EPAC: OTTO - Remnants

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Re: ATL: OTTO - Hurricane - Discussion

#281 Postby South Texas Storms » Thu Nov 24, 2016 2:07 am

BZSTORM wrote:can someone point me at reasonably reliable model forecast that will give best indication for precipitation - I am hearing Southern Belize could be impacted with heavy rain in next day or 2 and looking at the tail Otto is dragging behind that seems likely. Thanks in advance still learning how to read model data so any input welcome


Here you go: http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis ... s=0&ypos=0
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Re: ATL: OTTO - Hurricane - Discussion

#282 Postby Alyono » Thu Nov 24, 2016 3:58 am

This may be undergoing one more round of intensification right now
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Re: ATL: OTTO - Hurricane - Discussion

#283 Postby TheEuropean » Thu Nov 24, 2016 4:23 am

Alyono wrote:This may be undergoing one more round of intensification right now


Right and another Air Force plane is on the way to Otto, may be just in time...
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Re: ATL: OTTO - Hurricane - Discussion

#284 Postby arlwx » Thu Nov 24, 2016 4:26 am

HURRICANE OTTO ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162016
400 AM EST THU NOV 24 2016

...OTTO EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL TODAY...
...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL BEGIN SOON IN THE HURRICANE
WARNING AREA...


SUMMARY OF 400 AM EST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...11.2N 82.9W
ABOUT 85 MI...135 KM N OF LIMON COSTA RICA
ABOUT 80 MI...130 KM SE OF BLUEFIELDS NICARAGUA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...981 MB...28.97 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Government of Colombia has discontinued the Tropical Storm
Warning for San Andres Island.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Limon Costa Rica to Bluefields Nicaragua

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* North of Bluefields to Sandy Bay Sirpi Nicaragua
* South of Limon to the Costa Rica/Panama border

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* North of Bluefields to Sandy Bay Sirpi Nicaragua
* Puntarenas Costa Rica to Puerto Sandino Nicaragua

Interests elsewhere in Nicaragua and Costa Rica should monitor the
progress of Otto.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products
issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 400 AM EST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Otto was located
near latitude 11.2 North, longitude 82.9 West. Otto is moving toward
the west near 8 mph (13 km/h), and this motion is expected to
continue today. A faster motion toward the west or west-southwest
is expected to begin tonight and continue through early Saturday. On
the forecast track, the center of Otto will make landfall within the
hurricane warning area today and move across southern Nicaragua and
northern Costa Rica through this evening. The center of Otto is
expected to reach the Pacific coast of southern Nicaragua or
northern Costa Rica tonight.

Maximum sustained winds are near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher
gusts. Some strengthening is possible before landfall. Weakening is
expected after landfall, and Otto is forecast to weaken to a
tropical storm by tonight.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 10 miles (20 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles
(110 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 981 mb (28.97 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Total rainfall of 6 to 12 inches, with isolated amounts
of 15 to 20 inches, can be expected across northern Costa Rica and
southern Nicaragua through today. These rains will likely result in
life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.

Outer rain bands from Otto are expected to produce rainfall
accumulations of 4 to 8 inches over San Andres and Providencia
islands, and the higher terrain of central and western Panama and
southern Costa Rica through this morning.

WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected to reach the hurricane
warning area late this morning or early this afternoon, with
tropical storm conditions expected to begin soon. Hurricane
conditions are possible in the hurricane watch area today.

Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area
on the Caribbean coast of Nicaragua today. Tropical storm conditions
are expected in the warning area along the Pacific coasts of Costa
Rica and Nicaragua by this evening.

STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and large
and destructive waves could raise water levels by as much 3 to 5
feet above normal tide levels in areas of onshore flow within the
hurricane warning area.

SURF: Swells generated by Otto are likely to cause life-threatening
surf and rip current conditions over the next several days along the
coasts of Panama, Costa Rica, and Nicaragua. Please consult
products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 700 AM EST.
Next complete advisory at 1000 AM EST.

$$
Forecaster Brennan

HURRICANE OTTO DISCUSSION NUMBER 14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162016
400 AM EST THU NOV 24 2016

Otto continues to produce an area of deep convection over the
center, but it is difficult to tell if there have been any
structural changes to the cyclone without microwave or aircraft data
overnight. Dvorak estimates at 06Z were T4.5/77 kt from SAB and
T4.0/65 kt from TAFB, with the 06Z UW-CIMSS ADT estimate at 72 kt.
The initial intensity is held at 75 kt for this advisory based on
the higher satellite estimates and continuity. An Air Force Reserve
Hurricane Hunter aircraft will investigate Otto later this morning.

There is an opportunity for some additional strengthening before
Otto makes landfall in about 12 hours. After landfall, quick
weakening is expected while the center moves across Central America,
and Otto is expected to emerge into the eastern Pacific by 24 h as a
tropical storm. Gradual weakening is forecast after that time, due
to moderate to strong vertical shear, and this weakening trend is
also shown in most of the global model guidance. The new NHC
intensity forecast is similar to the previous one and near the low
end of the TC intensity guidance late in the period. This forecast
ends up closest to the FSU Superensemble by day 5, and shows Otto as
a remnant low at that time.

The initial motion estimate is 270/07, as Otto is under the steering
influence of a mid-level ridge centered over Cuba and the Bahamas.
As as mid/upper-level trough lifts out of the Gulf of Mexico, the
ridge will build westward and amplify during the next 3-4 days. This
pattern should result in an increase in forward speed and a motion
somewhat south of due west for the next 72 hours. By the end of the
period, Otto or its remnant low should turn west-northwestward as it
rounds the western side of the weakening ridge. While there is
general agreement on this scenario, there remains some spread in the
track guidance. In particular, the latest ECMWF solution has shifted
north and is slower than the rest of the guidance, especially
compared to the GFS, which is faster and farther south. The new NHC
track forecast is largely an update of the previous one but trends a
little faster following the latest consensus. This track is close to
the ECMWF/GFS blend at days 3 through 5.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 24/0900Z 11.2N 82.9W 75 KT 85 MPH
12H 24/1800Z 11.1N 83.9W 75 KT 85 MPH...INLAND
24H 25/0600Z 10.6N 86.2W 50 KT 60 MPH...OVER WATER
36H 25/1800Z 10.2N 88.4W 45 KT 50 MPH
48H 26/0600Z 9.8N 90.9W 40 KT 45 MPH
72H 27/0600Z 9.5N 96.5W 40 KT 45 MPH
96H 28/0600Z 10.0N 101.5W 35 KT 40 MPH
120H 29/0600Z 11.5N 104.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

$$
Forecaster Brennan
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Re: ATL: OTTO - Hurricane - Discussion

#285 Postby bahamaswx » Thu Nov 24, 2016 4:38 am

Looks better than ever.
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Re: ATL: OTTO - Hurricane - Discussion

#286 Postby Alyono » Thu Nov 24, 2016 5:37 am

105 kts at 700mb. Aircraft CONFIRMS this is a very powerful hurricane
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Re: ATL: OTTO - Recon

#287 Postby Alyono » Thu Nov 24, 2016 5:39 am

101930 1151N 08233W 6970 03162 0071 +090 +074 106040 041 024 001 00
102000 1150N 08235W 6963 03169 0070 +090 +074 104041 042 025 000 00
102030 1148N 08236W 6969 03161 0070 +090 +070 105044 044 027 000 00
102100 1147N 08238W 6966 03163 0069 +090 +070 103044 044 028 001 00
102130 1146N 08239W 6968 03162 0066 +090 +072 100044 045 030 001 00
102200 1144N 08241W 6967 03163 0063 +090 +072 099046 047 030 001 00
102230 1143N 08242W 6969 03158 0061 +089 +074 096047 047 030 001 00
102300 1142N 08244W 6967 03156 0063 +090 +068 094048 049 029 002 03
102330 1140N 08245W 6969 03160 0057 +091 +065 091050 051 032 003 00
102400 1138N 08246W 6966 03154 0058 +090 +065 086054 055 035 003 00
102430 1137N 08247W 6967 03156 0062 +089 +060 084056 057 035 005 03
102500 1135N 08248W 6967 03155 0057 +090 +058 083058 059 035 006 03
102530 1133N 08248W 6968 03152 0062 +085 +065 085056 057 035 006 00
102600 1131N 08248W 6966 03151 0058 +082 +072 088059 061 037 005 00
102630 1130N 08248W 6967 03143 0051 +084 +069 089063 064 038 006 00
102700 1128N 08248W 6969 03135 0051 +079 +077 088067 069 040 006 00
102730 1126N 08248W 6966 03134 0048 +079 +078 087069 070 043 009 00
102800 1125N 08248W 6967 03130 0056 +080 +080 082069 072 043 009 00
102830 1123N 08248W 6968 03121 0056 +077 +077 079075 076 044 012 00
102900 1121N 08248W 6968 03106 0047 +081 +081 071070 075 047 021 03
102930 1119N 08247W 6972 03096 0036 +091 +091 066071 075 046 046 00
103000 1117N 08247W 6945 03121 0021 +091 +091 074076 079 051 034 03
103030 1115N 08247W 6968 03078 0012 +088 +088 079084 089 057 023 03
103100 1114N 08247W 6954 03058 9983 +081 +081 083094 097 063 013 00
103130 1112N 08247W 6968 03022 9948 +085 +085 087102 105 071 014 00
103200 1110N 08247W 6950 03029 9872 +110 +110 090086 100 074 007 00
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Re: ATL: OTTO - Hurricane - Discussion

#288 Postby TheEuropean » Thu Nov 24, 2016 5:48 am

Alyono wrote:105 kts at 700mb. Aircraft CONFIRMS this is a very powerful hurricane


I think, it should have reached Cat 2 now, very dangerous situation für Nicaragua and Costa Rica, already declared state of emergency there.
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Re: ATL: OTTO - Hurricane - Discussion

#289 Postby TheEuropean » Thu Nov 24, 2016 5:59 am

Pressure down to 978, here is the Vortex Data Message

000
URNT12 KNHC 241053
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL162016
A. 24/10:34:50Z
B. 11 deg 01 min N
082 deg 46 min W
C. 700 mb 2940 m
D. 75 kt
E. 351 deg 8 nm
F. 086 deg 105 kt
G. 352 deg 12 nm
H. 978 mb
I. 8 C / 3028 m
J. 17 C / 3048 m
K. 6 C / NA
L. CLOSED
M. C20
N. 12345 / 7
O. 0.02 / 1 nm
P. AF301 0616A OTTO OB 07
MAX FL WIND 105 KT 352 / 12 NM 10:31:30Z
CNTR DROPSONDE SFC WIND 005 / 6 KT
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Re: ATL: OTTO - Recon

#290 Postby Chris_in_Tampa » Thu Nov 24, 2016 6:03 am

Just posting one image.

Through 5:52am EST:

Image
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Re: ATL: OTTO - Recon

#291 Postby Chris_in_Tampa » Thu Nov 24, 2016 6:04 am

URNT12 KNHC 241053
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL162016
A. 24/10:34:50Z
B. 11 deg 01 min N
082 deg 46 min W
C. 700 mb 2940 m
D. 75 kt
E. 351 deg 8 nm
F. 086 deg 105 kt
G. 352 deg 12 nm
H. 978 mb
I. 8 C / 3028 m
J. 17 C / 3048 m
K. 6 C / NA
L. CLOSED
M. C20
N. 12345 / 7
O. 0.02 / 1 nm
P. AF301 0616A OTTO OB 07
MAX FL WIND 105 KT 352 / 12 NM 10:31:30Z
CNTR DROPSONDE SFC WIND 005 / 6 KT



Product: Air Force Vortex Message (URNT12 KNHC)
Transmitted: 24th day of the month at 10:53Z
Agency: United States Air Force
Aircraft: Lockheed WC-130J Hercules with reg. number AF96-5301
Storm Number & Year: 16 in 2016
Storm Name: Otto (flight in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Number: 6
Observation Number: 07
A. Time of Center Fix: 24th day of the month at 10:34:50Z
B. Center Fix Coordinates: 11°01'N 82°46'W (11.0167N 82.7667W)
B. Center Fix Location: 262 statute miles (421 km) to the WNW (302°) from Panama City, Panama.
C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: 2,940m (9,646ft) at 700mb
D. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind Inbound: 75kts (~ 86.3mph)
E. Location of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind Inbound: 8 nautical miles (9 statute miles) to the N (351°) of center fix
F. Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: From 86° at 105kts (From the E at ~ 120.8mph)
G. Location of Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 12 nautical miles (14 statute miles) to the N (352°) of center fix
H. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 978mb (28.88 inHg)
I. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 8°C (46°F) at a pressure alt. of 3,028m (9,934ft)
J. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 17°C (63°F) at a pressure alt. of 3,048m (10,000ft)
K. Dewpoint Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): 6°C (43°F)
K. Sea Surface Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): Not Available
L. Eye Character: Closed
M. Eye Shape & Diameter: Circular with a diameter of 20 nautical miles (23 statute miles)
N. Fix Determined By: Penetration, Radar, Wind, Pressure and Temperature
N. Fix Level: 700mb
O. Navigational Fix Accuracy: 0.02 nautical miles
O. Meteorological Accuracy: 1 nautical mile

Remarks Section:
Maximum Flight Level Wind: 105kts (~ 120.8mph) which was observed 12 nautical miles (14 statute miles) to the N (352°) from the flight level center at 10:31:30Z
Dropsonde Surface Wind at Center: From 5° at 6kts (From the N at 7mph)
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Re: ATL: OTTO - Hurricane - Discussion

#292 Postby Chris_in_Tampa » Thu Nov 24, 2016 6:10 am

HURRICANE OTTO TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162016
600 AM EST THU NOV 24 2016

...HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT FINDS OTTO STRONGER...

Data just received from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter
aircraft indicate that Otto now has maximum sustained winds of 100
mph (155 km/h), with higher gusts.


The aircraft will continue to investigate Otto this morning, and an
intermediate advisory will be issued at 700 AM EST (1200 UTC).


SUMMARY OF 600 AM EST...1100 UTC...INFORMATION
---------------------------------------------------
LOCATION...11.0N 82.8W
ABOUT 70 MI...115 KM N OF LIMON COSTA RICA
ABOUT 95 MI...155 KM SE OF BLUEFIELDS NICARAGUA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...978 MB...28.88 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Brennan
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Re: ATL: OTTO - Recon

#293 Postby Chris_in_Tampa » Thu Nov 24, 2016 6:27 am

Through 6:22am EST:

Image

A little wider view:

Image
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Re: ATL: OTTO - Recon

#294 Postby Chris_in_Tampa » Thu Nov 24, 2016 6:37 am

Through 6:32am EST:

Image
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Re: ATL: OTTO - Recon

#295 Postby Chris_in_Tampa » Thu Nov 24, 2016 6:38 am

URNT12 KNHC 241133
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL162016
A. 24/11:12:50Z
B. 10 deg 58 min N
082 deg 46 min W
C. 700 mb 2927 m
D. 90 kt
E. 144 deg 5 nm
F. 253 deg 78 kt
G. 158 deg 8 nm
H. 977 mb
I. 10 C / 3042 m
J. 18 C / 3045 m
K. NA / NA
L. CLOSED
M. C20
N. 12345 / 7
O. 0.02 / 1 nm
P. AF301 0616A OTTO OB 13
MAX OUTBOUND AND MAX FL WIND 108 KT 349 / 14 NM 11:17:00Z
CNTR DROPSONDE SFC WIND 210 / 11 KT



Product: Air Force Vortex Message (URNT12 KNHC)
Transmitted: 24th day of the month at 11:33Z
Agency: United States Air Force
Aircraft: Lockheed WC-130J Hercules with reg. number AF96-5301
Storm Number & Year: 16 in 2016
Storm Name: Otto (flight in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Number: 6
Observation Number: 13
A. Time of Center Fix: 24th day of the month at 11:12:50Z
B. Center Fix Coordinates: 10°58'N 82°46'W (10.9667N 82.7667W)
B. Center Fix Location: 260 statute miles (418 km) to the WNW (302°) from Panama City, Panama.
C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: 2,927m (9,603ft) at 700mb
D. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind Inbound: 90kts (~ 103.6mph)
E. Location of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind Inbound: 5 nautical miles (6 statute miles) to the SE (144°) of center fix
F. Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: From 253° at 78kts (From the WSW at ~ 89.8mph)
G. Location of Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 8 nautical miles (9 statute miles) to the SSE (158°) of center fix
H. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 977mb (28.85 inHg)
I. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 10°C (50°F) at a pressure alt. of 3,042m (9,980ft)
J. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 18°C (64°F) at a pressure alt. of 3,045m (9,990ft)
K. Dewpoint Temp & Sea Surface Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): Not Available
L. Eye Character: Closed
M. Eye Shape & Diameter: Circular with a diameter of 20 nautical miles (23 statute miles)
N. Fix Determined By: Penetration, Radar, Wind, Pressure and Temperature
N. Fix Level: 700mb
O. Navigational Fix Accuracy: 0.02 nautical miles
O. Meteorological Accuracy: 1 nautical mile

Remarks Section:
Maximum Outbound and Flight Level Wind: 108kts (~ 124.3mph) which was observed 14 nautical miles (16 statute miles) to the NNW/N (349°) from the flight level center at 11:17:00Z
Dropsonde Surface Wind at Center: From 210° at 11kts (From the SSW at 13mph)
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Re: ATL: OTTO - Hurricane - Discussion

#296 Postby NotoSans » Thu Nov 24, 2016 6:39 am

Looks to be around 90 to 95 knots per latest recon.
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Re: ATL: OTTO - Recon

#297 Postby Chris_in_Tampa » Thu Nov 24, 2016 6:45 am

Final image from me, through 6:32am EST:

Image
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Re: ATL: OTTO - Hurricane - Discussion

#298 Postby WeatherGuesser » Thu Nov 24, 2016 6:57 am

WTNT31 KNHC 241154 CCA
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE OTTO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 14A...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162016
700 AM EST THU NOV 24 2016

CORRECTED WIND SPEED IN SUMMARY TABLE

...OTTO HEADING FOR NICARAGUA AND COSTA RICA WITH 105-MPH WINDS...


SUMMARY OF 700 AM EST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...11.0N 82.9W
ABOUT 70 MI...110 KM N OF LIMON COSTA RICA
ABOUT 90 MI...150 KM SE OF BLUEFIELDS NICARAGUA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...976 MB...28.82 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Limon Costa Rica to Bluefields Nicaragua

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* North of Bluefields to Sandy Bay Sirpi Nicaragua
* South of Limon to the Costa Rica/Panama border

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* North of Bluefields to Sandy Bay Sirpi Nicaragua
* Puntarenas Costa Rica to Puerto Sandino Nicaragua

Interests elsewhere in Nicaragua and Costa Rica should monitor the
progress of Otto.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 700 AM EST (1200 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Otto was located by a
reconnaissance plane near latitude 11.0 North, longitude 82.9 West.
Otto is moving toward the west near 8 mph (13 km/h), and this motion
is expected to continue today. A faster motion toward the west or
west-southwest is forecast to begin tonight and continue through
early Saturday. On this track, the center of Otto will make landfall
within the hurricane warning area today, and move across southern
Nicaragua and northern Costa Rica through this evening. The center
of Otto is expected to reach the Pacific coast of southern Nicaragua
or northern Costa Rica tonight.

Data from a reconnaissance plane indicate that the maximum
sustained winds have increased to near near 105 mph (165 km/h) with
higher gusts. Some additional strengthening is possible before
landfall. Weakening is expected after landfall, and Otto is forecast
to weaken to a tropical storm by tonight.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 10 miles (20 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70
miles (110 km).

The minimum central pressure just reported by an Air Force Reserve
reconnaissance plane was 976 mb (28.82 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Total rainfall of 6 to 12 inches, with isolated amounts
of 15 to 20 inches, can be expected across northern Costa Rica and
southern Nicaragua through today. These rains will likely result in
life-threatening flash floods and mudslides.

Outer rain bands from Otto are expected to produce rainfall
accumulations of 4 to 8 inches over San Andres and Providencia
islands, and the higher terrain of central and western Panama and
southern Costa Rica through this morning.

WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected to reach the hurricane
warning area late this morning or early this afternoon, with
tropical storm conditions expected to begin shortly. Hurricane
conditions are possible in the hurricane watch area today.

Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area
on the Caribbean coast of Nicaragua today. Tropical storm conditions
are expected in the warning area along the Pacific coasts of Costa
Rica and Nicaragua by this evening.

STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and large
and destructive waves could raise water levels by as much 4 to 6
feet above normal tide levels in areas of onshore flow within the
hurricane warning area.

SURF: Swells generated by Otto are likely to cause life-threatening
surf and rip current conditions over the next several days along the
coasts of Panama, Costa Rica, and Nicaragua. Please consult
products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1000 AM EST.

$$
Forecaster Brennan
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Re: ATL: OTTO - Hurricane - Discussion

#299 Postby WeatherGuesser » Thu Nov 24, 2016 7:01 am

"MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH..."

So, that makes it a Cat 2?

So, we have H2O ? (Hurricane 2 Otto)
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northjaxpro
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Re: ATL: OTTO - Hurricane - Discussion

#300 Postby northjaxpro » Thu Nov 24, 2016 7:05 am

Well, it looks like Otto may make it to low end Category 3 major status after all. It will be a very close call with this. He is intensifying right before landfall. Historic cyclone indeed in that region of the basin! Impressive!! Also, we probably will see the eye pop out very soon just before landfall.
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