floridasun78 wrote:LarryWx wrote:Hmm, the 12Z Euro is initializing this as a tiny sfc low NNW of PR along with stronger 850 vorticity. That's early & tells me this run is likely going to like 93L.
Edit: No, it loses the tiny sfc low at hour 48 & looks similar to two runs ago. These last 3 runs are bringing vort to C FL Tue AM but only one (0Z today) brings it there as a TC.
i got feeling this will be only tropical wave by tue i think models got issue with 93l look how their did with hermine when was invest
I'd check back tomorrow to make sure all is ok.
12Z UK: no liking for TC but it does have vorticity/precip C FL Tue like other models. So, cMC again all on its own for TC development.