ATL: BRET - Remnants - Discussion

[RL3AO]

I told you guys it would be the first Cape Verde wave.

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It's the first invest of the Cape Verde season, but it was far from the first wave.

[AutoPenalti]

I told you guys it would be the first Cape Verde wave.

?

It's the first invest of the Cape Verde season, but it was far from the first wave.

In the topic "When will Bret happen" I mentioned that the wave coming off the Cape Verde islands was going to be Bret and not the GOM mess.

You are correct though that this isn't the first wave.

[hurricanes1234]

The sky is getting quite grey where I am in the northwest portion of Trinidad. Some moderate showers as well, with pauses in between. No high winds yet in my area.

[tolakram]

Saved visible loop

[AutoPenalti]

Saved visible loop

Looks like a hot tower popped up in the last frame.

[TheStormExpert]

18z GFS much weaker, not even going below 1002mb.

[Hammy]

Is it me or has the upper air environment actually become more favorable during the day?

[Aric Dunn]

here be the center showing up pretty circular on radar. I made the ring smaller than the center circumference. will be making landfall in the next few hours on trinidad

[Aric Dunn]

Is it me or has the upper air environment actually become more favorable during the day?

that is correct. the trough to its west has been retreating all day. check cimss and go back a few images then forward. pretty clear.

though it wont last much longer..

[abajan]

Matthew had 50-60 mph winds for a day or so before it closed off a circulation. Obviously the conditions ahead are completely different, but there is precedence.

Yep. And back in the 1980s, a tropical wave produced 55 to 60 mph winds here in Barbados. I don't recall if it eventually became a storm.

[abajan]

landfall tonight in Venezuela. Last storm to do this... Bret

Indeed. Eerie coincidence. And its passage resulted in one of Venezuela's worst disasters. Not sure why the name wasn't retired in '93.

[cycloneye]

Getting closer to Trinidad and Tobago.Looks very good.

[hurricanes1234]

Hot tower near the centre.

[hurricanes1234]

Look at how it's expanded in the last frame ...

[RL3AO]

You don't see -70C cloud tops over Trinidad very often. Hope everyone has a safe night there.

[abajan]

Technically, according to this compass point designation calculator, it's actually moving W, not the WNW stated in the advisory.

[GeneratorPower]

Beautiful, awesome early season TC. Amazing to see it so far east. And hammering Trinidad no less. You have season after season where everything fails to develop, then you have a season where nothing fails to develop. This year?

[Gustywind]

Technically, according to this compass point designation calculator, it's actually moving W, not the WNW stated in the advisory.

You're definitely right Abajan! By the way, hope you're safe and dry even if you should not deal with too much rain and strong winds given Bret trek pretty souther of your beautiful island. Whereas, we have an indication that this season seems really began faster than predicted. We will see!

[Steve820]

Nice to see an early season TC and apparently, it's also the earliest forming storm in the MDR on record according to what I saw on the wiki page. This BARELY edged out Ana which formed on this day in 1979. This is also probably going to be the first Venezuelan landfall since Bret in 1993... same name! What a coincidence, it's not everyday you see a landfall there but this name coincidence just makes it that much more strange.

[abajan]

Technically, according to this compass point designation calculator, it's actually moving W, not the WNW stated in the advisory.

You're definitely right Abajan! By the way, hope you're safe and dry even if you should not deal with too much rain and strong winds given Bret trek pretty souther of your beautiful island. Whereas, we have an indication that this season seems really began faster than predicted. We will see!

Thanks, Gusty. Barbados actually got pretty high winds this morning (possibly gusting to tropical storm force at times), followed by a period of fairly heavy rain. Things are pretty much back to normal now, though.