EPAC: INVEST 98E

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cycloneye
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EPAC: INVEST 98E

#1 Postby cycloneye » Mon Oct 10, 2016 8:48 am

EP, 98, 2016100906, , BEST, 0, 121N, 1087W, 15, 0, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, , 0, , 0, 0, GENESIS035, , 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 035,
EP, 98, 2016100912, , BEST, 0, 122N, 1099W, 20, 0, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, , 0, , 0, 0, GENESIS035, , 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 035,
EP, 98, 2016100918, , BEST, 0, 124N, 1111W, 20, 0, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, , 0, , 0, 0, GENESIS035, , 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 035,
EP, 98, 2016101000, , BEST, 0, 126N, 1122W, 25, 1008, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, , 0, , 0, 0, GENESIS035, , 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 035,
EP, 98, 2016101006, , BEST, 0, 128N, 1132W, 25, 1007, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1010, 150, 80, 0, 0, E, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 035, SPAWNINVEST, ep782016 to ep982016,
EP, 98, 2016101012, , BEST, 0, 130N, 1140W, 25, 1007, LO, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1010, 150, 80, 0, 0, E, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST
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Re: EPAC: INVEST 98E

#2 Postby cycloneye » Mon Oct 10, 2016 12:42 pm

Not as favorable for this in the medium range.

A complex area of low pressure located about 1000 miles southwest of
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to
produce widespread clouds and scattered thunderstorms. This
disturbance is expected to slowly consolidate during the next couple
of days while moving west-northwestward to northwestward, and a
tropical depression could form around mid-week. After that time,
environmental conditions are expected to gradually become less
conducive for tropical cyclone formation.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent
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Re: EPAC: INVEST 98E

#3 Postby hurricanes1234 » Mon Oct 10, 2016 2:26 pm

I'm putting more hope in the area to the east. This one looks like it won't be in good conditions for much longer. :roll:
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Re: EPAC: INVEST 98E

#4 Postby hurricanes1234 » Mon Oct 10, 2016 7:21 pm

Looking more and more like this will be a bust.

A complex area of low pressure located about 800 miles southwest of
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to
produce disorganized cloudiness and thunderstorms. This disturbance
is expected to slowly consolidate while moving west-northwestward
to northwestward, and it could become a tropical depression before
it moves over cooler waters in a few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent
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Re: EPAC: INVEST 98E

#5 Postby hurricanes1234 » Mon Oct 10, 2016 10:00 pm

Almost none of the guidance develops this.

> Can't post the image because TinyPic keeps saying invalid code whenever I enter what I see in the box that prevents automated uploads.
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Re: EPAC: INVEST 98E

#6 Postby Yellow Evan » Tue Oct 11, 2016 10:41 am

Convection seems to have decreased.
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