WPAC: Tropical Depression 95C

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WPAC: Tropical Depression 95C

#1 Postby 1900hurricane » Wed Oct 12, 2016 10:22 pm

A new CPac invest has been declared. Like 94C/Songda before it, it looks like it'll end up moving into the WPac. Guidance has been somewhat hot and (mostly) cold with this one.

As of 18:00 UTC Oct 12, 2016:

Location: 10.0°N 167.0°W
Maximum Winds: 25 kt
Minimum Central Pressure: 1008 mb


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Last edited by 1900hurricane on Sat Oct 15, 2016 10:13 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: CPAC: INVEST 95C

#2 Postby Yellow Evan » Thu Oct 13, 2016 10:40 am

1. An area of low pressure, located about 1000 miles southwest of
Honolulu, Hawaii, continues to produce disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. Development, if any, will be slow to occur as it
moves to the west-northwest at 15 to 20 mph during the next couple
of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
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Re: CPAC: INVEST 95C

#3 Postby hurricanes1234 » Fri Oct 14, 2016 8:21 am

Hey! We may be onto something here! :D :D

Showers and thunderstorms to an area of low pressure, located
1270 miles west-southwest of Honolulu, Hawaii, have become better
organized in the past several hours. If this trend continues...a
tropical depression may form later today. The system is moving
west at about 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent
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Re: CPAC: INVEST 95C

#4 Postby hurricanes1234 » Fri Oct 14, 2016 8:20 pm

Just when I thought something would actually form! :x :x

Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
pressure located 1450 miles west-southwest of Honolulu, Hawaii, or
1025 miles south of Midway, have become less organized during the
day. The system is also moving into an area of less favorable
conditions as it approaches the International Dateline. The
system is moving west at about 20 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent
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Re: WPAC: Tropical Depression 95C

#5 Postby 1900hurricane » Sat Oct 15, 2016 10:16 am

Now a JMA TD as it crosses the International Dateline. It's pretty weak though, and mostly devoid of convection. I doubt we'll see anything significant from it.

Image

WWJP25 RJTD 151200
WARNING AND SUMMARY 151200.
WARNING VALID 161200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA
AT 50N 149E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING EAST 30 KNOTS.
WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300
MILES ELSEWHERE.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE
OF SEA OF JAPAN.
SUMMARY.
LOW 1008 HPA AT 59N 148E ALMOST STATIONARY.
LOW 1016 HPA AT 44N 167E EAST 25 KT.
LOW 1000 HPA AT 59N 172E ALMOST STATIONARY.
LOW 1014 HPA AT 37N 172E ENE 30 KT.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1010 HPA AT 15N 179E WNW 15 KT.
HIGH 1028 HPA AT 37N 146E EAST 15 KT.
WARM FRONT FROM 37N 172E TO 37N 177E 36N 178W.
COLD FRONT FROM 37N 172E TO 33N 167E 31N 161E.
STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N 161E TO 29N 154E 27N 144E.
REMARKS.
TYPHOON 1621 SARIKA (1621) 950 HPA AT 15.1N 123.0E : SEE TROPICAL
CYCLONE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 1622 HAIMA (1622) 996 HPA AT 09.3N 141.1E : SEE
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


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Re: WPAC: Tropical Depression 95C

#6 Postby 1900hurricane » Sat Oct 15, 2016 11:34 pm

RIP.
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