ATL: FOUR - Remnants - Discussion

[Aric Dunn]

Are conditions good enough for some development?

Everything I see they are quite good ( have not looked too deeply into it) but that does not mean much without convection.

There is definitely more rotation today very broad but seems to still be increasing. if there was surface/low-level convergence then we might have too look more closely at it.

[lrak]

Are conditions good enough for some development?

Everything I see they are quite good ( have not looked too deeply into it) but that does not mean much without convection.

There is definitely more rotation today very broad but seems to still be increasing. if there was surface/low-level convergence then we might have too look more closely at it.

thank you

I just checked the the satellite and it has blossomed.

[Aric Dunn]

vorticity contiues to increase.. from 3 hours ago..




currently.. thats a pretty decent increase..

[Stormcenter]

Look interesting to say the least. I never ignore anything in the Gulf in the Summer time. IMO

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/avn-animated.gif

[Aric Dunn]

Look interesting to say the least. I never ignore anything in the Gulf in the Summer time. IMO

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/avn-animated.gif

I mean it's not happening fast that's for sure lol .. but the 12z Euro has a little more defined vorticity and broad closed wind field near the Texas coast in 48 hours.

[Stormcenter]

What area of the Texas coast?

Look interesting to say the least. I never ignore anything in the Gulf in the Summer time. IMO

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/avn-animated.gif

I mean it's not happening fast that's for sure lol .. but the 12z Euro has a little more defined vorticity and broad closed wind field near the Texas coast in 48 hours.

[Aric Dunn]

What area of the Texas coast?

Look interesting to say the least. I never ignore anything in the Gulf in the Summer time. IMO

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/avn-animated.gif

I mean it's not happening fast that's for sure lol .. but the 12z Euro has a little more defined vorticity and broad closed wind field near the Texas coast in 48 hours.

its weak but upper texas coast you can see the wind barbs showing a closed wind field. though I dont have access to the High res Euro..

[tailgater]

Where is GCANE, I'd like his thoughts on this Cape in the 3500- 4000 range. haha

[GCANE]

Where is GCANE, I'd like his thoughts on this Cape in the 3500- 4000 range. haha

Yup, that is pretty much top end instability and even low shear.
However, no LL convergence / vort to drive parcels from the boundary layer up into the atmosphere.

[lrak]

ECMWF still shows a low off S. Texas coast on Monday? I wonder what it's thinking

[Aric Dunn]

whoo knows.. of LA has the convection and the dynamics for convection. could form there and slide east. the the euro looks like it forms farther south in central gulf and quickly moves inland.

[Orlando]

Someone better start a new thread on that Disturbance #1 out in the Atlantic. I'm already starting to feel that one.

[lrak]

The radar looks like old TD 4 is about to move ashore. https://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid ... 1&loop=yes LOL this was a long thread. First post was the June 2nd

[Hurricane Andrew]

The radar looks like old TD 4 is about to move ashore. https://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid ... 1&loop=yes LOL this was a long thread. First post was the June 2nd

That would be July 2.

[Aric Dunn]

yeah the gfs and cmc and euro develop a low then imeediately move it inland.. if that low is farther offshore could be fun to watch..

[lrak]

The radar looks like old TD 4 is about to move ashore. https://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid ... 1&loop=yes LOL this was a long thread. First post was the June 2nd

That would be July 2.

ooops had a few too many last night...must be the lag affect

wow i looked at the radar just now and poof! NO RAIN FOR YOU....darn.

Maybe tomorrow

[Aric Dunn]

The radar looks like old TD 4 is about to move ashore. https://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid ... 1&loop=yes LOL this was a long thread. First post was the June 2nd

That would be July 2.

ooops had a few too many last night...must be the lag affect

wow i looked at the radar just now and poof! NO RAIN FOR YOU....darn.

Maybe tomorrow

its should flare up again later this evening.

the coolest feature right now is in between key west and the sw tip of florida.. nice rotating meso storm along the wave axis that been meandering around..