ATL: EMILY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[galaxy401]

Wow this came out of nowhere. Last night I just saw a low in the Gulf. This is what happens when I turn a blind eye for one day.

And it seems despite Wxman's objections, this is indeed a TS based on reports.

[cycloneye]

Tropical Storm Emily Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062017
1110 AM EDT Mon Jul 31 2017

...TROPICAL STORM EMILY MAKES LANDFALL ON ANNA MARIA ISLAND...

NOAA Doppler weather radar data and surface observations indicate
that Tropical Storm Emily made landfall at 1045 AM EDT (1445 UTC)
on Anna Maria Island, just west of Bradenton, Florida.

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.5N 82.7W
ABOUT 10 MI...20 KM NW OF BRADENTON FLORIDA
ABOUT 20 MI...35 KM S OF ST. PETERSBURG FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 90 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Stewart

[ScottNAtlanta]

Guess this blows my Emily theory out of the water (so to speak)

[Spoomsister]

Does anyone know the record for the shortest lived TS to make landfall?

[caneman]

https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=10159257343510500&id=112651575499

Sunshine Skyway 60 mph winds. Closed. Live video feed

[Tireman4]

Does anyone know the record for the shortest lived TS to make landfall?

I know the smallest was..Marco...2008..

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tropical_ ... arco_(2008)

[Stormcenter]

None of the above.

with models was right with 98l becoming Emily?

[tolakram]

GOES16, 54 image loop from SLIDER

http://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu/?sat=goes-16&sec=conus&x=6653.5&y=5381.5&z=4&im=54&ts=1&st=0&et=0&speed=130&motion=loop&map=1&lat=0&p%5B0%5D=1&opacity%5B0%5D=1&hidden%5B0%5D=0&pause=0&slider=-1&hide_controls=0&mouse_draw=0&s=rammb-slider

[Emmett_Brown]

Some rain bands beginning to form in the NE quad over EC FL near Orlando area. Winds very light in the area however.

Edit, light rain falling here in Orlando, breeze picking up form the ENE, still only about 10mph at this time.

[Sanibel]

Heavy rain this morning turns out to be a formed TS! Wow! Like they say, always watch fronts that descend into the Gulf...

[Emmett_Brown]

Convection maintaining nicely around the LLC, still looks decent on IR

[Sanibel]

Watch to emerge over east coast...



The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

[Alyono]

Would not be surprised if this peaks as a strong ts off of north carolina

[floridasun78]

here news coming out naple their got flood issue http://www.naplesnews.com/story/weather/hurricanes/2017/07/31/live-coverage-tropical-storm-emily-brings-heavy-rain-southwest-florida/524881001/ look like wind damage at hotel on beach too not sure was tornadoe very strong wind

[cycloneye]

...EMILY LOCATED INLAND OVER WEST-CENTRAL FLORIDA...
...HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED OVER THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA
PENINSULA...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.6N 82.2W
ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM SE OF TAMPA FLORIDA
ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM SW OF BARTOW FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 85 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES

[northjaxpro]

Emily chugging along at 10 mph right along or just south of the I-4 corridor. Holding its own fairly well. Should be off Cape Canaveral by 9:00 or 10:00 tonight or so.

[Hammy]

First E storm in July since 05. Props to the NAM for picking this out when the larger-scale models didn't show much.

[OuterBanker]

Why no models thread? Is it because it's set in stone. Btw, national news stated earlier that Emily would be no threat to the Carolinas.

We love that kind of statement. On the other hand after last years fiasco with Matthew I'll breathe a sigh of relief only after it passes.

[tolakram]

Model runs here.

Please limit discussion to model runs.

[Aric Dunn]

If convection continues moving and building away from the center to the east. Would not be surprised to see the circ elongate then redevelop offshore east coast rather than move intact across land.