ATL: CINDY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Re: ATL: CINDY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1621 Postby Steve » Thu Jun 22, 2017 12:17 am

Cindy looks to be making a run for Cameron Parish. Luckily it's at a minimum point. No telling if she loops again or slowly gets up and out. Maybe there is a blow up on land tomorrow?
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Re: ATL: CINDY - Recon

#1622 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Jun 22, 2017 12:37 am

URNT15 KNHC 220530
AF308 0503A CINDY HDOB 25 20170622
051930 2911N 09357W 8429 01462 9974 +175 +090 072003 003 014 002 03
052000 2910N 09359W 8430 01459 9973 +175 +086 078004 004 008 002 00
052030 2910N 09401W 8428 01463 9973 +175 +083 078007 011 008 002 00
052100 2909N 09403W 8426 01465 9980 +167 +081 066010 011 011 003 00
052130 2908N 09405W 8426 01464 9976 +172 +079 071009 010 012 003 03
052200 2907N 09406W 8428 01463 9977 +172 +076 071009 010 014 000 03
052230 2906N 09408W 8428 01463 9973 +178 +078 072009 010 014 001 03
052300 2906N 09410W 8429 01462 9971 +182 +076 077009 009 /// /// 03
052330 2905N 09412W 8430 01459 9967 +187 +077 083011 012 /// /// 03
052400 2904N 09413W 8428 01462 9965 +190 +079 074012 013 014 000 00
052430 2903N 09415W 8431 01458 9966 +188 +086 073014 015 014 001 03
052500 2902N 09417W 8426 01463 9964 +189 +085 077010 014 014 001 03
052530 2901N 09416W 8433 01455 9965 +191 +091 086007 008 /// /// 03
052600 2900N 09415W 8425 01465 9962 +195 +092 121006 007 014 000 00
052630 2901N 09413W 8430 01462 9964 +194 +087 121009 010 008 001 03
052700 2902N 09412W 8425 01465 9969 +187 +089 121009 010 014 001 03
052730 2903N 09410W 8428 01464 9970 +184 +089 133008 010 014 000 00
052800 2903N 09408W 8424 01466 9971 +183 +088 144008 009 014 001 00
052830 2904N 09406W 8429 01463 9973 +180 +090 149007 008 014 002 00
052900 2904N 09405W 8428 01464 9974 +180 +081 144006 007 014 001 03
$$
;
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Re: ATL: CINDY - Recon

#1623 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Jun 22, 2017 12:51 am

URNT15 KNHC 220550
AF308 0503A CINDY HDOB 27 20170622
053930 2916N 09325W 8428 01456 9963 +179 +088 217024 025 013 001 00
054000 2917N 09323W 8428 01454 9961 +184 +086 213022 025 017 001 00
054030 2917N 09321W 8427 01454 9959 +182 +086 212023 023 018 001 00
054100 2918N 09319W 8430 01446 9956 +184 +097 211023 024 018 002 00
054130 2918N 09317W 8428 01452 9956 +188 +084 204024 025 022 001 00
054200 2919N 09315W 8428 01456 9961 +183 +087 199027 029 023 000 00
054230 2919N 09313W 8428 01456 9963 +180 +091 197031 033 024 002 00
054300 2920N 09311W 8429 01457 9967 +180 +086 197033 034 025 001 00
054330 2921N 09309W 8427 01460 9970 +177 +085 195035 036 025 001 00
054400 2921N 09308W 8425 01463 9970 +176 +087 193034 035 027 001 00
054430 2922N 09306W 8430 01459 9974 +175 +087 190035 036 027 001 00
054500 2922N 09304W 8425 01465 9974 +175 +088 187037 037 027 001 00
054530 2923N 09302W 8426 01465 9975 +175 +087 189038 040 022 001 00
054600 2923N 09300W 8430 01464 9977 +175 +083 190039 040 025 002 00
054630 2924N 09258W 8427 01468 9978 +175 +083 188038 040 028 000 00
054700 2925N 09256W 8427 01469 9979 +176 +084 189040 041 029 000 00
054730 2925N 09254W 8430 01466 9983 +175 +080 189040 041 030 001 00
054800 2925N 09253W 8428 01470 //// +167 +083 ////// 040 029 000 32
054830 2925N 09253W 8436 01470 //// +173 +080 ////// /// 025 001 32
054900 2925N 09253W 8425 01470 //// +168 +081 ////// /// 026 003 32
$$
;
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Re: ATL: CINDY - Recon

#1624 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Jun 22, 2017 1:02 am

URNT15 KNHC 220600
AF308 0503A CINDY HDOB 28 20170622
054930 2925N 09253W 8446 01470 //// +174 +075 ////// /// 028 001 32
055000 2925N 09253W 8426 01470 //// +175 +082 ////// /// 032 000 32
055030 2925N 09253W 8429 01470 //// +175 +084 ////// /// 035 001 32
055100 2925N 09253W 8431 01470 //// +175 +079 ////// /// 036 000 32
055130 2925N 09253W 8430 01470 //// +174 +082 ////// /// 035 001 32
055200 2925N 09253W 8431 01470 //// +175 +078 ////// /// 033 001 32
055230 2925N 09253W 8403 01470 //// +177 +084 ////// /// 032 000 32
055300 2925N 09253W 8192 01470 //// +163 +086 ////// /// 030 000 32
055330 2925N 09253W 8192 01470 //// +157 +085 ////// /// 029 000 32
055400 2925N 09253W 8192 01470 //// +157 +085 ////// /// 029 000 32
055430 2933N 09226W 7388 02602 9984 +127 +079 178043 044 028 000 03
055500 2934N 09224W 7183 02843 9986 +113 +063 181044 044 /// /// 03
055530 2934N 09221W 7026 03031 9986 +103 +061 181047 049 /// /// 03
055600 2935N 09219W 6871 03216 9992 +088 +050 184050 051 /// /// 03
055630 2936N 09216W 6717 03406 9987 +084 +049 180052 052 /// /// 03
055700 2937N 09214W 6565 03598 9986 +074 +043 184051 052 /// /// 03
055730 2937N 09211W 6420 03783 9984 +064 +039 183049 051 /// /// 03
055800 2938N 09209W 6266 03984 9985 +052 +028 180045 048 /// /// 03
055830 2939N 09206W 6112 04188 9974 +047 +021 179045 045 /// /// 03
055900 2939N 09204W 5973 04379 9971 +039 +018 177045 045 /// /// 03
$$
;

Mission over.
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Re: ATL: CINDY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1625 Postby wkwally » Thu Jun 22, 2017 1:09 am

Light rain Humble Texas
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Re: ATL: CINDY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1626 Postby goCoogs » Thu Jun 22, 2017 2:49 am

Light rain started in Addicks, TX at 2:20 am. First rain we've had.
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Re: ATL: CINDY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1627 Postby southerngale » Thu Jun 22, 2017 4:42 am

...EXCESSIVE RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH MOISTURE FROM TROPICAL STORM CINDY...

*SIGNIFICANT AND POSSIBLY LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODING REMAINS POSSIBLE THURSDAY WITH TROPICAL STORM CINDY.*

EXTENSIVE HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE TO BE A SIGNIFICANT THREAT ON THURSDAY, AS TROPICAL STORM CINDY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INLAND PER LATEST FORECAST TRACK FROM NHC. THE OVERALL ASYMMETRIC PATTERN WILL PERSIST WITH MOST OF THE TROPICAL RAINS OCCURRING INVOF THE MODERATE SIZE CIRCULATION AND EAST OF THE STORM SYSTEM IN THE ANOMALOUS MOISTURE PLUME, SURGING NORTH FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO INTO THE CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES. ANOTHER AREA THAT WILL BEGIN TO GET INTO THE ACTION IS UP THE OH RIVER, AS THIS MOISTURE BEGINS TO FOCUS ALONG A FRONTAL ZONE AND INTERACT WITH THE WESTERLIES ALOFT. THE GUIDANCE HAS THE OVERALL FORECAST PATTERN AND SCENARIO IN REASONABLE GOOD AGREEMENT ALONG WITH THE HEAVIER RAINFALL LOCATIONS FOR EXCESSIVE RAIN. THE BIGGEST AREAS OF CONCERN IS NEAR CINDY AND ALONG THE FORECAST TRACK OR FROM JUST NORTH OF IAH/GLS THROUGH EASTERN TX/LFK INTO NWRN LA/SHV INTO SRN-SERN AR/ELD AND EASTERN LIT INTO EASTERN-NERN AR/JUST WEST OF MEM TO JBR TO WHERE THE MS RIVER MEETS THE OH. WITHIN THIS AXIS AREAL AVG AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH EASILY LOCALLY HIGHER VALUES UP TO 10-12 INCHES. AS A RESULT, WPC WENT WITH A MODERATE AND HIGH RISK FOR EXCESSIVE RAIN IN THIS CORRIDOR. ALSO, MULTIPLE FEEDER BANDS ARE ANTICIPATED WITH THE MODEL CONSENSUS FOCUSED ON THE WESTERN GULF COAST OF LA AND COASTAL AREAS/SOUTHERN MS/AL AND EXTREME WESTERN FL PANHANDLE, THOUGH THIS REMAINS A BIT MORE UNCERTAIN AND TOUGH TO PEG THE EXACT LOCATION OF THESE MESO FEATURES. IN THESE SOUTH TO NORTH TRAINING CONVECTIVE BANDS, WPC WENT WITH 1-3 INCH AREAL AVG AMOUNTS BUT VALUES COULD EASILY APPROACH 7-8 INCHES IN PROLONGED BANDS. WPC WENT WITH A RATHER LARGE MODERATE THREAT HERE IN ATTEMPT TO CAPTURE MOST IF NOT ALL OF THESE TROPICAL BANDS. FINALLY, MOISTURE INTERACTING WITH THE WESTERLIES SHOULD ALLOW RAIN TO FLOURISH OVER TN/KY AND SOUTHERN IL/IN/OH WITH AREAL AVG AMOUNTS OF 1-2 INCHES IS PROGGED BUT UP TO 4 POSSIBLE, ESPECIALLY NEAR THE LOWER OH RIVER AND WPC INTRODUCED A SLIGHT HERE.
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Re: ATL: CINDY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1628 Postby FLpanhandle91 » Thu Jun 22, 2017 5:34 am

Rainfall totals for the past 24 hours approaching 8 inches in the Fort Walton Beach area. This includes three separate tornado warnings for the county; one of which caused significant damage. No injuries reported.
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Re: ATL: CINDY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1629 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jun 22, 2017 5:36 am

...CINDY MAKES LANDFALL IN SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA...


SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.9N 93.6W
ABOUT 30 MI...45 KM WSW OF LAKE CHARLES LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES
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Re: ATL: CINDY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1630 Postby ronjon » Thu Jun 22, 2017 5:53 am

looks like Cindy's circulation tightened up and convection wrapped completely around the center at landfall on RAD. Best structurally its looked its entire life.

https://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=LCH&product=N0R&overlay=11101111&loop=yes
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Re: ATL: CINDY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1631 Postby GCANE » Thu Jun 22, 2017 6:56 am

ronjon wrote:looks like Cindy's circulation tightened up and convection wrapped completely around the center at landfall on RAD. Best structurally its looked its entire life.

https://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=LCH&product=N0R&overlay=11101111&loop=yes


That is exactly what COAMPS was forecasting a few days ago.
IMHO, COAMPS reigns supreme for track and intensity.
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Re: ATL: CINDY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1632 Postby wxman57 » Thu Jun 22, 2017 6:57 am

I put together a 3-day visible loop of Cindy using College of DuPage's .5k resolution visible image of the Gulf. I'll only post the link, as it's a 200mb file.

http://wxman57.com/images/Cindy-GOES-R.gif

Here's the link to their GOES-R imagery:
http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/
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Re: ATL: CINDY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1633 Postby galvbay » Thu Jun 22, 2017 7:55 am

Final TS Cindy report from Smith Point, TX 6/22/17

Bar Low was 29.48
Highest Gust 33mph
Rain 1.37 (24hr)
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Re: ATL: CINDY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1634 Postby Alyono » Thu Jun 22, 2017 7:59 am

that rainband won't budge in mississippi
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Re: ATL: CINDY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1635 Postby ROCK » Thu Jun 22, 2017 8:15 am

Looks better over land..yelp that's a wrap on this one.
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Re: ATL: CINDY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1636 Postby Kazmit » Thu Jun 22, 2017 8:40 am

I'm thinking a depression for the next update.
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Re: ATL: CINDY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1637 Postby wxman57 » Thu Jun 22, 2017 8:52 am

Kazmit wrote:I'm thinking a depression for the next update.


I saw a 35kt wind south of the mouth of the Mississippi in a narrow band of squalls around 7am, but that wind is now down to 30kts. Looks like a TD, to me.
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Re: ATL: CINDY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1638 Postby HeeBGBz » Thu Jun 22, 2017 9:16 am

Remember on some of past model runs the storm split in two? Could that be what happened with the landfall in swla and the continued bands that are running through ms, al, fla?
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Re: ATL: CINDY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1639 Postby Florabamaman » Thu Jun 22, 2017 9:31 am

Hi everyone! This is my first post here. I have been a frequent visitor to this site for a couple seasons now and I finally decided to join. I live just east of Pensacola in Pace, fl, Santa Rosa County. We have actually been experiencing excessive rainfall for the past few weeks. Just last week we had 10" overnight and we definitely did not need Cindy. Many roads and a few homes in low lying areas throughout Santa Rosa County are flooded. The city of Pensacola, from what I'm hearing, fared pretty well. Only a few streets closed there. There was, however, a very tragic freak accident in Gulf Shores, Al that claimed the life of a 10 yo boy from Missouri.
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Re: ATL: CINDY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1640 Postby Tireman4 » Thu Jun 22, 2017 9:40 am

Florabamaman wrote:Hi everyone! This is my first post here. I have been a frequent visitor to this site for a couple seasons now and I finally decided to join. I live just east of Pensacola in Pace, fl, Santa Rosa County. We have actually been experiencing excessive rainfall for the past few weeks. Just last week we had 10" overnight and we definitely did not need Cindy. Many roads and a few homes in low lying areas throughout Santa Rosa County are flooded. The city of Pensacola, from what I'm hearing, fared pretty well. Only a few streets closed there. There was, however, a very tragic freak accident in Gulf Shores, Al that claimed the life of a 10 yo boy from Missouri.



Welcome. Thank you for joining. Hang in there.
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