BoB: CYCLONE MORA

[Alyono]

center keeps oscillatting around 91.5. That is the key lat as it means the difference from east of Chittagong, keeping the surge low, or west of the city, which would produce a very high tidal surge

[Alyono]

I hope this is not a real video because if it is, this is only the fringes of Mora

https://twitter.com/mir_sidiquee/status ... 6701022212

[Yellow Evan]

IO, 02, 201705292030, 10, DVTS, CI, , 2010N, 9180E, , 2, 65, 2, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , B, KNES, VK, IM, 3, 4040 /////, , , HMWRI8, LLCC, T, DT=4.0 BO CBND MET=4.0 PT=4.0 FTBO DT

[Alyono]

not sure how JT is getting a 3.5 as of their 21Z fix

[Alyono]

the eye is starting to appear on satellite

[Alyono]

https://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_h ... egreeticks

uh oh...

[SouthDadeFish]

Mora is another great example of how valuable 37-GHz imagery is. The symmetric ring was apparent at 12Z. The shallow convection preceded the symmetric, deep convection apparent on 85-GHz imagery. Glad this thing is running out of time over water, or else look out... Still could be a very dangerous situation.

[Alyono]

Mora is another great example of how valuable 37-GHz imagery is. The symmetric ring was apparent at 12Z. The shallow convection preceded the symmetric, deep convection apparent on 85-GHz imagery. Glad this thing is running out of time over water, or else look out... Still could be a very dangerous situation.

unfortunately, I think we're looking at something really bad right now. This has the look of a 70-75 kt cyclone that is intensifying rapidly now. Cannot rule out 90 kts at landfall.

However, one more day over water, as you siad, would have been beyond catastrophic. The initial MU cat 5 forecasts could have come true then

[Digital-TC-Chaser]

Yellow Evan nailed this cyclone.

[Alyono]

and IMD just did something borderline criminal. They just issued an advisory that said no intensification has occurred

They need to be stopped, as their products were at least partially responsible for the Nargis tragedy, and are failing to provide adequate warning this time

[doomhaMwx]

[shah83]

Guess the most important question is how much east component is there to the northerly movement.

[doomhaMwx]

Wind shear has weakened in its location...

[Digital-TC-Chaser]

:cry:

clearly now a cyclone with a very destructive core.

[shah83]

Well, the loops sez straight north so far. Keeps that way for the next, well, even three hours, is likely to be pretty bad.

[StormChaser75]

sun coming up on Mora

[doomhaMwx]

Now a Category 1 per latest(00z) JTWC update...

02B MORA 170530 0000 21.0N 91.8E IO 65 974

[Alyono]

radar indicates that landfall is occurring now

[Alyono]

meteosat imagery also confirms that landfall has occurred around Cox's Bazar. Himiwari should NOT be used for precise center tracking as it is on the edge of the satellite. Thus, it's position will be slightly off

[mykttu]

meteosat imagery also confirms that landfall has occurred around Cox's Bazar. Himiwari should NOT be used for precise center tracking as it is on the edge of the satellite. Thus, it's position will be slightly off

How much impact may the storm have? Is there any idea how long it will be in Land around Bangladesh? Also, does it moving toward Chittagong?