ATL: MARIA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[supercane4867]

San Juan mayor said it will be 4-6 months for power to return there. I can't imagine.

PR emergency management director just said 100 percent of the island is without electricity. The whole PR society is probably going to be shut down for months after Maria.

[JBCycloneStan]

Really concerned with the deep convection bubbling up over San Juan - can someone explain this phenomenon? And if it isn't restrengthening of the system, what is it?

[Blinhart]

173730 1831N 06706W 6971 02815 9632 +128 +125 006039 043 119 018 03

I thought 03 flag was for flight level, is it for Surface (thought that was 05)

[artist]

San Juan mayor said it will be 4-6 months for power to return there. I can't imagine.

PR emergency management director just said 100 percent of the island is without electricity. The whole PR society is probably going to be shut down for months after Maria.

Personally, I can't begin to imagine. I think 10 days without power after a hurricane was the longest for us and it was bad. Without a generator, only ice to keeps perishables cold. My thoughts and prayers are with all the islands effected by this hurricane season.

[PandaCitrus]

Caguas puerto Rico completely flooded. In the mountains southeast of San Juan.

 https://twitter.com/youngchunlee_/status/910576733438476288

[HenkL]

HDOB Quality control flags.

First column indicates status of positional variables as follows:
0 All parameters of nominal accuracy
1 Lat/lon questionable
2 Geopotential altitude or static pressure questionable
3 Both lat/lon and GA/PS questionable

Second column indicates status of meteorological variables as follows:
0 All parameters of nominal accuracy
1 T or TD questionable
2 Flight-level winds questionable
3 SFMR parameter(s) questionable
4 T/TD and FL winds questionable
5 T/TD and SFMR questionable
6 FL winds and SFMR questionable
9 T/TD, FL winds, and SFMR questionable

[txwatcher91]

Recon has found the pressure is already dropping at a decent pace since getting back over water... from 960mb to 958mb in one pass.

[supercane4867]

Really concerned with the deep convection bubbling up over San Juan - can someone explain this phenomenon? And if it isn't restrengthening of the system, what is it?

The deep convections are near stationary bands developing over high terrain due to moisture flow hitting mountains from the south. They are persistent until the circulation moves out which will continue to cause massive flooding.

[Otown_Wx]

Can someone explain why we are getting so many major hurricanes this season? Seems from what I remember last active season was 2004 and 2005. Since then its been pretty quiet until now. Want to understand what has changed and is this the start of more active seasons to come. I can't recall any seasons that have had so many Cat 5 hurricanes in the past.Thanks ahead for replys.

Btw... We just got power on Monday here after Irma. Long 8 days!!! Glad to be back....

[supercane4867]

Large eye becoming better defined on satellite imagery. The structure is basically intact after crossing PR.

[Kingarabian]

Can someone explain why we are getting so many major hurricanes this season? Seems from what I remember last active season was 2004 and 2005. Since then its been pretty quiet until now. Want to understand what has changed and is this the start of more active seasons to come. I can't recall any seasons that have had so many Cat 5 hurricanes in the past.Thanks ahead for replys.

Btw... We just got power on Monday here after Irma. Long 8 days!!! Glad to be back....

Above average MDR temps and an emerging La Nina.

[Tireman4]

Can someone explain why we are getting so many major hurricanes this season? Seems from what I remember last active season was 2004 and 2005. Since then its been pretty quiet until now. Want to understand what has changed and is this the start of more active seasons to come. I can't recall any seasons that have had so many Cat 5 hurricanes in the past.Thanks ahead for replys.

Btw... We just got power on Monday here after Irma. Long 8 days!!! Glad to be back....

Above average MDR temps and an emerging La Nina.

Yep...lots of latent heat out there...essentially ( I think I am right) tropical systems are the Earth's way of letting off steam...

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

[JBCycloneStan]

Really concerned with the deep convection bubbling up over San Juan - can someone explain this phenomenon? And if it isn't restrengthening of the system, what is it?

The deep convections are near stationary bands developing over high terrain due to moisture flow hitting mountains from the south. They are persistent until the circulation moves out which will continue to cause massive flooding.

Ugh what a terrible scenario for PR

[AutoPenalti]

Something to note, Maria has a huge ventilation, would that influence ridge pumping by any chance?

[bob rulz]

Hopefully the opportunity is used to completely rebuild the power infrastructure in Puerto Rico from the ground up.

Its not happening from a local government standpoint. There is no money. It will have to come from washington DC, which i dont doubt. Puerto Rico needs to be a state already maybe this will be the event that spurs them to finally do it.

Unfortunately, Puerto Rico becoming a state probably won't ever happen because of political reasons. I'll just leave it at that to avoid a debate, other than to say that there's no good reason why a U.S. territory should have such an outdated infrastructure. It's inexcusable.

Video coming from San Juan...

 https://twitter.com/weatherchannel/status/910495009383706626

Oh hey, it looks like the winds finally got the dumpster.

[northjaxpro]

Large eye becoming better defined on satellite imagery. The structure is basically intact after crossing PR.

It is amazing that the overall inner core structure is remarkably still well intact after crossing Puerto Rico. Just amazing!

Praying for all in the islands and across Puerto Rico!!!

[Aric Dunn]

Something to note, Maria has a huge ventilation, would that influence ridge pumping by any chance?

It could, but the process is not well known..

[wxman57]

Steering currents for Maria look well-established for the next 5 days, keeping it well east of Florida. It's beyond then where the uncertainty lies. The key player will be the arrival of a cold front along the East U.S. Coast next Wednesday. A slower front and/or a faster Maria could spell trouble for southern New England. Currently, it looks like the front will arrive in time to spare southern New England. Maria could get close enough to the Outer Banks to brush the coast with TS winds, though.

[sikkar]

The most recent microwave. Looking good after this much land interaction.

[Salix88]

Is Maria following NHC's track? Are there any wobbles at the moment in her trajectory?