ATL: CINDY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[sphelps8681]

Had to post this. Way to funny!!

https://scontent.xx.fbcdn.net/v/t1.0-9/ ... e=59E63AFD

No disrespect to anyone in bad situation but sometimes during those times you need to laugh a little.

It is funny, but everywhere you went yesterday afternoon and even throughout the morning mowers were going. Not for Jim Cantore but so that you can see what's slithering around in flood waters.................and the fact that it won't be dry enough again for a few weeks to mow again.

Tried to tell my husband that. Now he will a foot high grass to mow. Thank goodness I don't mow grass anymore.

[1900hurricane]

The 00Z KLCH sounding features a saturated profile almost up to 500 mb with a little drier air above that. With the saturated, near moist adiabatic profile extending all the way below freezing level, warm rain processes are likely the main rainfall driver. This is further backed up with high correlation coefficients and moderately high KDPs from radar. Decent helicities also still exist here and on the KLIX sounding, maintaining at least some threat for tornadoes.

[sphelps8681]

Starting to get lightening and thunder still raining but no wind.

[Nederlander]

Checking in from Port Arthur. Conditions have been deteriorating steadily over the past couple of hours. Looks like it's going to be a long, windy, and wet night.

[sphelps8681]

One more time and I swear that is it.

https://www.facebook.com/intheknowwithb ... 58/?type=3

[RL3AO]

Starting to get lightening and thunder still raining but no wind.

Sorry. Had to do it.

[tropicwatch]

Recon finally took off. They have seemed to have had a rough week.

[southerngale]

There's been 7 inches in some parts of southern Jefferson County and more areas in the 5-6" range per PYQL3 radar estimates. I don't know how accurate it is, but it has been POURING and still coming down.

Flash Flood Warning
Flash Flood Warning
TXC245-361-220345-
/O.NEW.KLCH.FF.W.0038.170622T0149Z-170622T0345Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
849 PM CDT WED JUN 21 2017

The National Weather Service in Lake Charles has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
Jefferson County in southeastern Texas...
Southwestern Orange County in southeastern Texas...

* Until 1045 PM CDT

* At 844 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated a band of heavy rain and a
few thunderstorms associated with Tropical Storm Cindy advancing
west across the warned area. Up to two inches of rain has already
fallen across portions of the area and 1 to 2 additional inches of
heavy rain is possible. Flash flooding is expected to begin
shortly.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

LAT...LON 2989 9436 2989 9444 3010 9444 3012 9430
3016 9428 3017 9422 3019 9421 3016 9411
3016 9386 2993 9387 2984 9395 2981 9395
2980 9394 2981 9393 2977 9393 2976 9390
2971 9385 2972 9387 2967 9406 2956 9435

$$

MM

[cycloneye]

Now moving Northnorthwest.

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Cindy Advisory Number 10
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032017
1000 PM CDT Wed Jun 21 2017

...HEAVY RAINS AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST...
...LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE...


SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.6N 93.4W
ABOUT 155 MI...245 KM WSW OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA
ABOUT 95 MI...150 KM SSE OF PORT ARTHUR TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.30 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Tropical Storm Warning has been discontinued east of Grand
Isle, Louisiana.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* San Luis Pass Texas to Grand Isle

[sphelps8681]

Starting to get lightening and thunder still raining but no wind.

Sorry. Had to do it.
http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-97W2f8JKMr0/T ... htning.jpg

I am tired been up since 5:00AM. There is still no excuse.

[1900hurricane]

 https://twitter.com/1900hurricane/status/877721272767188993

[sphelps8681]

Starting to get lightening and thunder still raining but no wind.

Sorry. Had to do it.
http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-97W2f8JKMr0/T ... htning.jpg

Can you get the pic any bigger. Been up since 5:00am. There is still no excuse and I am a good speler.

[1900hurricane]

MESOSCALE PRECIPITATION DISCUSSION 0357
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
917 PM EDT WED JUN 21 2017

AREAS AFFECTED...EXT SOUTHEAST TX...SOUTHWEST LA

CONCERNING...HEAVY RAINFALL...FLASH FLOODING LIKELY

VALID 220115Z - 220600Z

SUMMARY...NORTH/SOUTH DEFORMATION ZONE NEAR SABINE RIVER CURRENTLY
FORMING AND LIKELY TO REMAIN A FAIRLY STATIONARY FORCING FOCUS
ALLOWING FOR COMPOUNDING HEAVY RAINFALL AND LIKELY FLASH FLOODING
CONDITIONS THROUGH EARLY OVERNIGHT HOURS.

DISCUSSION...LAST GOES-16 VISIBLE IMAGERY AND EARLY OVERNIGHT SWIR
(3.9UM) CONTINUES TO SHOW PARTIALLY EXPOSED INNER CORE OF TS
CINDY. OVERALL THE INNER CORE HAS BEGUN TO CONSOLIDATE/TIGHTEN THE
INNER CORE. WV AMVS SUGGEST 40KT 3H EVACUATION JET OVER CENTRAL
LA WITH THE MAIN INNER CORE OF THE 5H VORT CENTER ROTATING
NORTHWARD AS WELL PROVIDING DPVA ALLOWING FOR SURFACE PRESSURE
FALLS ELONGATING THE TROF TO THE NORTH ALONG THE SABINE RIVER.
THIS PROVIDES A STRONG LOW LEVEL BOUNDARY FOR ISENTROPIC ASCENT ON
PERSISTENT 35-40KT 85H WINDS TO MAINTAIN DEEP CONVECTION WITH
LIMITED FORWARD MOTION (DEVELOPING DEFORMATION ZONE). AS SUCH
MASS PILING AND MST CONVERGENCE WILL SUPPORT TPWS OVER 2.5" WITH
RATES UP TO 2.5"/HR. GIVEN THE STRENGTHENING OF THE DEFORMATION
ZONE...THE FORCING/ASCENT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN FAIRLY STATIONARY
LEADING TO THE POTENTIAL FOR 3-5" OF RAIN OVER THE NEXT 4-6 HRS
EXPECTED MOSTLY IN JEFFERSON COUNTY TX...ESPECIALLY IF DEVELOPING
NORTHWARD ROTATING BANDS BEGIN TO FILL IN AND CONVERGE. QUITE A
FEW HI-RES CAMS SUPPORT THIS EVOLUTION TO ALLOW FOR FAIRLY HIGH
TOTALS PARTICULARLY RECENT HRRR/HRRRX AND NSSL-WRF. THOUGH FFG
VALUES ARE HIGHER...THESE TOTALS WILL LIKELY EXCEED THEM LEADING
TO FLASH FLOODING AFTER 03Z.

GALLINA

ATTN...WFO...HGX...LCH...SHV...

ATTN...RFC...LMRFC...WGRFC...

LAT...LON 31229371 30649307 30389270 30049233 29539251
29619298 29689336 29589367 29489448 30189458
31009422

[bayoubebe]

Can anyone tell me what the impacts to The Woodlands is expected? Starting to worry about family there.

[jabman98]

Can anyone tell me what the impacts to The Woodlands is expected? Starting to worry about family there.

Don't think it'll be too bad there. Local mets indicated that I-45 would generally be a line where east of it would get the worst of it and west of it wouldn't see all that much. You can pretty much see that happening when you look at the radar. A little bit further north and west [EDIT: GAH, It's north and EAST], like Polk County, things will probably be worse. Depends exactly where your family lives but The Woodlands proper is closer to I-45 and west of it.

[TheStormExpert]

Center of Cindy about 50 miles offshore Cameron, Louisiana.

[southerngale]

It's coming down in sheets! I still can't believe all the thunder and lightning as well.

[floridasun78]

who have most rain today?

[jabman98]

It's coming down in sheets! I still can't believe all the thunder and lightning as well.

It looks really heavy on radar. Stay safe!

We've barely had anything here in Houston. A band in the early evening and that's about it.

[CrazyC83]

I've been too busy in the weather lab today making graphics and doing broadcast practice to post much. Using this as an opportunity to learn in real time.