes :) viewtopic.php?f=31&t=118284
Since yesterday a strong ball of convection has formed quickly and tstorms were on an increase this morning.
1 likes   

User avatar
StormTracker
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2842
Age: 52
Joined: Thu Jun 29, 2006 6:06 am
Location: Quail Heights(Redlands), FL.

Re: ATL; INVEST 93L - Discussion

#7 Postby StormTracker » Thu Sep 08, 2016 9:02 am

A concentrated area of showers and thunderstorms associated with a
broad area of low pressure has developed about 350 miles east of
the Leeward Islands. This activity is expected to move toward the
west-northwest, and additional development, if any, will be slow
to occur during the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

$$
Forecaster Avila
0 likes   
Something's wrong when you regret, things that haven't happened yet!

User avatar
StormTracker
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2842
Age: 52
Joined: Thu Jun 29, 2006 6:06 am
Location: Quail Heights(Redlands), FL.

Re: ATL; INVEST 93L - Discussion

#8 Postby StormTracker » Thu Sep 08, 2016 9:03 am

Gustywind wrote:
StormTracker wrote:Okayyyyyy...did anybody see this coming?

We were speaking about this one on this previous thread if you've missed some episodes :) viewtopic.php?f=31&t=118284
Since yesterday a strong ball of convection has formed quickly and tstorms were on an increase this morning.

Ok, I'll check it out. Thanks! :D
0 likes   
Something's wrong when you regret, things that haven't happened yet!

User avatar
StormTracker
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2842
Age: 52
Joined: Thu Jun 29, 2006 6:06 am
Location: Quail Heights(Redlands), FL.

Re: ATL; INVEST 93L - Discussion

#9 Postby StormTracker » Thu Sep 08, 2016 9:08 am

Okay Gusty, so this is ex-pouch-32L right?
0 likes   
Something's wrong when you regret, things that haven't happened yet!

User avatar
Gustywind
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 12138
Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE

Re: ATL; INVEST 93L - Discussion

#10 Postby Gustywind » Thu Sep 08, 2016 9:10 am

StormTracker wrote:Okay Gusty, so this is ex-pouch-32L right?

It seems to me i tkink :D
0 likes   

User avatar
Gustywind
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 12138
Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE

Re: ATL; INVEST 93L - Discussion

#11 Postby Gustywind » Thu Sep 08, 2016 9:11 am

StormTracker wrote:
Gustywind wrote:
StormTracker wrote:Okayyyyyy...did anybody see this coming?

We were speaking about this one on this previous thread if you've missed some episodes :) viewtopic.php?f=31&t=118284
Since yesterday a strong ball of convection has formed quickly and tstorms were on an increase this morning.

Ok, I'll check it out. Thanks! :D


:wink: :)you're welcomed my friend. See how things can change quickly on the deep tropics. While everybody was focus on the twave in Central Atlantic with higher % of becoming something like an Invest sooner maybe, this one is already an Invest. So we have to wait and see what could happens wit this one especially for those who live in the Leewards like me because of we have recently experienced strong showers with 92L Monday. We will see.
0 likes   

User avatar
Gustywind
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 12138
Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE

Re: ATL; INVEST 93L - Discussion

#12 Postby Gustywind » Thu Sep 08, 2016 9:21 am

Looks like to my untrained eyes that a swirl si trying to form near 17,3N 57 W at 1315 UTC but lacking of convection.
:rarrow: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floater ... short.html
0 likes   

User avatar
CourierPR
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1169
Age: 64
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 7:53 pm
Location: Pompano Beach, Florida

Re: ATL; INVEST 93L - Discussion

#13 Postby CourierPR » Thu Sep 08, 2016 9:24 am

Yesterday, Meteorologist Joe Bastardi gave this, what he termed, a citizen's x as an invest. He says it has to be watched in his public video at weather bell.com.
0 likes   

User avatar
Gustywind
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 12138
Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE

Re: ATL; INVEST 93L - Discussion

#14 Postby Gustywind » Thu Sep 08, 2016 9:24 am

Gustywind wrote:Looks like to my untrained eyes that a swirl si trying to form near 17,3N 57 W at 1315 UTC but lacking of convection.
:rarrow: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floater ... short.html

Is that a feeder band attempt to form on the NE side of the system?
0 likes   

User avatar
SoupBone
Category 3
Category 3
Posts: 848
Joined: Tue Sep 20, 2005 5:24 pm

Re: ATL; INVEST 93L - Discussion

#15 Postby SoupBone » Thu Sep 08, 2016 9:24 am

Gustywind wrote:Looks like to my untrained eyes that a swirl si trying to form near 17,3N 57 W at 1315 UTC but lacking of convection.
:rarrow: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floater ... short.html


OMG, it's got an eye! :lol:
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
StormTracker
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2842
Age: 52
Joined: Thu Jun 29, 2006 6:06 am
Location: Quail Heights(Redlands), FL.

Re: ATL; INVEST 93L - Discussion

#16 Postby StormTracker » Thu Sep 08, 2016 9:25 am

Gustywind wrote:Looks like to my untrained eyes that a swirl si trying to form near 17,3N 57 W at 1315 UTC but lacking of convection.
:rarrow: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floater ... short.html

Is that an "eye I see? Just kidding! Yep definitely a potent swirl. If it starts pulling & wrapping some convection, it could get going sooner than most think.
0 likes   
Something's wrong when you regret, things that haven't happened yet!

User avatar
StormTracker
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2842
Age: 52
Joined: Thu Jun 29, 2006 6:06 am
Location: Quail Heights(Redlands), FL.

Re: ATL; INVEST 93L - Discussion

#17 Postby StormTracker » Thu Sep 08, 2016 9:26 am

SoupBone wrote:
Gustywind wrote:Looks like to my untrained eyes that a swirl si trying to form near 17,3N 57 W at 1315 UTC but lacking of convection.
:rarrow: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floater ... short.html


OMG, it's got an eye! :lol:

SoupBone you beat me to it! :D
0 likes   
Something's wrong when you regret, things that haven't happened yet!

User avatar
jlauderdal
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5117
Age: 51
Joined: Wed May 19, 2004 5:46 am
Location: NE Fort Lauderdale
Contact:

Re: ATL; INVEST 93L - Discussion

#18 Postby jlauderdal » Thu Sep 08, 2016 9:43 am

StormTracker wrote:
SoupBone wrote:
Gustywind wrote:Looks like to my untrained eyes that a swirl si trying to form near 17,3N 57 W at 1315 UTC but lacking of convection.
:rarrow: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floater ... short.html


OMG, it's got an eye! :lol:

SoupBone you beat me to it! :D


cat 1 at least... :D

the way things went with hermine nothing would surprise me
0 likes   

USTropics
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1209
Age: 30
Joined: Sun Aug 12, 2007 3:45 am
Location: Deltona, Florida

Re: ATL; INVEST 93L - Discussion

#19 Postby USTropics » Thu Sep 08, 2016 9:57 am

It's had a pretty decent low-level vortex for the past 2-3 days, just has not been able to sustain any convection at the mid-upper levels. Dry air entrainment (which caused that eye-like feature to occur) coupled with just enough shear has been an issue so far.
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 112102
Age: 61
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: ATL; INVEST 93L - Discussion

#20 Postby cycloneye » Thu Sep 08, 2016 10:06 am

0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here


Return to “2016”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 1 guest