Chance for Tropical Formation over the NE Atlantic

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1900hurricane
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Chance for Tropical Formation over the NE Atlantic

#1 Postby 1900hurricane » Thu Oct 27, 2016 4:04 pm

The NE Atlantic low is interesting. It's located beneath a cold core cutoff low, giving it the benefit of having abnormally cold temps aloft to work with, somewhat like Alex in January. I doubt it'll develop before the cutoff rejoins the main flow in 36 hours or so, exposing it to blasting mid-latitude westerlies, but it's not impossible that we could see a shallow subtropical storm, especially with the system already showing signs of shallow surface-based convection.

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Re: Chance for Tropical Formation over the NE Atlantic

#2 Postby chaser1 » Sat Oct 29, 2016 9:09 am

Honestly, this is the first time looking at these satellite pic's and photos. Crazy fascinating because one just doesnt see W. Europe in any way shape or form as a point for tropical genesis. Quite the contrary, much less substantiating a truly tropical system from the Central N. Atlantic to even maintain its tropical characteristics. That all said, these pics seem to bear out what did appear to be at least a sub-tropical development that would at minimum support a tropical storm. I wonder if post season review might later designate this system as such? Very interesting.
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Re: Chance for Tropical Formation over the NE Atlantic

#3 Postby johngaltfla » Sat Oct 29, 2016 1:00 pm

Guys, thanks for this thread. Those storm satellite photos are fascinating and I do wonder if the NHC classifies this or is this a European function. Since it does not impact North America, I would presume the latter.
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