ATL: MATTHEW - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Sanibel
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Post-Tropical - Discussion

#10841 Postby Sanibel » Sun Oct 09, 2016 9:56 am

Ken711 wrote:
Most models missed with the forecasted loop.



And the Florida landfall that I bought in to...


I think Matthew was struggling with core dynamics and some kind of continental air infusion after Cuba...
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Post-Tropical - Discussion

#10842 Postby Vdogg » Sun Oct 09, 2016 10:06 am

Well, we made it. Lost my fence, a gutter, and part of a tree, but I fared far better than a lot of my friends. Many had to abandon their homes when the water got too high. Some don't have homes to go back to right now. The storm tracked 100 miles further up the coast than predicted with the eye exiting over the outer Banks. At it's peak, we had 50 mph sustained winds with frequent gusts to 78 mph. I have never heard wind like that, and this was only a Cat 1...

Edit: Highest recorded wind gust in Virginia Beach was 87 mph.
Last edited by Vdogg on Sun Oct 09, 2016 1:26 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#10843 Postby Vdogg » Sun Oct 09, 2016 10:11 am

ncweatherwizard wrote:Vdogg, any word on the Nansemond near Main and Constance Rd. in Suffolk? The gauge reading looks like the river will be across the road soon if not already.

Main is underwater as of this morning.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Post-Tropical - Discussion

#10844 Postby mitchell » Sun Oct 09, 2016 10:26 am

Ken711 wrote:
Most models missed with the forecasted loop.


Judging the modeling forecasting seems complicated. They failed to forecast a loop, and then jumped on the idea of a loop to the E, SE, S, SW. Then yesterday back to no loop and just ENE from OBX out to sea and post tropical.

The actual track looks to me a lot like the track that many of the models were forecasting a week ago before the loop solution? I don't know where to find week-old models runs but did the actual track verify what some of the models were initially indicating?
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Post-Tropical - Discussion

#10845 Postby Steve » Sun Oct 09, 2016 10:44 am

Lots of really bad flooding Inland in NC today. TWC is all over it. Looks like some localized flooding in Delaware as well and eastern Maryland per radar totals and warnings.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Post-Tropical - Discussion

#10846 Postby OuterBanker » Sun Oct 09, 2016 11:11 am

FYI, 12 in water in my house. Entire downstairs ruined. Septic so no toilets. Never seen it this bad in 42 yrs. We are in bad shape here.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Post-Tropical - Discussion

#10847 Postby johngaltfla » Sun Oct 09, 2016 11:26 am

OuterBanker wrote:FYI, 12 in water in my house. Entire downstairs ruined. Septic so no toilets. Never seen it this bad in 42 yrs. We are in bad shape here.


Good luck on the recovery. It's the price we pay for living in some of the most beautiful but dangerous real estate in the nation. I hope you can get things fixed soon.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Post-Tropical - Discussion

#10848 Postby Macrocane » Sun Oct 09, 2016 11:36 am

Bye Matthew, what a fascinating tropical cyclone you were. I hope we never see your name in the Atlantic again.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Post-Tropical - Discussion

#10849 Postby CrazyC83 » Sun Oct 09, 2016 12:19 pm

Ken711 wrote:
Portastorm wrote:
Alyono wrote:NHC designated our wave as an invest. This one is bound to cause trouble


THIS was the very first post in this thread. I think we can all agree that Alyono was spot on.


Agreed.


It''s pretty much certain that we won't be seeing Matthew in 2022. :Can:
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Post-Tropical - Discussion

#10850 Postby Alyono » Sun Oct 09, 2016 12:25 pm

Highly doubt we will ever see Matthew in another basin either
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Post-Tropical - Discussion

#10851 Postby Nate-Gillson » Sun Oct 09, 2016 12:37 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:
Ken711 wrote:
Portastorm wrote:
THIS was the very first post in this thread. I think we can all agree that Alyono was spot on.


Agreed.


It''s pretty much certain that we won't be seeing Matthew in 2022. :Can:


With what it did to western Haiti, extreme eastern Cuba, the Bahamas, east coast of Florida and with the record flooding in GA/SC/NC, it's a guarantee that Matthew will be retired.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Post-Tropical - Discussion

#10852 Postby Steve » Sun Oct 09, 2016 12:50 pm

OuterBanker wrote:FYI, 12 in water in my house. Entire downstairs ruined. Septic so no toilets. Never seen it this bad in 42 yrs. We are in bad shape here.


Sorry to hear that man. But septic or otherwise, don't trash everything. Bleach will kill almost all pathogens, and sunshine will destroy mold. Things contaminated like bikes and fishing poles can be hosed. They freaked us out during Katrina that everything was contaminated by "toxic soup." I chunked almost everything (which had been wet for 4 weeks til I could get to working on the house. Many other people sun dried items which were fine (excluding fabric by that point.). I told this story before but I threw out my mountain bike which had rusted a little. Next door neighbor tells me his friend passed through the neighborhood and told him he should thank all the neighbors as he's found 5 of the best bikes he ever owned. Then it hit me. Unlike us, you can salvage wood furniture as it's not too late to dry legs and such or even refinish. Your flood will give you a lot of
Money for contents but you don't have to replace that which you can save. Best to you and your family, man.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#10853 Postby Ptarmigan » Sun Oct 09, 2016 12:56 pm

utweather wrote:
Yeah, its still making a beeline to South and North Carolina landfall. If it goes inland a bit and slows before doing its turn, gonna be tons of flooding


There have been record setting flooding from Matthew.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Post-Tropical - Discussion

#10854 Postby tolakram » Sun Oct 09, 2016 2:28 pm

So sorry everyone had to go through this mess. It's as if a cat 1 hurricane hit every location up and down the east coast all the way to NC, even Virginia. What a mess.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Post-Tropical - Discussion

#10855 Postby Alyono » Sun Oct 09, 2016 2:45 pm

still cannot find any word about what happened where this hit Haiti. Everything is from the northern shore of Tiburon or from areas out of the eyewall

I hope the 4 dreaded words do not have to be used
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Post-Tropical - Discussion

#10856 Postby galaxy401 » Sun Oct 09, 2016 2:50 pm

Alyono wrote:still cannot find any word about what happened where this hit Haiti. Everything is from the northern shore of Tiburon or from areas out of the eyewall

I hope the 4 dreaded words do not have to be used


What communities are at the area of landfall?
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I don't get hurricanes here but I do get their remnants.

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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Post-Tropical - Discussion

#10857 Postby Exalt » Sun Oct 09, 2016 3:16 pm

This wind from the backside of the storm is causing a lot of people to lose power despite it being all the way out to sea now.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Post-Tropical - Discussion

#10858 Postby Gully Washer » Sun Oct 09, 2016 3:46 pm

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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Post-Tropical - Discussion

#10859 Postby abajan » Sun Oct 09, 2016 4:04 pm

The 5 PM advisory is the 47th and last! Good riddance.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Post-Tropical - Discussion

#10860 Postby terstorm1012 » Sun Oct 09, 2016 4:19 pm

galaxy401 wrote:
Alyono wrote:still cannot find any word about what happened where this hit Haiti. Everything is from the northern shore of Tiburon or from areas out of the eyewall

I hope the 4 dreaded words do not have to be used


What communities are at the area of landfall?


Les Anglais is where the eye came ashore. I am positive I saw some aerial photos from the US Coast Guard that showed it completely flattened. Haiti requested our assistance.

Tiburon isn't densely populated but there are lots of isolated little communities in the mountains.
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