AUSTRALIAN GOVERNMENT BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TRACK MAP
Tropical Low
Issued at 2:45 am AWST Thursday 26 January 2017.
SIO: 03S - Post-Tropical
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jaguarjace
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SIO: 03S - Post-Tropical
90P INVEST 170124 1800 16.0S 128.9E SHEM 20 1003
AUSTRALIAN GOVERNMENT BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TRACK MAP
Tropical Low
Issued at 2:45 am AWST Thursday 26 January 2017.
AUSTRALIAN GOVERNMENT BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TRACK MAP
Tropical Low
Issued at 2:45 am AWST Thursday 26 January 2017.
Last edited by jaguarjace on Sun Jan 29, 2017 3:48 am, edited 1 time in total.
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1900hurricane
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Re: SIO: INVEST 90P - Tropical Depression
90P isn't looking too bad at the moment, especially considering that it is still over land and has been for quite some time now. However, the system is somewhat sprawling, which will hurt how strong the system can get in the limited amount of time it has over favorable waters. Water temps drop off sharply near the western end of Australia.
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1900hurricane
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Re: SIO: Tropical Low 03S
Here are the BoM and JTWC forecasts for 03S. They look rather agreeable to me.
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Contract Meteorologist. TAMU & MSST. Fiercely authentic, one of a kind. We are all given free will, so choose a life meant to be lived. We are the Masters of our own Stories.
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1900hurricane
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Re: SIO: INVEST 90P - Tropical Depression
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Contract Meteorologist. TAMU & MSST. Fiercely authentic, one of a kind. We are all given free will, so choose a life meant to be lived. We are the Masters of our own Stories.
Opinions expressed are mine alone.
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Digital-TC-Chaser
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Digital-TC-Chaser
Re: SIO: INVEST 90P - Tropical Depression
Bom is very slow to name this as a TS. Maybe they are waiting on a ascat pass ? OR another 6hrs for winds to catchup. Conventional satellite estimates are roughly between 40/50kts.
http://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/data/raw/wt/wtxs31.pgtw..txt
http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/a ... Table.html
http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/adt/odt03S.html
http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/a ... ensity.txt
http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/s ... 1703S.html
MEH maybe the Bom needs to look @ all the data and pull their finger out and name this before shear rips it apart.
0r perhaps they go back to reconnaissance flights.
http://p-3publications.com/PDF/CycloneHunters.pdf
http://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/data/raw/wt/wtxs31.pgtw..txt
http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/a ... Table.html
http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/adt/odt03S.html
http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/a ... ensity.txt
http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/s ... 1703S.html
MEH maybe the Bom needs to look @ all the data and pull their finger out and name this before shear rips it apart.
0r perhaps they go back to reconnaissance flights.
http://p-3publications.com/PDF/CycloneHunters.pdf
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Re: SIO: INVEST 90P - Tropical Depression
BOM requires gales in 3 quadrants
BOM has this with 45 kt winds. However, gales are only in 2 quadrants, so according to their absurd definition of a TC, it is not a TC
A cyclone could have 100 kt winds. But if there are gales in only 2 quadrants due to a very rapid motion, it's not a TC
BOM has this with 45 kt winds. However, gales are only in 2 quadrants, so according to their absurd definition of a TC, it is not a TC
A cyclone could have 100 kt winds. But if there are gales in only 2 quadrants due to a very rapid motion, it's not a TC
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Re: SIO: INVEST 90P - Tropical Depression
we should relabel the title to tropical low. It's not a TD as winds are 45 kts according to the BOM
As for it getting named, I do not expect it to. It's likely near its peak now as it is starting to move over cooler waters
As for it getting named, I do not expect it to. It's likely near its peak now as it is starting to move over cooler waters
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