ATL: JOSE - Models

[ColdMiser123]

0z Euro depicts landfall into Maine Day 10.

Very far out, but this should be watched.

[xtyphooncyclonex]

Two weeks ago, Irma went through similar trends in track and intensity. Now, we have Jose. This is becoming increasingly worrying with this déja vù

[terrapintransit]

EAST COAST

[weathaguyry]

Gives a Sandy repeat on the 0z, and doesn't know what the heck it's doing on the 6z

[northjaxpro]

The models are having a very difficult time getting a handle on Jose.Jose will be in a very weak steering pattern going into this up coming week.

We definitely need to closely monitor him next week. GFS does the loop and has the ridge steer him to near the Bahamas in the 240 hour period starting yesterday.

[AutoPenalti]

So i take it that anyone from NY to FL need to monitor this?

[hiflyer]

So i take it that anyone from NY to FL need to monitor this?

Would not leave out Bermuda....sure that they don't like looping storms to their south

[weathaguyry]

wayyyyyyy too close for comfort so far on the 12z

[jabman98]

Does this loop scenario some models are showing seem plausible? Jose seems difficult to get a handle on.

[WeatherEmperor]

Umm.....guys.....look at what the UKMET does. Its the blue line. Are you kidding me right now????


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[weathaguyry]

Ummmmmmmmm.........................

[galaxy401]

I know this is not the time to joke but the model spread literally looks like a hurricane.

Got to watch the UKMET. They did a decent job with Irma.

[ColdMiser123]

12z GFS with landfall near Boston.

12z UK goes into the Bahamas.

[ColdMiser123]

UK track information

HURRICANE JOSE ANALYSED POSITION : 21.2N 65.2W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL122017

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 10.09.2017 0 21.2N 65.2W 985 67
0000UTC 11.09.2017 12 23.3N 67.3W 985 63
1200UTC 11.09.2017 24 25.3N 69.0W 989 54
0000UTC 12.09.2017 36 26.7N 69.2W 983 62
1200UTC 12.09.2017 48 26.8N 68.3W 974 66
0000UTC 13.09.2017 60 25.9N 67.0W 964 70
1200UTC 13.09.2017 72 24.5N 66.5W 959 75
0000UTC 14.09.2017 84 23.2N 66.8W 955 81
1200UTC 14.09.2017 96 22.3N 68.2W 951 76
0000UTC 15.09.2017 108 22.0N 70.1W 945 87
1200UTC 15.09.2017 120 22.2N 72.6W 939 92
0000UTC 16.09.2017 132 22.8N 74.8W 935 93
1200UTC 16.09.2017 144 23.8N 76.9W 922 98

[lando]

If ukm shows a 922 mb storm in the sw Bahamas, that's very concerning.

[MrStormX]

Umm.....guys.....look at what the UKMET does. Its the blue line. Are you kidding me right now????


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It is not alone, the JMA was doing the same thing the other day.

[jabman98]

Umm.....guys.....look at what the UKMET does. Its the blue line. Are you kidding me right now????

I saw that earlier. UKMET has been good with Irma. Concerning.

[CFLHurricane]

Umm.....guys.....look at what the UKMET does. Its the blue line. Are you kidding me right now????

Well the British are known for their dry humor...

[shaneomac]

Models are going to go back and fourth for at least until Irma is out of picture , but anybody from Florida to Nfld should monitor perhaps even the Bahamas but we shell see ! interesting times ahead for model watchers like myself wouldnt mind witnessing a weak hurricane .. actually 2 years ago i witnessed 140-150 km gusts up grang etang its the highlands where i live and they call the winds there Les Suettes can gusts up to 200 km with some low pressure systems with the topography of the highlands ! some unreal stuff

[Hybridstorm_November2001]

Models are going to go back and fourth for at least until Irma is out of picture , but anybody from Florida to Nfld should monitor perhaps even the Bahamas but we shell see ! interesting times ahead for model watchers like myself wouldnt mind witnessing a weak hurricane .. actually 2 years ago i witnessed 140-150 km gusts up grang etang its the highlands where i live and they call the winds there Les Suettes can gusts up to 200 km with some low pressure systems with the topography of the highlands ! some unreal stuff

Nice to see a fellow Maritimer on here. I live outside St Stephen in SW New Brunswick on an inlet of the Great Passamaquoddy Bay. My maternal grandmother was from Cape Breton. Many coastal sections of the Maritimes, especially Nova Scotia, can indeed get some fearsome winds at times. Even so, Les Suettes are legendary around these parts. My grandmother had many, many stories about them.