ATL: JULIA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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wxman57
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Re: ATL: JULIA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

#741 Postby wxman57 » Mon Sep 19, 2016 10:35 am

Did someone mention Bones? The low-level swirl is slowly dissipating. Just about zero chance of a recovery (0.05%).

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Re: ATL: JULIA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

#742 Postby 'CaneFreak » Mon Sep 19, 2016 10:55 am

So you're saying there's a chance? ;-)

wxman57 wrote:Did someone mention Bones? The low-level swirl is slowly dissipating. Just about zero chance of a recovery (0.05%).
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Re: ATL: JULIA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

#743 Postby Fishing » Mon Sep 19, 2016 11:06 am

'CaneFreak wrote:So you're saying there's a chance? ;-)

wxman57 wrote:Did someone mention Bones? The low-level swirl is slowly dissipating. Just about zero chance of a recovery (0.05%).

LOLOLOL
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Re: ATL: JULIA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

#744 Postby wxman57 » Mon Sep 19, 2016 11:30 am

'CaneFreak wrote:So you're saying there's a chance? ;-)

wxman57 wrote:Did someone mention Bones? The low-level swirl is slowly dissipating. Just about zero chance of a recovery (0.05%).


The low-level swirl is now gone.
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Re: ATL: JULIA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

#745 Postby LarryWx » Mon Sep 19, 2016 11:46 am

wxman57 wrote:
'CaneFreak wrote:So you're saying there's a chance? ;-)

wxman57 wrote:Did someone mention Bones? The low-level swirl is slowly dissipating. Just about zero chance of a recovery (0.05%).


The low-level swirl is now gone.


I still see the low level swirl at 33.0N, 77.0W moving ENE or NE. Granted it is very weak, but I think it still exists and there's lots of convection just to its south.
By the way, the 12Z GFS for hour 6 (2 PM EDT) has this onshore in NC. That is not at all happening. She is 100 miles SE of that position.
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Re: ATL: JULIA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

#746 Postby tolakram » Mon Sep 19, 2016 12:09 pm

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Re: ATL: JULIA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

#747 Postby xironman » Mon Sep 19, 2016 12:49 pm

Its dead alright, but the lowest pressures I have seen are offshore still 29.86 http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=41013 not much wind though

Wind Speed (WSPD): 0.0 kts
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Re: ATL: JULIA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

#748 Postby LarryWx » Mon Sep 19, 2016 2:41 pm

I agree that Julia is still near dead based on visible loops but whatever pulse she has is still offshore. I expect it won't matter since she barely exists now. Never question the team of 57 and Bones. When they agree, you can bank on it. May she rest in peace. She was more fun to track than any storm in a long time.
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Re: ATL: JULIA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

#749 Postby HurricaneBelle » Mon Sep 19, 2016 10:19 pm

Julia doesn't believe in Bones.

Still spinning off Morehead City:

http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.ph ... 1&loop=yes
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Re: ATL: JULIA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

#750 Postby Hammy » Mon Sep 19, 2016 10:25 pm

HurricaneBelle wrote:Julia doesn't believe in Bones.

Still spinning off Morehead City:

http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.ph ... 1&loop=yes


Julia just seems to love land for some reason. This is probably the best it's looked in days as far as convection goes, on essentially all sides of the center, which is pretty evident by surface observations.

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Re: ATL: JULIA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

#751 Postby tatertawt24 » Mon Sep 19, 2016 10:44 pm

It's like a lamer version of Ophelia in 05. :lol:
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Re: ATL: JULIA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

#752 Postby LarryWx » Tue Sep 20, 2016 10:15 am

I spy the remnant Julia low on radar clearly spinning over Hyde county, NC, and not moving much for now. Models suggest she will begin drifting SW later today. There's no chance for tropical development but it appears she'll remain intact and be a weathermaker (precip) as she moves back SW through Thursday.
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Re: ATL: JULIA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

#753 Postby xironman » Tue Sep 20, 2016 11:39 am

She got semi-absorbed into the front, never made it north of Manteo. Now seems over Pamlico sound. Looks headed for Cape Lookout.

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Re: ATL: JULIA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

#754 Postby LarryWx » Wed Sep 21, 2016 5:01 pm

The remnant surface low of Julia is actually doing what models have been showing, moving back SW through eastern SC. It appears to now be a little NE of Charleston. No chance for tropical development.
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Re: ATL: JULIA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

#755 Postby Hammy » Wed Sep 21, 2016 5:47 pm

I'm hoping this gets included in the NHC track, even if post-tropical/remnant low--it'll be interesting to see the full track of this.
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Re: ATL: JULIA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

#756 Postby LarryWx » Fri Sep 23, 2016 7:26 pm

Hammy wrote:I'm hoping this gets included in the NHC track, even if post-tropical/remnant low--it'll be interesting to see the full track of this.


Ex-Julia is still an entity as per radar! Look east of Charleston, SC. Amazing stuff!
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