ATL: FOUR - Remnants - Discussion

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weathaguyry
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Re: ATL: FOUR - Remnants - Discussion

#1181 Postby weathaguyry » Mon Jul 10, 2017 10:07 pm

Imagine if the MLC works to the surface, AND the vort that got spit out west ended up developing in the Bahamas, what would those even be named if they developed? not at all saying that will happen, that sounds like something you would see at 240hrs on the CMC! :lol:
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Re: ATL: FOUR - Remnants - Discussion

#1182 Postby ROCK » Mon Jul 10, 2017 10:13 pm

Curious to see the model runs tonight with X-TD4 on life support.
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Re: ATL: FOUR - Remnants - Discussion

#1183 Postby Miami Storm Tracker » Mon Jul 10, 2017 10:15 pm

On the infrared Sat it looks much more circular than early. Most of the day it seemed elongated or tilted, and as others have mentioned a nice out flow.
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Re: ATL: FOUR - Remnants - Discussion

#1184 Postby ROCK » Mon Jul 10, 2017 10:20 pm

Glad the NHC kept the floater on it.. :lol:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floater ... oater.html

The more I look at this the vortex to the west is still active. Need to vertically stack and draw that vort under the mid level convection.
Last edited by ROCK on Mon Jul 10, 2017 10:26 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: FOUR - Remnants - Discussion

#1185 Postby Bocadude85 » Mon Jul 10, 2017 10:24 pm

The 18z GFS ensembles are the most enthusiastic they have been thus far.
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Re: ATL: FOUR - Remnants - Discussion

#1186 Postby Miami Storm Tracker » Mon Jul 10, 2017 10:25 pm

The GFS should be running anytime now correct.
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Re: ATL: FOUR - Remnants - Discussion

#1187 Postby ROCK » Mon Jul 10, 2017 10:26 pm

Miami Storm Tracker wrote:The GFS should be running anytime now correct.


GFS runs in 4 mins..I am sort of excited to see what it spits out.. :D
Last edited by ROCK on Mon Jul 10, 2017 10:27 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: FOUR - Remnants - Discussion

#1188 Postby weathaguyry » Mon Jul 10, 2017 10:27 pm

Miami Storm Tracker wrote:The GFS should be running anytime now correct.


Yes, I'm debating if I want to stay up to watch it or not, I guess I'll see up to about 108hours, and then determine if it's worth seeing the entertainment :D
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Re: ATL: FOUR - Remnants - Discussion

#1189 Postby Bocadude85 » Mon Jul 10, 2017 10:28 pm

weathaguyry wrote:
Miami Storm Tracker wrote:The GFS should be running anytime now correct.


Yes, I'm debating if I want to stay up to watch it or not, I guess I'll see up to about 108hours, and then determine if it's worth seeing the entertainment :D


I would be willing to bet that it will continue to show no development.
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Re: ATL: FOUR - Remnants - Discussion

#1190 Postby Miami Storm Tracker » Mon Jul 10, 2017 10:29 pm

Rock excited about the GFS LOL, to funny you love the Euro. :D
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Re: ATL: FOUR - Remnants - Discussion

#1191 Postby weathaguyry » Mon Jul 10, 2017 10:30 pm

Bocadude85 wrote:
weathaguyry wrote:
Miami Storm Tracker wrote:The GFS should be running anytime now correct.


Yes, I'm debating if I want to stay up to watch it or not, I guess I'll see up to about 108hours, and then determine if it's worth seeing the entertainment :D


I would be willing to bet that it will continue to show no development.


Yeah, me too, I sort of forgot that I was in the ex-04 thread instead of the tropical wave in the MDR thread :oops:
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Re: ATL: FOUR - Remnants - Discussion

#1192 Postby ROCK » Mon Jul 10, 2017 10:32 pm

Miami Storm Tracker wrote:Rock excited about the GFS LOL, to funny you love the Euro. :D


This true but in my old age I can't stay up til 2am anymore for the Euro.. :D
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Re: ATL: FOUR - Remnants - Discussion

#1193 Postby Miami Storm Tracker » Mon Jul 10, 2017 10:32 pm

I am going to bite and go with some sort of development.
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Re: ATL: FOUR - Remnants - Discussion

#1194 Postby ROCK » Mon Jul 10, 2017 10:35 pm

ROCK wrote:
Miami Storm Tracker wrote:Rock excited about the GFS LOL, to funny you love the Euro. :D


This is true but in my old age I can't stay up til 2am anymore for the Euro.. :D
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Re: ATL: FOUR - Remnants - Discussion

#1195 Postby Miami Storm Tracker » Mon Jul 10, 2017 10:35 pm

If possible can someone please post the run.
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Re: ATL: FOUR - Remnants - Discussion

#1196 Postby Bocadude85 » Mon Jul 10, 2017 10:36 pm

Through 24hours the vort is slightly more defined but still no development.
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Re: ATL: FOUR - Remnants - Discussion

#1197 Postby Aric Dunn » Mon Jul 10, 2017 10:39 pm

Convective pattern is not so great right now.. but neitjer was last night .. then this morning happened. Definitely at least for the time.being need to watch the wave axis and where the vort fired of convection earlier for best chance.
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Re: ATL: FOUR - Remnants - Discussion

#1198 Postby AutoPenalti » Mon Jul 10, 2017 10:39 pm

GFS has nothing.
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Re: ATL: FOUR - Remnants - Discussion

#1199 Postby Miami Storm Tracker » Mon Jul 10, 2017 10:41 pm

The whole run is complete already?
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Re: ATL: FOUR - Remnants - Discussion

#1200 Postby ROCK » Mon Jul 10, 2017 10:42 pm

Miami Storm Tracker wrote:The whole run is complete already?


No but at 36 nada to really see...probably be another 45mins before the run is over.
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